
Japanese manufacturers slightly more optimistic despite Trump tariff worries
Business sentiment among large Japanese manufacturers has improved slightly, according to a survey by Japan's central bank released Tuesday, although worries persist over President Donald Trump's tariffs.
The Bank of Japan's quarterly tankan survey said an index for large manufacturers rose to plus 13 from plus 12 in March, when it marked the first dip in a year. The survey is an indicator of companies foreseeing good conditions minus those feeling pessimistic.
Major manufacturers include auto and electronics sectors, whose exports to the U.S. drive the Japanese economy.
U.S. auto tariffs are a worry for major manufacturers like Toyota Motor Corp., but some analysts note global auto sales have held up realatively well in recent months.
The U.S. has imposed 25% tariffs on auto imports. Japanese automakers have plants in Mexico, where Trump has announced a separate set of tariffs. The U.S. has also imposed 50% tariffs on steel and aluminum.
Japanese officials have been talking frequently with the Trump administration, stressing that Japan is a key U.S. ally.
Trump posted on his social media site Monday that Japan wasn't buying enough rice from the U.S. 'They won't take our RICE, and yet they have a massive rice shortage,' the president wrote, adding that a letter to Japan was coming.
Also on Monday, National Economic Council director Kevin Hassett told reporters at the White House that Trump 'is going to finalize the frameworks we negotiated with a whole bunch of countries after the weekend.'
The Bank of Japan, which has kept interest rates extremely low for years to encourage growth, is expected to continue to raise interest rates, but some analysts expect that to wait until next year.
The central bank raised its benchmark rate to 0.5% from 0.1% at the start of this year and has maintained that rate. The next Bank of Japan monetary policy board meeting is at the end of this month. The tankan findings work as important data in weighing a decision.
The weak yen has raised the cost of materials for Japan at a time when the U.S. dollar has been trading at around 140 yen, up considerably from about 110 yen five years ago.
A weak yen is a boon for Japan's exporters by boosting the value of their earnings when converted into yen.
The tankan showed sentiment for large non-manufacturers fell to plus 34 from plus 35.That was better than some forecasts, which projected a deeper decline.
The Japanese government reported last week that the nation's unemployment rate in May stood at 2.5%, unchanged from the previous month.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Al Jazeera
26 minutes ago
- Al Jazeera
US-Japan trade deal – will this one be too tricky for Trump?
US President Donald Trump said this week that he is not confident the United States will reach a trade deal with Japan ahead of next week's deadline to reinstate global tariffs he paused three months ago. Trump also threatened to impose tariffs of 30 percent to 35 percent on Japan if a trade deal is not achieved, particularly in relation to US sales of rice and cars. This has caused concern among automobile and electronic manufacturers in Japan, whose exports to the US fuel the Japanese economy. Here is what we know about the US-Japan trade talks. What did Trump say about a trade deal with Japan? Most of Washington's trading partners are seeking trade deals as the July 9 deadline for the end of a pause on reciprocal tariffs looms closer. Trade talks have continued between the US and Japan for some time. Japan's chief trade negotiator and economy minister, Ryosei Akazawa, is making arrangements for his eighth visit to the US as early as this weekend, Japanese broadcaster TV Asahi reported on Wednesday. The US had a $69.4bn trading deficit with Japan in 2024, according to US federal data. Trump is seeking to close this. But this week, he voiced doubts about whether Washington and Tokyo could reach a trade deal at all. 'We've dealt with Japan. I'm not sure if we're gonna make a deal, I doubt it, with Japan,' Trump told reporters on board Air Force One on Tuesday. 'They and others are so spoiled from having ripped us off for 30, 40 years that it's really hard for them to make a deal.' Why has Trump threatened Japan with new tariffs? Trump threatened to impose a tariff of '30 percent or 35 percent' on Japan if a trade deal is not reached by the time the reciprocal tariff pause is lifted on July 9. A basic 10 percent tariff on goods imported to the US, including from Japan, has remained in place throughout this pause. On April 2, when Trump announced his 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs, he unveiled a 24 percent tariff for Japan on most goods except cars, aluminium and steel. Trump says he does not plan to extend the pause for higher, reciprocal tariffs. Once they are back in place, vehicles and car parts from Japan, as well as from other countries, face a 25 percent tariff. Aluminium and steel imports from all countries, including Japan, face a 50 percent tariff based on an order Trump signed on June 4. Now, Trump is zeroing in on rice sales to Japan as well, alleging that Japan does not buy rice from the US. 'I have great respect for Japan, they won't take our RICE, and yet they have a massive rice shortage,' he wrote on his Truth Social platform on Monday. 'We'll just be sending them a letter, and we love having them as a Trading Partner for many years to come,' Trump added, without specifying any details about the letter. Trump also claimed that Japan does not buy cars from the US. 'We didn't give them one car in 10 years,' he told reporters on Air Force One this week. During a Fox News interview that aired on June 29, Trump also said that Japan does not buy American cars and added: 'It's not fair.' 'So what I'm going to do is I'll write them a letter, say, 'We thank you very much. We know you can't do the kind of things that we need, and therefore you'll pay a 30 percent, 35 percent or whatever the numbers that we determine,' Trump said this week. 'Because we also have a very big trade deficit with Japan, as you know, and it's very unfair to the American people.' Does Japan buy cars and rice from the US? Yes. Contrary to what Trump told reporters this week, Japan bought $354.7m of rice from the US between May 2024 and April 2025, according to the trade data research group, Observatory of Economic Complexity (OEC). Japanese rice imports from the US have in fact increased since the price of locally grown rice has surged. An extreme heatwave in 2023 yielded a substandard rice crop, leading to producers and manufacturers stockpiling rice that was available by early 2024. Additionally, an earthquake hit southern Japan on August 8, 2024, which led to consumers stockpiling rice and triggering a rice shortage. The government has decided to release rice from its own emergency stockpile. Figures from the Japan Automobile Importers Association also show that Japan imported 14,724 US passenger vehicles worth $1.04bn in 2024. This is a far cry from sales of Japanese cars to the US, however. In 2023, for example, Japan exported cars worth $41bn to the US while importing cars worth just $1.25bn from the US, according to the OEC. Why else have trade talks between Japan and the US stalled? The Japanese government also faces domestic pressures with a national upper house election on June 20. The farm sector has traditionally been a significant voting bloc for Japanese PM Shigeru Ishiba's Liberal Democratic Party. Trade negotiator Akazawa said on Tuesday that Japan would not sacrifice its agriculture sector during trade talks with the US. 'I have repeatedly stated that agriculture is the foundation of the nation. In negotiations with the United States, our stance remains unchanged: we will not engage in talks that would sacrifice the agricultural sector,' Akazawa told a media conference. Ishiba is also opposed to any trade deal with Trump which does not roll back tariffs on cars. 'Japan is different from other countries as we are the largest investor in the United States, creating jobs,' Ishiba said on Wednesday during a debate with opposition leaders. 'With our basic focus being on investment rather than tariffs, we'll continue to protect our national interest.' Furthermore, Japan is in a stronger position than many other countries as it is the largest foreign holder of US debt. According to recent reports, Japan holds more than $1 trillion in US Treasury securities, which may give it leverage in trade talks. Has Japan responded to Trump's threat of higher tariffs? Japan has so far declined to comment on this. During a news conference in Tokyo on Wednesday, Japan's Deputy Chief Cabinet Secretary Kazuhiko Aoki said: 'We are aware of what President Trump said, but we don't comment on every remark made by US government officials.' How much does Japan's economy depend on US exports? While Japan does hold large amounts of US debt, it is more reliant on the US for exports than the other way around. The US is Japan's largest export market, accounting for 19.1 percent of total Japanese exports in 2023, according to the OEC. Only 4.03 percent of US exports went to Japan in 2023. In that year, the US exported $7.7bn worth of petroleum gas to Japan.


Al Jazeera
2 hours ago
- Al Jazeera
US secures trade deal with Vietnam as negotiations continue with S Korea
A trade deal between the United States and Vietnam has marked the first full pact President Donald Trump has sealed with an Asian nation, but has also raised fears that it could provoke a new standoff between the US and China. South Korean President Lee Jae-myung, who came to power last month on a platform of pursuing pragmatic diplomacy with both the US and China, indicated on Thursday that it remained unclear whether tariff negotiations between Washington and Seoul would be concluded by next week's deadline. Vietnam has the third-biggest trade surplus with the US of any country after China and Mexico, and was targeted with a 46 percent rate, one of the highest in Trump's 'Liberation Day' tariff blitz on April 2. Analysts say the US-Vietnam trade deal may give a glimpse of the template Washington will use with other Asian countries still scrambling for accords, including South Korea, Japan and Thailand. Speaking at his first news conference on Thursday since taking office on June 4, Lee said the tariff negotiations with the US have been 'clearly not easy' and stressed that the countries must reach mutually beneficial outcomes. 'It's difficult to say with certainty whether we will be able to reach a conclusion by July 8. We are now doing our best,' Lee said. 'What we need is a truly reciprocal outcome that benefits both sides and works for everyone, but so far, both sides are still trying to define exactly what they want.' Lee, a liberal, came to power after winning a snap presidential election caused by the removal of conservative President Yoon Suk-yeol over his ill-fated imposition of martial law in December. Trump's 90-day pause in global reciprocal tariffs is set to expire on July 9, potentially exposing South Korean products to 25% tax rates. The US has separately been seeking higher duties on specific products such as automobiles and semiconductors, which are key exports for South Korea's trade-dependent economy. There are growing concerns in Seoul that Trump may also demand a broader deal, requiring South Korea to pay significantly more for the 28,000 US soldiers stationed in the country to deter threats from North Korea. Lee has consistently urged patience on tariffs, arguing that rushing to secure an early deal would not serve the national interest. Provoking China? South Korea's struggle to reach a trade deal with the US comes as the US-Vietnam trade deal was secured late on Wednesday, meaning that the 46 percent rate due to take effect next week has been averted. Vietnam is now set to face a minimum 20 percent tariff in return for opening its market to US products, including cars. But a 40 percent tariff will hit goods passing through the country to circumvent steeper trade barriers – a practice called 'transhipping' – and has raised concerns about how Beijing will react. Washington has accused Hanoi of relabelling Chinese goods to skirt its tariffs, but raw materials from the world's number-two economy are the lifeblood of Vietnam's manufacturing industries. 'From a global perspective, perhaps the most interesting point is that this deal again seems in large part to be about China,' said Capital Economics. The terms on transhipment 'will be seen as a provocation in Beijing, particularly if similar conditions are included in any other deals agreed over coming days', it added. Shares in clothing companies and sport equipment manufacturers – which have a large footprint in Vietnam – rose on news of the deal in New York. But they later declined sharply as details were released. Vietnam's government said in a statement late on Wednesday that under the deal, the country had promised 'preferential market access for US goods, including large-engine cars'. But the statement gave scant detail about the transhipment arrangements in the deal, which Trump announced on his Truth Social platform. Uncertainty over how transshipping will be 'defined or enforced' is likely to have diplomatic repercussions, said Bloomberg Economics expert Rana Sajedi. 'The looming question now is how China will respond,' she said. 'Beijing has made clear that it would respond to deals that came at the expense of Chinese interests.'


Al Jazeera
11 hours ago
- Al Jazeera
Trump says Powell should resign ‘immediately' in latest attack on Fed chair
United States President Donald Trump has repeated his call for Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to step down, the latest in a series of attacks that have raised concern about the independence of the US central bank. Trump made the call for Powell to 'resign immediately' on Wednesday after his administration's top housing regulator urged the US Congress to launch an investigation into the central banker. Bill Pulte, the director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, said in a post on X that Powell should be investigated for his 'political bias' and 'deceptive testimony' about renovations at the Federal Reserve headquarters in Washington, DC. In a Truth Social post responding to Pulte's comments, Trump said 'Too Late' – a nickname used to lambast Powell for not lowering rates faster – should resign. Trump's latest broadside comes days after he sent Powell a letter demanding that the central banker lower the benchmark interest rate, which is currently set at a range of 4.25 percent to 4.5 percent, by 'a lot'. The US president has repeatedly criticised Powell for not backing faster rate cuts, arguing that the central banker's cautious stance is holding back economic growth and that concerns about inflation are overblown. Lower interest rates reduce the cost of borrowing for businesses and consumers, helping boost economic growth. But rate cuts also have the effect of increasing inflation, which central banks typically wish to keep low, and Trump's sweeping tariffs are generally expected to put upward pressure on prices. On Tuesday, Powell told a panel discussion at the European Central Bank Forum in Portugal that the central bank had taken a wait-and-see approach to rate cuts in order to gauge the impact of Trump's tariffs, many of which are in limbo ahead of a July 9 deadline. 'In effect, we went on hold when we saw the size of the tariffs, and essentially all inflation forecasts for the United States went up materially as a consequence of the tariffs,' Powell said. 'We didn't overreact. In fact, we didn't react at all; we're simply taking some time.' Trump has repeatedly demanded that Powell, whose term does not expire until May 2026, step down or be removed since coming into office in January. Last week, Trump told reporters that he would 'love' for Powell to step down 'if he wanted to'. In April, Trump said that Powell's 'termination cannot come fast enough,' before backing off his threat after stocks and the US dollar dipped sharply. Under US federal law, the US president is only permitted to fire the Fed chair 'for cause', a provision widely interpreted to mean specific misconduct, not policy decisions. In May, the US Supreme Court reaffirmed precedent limiting the president's ability to remove the top central banker in a ruling that singled out the Federal Reserve as having a distinct status compared with other independent agencies. Trump earlier on Tuesday told reporters that he had 'two or three' choices in mind to succeed Powell without elaborating on who is under consideration.