Nasdaq, S&P 500 Notch New Record Highs Following US-Vietnam Deal; Tesla Rebounds

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Yahoo
24 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Morning Bid: Fizzy market week turns flat
By Mike Dolan LONDON (Reuters) - What matters in U.S. and global markets today By Mike Dolan, Editor-At-Large, Finance and Markets A buoyant week for world markets driven by emerging U.S. trade deals with major economies has gone a bit flat into Friday, with the corporate earnings season throwing up a series of high profile disappointments. The interest rate backdrop also turned a shade darker, with the European Central Bank holding its 2% rate steady as expected but with some officials signalling that the bar was high for further easing. Federal Reserve rate cut expectations also continued to tick lower despite relentless political pressure, with futures markets now pricing in just 42 basis points of additional easing this year. * The S&P 500 and Nasdaq eked out marginal gains to new records on Thursday, with Alphabet leading the way after its earnings beat. But Tesla's troubles continued, as it dropped more than 8%. Meanwhile, IBM clocked an 8% earnings day drop, American Airlines fell 10% and Honeywell was off 6%. UnitedHealth lost 5% after a probe into its Medicare practises, and Intel lost 5% overnight on its update. Wall Street futures were flat ahead of Friday's bell. * The European earnings season was also pockmarked with some negative reactions to corporate updates, with shares in German sportswear maker Puma sliding 15% on Friday and French car parts maker Valeo down 9% as both cut full-year outlooks. European stock indexes were down about 0.5%. A rebound in British retail sales last month came in below forecasts too. * A packed diary next week includes the August 1 U.S. tariff deadline, Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan meetings, key U.S. labor market updates, megacap earnings and a heavy Treasury debt auction schedule. Treasury yields were steady to a bit higher on Friday and the dollar nudged up too. Market Minute * Investors cashed out of highly valued global stocks on Friday and the dollar headed for its biggest weekly drop in a month ahead of a crucial week for markets that includes Donald Trump's tariff deadline and key central bank meetings. * U.S. President Donald Trump's trade deal with Tokyo opens scope for the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates again this year, sources say, a prospect the central bank may start to telegraph by offering a less gloomy view on the economic outlook. * South Korea's Industry Minister Kim Jung-kwan met U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick on Thursday and reaffirmed a commitment to reach a deal on tariffs by the August 1 deadline, South Korea's industry ministry said on Friday. * The optimism sweeping world stock markets following news of emerging and expected U.S. trade deals is undeniable and understandable. But, writes ROI markets columnist Jamie McGeever, it is also puzzling. * U.S. President Donald Trump sprang a double surprise on the copper market when he announced import tariffs of 50% effective next month. ROI metals columnist Andy Home notes that the market was betting on a different outcome. Weekend reads * GEN AI AND PRODUCTIVITY: The Generative AI boom shows encouraging signs of raising the productivity level of the wider economy, according to a Federal Reserve Board discussion paper. But the researchers conclude that GenAI's contribution to productivity growth will depend on the speed with which its benefits are obtained, and notes that historically it takes time for revolutionary technologies to be integrated into the economy. * SUBNATIONAL DEBTS: Debates about debt sustainability often only focus only on "sovereign" or central government balances and ignore a complex, growing role of subnational governments. In a piece on CEPR's VoxEU site, economists Sean Dougherty, Acaua Brochado and Pietrangelo de Biase point out how subnational government accounts for nearly 40% of public investment and more than a quarter of public spending. They argue these entities face tighter borrowing conditions, increasing investment responsibilities and market structures that often fail to price risk accurately. Left unaddressed, these dynamics could undermine both macro stability and government priorities. * DIGITAL SOVEREIGNTY: Europe's systemic dependency on Big Tech's social-media platforms threatens the continent's digital sovereignty as policymakers argue there's little alternative. But, as developer Sebastian Vogelsang argues on Project Syndicate this week, this ignores the potential for building apps on open-source frameworks like the AT Protocol, the foundation for Bluesky. * 'SPY COCKROACHES'?: For Gundbert Scherf - the co-founder of Germany's Helsing, Europe's most valuable defence start-up - Russia's invasion of Ukraine changed everything. As Reuters' Supantha Mukherjee, Sarah Marsh and Christoph Steitz report, the Munich-based company more than doubled its valuation to $12 billion at a fundraising last month. Scherf - a former partner at McKinsey - says Europe may be on the cusp of a transformation in defence innovation akin to the Manhattan Project. * SYRIA'S ECONOMICS: A Reuters investigation found that Syria's new leadership is secretly restructuring an economy broken by corruption and years of sanctions against Assad's government, under the auspices of a group of men whose identities have until now been concealed under pseudonyms. Away from public scrutiny, the committee obtained assets worth more than $1.6 billion. That tally is based on accounts of people familiar with its deals to acquire business stakes and cash seizures, including at least $1.5 billion in assets taken from three businessmen and firms in a conglomerate once controlled by Assad's inner circle. Chart of the day With Fed policy under a microscope, attention switches to the labor market next week - culminating in the release of the national employment report on Friday. Economists polled by Reuters expect the economy added 102,000 non-farm payrolls this month - which would be the lowest monthly tally since February. However, the U.S. Labor Department on Thursday showed jobless claims last week fell to 217,000 - well below estimates - signaling continued resilience in the job market. Today's events to watch * U.S. June durable goods orders (8:30 AM EDT) * U.S. corporate earnings: Aon, HCA Healthcare, Charter Communications, Phillips 66, Centene * South Korea's Finance Minister Koo Yun-cheol and Minister for Trade Yeo Han-koo meet U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer in Washington * U.S. President Donald Trump makes private visit to Scotland -- Want to receive the Morning Bid in your inbox every weekday morning? Sign up for the newsletter here. You can find ROI on the Reuters website, and you can follow us on LinkedIn Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias. (by Mike Dolan; editing by) Sign in to access your portfolio
Yahoo
24 minutes ago
- Yahoo
TSX futures slip as investors await tariff deadline, trade updates
(Reuters) -Futures tied to Canada's main stock index slipped on Friday, mirroring global markets, as investors awaited trade developments ahead of President Donald Trump's tariff deadline next week. Futures on the S&P/TSX index were down 0.2% at 1,625.4 points by 06:55 a.m. ET (1055 GMT). Canada' main stock index edged lower on Thursday but was holding close to a record high. Global equities fell on Friday as investors booked profits ahead of a critical week that includes the August 1 tariff deadline. Markets are watching closely, hoping the United States will hold off on imposing steep import levies. This week, sentiment was buoyed by U.S. trade agreements with Japan, Indonesia, and the Philippines. Meanwhile, negotiations continue with the European Union and South Korea, where hopes for additional deals remain. In commodities, gold prices slipped and copper eased, and oil prices were stable on Friday. Looking ahead, investor focus will shift to several key events next week, including policy decisions from the Bank of Canada and the U.S. Federal Reserve, as well as earnings reports from several of the so-called 'Magnificent Seven' tech companies. FOR CANADIAN MARKETS NEWS, CLICK ON CODES: TSX market report [.TO] Canadian dollar and bonds report [CAD/] [CA/] Reuters global stocks poll for Canada Canadian markets directory ($1= C${CAD=;PRIMACT_1})


Axios
25 minutes ago
- Axios
How AI could bring back American exceptionalism
Investors are flocking to Europe, not for vacation, but for returns. But without the market power of artificial intelligence companies, they may have to quickly come back to America. Why it matters: Much of Europe's outperformance this year stems from a weakening dollar, not stronger fundamentals. Without the AI boom that is fueling the resurgence in U.S. stocks, the old world may struggle to keep up. What they're saying: " People want to be in the U.S. markets in the AI trade," Stuart Kaiser, head of U.S. equity strategy at Citi, told Axios. "It's a market you have to be involved in." Zoom out: The American stock market has outpaced gains in global equities for the last 15-plus years. Europe saw a 17.9% total return in U.S. dollar terms in the first half of 2025, but just 8.8% in local currencies, according to Vanguard. That gap signals the rally was largely driven by currencies and requires a catch-up on fundamentals to continue driving its growth. By the numbers: Nvidia alone is worth an amount equal to 14% of the total U.S. GDP, according to Robert Ruggirello, chief investment officer of Brave Eagle Wealth Management. "Not owning it is…painful," he wrote in a note. Of note: The European index was outperforming the S&P 500 for most of 2025 until recently. S&P 500 tech stocks are now outperforming both the broader U.S. and European markets. Zoom in: U.S. firms are embracing AI at scale. Europe is behind. European firms lag U.S. peers by 45% to 75% on AI adoption, according to McKinsey research last fall. Over the past 50 years, the U.S. has created 241 companies worth over $10 billion from scratch, while Europe has created just 14, Andrew McAfee of MIT told the Wall Street Journal. Between the lines: The slower AI momentum in Europe reflects regulatory pressure, higher corporate taxes, and fragmented markets, barriers the U.S. lacks. Even European AI successes often funnel into U.S. markets: DeepMind, the British AI firm behind Gemini, sold to Alphabet in 2014. Reality check: Strategists still see growth opportunities in Europe and beyond, given fiscal stimulus and potentially better economic growth. Trends like the shift to global assets can "last a lot longer than you think," Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at the Carson Group, told Axios. We're only about seven months into this rotation. The bottom line: AI is powering the American stock market. If you're seeking diversification, that may be hard to find in the U.S. indices.