ITV horse racing tips: Saturday, July 5

Telegraph

13 hours ago

Ron Wood's selections
NAP:
Kerdos (1.50, Sandown) 1pt win @ 4/1 with Betfred ⭐⭐⭐
Next best:
Estrange (2.40, Haydock) 1pt win @ 1/3 with Betfred ⭐⭐⭐
Others:
Valiancy (2.05, Haydock) 1pt win @ 3/1 with Betfred ⭐⭐
Classic (2.25, Sandown) 1pt win @ 7/1 with Betfred ⭐⭐
Miss Tonnerre (3.00, Sandown) 1pt win @ 8/1 with Betfred ⭐⭐
Sir Lowry's Pass (3.15, Haydock) 1pt win @ 4/1 with Betfred ⭐⭐⭐
Delacroix (3.35, Sandown) 1pt win @ 5/1 with Betfred ⭐⭐
Odds provided by Betfred and correct at the time of writing. Stars denote strength of selection (max 5).
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1.50 Sandown – The Sprint Stakes (Group 3, 5f)
KERDOS (NAP) ran a big race in the Group 1 King Charles III Stakes at Royal Ascot last month, finishing fifth of 20 and faring best of six runners who raced away from the main pace. He was drawn three, whereas the others who made up the first eight came from stalls numbered in double figures.
The Clive Cox-trained five-year-old won a Group 2 contest last year and won't mind what the weather does – a bonus given there's an unsettled forecast at Sandown.
2.05 Haydock – Class 2 Handicap (1m 6f)
There ought to be more to come from the William Haggas-trained VALIANCY, who was runner-up to Pole Star in a novice race here before winning a Hamilton maiden.
The selection has stamina to prove, but his trainer has sent out the winner of this race in three of the previous five years.
Selection: Valiancy 1pt win @ 3/1 with Betfred
2.25 Sandown – Class 2 Handicap (1m)
Richard Hannon's CLASSIC has been hard to win with but he has been running well in defeat this season, shaping as though he still has more to give.
He could be the answer to this competitive handicap should the race unfold to suit him.
2.40 Haydock – Lancashire Oaks (Group 2, 1m 4f)
Just four runners in this fillies' contest and ESTRANGE (NB) looks like having too many gears for her only serious rival, Scenic.
The latter drops in trip after a narrow win in a Group 3 race over 1m 6f at York, whereas the David O'Meara-trained selection was recently a comfortable Group 3 winner over course and distance.
Estrange, who has a 3-4 record, may not want the ground to dry out too much, but she has a bundle of talent.
Selection: Estrange 1pt win @ 1/3 with Betfred
3.00 Sandown – Fillies' Listed (1m)
Of the many unexposed and promising three-year-old fillies in this contest, maybe MISS TONNERRE can prove best.
She drops in trip after seven weeks off, having struggled in the Group 3 Musidora Stakes at York on her reappearance, although that turned out to be a hot race.
The selection showed useful ability as a two-year-old and really ought to have more to give this term. Her trainer Ed Walker had two big-priced winners at Royal Ascot.
3.15 Haydock – Old Newton Cup Class 2 Handicap (1m 4f)
Another Ed Walker-trained runner, SIR LOWRY'S PASS, is the pick in this one. He's less exposed than most – just six starts, all of them over 1m 2f – and is open to improvement on his already useful level now he steps up in trip.
3.35 Sandown – Eclipse (Group 1, 1m 2f)
This is a cracker, one of the season's best races so far.
Ombudsman isn't sure to repeat the level of his Prince of Wales's Stakes success, with this race coming up quite quickly and with the pace likely to be slower now.
DELACROIX and Ruling Court are preferred in that order. The selection can be excused his Derby flop as that was over 1m 4f on slow ground and he met early trouble. Prior to Epsom, Delacroix defeated the subsequent Derby winner from the front over this trip and he may be able to dominate this field.
Selection: Delacroix 1pt win @ 5/1 with Betfred
Today's UK and Irish racing
(Flat unless stated)
Haydock 1.30-4.55
Sandown 1.50-5.15
Naas 1.57-5.20
Beverley 2.13-5.42
Leicester 4.03-6.48
Carlisle 5.00-8.12
Bellewstown (NH) 5.30-8.30
Nottingham 5.53-8.53
What does NAP mean?
NAP is a word used in betting circles to describe a prediction that a tipster thinks has a particularly strong chance of winning.
Many horse racing tipsters pick out a 'NAP of the day', which is their favoured selection from all the races across the different meetings.
The term NAP derives from the French card game Napoleon. When players of this game thought they had a particularly strong hand that they would win with, they would shout 'Napoleon'.
What is an each-way bet?
An each-way bet is a popular type of wager, particularly with horse racing fans. It is essentially two bets, both of which have the same size stake.
An each-way bet features one bet on the selection to win and the other bet on the selection to place.
So a £10 each-way bet will cost you a total of £20. There will be one £10 bet on the selection to win and another £10 on the selection to place.
It's a popular bet because it offers punters the chance of a return, even if the horse in question fails to win. Bookmakers will pay out at a stated percentage of the odds for a place finish, for example one-fifth of the starting price (SP) for finishing in the first three.
The more runners there are in a horse race, the more places will be on offer. In races that feature lots of runners, the horses will be available at bigger odds, making an each-way bet a wise choice.
Ron Wood 2025 horse racing P/L
(up to and including Thursday July 3)
Star ratings explained
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ - confident selection
⭐⭐⭐⭐ - strong fancy
⭐⭐⭐ - fair claims
⭐⭐ - tentative choice
⭐ - minimum confidence
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