Soaking storm system to impact Minnesota early this week
"Showers arrive Monday and continue Tuesday with the highest amounts favoring southern Minnesota. A few thunderstorms are possible, but no severe weather is expected," the National Weather Service says.
According to the NWS, the best chance for soaking rain will be in western and southern Minnesota, near the Interstate 90 corridor. The chances lower north of Interstate 94.
Rain should begin Monday morning in southwestern Minnesota, leaving the Twin Cities mostly dry until later in the day. However, the rain will ramp up in coverage throughout the day Monday, and likely continue raining until Tuesday night.
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The NBM model (National Blend of Models) does a nice job showing rain potential, with the highest amounts — 1.5 to 2 inches — in far southern Minnesota.
However, we can't throw the other models out just yet. The European model goes big, with totals of 2-4+ inches over a very large area, including the Twin Cities, Mankato and Rochester.
The NAM model is showing signs of agreeing with the Euro.
On the flip side, the Canadian model leaves the Twin Cities mostly dry.
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