
Canada's proposed east-west energy corridors should prioritize clean energy
Energy and Natural Resources Minister Tim Hodgson has gone even further in pushing for subsidization of carbon capture and storage projects that would effectively underwrite the long-term continuation of the fossil fuel industry at taxpayer expense.
While there might be short-term political reasons for backing fossil fuels, such an approach goes against Canada's long-term interests. Prioritizing fossil fuels undermines the country's commitments to reduce emissions and takes away the investment needed for it to realize its potential to become a green energy superpower.
Creating energy corridors is in the national interest, and would allow Canada to take full advantage of its abundant and diverse energy and mineral resources. The government also needs to be involved, as the corridors are interprovincial and will require substantial investment. However, the government has limited resources and so Canada must think strategically about its priorities for such corridors.
Canadian taxpayers should not be subsidizing an already lucrative oil and gas industry. Instead, the federal government should prioritize funding clean energy supply solutions.
Canadian governments have long faced opposition to building new pipelines. The provinces of Quebec and British Columbia and many First Nations have strongly opposed new pipeline proposals. More recently, there is some signs of softening under the duress of U.S. tariffs.
Even if such shifts are lasting, it's for the private sector to step up and invest into these projects. Previous federal investments, such as the Trans Mountain pipeline (TMX), were reflections of the private market's unwillingness to invest in pipelines because they are bad investments. The 2024 Parliamentary Budget Office report estimated that selling the TMX would result in a loss.
There are reasons to question the soundness of fossil fuels on a purely financial basis. A 2022 Parliamentary budget office report found that climate change reduced GDP by 0.8 per cent in 2021, or around $20 billion. This number is expected to rise to 5.8 per cent per year by 2100 (or $145 billion in 2021 dollars).
By contrast, from 2017 to 2021, federal, provincial and territorial governments received an average of $12 billion annually in revenues from the the oil and gas industry.
The gap between the costs and benefits is only going to increase over time. The costs cut across all aspects of life, including food security, health care, global instability and threats to coastal cities due to sea level rise.
On the other hand, every dollar invested in adaptation today has an estimated return of $13-$15.
Furthermore, a recent study indicates a likely glut in global natural gas markets, and the future prospects for oil are equally questionable. For example, one of Canada's target markets, Japan, has been reselling its liquefied natural gas imports to other countries, suggesting the glut of oil and gas is likely to continue as cheaper producers, including those in the Middle East and Southeast Asia, who are cheaper and closer to consumers, flood the market.
Cheaper and closer oil producers are also flooding markets in anticipation of declining prices.
There are important opportunity costs of investing money in fossil fuels that could otherwise be invested in the clean energy economy. When new technologies arise, there is a limited window of opportunity for global competitors to enter into an emerging industry.
In light of the shift to electric vehicles, heat pumps and artificial intelligence, it's clear that energy demand is bound to increase significantly in Canada in the coming years. Canada can become a global competitor, but only if it enters the race now, while the window is open.
Solar and wind prices have declined by 83 per cent and 65 per cent respectively since 2009. However, they suffer from the fundamental issue of intermittency; the sun is not always shining and the wind isn't always blowing.
While battery prices are declining, they remain an expensive solution. An easier solution is at hand: Canada's hydroelectric resources. Quebec, B.C. and Manitoba have abundant hydro resources that can reduce energy costs throughout the rest of the country.
Alberta and Saskatchewan have potential for significant geothermal power generation. Ontario and the Atlantic provinces could contribute wind and solar. Trading electricity through an integrated national grid increases the investment capital and reduces the need for batteries while diversifying the energy mix.
But we need an east-west electricity market to make this happen.
An east-west grid would reduce the need for every province to run its own power generation system. Creating a pooled market would allow provinces to trade electricity, giving consumers more choice and investors a larger market and potential return on their investment.
More valuable still is the fact that electricity capacity has to be built for the few peak hours and seasons. But most of the time demand is well below full capacity, such as the middle of the night or early summer, when neither heat nor air conditioning is needed in many areas. As peak times and seasons vary across the country, Canada can reduce overall costs by trading the electricity in the lowest cost producing province at a given time to where it's needed in the other.
By locating some of the new clean energy in First Nations, Canada can also move reconciliation forward. There is potential for a win-win situation whereby Canada increases renewable energy generation while creating new jobs and income for First Nations wherever feasible.
The first step is for regulatory reform across the provinces to support a Canada-wide electricity market, and to provide the funding for the massive infrastructure investment required to connect provincial grids. This would be a federal investment with incredible long-term payoffs for employment, taxpayers and future generations.
Following this plan could truly make Canada an energy superpower on the right side of the energy transition, create thousands of jobs and give the country a global competitive edge - all while helping to save the planet in the process.
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National Observer
an hour ago
- National Observer
Republicans complain about smoke. But they voted for fire
It had to be a joke, right? A group of MAGA lawmakers moaning about 'suffocating Canadian wildfire smoke' in a complaint fired off to Canada's ambassador to the US. Someone at The Beaverton or Walking Eagle News must have been feeling especially snarky. But, no. Turns out that six of Trump's besties in Congress spent their July 4 weekend coordinating grievances and writing up a joint letter of protest, demanding action from the Canadian government. Their constituents have been 'limited in their ability to go outside … to spend time recreating, enjoying time with family and creating new memories,' the complaint reads. It makes no mention of the tens of thousands of Canadians forced to evacuate this year or those who have died. The signatories conveniently ignore the fact that smoke from the US side of the border regularly smothers those of us who live north of it. In fact, the complaint does not mention fires in the US at all, even though more than two million acres have burned so far this year, and Canadian firefighters have deployed to assist their US colleagues, just as US wildland firefighters have been helping in Canada. Given the MAGA credentials of the complainants, you may not be surprised to hear their complaint blames a 'lack of active forest management' (a nod to Donald Trump's weird conviction that countries like Finland rake their forests to remove fuel), admonishes Canada for not preventing arson and makes no mention of climate change whatsoever. It most certainly does not mention that the signatories just passed Trump's 'big beautiful bill' that will add an extra seven billion tonnes of fossil fuel pollution to the atmosphere over the next five years, compared to the Biden-era climate targets. The irony is what's suffocating — while MAGA lawmakers rage at the north for spoiling their barbecues, they're voting to supercharge the very crisis they refuse to name. The sharpest response to the US congresspeople came from Manitoba Premier Wab Kinew. He didn't mince words in his response. He called the GOP lawmakers 'ambulance chasers.' It had to be a joke, right? A group of MAGA lawmakers moaning about 'suffocating Canadian wildfire smoke' in a complaint fired off to Canada's ambassador to the US. Someone at The Beaverton or Walking Eagle News must have been feeling snarky. "This is what turns people off politics," Kinew said. "A group of congresspeople trying to trivialize and make hay out of a wildfire season where we've lost lives in our province." That group of congresspeople included Tom Emmer, the GOP's third-highest ranking member and majority whip in the House of Representatives. You might think he'd have been preoccupied over the long weekend — dealing with the horrendous floods that killed at least 120 people in Texas, sweeping away children at summer camp. In that situation, too, politicians and officials are contorting themselves to avoid acknowledging the obvious fact that catastrophes are hitting harder and more frequently. Terms like a one-hundred-year flood or one-thousand-year flood have become meaningless (the US has just been rocked by four one-in-1,000-year storms in less than a week). In Texas, the rain bomb struck at night. In about 45 minutes, the Guadalupe River surged from a stream you could wade across to a torrent two-storeys high. At its crest, more water was churning down the Guadalupe than the average flow rate over Niagara Falls. Yes, we can say climate change did this Governments should be ready for "more, bigger, extreme events," said Andrew Dessler, director of the Texas Center for Extreme Weather at Texas A&M. Ever-bigger floods are 'exactly what the future is going to hold.' Other climate scientists described the Texas floods as 'precisely' the kind of disaster being supercharged by global heating. 'This kind of record-shattering rain (caused by slow-moving torrential thunderstorms) event is *precisely* that which is increasing the fastest in a warming climate. So it's not a question of whether climate change played a role — it's only a question of how much,' said Daniel Swain. That last point is a key one. Far too much coverage of fire, flood and extreme weather still operates on the old trope that you can't attribute any particular event to climate change. But, scientists like Dessler emphasize that 'the role of climate change is like steroids for the weather — it injects an extra dose of intensity.' 'We have added a lot of carbon to the atmosphere, and that extra carbon traps energy in the climate system,' Dessler wrote after the tragedies in Texas. 'Because of this extra energy, every weather event we see now carries some influence from climate change. The only question is how big that influence is.' 'Measuring the exact size takes careful attribution studies, but basic physics already tells us the direction: climate change very likely made this event stronger.' The first attribution studies have already been published. These rapid response analyses don't have time to undergo peer-review and instead apply peer-reviewed methodologies to the conditions for a specific event. EU-based ClimaMeter has released just such a rapid-response study which concluded that the heavy rain that caused the floods in Texas 'cannot be explained alone by natural variability and points to human-caused climate change as one of the main drivers of the event.' Davide Faranda of ClimaMeter summarized the organization's findings: The flash flood that tore through Camp Mystic at night, when people were most vulnerable, shows the deadly cost of underestimating this shift. We need to rethink early-warning systems, land-use planning, and emergency preparedness. And above all, we must reduce greenhouse gas emissions to limit future risks.' The basic pattern is that hotter air can hold more water vapour. And warmer oceans evaporate more water into the atmosphere. The rain bomb in Texas resulted from a tropical storm fuelled by an overheated Gulf of Mexico. The US-based organization Climate Central calculated that these unnatural early-July sea surface temperatures were made 10 to 30 times more likely by climate change. Fossil-fuels triple heat deaths As heart-breaking as the US floods have been, the death toll is many times lower than attribution studies are finding for heat waves. The early attribution studies are now rolling in for the heat wave that has been searing Europe. And for the first time, scientists are now taking the step of estimating the number of deaths linked to climate change. About 1,500 people died because of supercharged heat in just 10 days, across 12 cities, according to the team of scientists led by Imperial College London and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. The researchers found that 65 per cent of the estimated heat deaths resulted from the extra heat caused by climate change, 'meaning the death toll was tripled due to the burning of fossil fuels.' The science is not subtle: fossil fuel pollution is killing people. The question is no longer if climate change is making disasters worse — it's how many lives it's already taken. When scientists can now calculate the number of deaths resulting from human-caused heating, we're witnessing the emergence of a macabre new metric: bodies per barrel. This isn't hyperbole, it's attribution science. The same methodology that can trace Texas floods to an overheated Gulf of Mexico can now count the bodies piling up from burning fossil fuels. And while the MAGA lawmakers may be insufferable, the deeper truth is harder to face: that same macabre math applies across the board, and border. The metric isn't confined to one political party or one country. In Canada, politicians continue to propose and celebrate new fossil fuel infrastructure, from LNG export terminals to new pipelines, gas networks to gas-guzzling vehicles. We can pretend to look away from the gruesome side of the ledger, but the bodies keep piling up.


National Observer
an hour ago
- National Observer
Canadian far right repeats Trump-fuelled conspiracy theories on wildfires
Trump-aligned congresspeople aren't spreading wildfire disinformation in a vacuum; American social media giants are enabling a haze of conspiracy theories and misinformation about the wildfires ravaging Canadian forests, and are disguising the fossil fuel industry's role in the crisis, researchers have found. "The real worrisome trend for Canadians is the export of insane conspiracy theories from American politicians," said Micheal Khoo, policy and development co-director at Climate Action Against Disinformation, the group behind the research. Between April 21 and June 20, seven conservative media content creators, influencers and think-tanks reached millions of users on social media with misleading information about the fires. They are Rebel News, The Daily Skeptic, Bjorn Lomberg, Jasmin Laine, Marc Nixon, The Fraser Institute and the Heritage Foundation. The misleading and false information was particularly prolific on X (formerly Twitter), owned by Trump's far-right financier Elon Musk. The posts promoted numerous conspiracy theories — asserting the fires were primarily caused by arson; that the government failed to adequately deploy firefighting resources, sometimes for nefarious purposes; that governments are using wildfires to push a "radical green-agenda," and that Canada is using fires to harm the US. In fact, arson is responsible for a tiny fraction of wildfires. Industrial forestry practices, like monocultures and historic fire suppression, are part of the problem, but climate change is exacerbating their impact by making hotter, drier conditions more common. There is no evidence any Canadian government is attempting to use wildfires to push a green agenda or harm Americans. That hasn't stopped far-right American politicians from turning some of these conspiracies into political theatre. Trump-aligned congresspeople aren't spreading wildfire disinformation in a vacuum; American social media giants are enabling a haze of conspiracy theories and misinformation about the wildfires ravaging Canada's forests. Last week, six Trump-allied House Representatives sent a letter to Kirsten Hillman, Canada's ambassador in Washington, asking the country to stop smoke from wildfires from drifting south so Americans can "spend time outdoors recreating, enjoying time with family, and creating new memories." Communities across the northern Prairie provinces and Ontario have been consumed by wildfires in recent months, forcing thousands to evacuate and leaving two people dead in Lac du Bonnet, Manitoba. "This is what turns people off politics," said Wab Kinew, the Manitoba premier in an interview with CBC. "When you've got a group of congresspeople trying to trivialize and make hay out of a wildfire season where we've lost lives in our province." The group laid blame for the "worrisome trend" on "a lack of active forest management" and arson. Four of the signatories — Tom Emmer, Tom Tiffany, Pete Stauber and Brad Finstad — have received at least $408,068 in campaign donations from fossil fuel-linked groups since 2020. "The real arsonists are the ones trying to burn down the truth about extreme weather — and that it's made worse by the burning of fossil fuels," said Khoo. He isn't surprised to see that wildfires and other extreme weather events are frequently targeted with misinformation by conservative commentators, who are often financially linked to the oil and gas sector. These disasters are the clearest examples of climate science being proven right and people being harmed, making them a clear target for far-right disinformation. The glut of conspiracy theories about the fires has roots in a decades-old effort by the fossil fuel industry to sow doubt about climate change. For years, industry-funded advertising campaigns, lobbying efforts, academic positions and think-tanks have worked to sway public opinion on the problem it was knowingly creating. Once those ideas are out in the world, conspiracy theorists and influencers have adopted and adapted them, wrapping them into MAGA-style conservatism that helps undermine people's belief in the links between climate change and fires, he said. "This is deep, long-term and incredibly well-funded, and it's got a proven set of networks," explained Khoo. "The industry has been successful moving it into another social movement that just looks for opportunism to say the things that fossil fuel companies would never say — I don't think [former Exxon CEO and former Trump-appointed Secretary of State] Rex Tillerson would have ever said that your space lasers are causing the hurricane, or whatever other conspiracies." Still, this haze of half-truths couldn't spread without the help of social media platforms like X that consistently let climate misinformation spread unhindered. The researchers singled out those companies' moderation efforts — or lack of moderation — as key drivers of the problem, and called on the Canadian government to force them to clean up their act. In the same way Canadian regulators enforce safety rules on products like airplanes or foods, the government can force tech companies to meet certain safety standards. That might be tricky with Trump — earlier this month, federal officials were forced to back down on a proposed digital services tax after the US president threatened to halt trade negotiations with Canada — but Khoo emphasized that stronger rules are essential to sustaining support for climate action, and are supported by the EU and other countries.


National Observer
an hour ago
- National Observer
Alberta won't increase oil sands monitoring funds to keep pace with industry expansion, inflation
Indigenous representatives of an oilsands monitoring program say Alberta won't increase funding to keep pace with oilsands expansion and inflation — and the shortfall risks compromising monitoring work, according to a letter obtained by Canada's National Observer. The joint oilsands monitoring group, composed of industry, provincial, federal and Indigenous representatives, was created in 2013 to monitor the environmental impacts of oilsands development in Alberta. The budget for 2025 is $54.5 million, paid for by industry, but the monitoring program received requests for roughly $76 million worth of monitoring work plans, leaving roughly $21.5 million of work requests unfunded. On March 20, Indigenous representatives on the oversight committee wrote a letter to the provincial and federal co-chairs warning that the budget is not keeping up with inflation or monitoring demands created by oilsands expansion, and this will negatively impact the quality of work. The funding formula that requires industry to pay up to $50 million annually for the program was developed in 2013 collaboratively by the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers and the Alberta government. Accounting for inflation, what cost $50 million in 2013 should now cost about $66.5 million, the letter signatories write; 'Thus, the overall purchasing power of oilsands monitoring has shrunk roughly 25 per cent, while the oil sands industry has nearly doubled in size.' The signatories added that this runs contrary to the polluter-pays principle. This principle in Canadian law says companies or people that pollute are responsible to pay the costs they impose on society to protect the public from the cost of pollution, for example, oil spill cleanup and lasting impacts. In 2018, royalty revenues were $3.2 billion. In 2023, that number reached a staggering $16.9 billion, according to the letter. 'Arbitrary cuts to monitoring programs, such as the proposed major reductions in wetlands and biodiversity, put the effectiveness of the monitoring at risk,' according to the letter. Why the oilsands needs monitoring The Indigenous representatives pushed to prioritize fully funding community-based monitoring programs and core monitoring programs which meant cuts to other important programs. 'Arbitrary cuts to monitoring programs, such as the proposed major reductions in wetlands and biodiversity, put the effectiveness of the monitoring at risk,' according to the letter. 'For severely compromised programs, we would rather that no monitoring occur instead of poor monitoring. Poor monitoring does not provide any value to the communities, nor to the public, but instead provides a veneer of having addressed concerns in these areas.' Ryan Fournier, press secretary for Alberta Minister Environment and Protected Areas Rebecca Schulz, said it is 'misleading' to describe it as programming cuts because the request for $73 million in funding encompassed '53 different work plans, including requests that are duplicative, overlapping or even potentially conflicting.' Fournier did not provide specific examples of duplicative or conflicting work plans. There is a $3 million discrepancy between the amount of requested funding Alberta provided and the figure cited in the letter. When asked to respond to the fact that both inflation and oilsands expansion are outpacing the available funding, Fournier said the oil sands monitoring program 'is the biggest program of its kind in the world,' and said its budget 'has risen over $5 million since 2022, and has the funding needed to continue delivering for Albertans.' According to Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) spokesperson Hannah Boonstra, the funding was increased by $4.5 million this year "to utilize surplus funds accumulated from underspending in previous years.' The historic underspending is due to a range of factors, including COVID-19 and associated slowdowns on work plan approval, hiring and contracting delays, overestimating costs, consolidating work, approval delays and more, according to the annual reports. ECCC and Alberta Environment and Protected Areas co-chair the oil sands monitoring program but the federal government was in caretaker mode for the 2025 election and did not sign off on the final annual monitoring plan to avoid delays, Boonstra's statement noted. 'Since the Government of Alberta is financially accountable for the program, the province approves the financial elements of the monitoring plan,' Boonstra said. Last year, nearly $540,000 went to Cold Lake First Nation for community-based monitoring to examine how the oilsands industry is impacting a variety of factors, including water quality, berry abundance, fisheries health, muskrats and pitcher plants, to name a few. Interest in community-based monitoring like this is growing, the letter noted, and 'as new communities are onboarded, this forces us to choose between existing Western science initiatives and the needs of Indigenous communities.' This interest will likely keep growing while funding remains stagnant and 'we cannot offer a path forward for those programs and encourage communities to submit proposals, but then largely ignore the requests,' the letter reads.