These corners of the market will be the top performers of the S&P 500 for the rest of 2025, Wells Fargo says
In Wells Fargo's midyear outlook conference on Tuesday, chief investment officer Darell Cronk and other strategists shared their outlook for the rest of 2025. Wells Fargo has a 6,100 year-end price target for the S&P 500. With the index closing Tuesday at 6,038, just 2% away from all-time highs, the bank sees room for volatility between now and December.
Investors looking to bolster their portfolios against tariff shocks and other economic challenges should look to these areas of the market for protection, the bank recommended.
Financials
Investors might be wishing for rate cuts, but in the meantime, the financials sector is benefitting from elevated borrowing costs. Financials have been a classic beneficiary of the Trump trade, as the president has been pro-deregulation.
Sameer Samana, senior global market strategist, pointed to a steepening yield curve and robust loan growth as tailwinds for banks.
Wells Fargo is bullish on the transactions and payment processing subsector, as these companies have high margins and cash flow generation.
Aerospace and defense
The best-performing sector of the S&P 500 year-to-date is industrials, and Wells Fargo expects the corner of the market to continue its outperformance.
Specifically within industrials, Tracie McMillion, the bank's head of global asset allocation strategy, likes aerospace and defense companies.
"Aerospace and defense are areas where we think there could actually be a benefit to geopolitical uncertainties," McMillion said.
These companies tend to have low exposure to tariffs and economic growth concerns. Exposure to these companies can help investors hedge geopolitical risk from not only the trade war but also regional conflicts in Eastern Europe and the Middle East.
It's a trade that's worked so far, as the software company Palantir is one of the market's best-performing stocks, having risen 76% this year in large part due to its lucrative government defense contracts.
Energy and utilities
McMillion recommends reducing exposure to cyclical consumer discretionary stocks and favoring more defensive, domestic-oriented sectors such as energy and utilities. These companies can also provide a hedge against inflation thanks to their ties to real assets like oil.
Midstream energy, electric utilities, and renewable energy companies "operate some of the most difficult-to-replicate assets on the planet, including interstate pipelines and nuclear power plants," giving them a competitive advantage, the bank wrote in its midyear outlook report.
Utilities companies are also positioned to benefit from increased energy demand from AI technologies and data centers, the bank said.
Technology
Technology continues to be a stock market winner. Wells Fargo likes the information technology and communication services sectors for their high-quality companies and pricing power.
"We would continue to focus on large caps and mid-caps," Cronk said. "We think they have enough scale to try and pass along pricing with respect to tariffs, and they have better balance sheets."
Big Tech dominates the ranks of the market's largest companies, making them a safe choice for investors looking to seek refuge in US large cap equities.
"Those should be candidates for purchase on any pullbacks in the markets," McMillion said of those sectors.
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CNBC
26 minutes ago
- CNBC
How this week's avalanche of news from Washington to Wall Street kept investors guessing
It was a dizzying week on Wall Street. The S & P 500 closed this past Monday at a record high and then went on a four-session losing streak. Friday was particularly unsettling as terrible jobs data slammed the market and triggered President Donald Trump . Trump started the day by slamming Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell for not cutting interest rates on Wednesday. He accused the Fed of cutting rates at the end of last year to help elect Kamala Harris. Later in the day , the president used similar reasoning when firing the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which puts out the employment report. Trump accused BLS Commissioner Erika McEntarfer, a Biden appointee, of negatively manipulating the numbers during his presidency and inflating them before Election Day to help Harris. Also on Friday afternoon, Fed Governor Adriana Kugler resigned . The Biden appointee didn't give a reason. As if all that were not enough, just before his self-imposed Aug. 1 deadline, Trump set new "reciprocal" tariff rates to go into effect on Aug. 7. The president also on Friday ordered two nuclear submarines "to be positioned in the appropriate regions" after a warning to the U.S. from Russian official Dmitry Medvedev. On Monday, Medvedev said that "each new ultimatum" about the Ukraine conflict is a "threat and a step towards war" between Russia and the U.S. .SPX .IXIC 5D mountain S & P 500 and Nasdaq performance this week It was no wonder the S & P 500 lost more than 1.5% on Friday, in a session even further pressured by a drop in tech stocks following Amazon 's post-earnings stock decline of more than 8%. For the week, the broad market index lost nearly 1%, ending a two-week win streak. The tech-heavy Nasdaq was the big loser Friday, dropping more than 2.2% on the session and more than 2% for the week. It, too, snapped two straight weekly gains. As bad as the calendar page turn to August was on Friday, the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq wrapped July on Thursday with gains of 2.2% and 3.7%, respectively. The S & P 500 completed a three-month winning streak, while the Nasdaq extended its monthly run to four straight. It was certainly a busy week, jam-packed with macroeconomic updates, trade negotiations, a Fed rate decision — and, of course, an earnings onslaught, with four of the Magnificent Seven reporting. Trump trade The week started out with the U.S. on Sunday striking a trade deal with the European Union. South Korea slipped in under the wire before the president's Friday deadline. Both trade partners are now subject to a 15% tariff on exports to the U.S., down from the respective 30% and 25% rates in place prior to the agreements. The deal with the EU will also see the trading bloc purchase $750 billion in U.S. energy, while investing an additional $600 billion into the U.S. The deal with South Korea included an agreement for $350 billion in U.S. investments. Negotiations with China remain ongoing, with the tariff deadline being pushed to Aug. 12. Mexico was granted a 90-day extension of current 25% rates following a discussion with Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum. Canada, however, was slapped with a 35% tariff rate . As for the trade partners that have yet to strike a deal, new rates were announced last Thursday evening and are set to take effect this coming Thursday. Weak jobs Just hours after the new tariff rates were announced, the Friday jobs report was released. The July nonfarm payroll growth of 73,000 positions fell way short of the 100,000 additions economists had expected. Worse yet, the June and May readings were both revised significantly lower for a combined 258,000 less jobs than originally reported for those two months. All of that, besides setting Trump off, put a September rate cut back on the table, according to the CME FedWatch tool. The market odds of a cut flipped from about 38% on Thursday to nearly 83% on Friday. Shortly after the weak jobs report, Jim Cramer said that while he has been a big backer of Powell, this number says: "You didn't need to wait" to cut rates. Warmer inflation The day after the Fed held rates steady, the central bank's preferred measure of inflation — the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index — was released Thursday morning. Both the headline PCE reading, as well as the core rate excluding food and energy prices, came in one-tenth hotter than expected on a year over year basis, seemingly supportive of the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged. However, the negative jobs data clouds the picture a bit and will force the Fed to weigh the importance of both parts of its dual mandate — maintaining price stability, around their target 2% inflation rate, and fostering maximum employment. The former currently requires more restrictive or higher rates, given that inflation remains above target, while the latter points to less restrictive or lower rates, because central bankers don't want to see any material increases in joblessness. Economic growth Part of the rationale for holding rates steady came from a strong advance second quarter reading on the economy, which was released Wednesday morning just hours before the Fed's July meeting wrapped up. The seasonally adjusted annual GDP growth rate of 3% was much better than the 2.3% advance that was expected. While the economy managed to chug along during the April to June period, despite all the fear and uncertainty caused by trade disputes, it's already August. The GDP is a backwards looking data set. That's why more weight is put on the monthly updates noted above, relating to inflation and the labor market — and of course, the most real-time source of data we can get, earnings. Club earnings So, with that, let's take a look at how earnings went this week for the Club. We heard from Starbucks on Tuesday evening, Meta Platforms and Microsoft on Wednesday evening, Bristol Myers Squibb on Thursday morning, Amazon and Apple on Thursday evening, and Linde on Friday morning. Starbucks : Though the coffee giant reported mixed quarterly results, we heard enough positives to confirm that CEO Brian Niccol's turnaround remains firmly on track. Meta Platforms : The social media powerhouse delivered an absolute blow out quarter, with the only thing better than the results being the guidance. Bristol Myers : The drugmaker delivered a solid quarterly beat and outlook raise. However, with the Cobenfy narrative — at the core of our investment thesis— going from being pretty straightforward to a show-me story, investors aren't giving the company the benefit of the doubt. We trimmed our price target following the release. There are also the added questions marks around Trump push this week for lower prescription prices from Bristol and 16 other major drugmakers, including Club name Eli Lilly, which reports earnings next week. The threat of sector-specific pharma tariffs remains in play. Amazon : Overall the tech giant reported a solid quarter. However, shares sold off as investors took issue with Amazon Web Services (AWS) failing to deliver the same type of cloud revenue upside as rivals Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud. Operating income guidance for the current quarter was also a bit lower than expected, though that has historically proven conservative. Ultimately, we think the concerns are overblown and think the pullback represents a buying opportunity . Apple : The iPhone maker reported a very respectable quarter. However, when taking into account the price action of the stock this year alongside the reaction to the results, it's clear that investors are not ready to give management much credit until they deliver more clarity about the company's AI strategy. It was encouraging to hear CEO Tim Cook say he's open to M & A to help with that. Linde : The industrial gas stalwart delivered solid quarterly results in a difficult operating environment, demonstrating the company's resiliency no matter the backdrop. Moreover, management raised the low end of its full-year earnings guidance, despite noting that the high end of the range already assumes an economic contraction. It's another important week of corporate earnings ahead, with about a quarter of S & P 500 companies set to report. Six companies in the Club portfolio are on the docket: Coterra Energy , DuPont , Eaton , Disney , Eli Lilly , and Texas Roadhouse . Week in trades It was also a busy week of trades for the portfolio. Kicking off the week, we added to our positions in Cisco Systems and Honeywell . That was followed up by a small trim of Eaton as the stock hit new high. On Tuesday, we locked in a nice profit on Eli Lilly following disappointing news from Novo Nordisk , its main competitor in the GLP-1 market. We also trimmed our position in Wells Fargo as shares finally recovered from their post-earnings decline. On Wednesday, we added to our position in Dover and called out that we would also be adding to our stakes in Starbucks and Palo Alto Networks , we were not restricted. We'll be keeping a close eye on both in the week to come for an opportunity to step in. Palo Alto finished the week down nearly 15% on a four-session losing streak after reports of talks and its confirmation of a $25 billion deal to buy CyberArk were not well received by investors. We, however, feel that bundling CybarArk's identity security platform will accelerate Palo Alto's platformization strategy. Rounding out the week , on Thursday, we cut our position in Abbott , in line with prior commentary in which we highlighted our concerns about the company's exposure to China. We took the raised capital and redeployed it in Capital One Financial as the move we were seeing in the stock didn't reflect the fundamentals we saw when it reported second quarter earnings. (See here for a full list of the stocks in Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.


Miami Herald
an hour ago
- Miami Herald
Analysts revamp Meta price target after earnings
Meta Platforms (META) delivered a solid performance with its second-quarter earnings, prompting an analyst to raise both its revenue and earnings estimates for the parent company of Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp. The company's strong financial results and outlook for the third quarter reflect the significant potential of its investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and its growing strength in the digital advertising sector. As a result, Bank of America (BofA) Global Research analysts Justin Post and Nitin Bansal just significantly raised their firm's stock price target on Meta. Don't miss the move: Subscribe to TheStreet's free daily newsletter Meta's second-quarter revenue of $47.5 billion handily exceeded Wall Street's consensus estimate of $44.8 billion, driven by a two-point constant-currency acceleration in advertising revenue growth to 22%. Meta's GAAP operating income of $25.7 billion and earnings of $7.14 per share also each exceeded analysts' expectations of $17.1 billion and $5.89 per share, respectively. Looking ahead to the third quarter, the analysts noted that guidance suggests higher AI investment spending, albeit supported by continued strong revenue growth as compared to Meta's peers, with projected revenue ranging between $47.5 billion and $50.5 billion (up 17% to 24% year over year). The high end of that range suggests a further 1% acceleration in constant-currency growth, fueled by an increase in user engagement, thanks to a combination of AI-driven content suggestions and an improvement in ad conversion rates. Related: The alarming reason so many tech companies are raising cash Meta's substantial investment in AI has proven to be a key factor behind its success in driving both user engagement and advertising revenue higher. Indeed, recent posts from Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg revealed plans to significantly ramp up AI spending, and guidance indicates an increase to Meta's planned capital expenditures by $30 billion in 2026. A large portion of those investments will be directed toward AI personnel and infrastructure, the company says, as part of Meta's overarching strategy to build advanced "superintelligent" AI systems that have the ability to self-improve over time. Meta's AI advancements are expected to open new revenue streams, including content creation, AI assistants, and even AI-powered devices. However, risk remains in that if those AI investments fail to drive continued revenue acceleration over the next several quarters, there could be a slowdown in margin and EPS growth in 2026 that could negatively impact investor sentiment and cause valuation multiples to contract. More AI Stocks: Google plans major AI shift after Meta's surprising $14 billion moveMeta delivers eye-popping AI announcementVeteran trader surprises with Palantir price target and comments For 2025, BofA increased its revenue estimates for Meta by 5% to $199 billion, and its EPS estimate by 11% to $29.73. Looking further ahead to 2026, it now anticipates Meta to deliver revenue of $237 billion, an increase of 9% from BoA's previous models, with earnings of $32.63 per share, a 12% increase over previous estimates. As such, BofA reiterated its buy rating and raised its per-share price target on Meta to $900 from $775 - with shares closing the week at just over $750 - representing an expanded 27x multiple of 2026 earnings per share (up from 26x previously). Meta continues to be viewed as one of the top beneficiaries of the budding AI industry, particularly given its commanding leadership within the digital advertising space. The company's AI-driven ad engine is proving to be a durable and profitable asset, with the potential to continue to drive meaningful future revenue growth. New advertising capabilities, including integrations within Meta's AI ad stack and platforms like Threads and WhatsApp, are widely expected to further bolster the company's position in the market. Related: Morgan Stanley revamps IBM stock forecast for 2026 after earnings The Arena Media Brands, LLC THESTREET is a registered trademark of TheStreet, Inc.


USA Today
an hour ago
- USA Today
XRP is the smartest cryptocurrency to buy with $500 right now
XRP is demonstrating its long-term growth potential. Nowadays, $500 doesn't feel like much — especially if you invest it in the S&P 500 index, where you can expect to make an average annual return of 10% (assuming historical trends remain constant). That's just $50 per year. However, the cryptocurrency industry offers the potential for significantly larger gains than traditional asset classes, like stocks or bonds, for investors who are willing to tolerate more volatility. Below I'll explore why the payments-focused token digital XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) might make an excellent long-term pick as it racks up regulatory wins in the U.S. and seeks to disrupt the market for international transactions. The regulatory climate is easing Donald Trump's presidential election victory sparked a sharp rally in many cryptocurrencies, and it isn't hard to understand why Wall Street is so optimistic. On the campaign trail, he promised to support the digital asset industry and, so far, his administration is meeting or even exceeding expectations with a raft of newly passed legislation. On July 18, Trump signed the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins (Genius) Act, which is designed to create a framework for issuing dollar-pegged stablecoins. On its face, this law helps legitimize cryptocurrency as a mainstream asset class, which will encourage businesses and institutional investors to get more involved without the fear of potentially breaking any rules. The Genius Act is a departure from the climate under the previous administration, when lawsuits and enforcement stifled crypto adoption. XRP's developer, Ripple Labs, was affected by this legal uncertainty. In 2021, Ripple lost its partnership with one of its highest-profile clients, MoneyGram, which stopped using its XRP-based liquidity solutions after Ripple was sued by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) over alleged securities law violations. The case has now been largely resolved with XRP not classified as a security when sold to retail investors, although there are still discussions about settling fines related to Ripple's sales of XRP to institutional investors. The path to real-world utility XRP's main selling point is its focus on real-world utility. Instead of trying to be a platform for highly speculative and often useless decentralized applications (dApps), XRP focuses on the more tangible market for international payments. Its speed and low fees (0.00001 XRP per transaction) make it an ideal bridge between different currencies. For example, if someone in the U.S. wanted to send money to Japan, they could buy XRP with dollars and use that XRP to buy Japanese yen, bypassing slow and potentially costly intermediaries. Dollar-pegged stablecoins promise to make this process even easier by removing the volatility inherent in a free-floating bridge currency like XRP. Instead of allowing its niche to be disrupted, XRP's developers are joining the fray. In 2024, they launched a dollar-pegged stablecoin of their own called RLUSD. Consumer use of RLUSD can indirectly benefit XRP because both tokens are built on the same network. RLUSD transaction fees are paid with XRP, which is then removed from circulation (burned). Is it too late to buy XRP? Despite its relatively small unit price of just $3.15 at the time of this writing, XRP is the third-largest cryptocurrency, with a market cap of $187 billion. While this vast size gives it more brand recognition and stability, it also means that investors shouldn't expect a repeat of the explosive returns XRP enjoyed in the past. That said, slow and steady often wins the race. XRP has graduated from the boom and bust volatility of a meme coin, and investors should focus on its long-term growth potential as it benefits from easing regulatory pressure and compelling real-world use cases. Will Ebiefung has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends XRP. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. The Motley Fool is a USA TODAY content partner offering financial news, analysis and commentary designed to help people take control of their financial lives. Its content is produced independently of USA TODAY. Should you invest $1,000 in XRP right now? 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