logo
Stocks set another record and yields leap on signals the U.S. economy is solid

Stocks set another record and yields leap on signals the U.S. economy is solid

Los Angeles Times14 hours ago
U.S. stocks climbed further into record heights on Thursday after a report showed the U.S. job market looks stronger than Wall Street expected.
The S&P 500 rose 0.8% and set an all-time high for the fourth time in five days. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 344 points, or 0.8%, and the Nasdaq composite gained 1%.
The market's gains were widespread, and companies whose profits can get the biggest boosts when workers are feeling confident helped lead the way. Expedia climbed 3.2%, and Norwegian Cruise Line steamed 2.9% higher.
Bank stocks were also strong, with Citigroup up 2.3%, and JPMorgan Chase up 1.9%.
The reaction was bigger in the bond market following the report from the U.S. government, which said employers added 147,000 more jobs to their payrolls last month than they cut. The unexpected acceleration in hiring signals the U.S. job market is holding up despite worries about how President Donald Trump's tariffs may hurt the economy and inflation.
'There is nothing to complain about here,' according to Carl Weinberg, chief economist at High Frequency Economics. 'You cannot find any evidence of a nascent recession in these figures.'
A separate report, meanwhile, said fewer U.S. workers applied for unemployment benefits last week, an indication of easing layoffs.
Yields jumped in the bond market as investors bet the better-than-expected data could keep the Federal Reserve on hold when it comes to interest rates, instead of cutting them like Trump has loudly been calling for.
Traders in the futures market now see less than a 5% chance that the Fed could cut its main interest rate at its next meeting later this month. That's down sharply from the nearly 24% chance they saw just a day earlier, according to data from CME Group.
The Fed's chair, Jerome Powell, has been insisting that he wants to wait and see how Trump's tariffs affect the economy and inflation before making its next move. While lower rates give a boost to the economy by making it easier to borrow money, they can also give inflation more fuel. And that could be dangerous if Trump's tariffs are about to send inflation higher.
Many of Trump's stiff proposed taxes on imports are currently on pause, but they're scheduled to kick in next week unless Trump reaches deals with other countries to lower them.
Many U.S. companies in the services industries are still saying they're concerned about the impacts of tariffs, even if they returned to growth last month following May's contraction, according to the most recent survey by the Institute for Supply Management.
'Increased cost from tariffs and the potential for tariffs is impacting cost increases,' one company in the agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting industry said in the survey.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose to 4.34% from 4.30% late Wednesday. The two-year Treasury yield, which moves more closely with expectations for the Fed, jumped even more. It climbed to 3.88% from 3.78%.
On Wall Street, Datadog rallied 14.9% after learning that its stock will join the widely followed S&P 500 index before trading begins on Wednesday. Many managers of funds either directly mimic or at least compare themselves against the S&P 500, which drives investment into any stock that joins the index.
Datadog will replace Juniper Networks, which combined with Hewlett Packard Enterprise in a merger.
On the losing side of Wall Street were companies that can feel pain from interest rates staying high.
Homebuilders would like rates to fall in order to make mortgages cheaper to get, for example, and Lennar sank 4.1%, while D.R. Horton dropped 2.7%.
All told, the S&P 500 rose 51.93 points to 6,279.35. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 344.11 to 44,828.53, and the Nasdaq composite climbed 207.97 to 20,601.10.
In stock markets abroad, indexes rose across much of Europe and Asia. South Korea's Kospi climbed 1.3%, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 0.6% for two of the bigger moves.
Choe writes for the Associated Press.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

France's Industry Minister Says 10% Tariffs Not Good Deal for EU
France's Industry Minister Says 10% Tariffs Not Good Deal for EU

Bloomberg

time14 minutes ago

  • Bloomberg

France's Industry Minister Says 10% Tariffs Not Good Deal for EU

French Industry Minister Marc Ferracci said agreeing to 10% tariffs on European exports to the US would be a bad deal, signaling disapproval of a potential compromise with Washington. The European Union has until July 9 to clinch a trade arrangement with Donald Trump before tariffs on nearly all exports to the US jump to 50%. Some members of the bloc are willing to accept a deal that includes keeping a 10% universal tariff on many of the bloc's exports, but with lower rates in certain sectors, Bloomberg reported earlier.

America's tariff-driven buying spree leaves households saddled with debt and financially vulnerable
America's tariff-driven buying spree leaves households saddled with debt and financially vulnerable

CNN

time22 minutes ago

  • CNN

America's tariff-driven buying spree leaves households saddled with debt and financially vulnerable

Washington CNN — Linda Wilburn, a 62-year-old retiree in Susanville, California, did not plan to buy a car this year. She originally wanted to save up, build her credit and buy a used car next year — a necessary purchase, she said. But President Donald Trump's tumultuous trade war drove her to buy a car this past April, fearing higher prices if she waited any longer. Now Wilburn has a $607 monthly car payment coming out of her $1,600 Social Security check, which she said is her only source of income. 'Things are so tight right now,' Wilburn told CNN. 'But the car was a necessity because of my oldest son's medical appointments.' As Trump waged a global trade war this past spring, many Americans raced to make major purchases — cars, electronics and furniture — trying to beat any potential price hikes caused by tariffs. That spending spree has left many with new debt and could weigh on consumer spending, which powers the US economy, in the months ahead. Retail sales surged in March as consumers drove up car sales, spurred on by tariffs targeting imported cars and auto parts, which went into effect in April and May, respectively. But those numbers have weakened since then, according to Commerce Department data, declining 0.9% in May in the steepest monthly decline in two years. Meanwhile, US household debt reached $18.2 trillion in the first three months of the year, a record high on data going back to 2004, as delinquencies marched higher, according to data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. For families like Wilburn's, the spring's spending spree was a gamble against uncertainty —a bet that may now require years of careful budgeting to manage. 'Once I get everything level again, hopefully it will get easier, but I don't know,' Wilburn said. 'Now we can't really do anything for our enjoyment, like buy bird food for all the birds in the backyard.' Cutting back on spending Americans who are now saddled with new debt may pull back on their purchases. Economists say 'discretionary spending' — purchases that are not necessary for one's survival — is usually first on the chopping block. That includes eating out and traveling for leisure. A Bankrate survey of consumers' plans for discretionary spending showed that 54% of US adults said they expect to spend less on travel, dining out or entertainment this year, up from 49% who said the same last year. In May, retail spending at restaurants and bars fell 0.9%, the Commerce Department said, the first monthly decline since February and the steepest one since February 2023. Annika Wheelock, 28, and her family used a loan and a home equity line of credit to accelerate spending on more than $137,000 in purchases — including a new car, computers, a refrigerator and home repairs – to avoid any sticker shock from Trump's tariffs. With her husband returning to school this fall and their retirement contributions slashed, Wheelock, who works as a nurse, says her family is now living paycheck to paycheck. 'After making all these purchases, we're hunkering down and not planning on spending that much money, like we're not planning on going out and putting money back into the economy anytime soon,' she said. In March, a CreditKarma survey of more than 2,000 US adults showed that 51% of them said they changed their spending behavior in anticipation of Trump's tariffs, with 18% specifically saying the pulled forward major purchases. Feeling financially vulnerable as tariff-induced inflation looms Trump's tariffs are widely expected to eventually weigh on Americans through higher inflation, even those who front-loaded their big-ticket purchases. That means consumers who took part in the spring spending spree are left even more financially vulnerable. Henry Tuason, a 52-year-old school photographer from Los Angeles, said he spent nearly $50,000 earlier this year on a new laptop, television and a $45,000 Hyundai Tucson Hybrid to get ahead of the tariffs' impact. He said he's been on edge these days, worried his family could suddenly deal with an unexpected hardship. 'One day, when I went to go pick (my wife) up from work, people were driving very badly and I told her how picking her up is stressing me out because of this brand new car,' he said. 'She's gone back to taking the bus because to crash it prematurely would be very bad.' And it's not just being prepared for emergencies. If more Americans find themselves without a job or dealing with any financial hardship, that would further trigger a pullback in spending. 'Anytime you lose a job is bad, but it'd be much worse if me or my wife did nowadays, after everything we bought,' Tuason said. The unemployment rate remains at a low 4.2% for the third consecutive month in a row and employers are still demonstrating an appetite to hire. On Tuesday, the Labor Department reported that job openings unexpectedly rose in May to 7.7 million. However, entry-level hiring is down and Trump's chaotic trade war paralyzed some business decision-making. For now, Wall Street and economic policymakers are watching closely whether spending plummets after households stretched themselves to beat Trump's tariffs. 'As the tariffs kick in with price increases finally taking effect, that will be a hit to people's real income, their purchasing power, and because of that, you will see a slowing in consumer spending,' Jay Bryson, Wells Fargo's chief economist, told CNN. 'And that will also be because of that pull-forward in spending.'

UK home building returns to growth as demand lifts
UK home building returns to growth as demand lifts

Yahoo

time24 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

UK home building returns to growth as demand lifts

UK housebuilding activity returned to growth in June for the first time in nine months, as the downturn across the construction sector showed signs of easing, a new survey shows. But optimism among builders weakened as economic worries clouded the outlook for the future. The latest S&P Global construction purchasing managers' index (PMI) showed a reading of 48.8 last month, improving from 47.9 in May. Any reading above the 50 threshold indicates that activity in the industry is increasing while anything below means it is shrinking. The latest score indicates that construction activity contracted further in June, but the rate of decline was the slowest in six months. Housebuilding was the best-performing area of the industry last month, with residential activity returning to growth for the first time since September, albeit marginally. It follows a boost to the housing industry in recent months as first-time buyers raced to complete purchases before stamp duty relief was cut in April, and UK interest rates have been cut to the lowest level in two years. Furthermore, many large housebuilders have welcomed the Government reintroducing housing targets and taking steps to reform the planning system to reduce bottlenecks. It has also allocated £39 billion to social and affordable homes over the next decade. On the other hand, commercial work – such as offices, shops and warehouses – fell at the fastest pace in five years in June, according to S&P Global's survey. Construction firms attributed the decline to tougher economic conditions and businesses cutting back on investment plans. Civil engineering work also fell for the sixth month in a row and was the worst-performing part of the sector. Meanwhile, optimism among businesses sank to the lowest level in two-and-a-half years amid concerns that demand was waning and competition for new work was intensifying. This also helped drive more cutbacks to staffing among construction firms last month, the survey showed. Tim Moore, economics director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said: 'June data highlighted a sustained downturn in UK construction output, albeit at the slowest pace in six months. 'Shrinking workloads in the commercial and civil engineering segments weighed on total industry activity.' 'On a brighter note, housebuilding was the best-performing area of the construction sector,' he said, adding that residential work was boosted amid 'reports of more stable demand conditions'.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store