England vs Italy predictions: Women's Euro 2025 semi-final tips and odds

Telegraph

6 days ago

Our expert has three tips for the Women's Euro 2025 semi-final between England and Italy this evening (8pm BST kick-off). We expect goals to be on the cards in Geneva.
England vs Italy tips
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals @ 6/5 with bet365
Cristiana Girelli to have 2+ shots on target @ 6/4 with bet365
Over 3.5 Italy corners @ evens with bet365
Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
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Match details
What: Women's Euro 2025 semi-final
Where: Stade de Genève, Lancy, Switzerland
When: 8pm BST, Tuesday July 22
How to watch: ITV1
Expect an entertaining encounter
The Lionesses are one win away from a third consecutive major final but this last-four clash against the Italians could be eventful.
England have been far from infallible at Women's Euro 2025, losing 2-1 in their opener with France and trailing 2-0 against Sweden until the 79th minute in the quarter-finals before pulling it back to 2-2 and winning on penalties.
They struggled with the pace of the French and Swedish attacks – and Italy's quick transitions could also be a concern for Sarina Wiegman's side.
For that reason, I am reluctant to delve into the result betting and instead like the look of both teams to score and over 2.5 goals at 6/5.
Le Azzurre, a fun and positive team, have scored the opening goal in all four of their matches in this tournament, including in their group clash with Spain.
The Lionesses, meanwhile, have an enviable range of attacking options but have kept just one clean sheet in their four games.
Girelli can again lead Italian charge
Having impressed up top for Italy since her international debut in 2013, it had to be 35-year-old striker Cristiana Girelli who secured her nation's 2-1 win over Norway in the Women's Euro 2025 quarter-finals.
The Juventus forward scored twice in the second half of that fixture, including a 90th-minute winner, and she should again be oozing confidence at the forefront of the Italian attack in this game.
Girelli has plenty of creativity around her, including winger Barbara Bonansea and creative midfielder Manuela Giugliano, and she is worth a bet to manage 2+ shots on target at 6/4.
She is averaging 2.5 shots per game in this tournament and only Spain's Claudia Pina (nine) has managed more attempts on target than Girelli (seven), who has bagged three goals.
Corners line looks low for Le Azzurre
The corner markets have intrigued me when England are involved, but on this occasion it is Italy who make an appeal in this betting category.
Le Azzurre have attacked with pace and width at Euro 2025 with their players often hugging the touchlines, and that has produced 22 corners in the tournament – an average of 5.5 per game.
Their previous two matches have been against big guns Spain and Norway, but they still managed five and seven corners respectively in those contests – and they are a great bet to surpass a low corners line of 3.5 at evens with bet365.
England @ 1/2 with bet365
Draw @ 10/3 with bet365
Italy @ 5/1 with bet365
All odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.