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State-level inflation data for items likely in new CPI series

State-level inflation data for items likely in new CPI series

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Do mangoes cost more in Uttar Pradesh or in Maharashtra? How much more is a consumer in Assam paying for tomatoes than his or her counterpart in Andhra Pradesh.The statistics ministry is planning to release state-level inflation data for individual items in the new Consumer Price Index (CPI) series, along with rural and urban breakdowns at the national scale, a move that will allow experts to gain insights into price trends across different commodities in each state.While such data is used to compile the inflation index , it has not been available in the public domain.Currently, state-wise inflation data is available only at the sub-group level, such as vegetables, fruits and personal care. Item-specific figures within these categories are published at the all-India level."We are planning to provide item-level data by state, along with rural and urban breakdown at the national level, as recommended by the expert group and demanded by the RBI (Reserve Bank of India) too," the official said. The exercise is part of the ministry's initiative to enhance transparency in data by disseminating granular level data in the public domain.The revamped Consumer Price Index series will be released in the first quarter of 2026, with 2024 as the new base year. The revised item weights will be drawn from the HCES 2023-24. At present, the base year is 2012.In May, retail inflation slowed to a 75-month low of 2.8%, helped by a decline in food prices.Out of 36 states and union territories, 19 reported higher inflation than the national average. Goa reported the highest rate at 6.8%, followed by Kerala (6.5%), Lakshadweep (6.2%), Punjab (5.2%), and Daman & Diu and Jammu & Kashmir (4.6% each). Official figures for June will be released on July 14.Cost of consumer services, such as telephone bills (mobile and landline), water charges, washerman and barber fees, legal expenses, and plumbing charges are also likely to be included in the new series. The aim is to enhance coverage of services data, the official said. "If the items have a significant weight, we will include it."According to the Household Consumption Expenditure Survey (HCES) 2023-24, consumer services excluding conveyance accounted for 5.3% of the average monthly per capita consumption expenditure in rural areas and 5.7% in urban areas.
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Rupee bond binge by Indian firms poised to slow after record run
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Rupee bond binge by Indian firms poised to slow after record run

India's busy local-currency rupee bond market is poised to slow after the country's central bank hinted room for further rate cuts could be limited. ADVERTISEMENT Aggressive liquidity infusions and a series of rate cuts this year, most recently a surprise 50 basis point cut to 5.5% in June, pushed yields to the lowest in three years and spurred a flurry of issuance as borrowers sought to lock in lower rates. As a result, Indian companies raised a record 6.6 trillion rupees ($77.1 billion) through local-currency notes in the first half of the year, up 29% from the year prior, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Underwriters now expect that rush to ebb, citing a policy shift by the Reserve Bank of India to neutral from accommodative and moderating growth prospects. Headwinds from trade and geopolitics are threatening the nation's economic outlook too.'Issuance will remain fairly strong, but the pace will not be as frenetic as before,' said Shameek Ray, executive vice president at ICICI Securities Primary Dealership Ltd., pointing to limited room for borrowing costs to fall on Indian debt have since started to climb. After touching the lowest since 2022 on June 6, average yields on top-rated three-year company notes have risen 13 basis points, as of Wednesday. ADVERTISEMENT Still, the recent increases have only pared the drop in financing costs this year. Monetary policy emerged as the key driver for corporate debt sales in India this year as falling rates lured conglomerates to the market. Grasim Industries Ltd. secured its lowest-cost onshore note since 2020 and the ports unit of Adani Group raised a record sum from the domestic bond market. Jio Credit Ltd., a shadow lender owned by tycoon Mukesh Ambani, sold its first-ever bond. ADVERTISEMENT 'Inquiries from companies about bond fundraisings have increased,' said Jigar Vaishnav, director at Tipsons Group. 'Abundant liquidity and cheaper borrowing costs have also prompted many companies to borrow locally rather than tapping offshore. It has been a very busy time on the desk.' Still, global uncertainties and weaker capital spending due to slower economic growth could hurt corporate bond sales in the second half of the year, said Aditi Mittal, director at A.K. Capital Services Ltd., the third biggest rupee bond banker this year. ADVERTISEMENT 'We expect the second half may see some slowdown from the current pace, given the expected longish pause in monetary policy,' she said. Companies may choose loans over bonds as banks pass on the interest rate cuts by lowering lending rates, diminishing issuance, added ICICI Securities' Ray. (You can now subscribe to our ETMarkets WhatsApp channel)

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