
The market's first half broke from the AI trend
Why it matters: As investors confronted uncertainty, with a record number of companies mentioning the term on earnings calls, market leadership skewed more defensive than growth-oriented.
That could indicate the current market highs are not on the strongest footing as the second half of the year kicks off.
By the numbers: The best performing sectors in the first half of the year were industrials, communication services and financials. These are not the growth names that tend to rally in frothy environments.
Tech was the fifth-best performing sector year to date, up just over 6.5%.
Utilities — a sector that could be seen as defensive since consumers are more likely to pay their utility bills even amid economic slowdowns — outperformed big tech.
Investor excitement about artificial intelligence "faded during the midst of the tariff selloff in March and April," according to a note from Clark Bellin, president and chief investment officer at Bellwether Wealth.
Between the lines: Remember the Magnificent 7? The basket of tech stocks is up just 1.7% year to date (though it is up over 35% from its April low).
Tech has still been outperforming the broader market since the April lows, and those gains are expected to continue, Bellin says.
Yes, but: The shift in leadership away from tech could also be viewed as a positive for investors who worry about market breadth.
Mark Hackett, chief market strategist at Nationwide, calls the current rally "broad based" in a note that described the first half of the year as "tumultuous but resilient."
What we're watching: Consumer discretionary stocks were the worst-performing sector for the first half of the year.

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
15 hours ago
- Yahoo
Allstate Finalizes Group Health Divestiture for $1.25 Bn
The Allstate Corporation ALL recently closed the sale of its Group Health business to Nationwide for a total consideration of $1.25 billion. ALL initially announced its intention to divest this business in January 2025, and as anticipated, successfully finalized the transaction in 2025. The divestiture of the Group Health business is projected to yield a financial book gain of around $500 million and marks an effort of Allstate to sustain its strong record of returning value to shareholders. Meanwhile, out of the recent divestiture, Nationwide is expected to benefit from a diversified portfolio and enhanced capacity to offer stop-loss insurance solutions to small businesses. The recent sale is part of Allstate's strategy to divest its Health and Benefits business, for which it made an announcement to explore opportunities in November 2023. The unit comprises employer voluntary benefits, group health and individual health businesses. In April 2025, ALL closed the divestiture of its Employer Voluntary Benefits business to StanCorp Financial Group, Inc. The leftover Individual Health business will either be retained by Allstate or merged with another company. The combined proceeds derived from selling the Group Health and Employer Voluntary Benefits businesses stand at $3.25 billion. Allstate strategically engages in divestitures to reallocate capital away from businesses that generate lower returns and limited growth prospects. This approach enables the company to reinvest more effectively in its core operational areas. Consequently, such divestiture announcements underscore Allstate's commitment to strengthening its market presence in the Property-Liability segment as well as expanding its suite of protection service offerings. Premiums earned in the Property-Liability segment benefited from the back of rate increases in the first quarter of 2025. Meanwhile, higher contributions from Allstate Protection Plans and Arity drove the performance of the Protection Services unit. Strong distribution relationships and product suite led to the growth of Allstate Protection Plans, while improved lead sales propel Arity revenues. Shares of Allstate have gained 25.6% in the past year compared with the industry's 19.8% growth. ALL currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Some other top-ranked stocks in the insurance space are Palomar Holdings, Inc. PLMR, Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. HRTG and Horace Mann Educators Corporation HMN, each currently sporting a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank stocks here. Palomar's earnings surpassed estimates in each of the last four quarters, the average surprise being 16.42%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PLMR's 2025 earnings indicates a rise of 39.3% while the same for revenues implies an improvement of 42.5% from the respective 2024 figures. The consensus mark for PLMR's 2025 earnings has moved 0.4% north in the past 30 days. The bottom line of Heritage Insurance beat estimates in each of the trailing four quarters, the average surprise being 363.17%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for HRTG's 2025 earnings indicates a rise of 61.7% while the same for revenues implies an improvement of 4.6% from the respective 2024 figures. The consensus mark for HRTG's 2025 earnings has moved 33.7% north in the past 60 days. Horace Mann's earnings surpassed estimates in three of the last four quarters and matched the mark once, the average surprise being 24.09%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for HMN's 2025 earnings indicates a rise of 26.1% while the same for revenues implies an improvement of 6.6% from the respective 2024 figures. The consensus mark for HMN's 2025 earnings has moved 5.5% north in the past 60 days. Shares of Palomar, Heritage Insurance and Horace Mann have gained 72.8%, 242.7% and 30.2%, respectively, in the past year. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report The Allstate Corporation (ALL) : Free Stock Analysis Report Horace Mann Educators Corporation (HMN) : Free Stock Analysis Report Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG) : Free Stock Analysis Report Palomar Holdings, Inc. (PLMR) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research ( Zacks Investment Research Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
a day ago
- Yahoo
One Apple Bear Just Threw in the Towel With This Upgrade. Is It Time to Buy AAPL Stock?
Apple (AAPL) stock has been a notable laggard in 2025, with the shares down approximately 16% year-to-date - significantly underperforming its Magnificent 7 tech peers amid concerns over iPhone sales and perceived artificial intelligence (AI) development delays. Today, though, Jefferies analysts led by Edison Lee upgraded AAPL to 'Hold' from 'Underperform,' based on expectations for a 'potential upside surprise' in third-quarter iPhone sales growth. However, while the brokerage firm raised its Q3 iPhone sales forecast to 49.4 million units, the analysts simultaneously cut forecasts for Apple's crucial September quarter by 11% to 46.3 million. Microsoft Stock Is Headed for $4 Trillion. Is It Too Late to Buy MSFT Here? Is UnitedHealth Stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold for July 2025? Is Palantir Stock a Buy at New Record Highs? Tired of missing midday reversals? The FREE Barchart Brief newsletter keeps you in the know. Sign up now! AAPL stock is trading slightly higher this morning after closing Tuesday at a 6-week high, just above its upper Bollinger Band. Recent gains have been primarily driven by reports that Apple is considering partnerships with Anthropic or OpenAI to enhance Siri's capabilities, which would represent a significant strategic pivot from Apple's traditional in-house development approach. Apple's core business faces multiple headwinds, with reports today suggesting its efforts to diversify manufacturing efforts to India have encountered resistance from Beijing, with hundreds of Chinese engineers being recalled from iPhone factories. At the same time, production forecasts for the iPhone 17 are tracking approximately 9% below iPhone 16 levels, raising concerns about future growth prospects. Additionally, the implementation of new tariffs could potentially impact earnings by 7%, though Apple has committed to significant U.S. investment of $500 billion over four years. Despite these challenges, Apple's Services segment continues to demonstrate robust growth, boasting over 1 billion paid subscribers and achieving 11.6% year-over-year revenue growth to $26.65 billion in the latest quarter. However, this success coincides with increasing regulatory scrutiny, as evidenced by a federal judge's recent decision to allow an antitrust lawsuit targeting Apple's "walled garden" ecosystem to proceed. The company's high-margin revenue streams from Services could face pressure from regulatory interventions, particularly regarding App Store practices and its lucrative Google (GOOG) (GOOGL) search deal. The market's response to Apple's evolving AI strategy and its ability to navigate manufacturing challenges will likely determine near-term performance. Looking ahead, Apple's success will largely depend on its ability to execute its AI integration plans, maintain iPhone sales momentum, and effectively manage ongoing regulatory and trade policy challenges while sustaining its ecosystem advantages. The stock is rated a 'Moderate Buy' on Wall Street, but AAPL's premium valuation (at 29 times forward adjusted earnings) suggests there's no real discount to be had at current levels, despite the recent underperformance. While AAPL investors likely have no cause for immediate concern, there doesn't seem to be an immediate catalyst to buy shares at these levels, either. This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. On the date of publication, the editor had a position in: AAPL. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. This article was originally published on Sign in to access your portfolio
Yahoo
a day ago
- Yahoo
Stocks are back near all-time highs. Here are 3 investing mistakes to avoid at the top.
The S&P 500 is back near all-time high levels after a volatile first half of the year. While Wall Street strategists are bullish on the second half, risks to the downside remain. Detailed below are three investing mistakes to avoid with stocks at records. Dear US investors, congratulations, you did it. After a first half of 2025 marked by tariff uncertainty, geopolitical turmoil, and a polarizing tax plan, major indexes are back near records. Now comes the hard part: making the right decisions to protect your equity nest egg. It's easier said than done. The assumption can be made that the path higher has been cleared. But the trio of forces that have been a drag on the market this year aren't gone. And for that reason caution is required. Detailed below are three common mistakes investors should avoid going forward. If you have cash to deploy, it's tempting to wait for a future dip instead of buying now. But investors who subscribe to this line of thinking are committing the classic mistake of trying to time the market. "That dip might never come, or the dip may come from an even higher place than we are right now," Clark Bellin, president and chief investment officer of Bellwether Wealth, told Business Insider. All-time highs aren't a rare occurrence, having happened more than 100 times in the last decade alone. And they're often followed by even more robust gains. For long-term investors, the timing of entry into the market has minimal impact. An analysis by RBC Global Asset Management shows that, since 1950, the S&P 500 has never ended a 10-year period more than 10% below any of its previous all-time highs. Some investors may be concerned about high valuations in the stock market, but that isn't always a bad thing. Richly priced stocks can also have strong underlying earnings and competitive advantages that offer compelling investing opportunities. At this specific moment in time, S&P 500 earnings revisions are on an encouraging upward trend, suggesting the stock market rally is backed by solid fundamentals. "In trying to wait for that perfect dip or moment, you may be waiting forever," Bellin said. Another tempting investing tactic is to buy into market hype and chase big winners that have already seen outsized gains. This can backfire. If a bunch of investors collectively pile into a specific stock or sector, it can lead to prices becoming overheated. Jumping in at these moments can leave investors exposed to sudden pullbacks or sharp corrections, especially if fundamentals don't support the elevated valuations. Bellin points to cryptocurrency as an asset class that is especially susceptible to this type of run-up. Investors tend to pile in as prices rise, but cryptocurrencies often experience sell-offs exceeding 50%. Putting in too much money all at once can be just as bad, if not worse, than sitting on the sidelines, especially if you're investing based on hype. Thanks to a psychological effect known as loss aversion, investors feel the pain of losing money far more intensely than the satisfaction of equivalent gains, leading to panic-selling and poor decision-making. The best strategy for investors is to have a regular investing schedule, said Jacqui Smith, portfolio manager at Reynders, McVeigh Capital Management. Dollar-cost averaging can smooth out the overall price you pay and reduce the impact of short-term volatility. Smith also recommends looking into quality companies with strong balance sheets to weather potential tariff concerns going into the future. Investors should also be mindful of their portfolio allocations, especially when markets are at all-time highs. For example, investors who own Nvidia might have seen a sizable return, meaning that the stock might be a much bigger part of their portfolio than it was a year ago. And with much of the gain in the S&P 500 driven by the Magnificent Seven, investors might not be aware of just how much AI exposure they have. "Investors should be very cognizant of inadvertently doubling down on AI by owning the S&P 500 and then owning Nvidia and other individual stocks on the side," Gary Quinzel, vice president of portfolio consulting at Wealth Enhancement, told Business Insider. He continued: "It could work for a short while and it could lead to outsized returns, but that's a prime example of knowing what you own." A well-diversified portfolio can insulate your money from market fluctuations, and the opposite is true for a more concentrated portfolio. All-time highs can be a good checkpoint to assess your risk tolerance, rebalance your holdings, and trim some names that have been big winners, Bellin said. If you've incurred losses in other areas of your portfolio, Bellin recommends investors look into tax-loss harvesting to help offset the tax effects of taking profits off the table. Read the original article on Business Insider Sign in to access your portfolio