England Women vs Italy Women Euro 2025 prediction, odds and betting offer
The Lionesses continue their defence of the European title as they prepare to face Italy in Geneva tonight.
After a nerve-jangling victory against Sweden, England's Lionesses are gearing up for a pivotal Euro semi-final against Italy in Geneva on Tuesday. The defending champions showed true grit, overturning a two-goal deficit thanks to standout performances from Lucy Bronze and Michelle Agyemang. Over seven million viewers watched as England edged past Sweden in a penalty shootout, keeping hopes alive for consecutive European crowns.
This latest triumph means Sarina Wiegman's squad have now reached the last four at six major tournaments running—a testament to their consistency at the top level. Their route to this stage was anything but easy, with a chaotic quarter-final that tested nerves and resilience.
Looking ahead, England will feel confident facing an Italian side ranked seven places below Sweden. The Lionesses are unbeaten in their last five encounters with Italy—winning four, including a commanding 5–1 result earlier this year in Spain.
Italy arrive at this stage enjoying their strongest Euros campaign since finishing runners-up in 1997. Their path has been less convincing: only one group stage win against Belgium and a dramatic late goal to see off Norway in the quarters. That victory marked just their second knockout-stage success at a major tournament since their heyday nearly three decades ago.
With history on their side and momentum building, England will be favourites to progress. However, Italy's recent resilience suggests they can't be underestimated. Both teams know what's at stake—a place in the final and a shot at glory on Europe's biggest stage.
England vs Italy Odds
England - 3/5
Draw - 3/1
Italy - 5/1
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England vs Italy Betting Tips
England win and both teams to score - 2/1
Over 2.5 goals - 8/11
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The Independent
14 minutes ago
- The Independent
‘Inevitable' Michelle Agyemang has left Lionesses with one choice for Euro 2025 final
At some point, Michelle Agyemang may start playing a game for England when they are not behind. It could even be on Sunday in the Euro 2025 final. But for now, it is hard to think of anyone at this tournament who has a clearer understanding of their exact role and the impact they can make than the 19-year-old striker who began it with just one international appearance for her country, and who has now saved them from the brink twice in two games. 'She feels inevitable right now,' said Leah Williamson, and, somehow, so do England. But the only moments where England have felt as if they've had any sort of momentum behind them in their extraordinary escapes against Sweden and now Italy came when the youngest member of the squad was on the pitch; the teenager was a Wembley ball-girl for the Lionesses just four years ago, but has now helped fire them into a third consecutive major tournament final. Could Agyemang now start it? Wiegman almost certainly ruled that out, insisting her hand wouldn't be forced, but the England manager underlined why there was such belief surging through her team thanks to Agyemang's latest intervention. 'She brings something special and she has something special,' a stunned Wiegman said. 'She's only 19 years old, she's very mature, she knows exactly what she has to do.' The problem for everyone else at the Euros is they don't know what to do about Agyemang. From the instant impact on her debut against Belgium in April to the equalisers in the quarter-finals and the semi-finals, everyone is now aware that the moment of Agyemang's arrival moves a match into its own unique phase. 'You see it when she comes on,' Lucy Bronze said. 'Defenders are petrified of her.' Part of it is the element of the unknown; opposition teams could study Agyemang but it would require delving into her minutes on loan at Brighton last season, which feels another world away now. Even then, they can't prepare for Agyemang's physicality or aggression or the effectiveness of her hold-up play. But with Agyemeng there is also what the opposition can't see: the humbleness to learn and improve and the hunger to show the world what she can do. It is, quite simply, the reason England are into another final. Once again, as the Lionesses finally gave up on attempting to play well and accepted that their only route to survival was rolling the dice and launching it forward, it was Agyemang who kept her head in the chaos. When England were hurried, and with their Euros on the line, she found the touch that appeared to slow down time itself. England were desperate but Lauren Hemp discarded all of her previous wasteful deliveries and found the cross that stretched Italy's defence. England had so often got caught waiting in the box but there was Beth Mead, darting across the front post. Suddenly, there was Agyemang with the ball at her feet, and with no one near her. Does that make the pressure even worse? Having all that time? An extra moment to potentially realise the magnitude how often this second in time will be replayed forever? The Italian wall that has withstood England for so long has finally retreated and Agyemang, if she dared to look up, has three towering obstacles in front of her. It would be an exaggeration to suggest that Agyemang's career had been building up to this moment; her journey in football, after all, is only just lifting off the ground. And perhaps this is how Agyemang managed to pause, to keep her head clear and over the ball, to maintain the technique that saw her drill the finish low and hard, piercing through the bodies. It's no accident, either. 'She has such awareness of where she needs to be in the box,' said Esme Morgan. 'She's just such an incredibly intelligent player to know what spaces to pick up and then such a composed finisher when she gets the opportunity. She's an incredible person to be able to rely on.' Chloe Kelly, who lacks no amount of her own self-belief, said the introduction of Agyemang 'gave us confidence'. And what Agyemang delivered was also the complete opposite of what England had produced up until the 95th minute. England, again, were seconds from going home, and this team were doing some seriously strange things, the kind of choices players make when they are physically and mentally exhausted, the legs weary and the mind fogged in the face of the nightmare unfolding in front of them. Agyemang rescued England but then played with the clarity to provide exactly the right runs, to know what loose balls to chase down, and to find the energy that the Lionesses so desperately lacked. She did it with a flourishing confidence, too, as displayed by her= volleyed shot from the angle crashing against the crossbar. Down an inch and it would have sent England through. 'She was going on by herself,' Bronze said. 'She had two or three good runs in extra time where she was like, I'm going to take this team to the final. I think that gives the rest of the team confidence.' The Lionesses are being pushed forward by the fearlessness of their youth. 'What a future the kid's got ahead of her,' Bronze remarked. It is Agyemang's present, though, that is now accelerating beyond her wildest imagination. 'I was just a kid, throwing the ball to these girls,' Agyemang reflected. 'To do this, at this level, it's more than I could've wished for. Most of these girls I've not known for more than two months, to see them celebrate with me, it'll live in my heart forever.' There may yet be the fairytale ending. On Sunday, one of Spain or Germany will know that England have a powerful card in their back pocket, even if they are ahead in the Euro 2025 final. It's why, for all of the changes that Wiegman needs to make to rectify the slow starts England keep drifting into, Agyemang will not be 'forcing' Wiegman into a decision: England's back-up plan has become their greatest weapon.
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The Independent
14 minutes ago
- The Independent
Chelsea winger in doubt for Women's Euro 2025 final
Lauren James is a major doubt for England 's Women's Euro 2025 final after sustaining an ankle injury during the semi-final against Italy. The Chelsea winger was replaced at half-time, having been seen with ice around her ankle as she limped towards the bench. England secured a dramatic comeback victory against Italy, with Michelle Agyemang equalising in the 96th minute and Chloe Kelly scoring from a penalty rebound in the 119th minute. Lionesses manager Sarina Wiegman confirmed James "hurt her ankle" and her condition will be assessed over the coming days. England will face either Spain or Germany in the final at St. Jakob-Park, Basel, on Sunday.
The Independent
14 minutes ago
- The Independent
The sass, swagger and dark times behind Chloe Kelly's unbreakable confidence
England were seconds away from going home. Losing 1-0 to Italy in the Euro 2025 semi-finals, the Lionesses needed a hero. Up stepped Chloe Kelly, raising her arms as she prepared to deliver an inswinging corner from the left. But as the England fans behind the goal prayed for a moment of inspiration, it was immediately clear that something was wrong: Kelly dragged her cross straight out of play. It landed, horribly, into the side-netting. 'Obviously it wasn't the plan,' Kelly grimaced. Neither was it the plan to miss a penalty with the chance to send England through to the Euro 2025 final, but Kelly's response to both the failed corner and saved spot-kick remained the same. 'The reaction is as important as the action,' Kelly explained. 'For me, it was important to not dwell on the moment.' Instead, she followed up her penalty miss by scoring the rebound, telling everyone to 'chill' as they lost their minds. For Kelly, the 119th-minute winner in Geneva is the latest in a long line of iconic moments in England shirt, to go alongside Wembley, Brisbane and Zurich. When the pressure is at its highest, Kelly has been able to rise above it and deliver, time and time again. 'She thrives in those moments where all eyes are on her and she knows she needs to produce, and she's just go this belief in herself,' said England defender Esme Morgan. 'She has always been like that. Chloe just doesn't care what other people think. She's her own person and she works hard. She knows what she's brilliant at. So when there's a moment to execute what she's brilliant at, she just feels 10 feet tall and ready to take it.' Right now, if you could bottle and sell what Kelly has, you would earn yourself a fortune. 'Chloe's just attitude, sass, confidence,' said Lucy Bronze. As if to illustrate this, when asked after England's win where her confidence and self-belief came from, Kelly simply replied: 'Myself'. No one in world football is taking on the game in the way Kelly is, from her high-stepping penalty run-up to her viral wedding photo shinpads and her grin before taking the penalty to keep England at the Euros during the quarter-finals. Yet it was only a few months ago that the 27-year-old was questioning her her love for the sport and future in it. She was, she said, in a 'dark place'. Frozen out at Manchester City, Kelly was at risk of dropping out of Sarina Wiegman 's England squad. Her place at the Euros hinged on the success of her loan move to Arsenal but it was on her move back to north London that Kelly's smile returned. Working alongside Renee Slegers at Arsenal, Kelly was told to be herself. She began to play with joy again and finished the season as a Champions League winner. That version of Kelly has shone through in Switzerland. Three years ago, Kelly was only just recovering from an ACL injury when she seized her opportunity to score England's winning goal in the Euro 2022 final. Three years later, Kelly is playing with the same determination to take nothing for granted, but with her self-belief at an all-time high. 'When she's on the pitch, no matter what, she's going to push her shoulders back, big up her chest and she's going to go for it,' Bronze said. At Euro 2025, Kelly's instructions from Wiegman are the same as they were in Euro 2022: to go on and change the game for England. She has now made 11 consecutive appearances as a substitute between both tournaments but her approach has remained consistent. 'Take the opportunity when it comes,' Kelly explained. 'We've got 23 amazing players in the squad and we're all ready.' England's super-sub has made yet another devastating impact off the bench at a major tournament. But above all, missing a penalty only to go again and convert the rebound was a way of encapsulating an entire career, illustrating that the biggest successes often come from bouncing back. 'The moments in January when I felt like giving up football, makes you grateful for these moments here today,' Kelly reflected. 'Confidence comes from within but from around you as well. The players I stand side by side with on the pitch, [we] breed confidence in each other. The people you surround yourself with, my family is really important to me and will breed a lot of confidence within me.' Bronze may have briefly stood over the penalty spot when England were awarded their last-minute penalty against Italy but there was no question who was going to take; no doubt, either, that Kelly would slow herself down, spin the ball on its mark, take a deep breath, and lift up her left leg to begin her run-up. The surprise was the save but the response was never in doubt. The initial celebration amid the chaos, as Kelly pushed her hands towards the ground, told its own story: 'It was more like, 'Chill out, I was going to score! Chill out, it was OK!'' Kelly laughed. Then came the second celebration, one that will go down well in north London, with her arm on the corner flag waiting and admiring the view like Thierry Henry. The message? Don't worry, England, I've got this.
