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Can AngloGold Ashanti Maintain Its Strong Free Cash Flow Growth?

Can AngloGold Ashanti Maintain Its Strong Free Cash Flow Growth?

Globe and Mail23-07-2025
AngloGold Ashanti plc (
AU
) delivered an impressive seven-fold increase in free cash flow to $407 million in the first quarter of 2025. The jump in free cash flow was primarily attributed to higher gold prices, which added $544 million, while increased volumes accounted for a further $246 million.
Gold production and sales from managed operations were bolstered by the first-time contribution from the recently acquired Sukari Gold Mine in Egypt and solid output improvements at both Siguiri and Tropicana.
Net cash inflow from operating activities was $725 million in the quarter, marking a 188% increase year over year from $252 million. This strong performance was primarily driven by a on higher prices and sales volumes. However, some of these gains were offset by higher volume-related operating costs, reduced dividends from joint ventures and increased tax payments.
After accounting for capital expenditure, loan repayments from Kibali and dividends paid to non-controlling shareholders, AngloGold Ashanti generated a free cash inflow of $403 million. The company closed the quarter with approximately $3.0 billion in liquidity, including $1.5 billion in cash and cash equivalents. Adjusted net debt fell 60% year over year to $525 million, with the adjusted net debt-to-EBITDA ratio improving to 0.15x from 0.86x. AngloGold Ashanti remains focused on maintaining a strong and flexible balance sheet.
In 2024, the company had also demonstrated strong performance with free cash flow reaching $942 million, up 764% from 2023, primarily due to favorable gold pricing. For 2025, AngloGold Ashanti projects gold production of 2.9-3.225 million ounces, indicating 9–21% growth over the prior year. Higher production, combined with the rally in gold prices this year as well as the company's efforts to lower costs, is expected to drive further gains in cash flow this year.
Newmont Corporation NEM achieved a record first-quarter free cash flow of $1.2 billion, marking a significant turnaround from a negative $74 million in the same period a year ago. This substantial improvement came on the back of Newmont's enhanced operational efficiency and the strength of its Tier 1 portfolio. Strong free cash flow positions Newmont to strengthen its balance sheet and pursue strategic growth investments.
Barrick Mining Corporation B reported a free cash flow of $375 million for the first quarter, a nearly 12-fold year-over-year rise. The surge reflects Barrick's higher operating cash flows driven by an uptick in realized gold and copper prices. Barrick reduced net debt by 5% during the quarter, leveraging healthy free cash flow generation.
AU's Price Performance, Valuations & Estimates
AngloGold Ashanti's stock has skyrocketed 125% year to date, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's 54.2% growth. During this time, the Basic Materials sector has risen 13.6% and the S&P 500 has rallied 6.8%.
AU is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 10.49X, a discount to the industry average of 12.46X. The stock has a Value Score of B.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AngloGold Ashanti's 2025 sales is $8.85 billion, indicating 52.8% year-over-year growth. The consensus mark for the year's earnings is $4.99 per share, indicating year-over-year growth of 125.8%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 sales implies 2.3% year-over-year growth. The same for earnings indicates a decline of 1.3%.
EPS estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been trending north over the past 60 days, as seen in the chart below.
AU currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
5 Stocks Set to Double
Each was handpicked by a Zacks expert as the #1 favorite stock to gain +100% or more in the coming year. While not all picks can be winners, previous recommendations have soared +112%, +171%, +209% and +232%.
Most of the stocks in this report are flying under Wall Street radar, which provides a great opportunity to get in on the ground floor.
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Newmont Corporation (NEM): Free Stock Analysis Report
AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU): Free Stock Analysis Report
Barrick Mining Corporation (B): Free Stock Analysis Report
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Trigon Metals Reports Fourth Quarter Operational and Financial Results
Trigon Metals Reports Fourth Quarter Operational and Financial Results

National Post

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Trigon Metals Reports Fourth Quarter Operational and Financial Results

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Globe and Mail

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Ridgeline Minerals and Nevada Gold Mines Commence 6,000-meter Drill Program at the Swift Gold Project, Nevada

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NGM retains the option to increase its interest up to 70% by incurring an additional US$10.0 million in qualifying work expenditures before December 31, 2029. Within 90 days of a joint venture decision to proceed with development and construction of a mine and/or related processing facilities on Swift, NGM will have a one-time option to elect to provide, or arrange for third-party, financing of Ridgeline's portion of debt financing required for the development in consideration, in either case, for an additional 5% interest in the project for a total of 75% (or 65% if the second option was not exercised). QAQC Procedures Samples are submitted to ALS Minerals, Elko Nevada, which is a certified and accredited laboratory, independent of Nevada Gold Mines. Samples are prepared using industry-standard prep methods and analysed using Au-AA23 (Au; 30 g fire assay) and ME-MS61 (48 element Suite; 0.25 g 4-acid digestion/ICP- MS) methods. ALS also undertakes its own internal coarse and pulp duplicate analysis to ensure proper sample preparation and equipment calibration. Nevada Gold Mines QAQC program includes regular insertion of CRM standards, duplicates, and blanks into the sample stream with a stringent review of all results completed internally by Nevada Gold Mines technical personnel. Technical information contained in this news release has been prepared under the supervision of, and approved by, Michael T. Harp, CPG, the Company's Vice President, Exploration. Mr. Harp is a "qualified person" under National Instrument 43-101 - Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects. About Ridgeline Minerals Corp. Ridgeline Minerals is a discovery focused precious and base metal explorer with a proven management team and a 200 km 2 exploration portfolio across seven projects in Nevada, USA. 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More information about Ridgeline can be found at On behalf of the Board "Chad Peters" President & CEO Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Service Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this press release Cautionary Note regarding Forward Looking Statements Statements contained in this press release that are not historical facts are "forward-looking information" or "forward-looking statements" (collectively, "Forward-Looking Information") within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation and the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-Looking Information includes, but is not limited to, the assay results for core hole SW24-004 and the potential significance thereof. The words "potential", "anticipate", "meaningful", "significant", "pending", "believe", "estimate", "expect", "may", "will", "project", "plan", "historical", "historic" and similar expressions are intended to be among the statements that identify Forward-Looking Information. Forward-Looking Information involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results to be materially different from any future results expressed or implied by the Forward-Looking Information. In preparing the Forward-Looking Information in this news release, Ridgeline has applied several material assumptions, including, but not limited to, assumptions that the current objectives concerning the Swift project can be achieved and that its other corporate activities will proceed as expected; that general business and economic conditions will not change in a materially adverse manner; and that all requisite information will be available in a timely manner. Forward-Looking Information involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance, or achievements of Ridgeline to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the Forward-Looking Information. Such risks and other factors include, among others, risks related to dependence on key personnel; risks related to unforeseen delays; risks related to historical data that has not been verified by the Company; as well as those factors discussed in Ridgeline's public disclosure record. Although Ridgeline has attempted to identify important factors that could affect Ridgeline and may cause actual actions, events, or results to differ materially from those described in Forward-Looking Information, there may be other factors that cause actions, events or results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. There can be no assurance that Forward-Looking Information will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on Forward-Looking Information. Except as required by law, Ridgeline does not assume any obligation to release publicly any revisions to Forward-Looking Information contained in this news release to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.

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