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US stock futures rise on rate-cut hopes ahead of inflation data

US stock futures rise on rate-cut hopes ahead of inflation data

Al Etihad27-06-2025
27 June 2025 14:55
(Reuters) US stock index futures climbed on Friday, putting the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on track for record highs, as investors awaited a key inflation reading amid growing expectations of a dovish monetary policy from the Federal Reserve this year.Personal Consumption Expenditure data - the US central bank's preferred inflation gauge - for May is due to be released at 08:30 a.m. ET and will be scrutinised for a better understanding of the Fed's interest-rate path as President Donald Trump's tariffs weigh on prices.As the ceasefire in the Middle East holds, investor focus has turned to the prospect of a dovish Fed after the Wall Street Journal reported that Trump has toyed with the idea of selecting and announcing Fed Chair Jerome Powell's replacement by September or October.A spate of economic data this week, including a weaker-than-expected first quarter GDP reading as well as jobless claims reaching multi-year highs, has supported the case for the Fed to cut borrowing costs this year.Traders now price in a 20% chance of a rate cut in July, compared with 12.5% last week, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.At 05:25 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 103 points, or 0.24%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 15 points, or 0.24%, and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 70.25 points, or 0.31%Nike's shares rose 9.6% in premarket trading after the retailer forecast a smaller-than-expected drop in first-quarter revenue.Retailer Lululemon Athletica rose 1.7% after Nike's results.The benchmark S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are on track for their best weekly performance in six weeks while the blue-chip Dow is set for a weekly advance, if gains hold.Adding to the upbeat mood, Washington reached an agreement with China on expediting rare earth shipments to the United States, a White House official said, days ahead of the July 9 deadline for Trump's "reciprocal" tariffs.Also on tap is the final reading of consumer sentiment for June, measured by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers, due at 10:00 a.m. ET.
Remarks from New York Fed President John Williams, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack and Fed Board Governor Lisa Cook are expected later in the day.
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Roger Hutson tried to keep Trump from a second term
Roger Hutson tried to keep Trump from a second term

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timean hour ago

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Roger Hutson tried to keep Trump from a second term

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Meey Group Hosts the ‘Proptech Capitalization Strategy Forum: Born in Vietnam – Build for the World'
Meey Group Hosts the ‘Proptech Capitalization Strategy Forum: Born in Vietnam – Build for the World'

Arabian Post

time3 hours ago

  • Arabian Post

Meey Group Hosts the ‘Proptech Capitalization Strategy Forum: Born in Vietnam – Build for the World'

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Tariffs bite into Europe as earnings season begins – which sectors will be hit hardest?
Tariffs bite into Europe as earnings season begins – which sectors will be hit hardest?

Arabian Post

time3 hours ago

  • Arabian Post

Tariffs bite into Europe as earnings season begins – which sectors will be hit hardest?

A tide of tariffs is sweeping across Europe, and the damage is becoming visible just as earnings reports begin to drop. President Trump's trade decisions are no longer a future threat; they're now a present force reshaping European corporate performance. The timing is brutal. What was expected to be a modestly positive second quarter for European earnings has shifted into decline, with weakness now concentrated in a few critical sectors. ADVERTISEMENT Investors are bracing for confirmation that Europe's earnings engine has stalled. The continent's largest firms are being squeezed between softer demand and policy-driven pricing pressure. The hardest-hit? Energy, consumer-facing multinationals, and financial institutions—all of which are deeply entwined with global trade flows, dollar liquidity, and sentiment cycles. The latest data point to a shallow contraction in European earnings per share for the second quarter—just months after analysts were still forecasting robust growth. This kind of whiplash signals something deeper than seasonal volatility. It reflects the speed and scale at which expectations have been rewired in response to Trump's aggressive trade stance and the rising cost of doing business across borders. The energy sector has been among the swiftest to feel the impact. Oil prices, already under pressure through much of Q2, found no relief in tariff announcements. On the contrary, producers now face increased uncertainty around demand, pricing structures, and the stability of international supply chains. ADVERTISEMENT Crude has recovered somewhat since Trump's latest volley of trade threats, but that rebound masks the structural challenges beneath. Tariffs hit everything from upstream investment to downstream distribution. The big European energy names are not just contending with weak prices—they are navigating a much more unstable commercial environment than their US counterparts, who now benefit from friendlier domestic regulation and renewed geopolitical leverage. The consumer sector has its own set of problems, and they are compounding quickly. Currency pressure from a weakening dollar has lifted the euro to multi-month highs—bad news for exporters relying on US demand. But it's the tariff shock that has most dramatically reset the mood. European brands selling into the US market now face an awkward mix of falling margins and unclear guidance. From luxury icons to mass-market manufacturers, the story is turning sour. Investors are no longer looking for growth; they're looking for resilience. That's especially true for discretionary names with high exposure to the US consumer. As inflation softens stateside but tariffs rise, spending patterns are shifting in unpredictable ways. European brands reliant on price stability and repeat purchases may now struggle to justify forward earnings multiples. Some will hold the line. Others will crack. Commentary accompanying these results will be closely parsed for signs that demand has deteriorated faster than expected. Then there's the financial sector—until recently, the unshakable pillar of European earnings growth. That pillar is now wobbling. Bank profits have ridden high on rising rates, deal speculation, and net interest income. But tariffs, by design, depress cross-border investment. They cloud merger activity, discourage capital flow, and introduce costs that even the most efficient lenders can't hedge away. While forecasts still point to slight profit expansion this quarter, the momentum is clearly fading. The bigger concern for investors is whether this is the beginning of a trend. European banks are heavily exposed to global supply chains, especially those facilitating trade between the EU and the US. Tariff policy disrupts those flows. It also raises credit risks for firms caught in the middle—many of which are mid-sized manufacturers or logistics players dependent on transatlantic trade routes. The revaluation of these risks is already underway, and the sharp rally in European bank stocks earlier this year now looks increasingly out of step with the operating reality on the ground. Put simply: the Europe-versus-US divide is growing. While Trump's tariffs are raising costs in Europe, the US is simultaneously offering support to its domestic industries, including energy and digital assets. This divergence is altering the investment case for entire sectors. Europe is still the world's largest trading bloc—but trade is exactly what's under siege. It makes this earnings season less about individual company performance and more about policy drag. For long-term investors, this is a wake-up call. Valuations built on the assumption of stable, rules-based global commerce are being tested. In a world where tariffs can be imposed by tweet, diversification across regions isn't enough. Sector exposure, policy sensitivity, and forward guidance credibility all need to be reassessed. This reporting season will deliver more than financial updates. It will reveal which companies are best-positioned to survive the age of economic confrontation—and which are still clinging to a fading version of globalisation. Nigel Green is deVere CEO and Founder Also published on Medium. Notice an issue? Arabian Post strives to deliver the most accurate and reliable information to its readers. If you believe you have identified an error or inconsistency in this article, please don't hesitate to contact our editorial team at editor[at]thearabianpost[dot]com. We are committed to promptly addressing any concerns and ensuring the highest level of journalistic integrity.

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