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Tesla Q2 earnings preview: 3 things to watch
Tesla (TSLA) stock has pared some of its early 2025 losses, but a now rocky relationship between CEO Elon Musk and President Trump is taking its toll on the optimism that fueled the company's late-2024 run. Tesla's second quarter earnings report, slated for release on Wednesday after the bell, comes at a time when the S&P 500 (^GSPC) and Nasdaq (^IXIC) are surging to new highs, bucking Trump's tariff war that led to broad-based selling and fears of a global economic slowdown. While other auto stocks have recovered, Tesla is still down around 20% year to date, with sector tariffs of 25% on foreign cars and parts still in place. Now the focus is on the struggling core auto business and the future of Tesla's robotaxi rollout. Here are three things to watch this Wednesday. The core Tesla's bread and butter, despite Musk's embrace of a robot-driven future, is its core auto business. That drives the huge majority of revenue and profit at Tesla. The company is expected to report second quarter revenue of $22.79 billion, per Bloomberg estimates, a 9% drop compared with the $25.05 billion reported a year ago. From a profitability standpoint, Wall Street analysts are expecting adjusted EPS of $0.43, translating to adjusted net income of $1.513 billion, down slightly from a year ago. Switch Auto Insurance and Save Today! Affordable Auto Insurance, Customized for You The Insurance Savings You Expect Great Rates and Award-Winning Service Musk's reputational hit stemming from his political activities, the rise of better competition, and US consumer preferences for vehicles like hybrids have Tesla and the EV industry as a whole worried. For Tesla in particular, weakness in key regions like Europe has been an ongoing issue, and the latest registration data shows US sales sliding as well. This resulted in Tesla delivering only 384,122 vehicles globally in Q2, a 13.5% drop year over year. The changeover to the refreshed Model Y may have blunted sales. But the question for management is the availability picture for that new Model Y in Tesla's main selling regions. Read more: How to avoid the sticker shock on Tesla car insurance Robotaxi rollout On the bright side for Tesla is Elon Musk's big bet on the future with robotaxis. Tesla and Musk will most likely focus on that business, and this may perhaps point to future rollout plans with more cars and regions. Tesla has expanded its robotaxi testing in Austin, Texas, with a bigger operating area and likely more vehicles coming. Musk said the company would expand testing to the San Francisco Bay Area, but reports suggest the applications for those state permits have not been submitted. While the good news is that the test began on time as Musk proposed in mid-May, Tesla still has a long way to go. Alphabet's (GOOG, GOOGL) Waymo, the leader in the space, has been expanding its robotaxi deployments in the US, and Uber (UBER) is doing so as well with its technology partners. Speaking of Uber, the ride-hailing giant inked a massive deal with Lucid and autonomous software firm Nuro to launch its own robotaxi service next year. "The earnings call also presents an opportunity for Tesla's robotaxi/AV narrative to shine, which has been front and center of Tesla stock's strength," Barclays analyst Dan Levy wrote in a note to investors. "We could see Elon Musk potentially discussing fleet growth targets or expansion plans." Where's the cheap EV? A year ago, Tesla said in its Q2 earnings report that production remains on track for new vehicles, likely including a cheaper EV, in the first half of next year. Investors and analysts are still waiting. There has been no indication or even renderings of a new vehicle, let alone production of a vehicle priced around $30,000. Tesla's cheapest EV is the rear-wheel-drive Model 3 sedan, which starts at around $43,000 without incentives. Investors are keen to hear more about the development of the long-awaited cheaper EV that Tesla has promised, along with other new vehicles that the company said would allow it to return to a 50% growth rate compared to 2023. The most likely scenario is not a good one for Tesla bulls — a delay in revealing the cheaper EV. "Tesla's forthcoming low-cost model seemingly missed its target for 1H25 start-of-production," Levy said. "With Tesla likely to focus on a 3Q pre-buy in advance of the Sep 30 expiration of the US EV tax credit, we believe it may delay the launch of the low-cost model to 4Q, which could be perceived negatively." Last but not least, Levy had a kicker. With weaker fundamentals in play and more capital needed to fund Tesla's AV/AI rollout, Levy believes an eventual share sale — emphasis on eventual — could be in the cards. But any talk of a dilutive share offering is not exactly what Tesla investors want to hear. Pras Subramanian is the lead auto reporter for Yahoo Finance. You can follow him on X and on Instagram. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
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Tigers at Pirates Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for July 21
It's Monday, July 21 and the Tigers (60-40) are in Pittsburgh to take on the Pirates (39-61). Jack Flaherty is slated to take the mound for Detroit against Paul Skenes for Pittsburgh. The Tigers became the first team in the league to reach 60 wins as Detroit beat the Rangers, 2-1 on Sunday Night Baseball. That win avoided a reverse sweep to Texas and the test doesn't get an easier when they travel to Pittsburgh to face the CY Young favorite. Pittsburgh is coming off a series where they were swept by the White Sox and outscored 27-7 (sigh). As a Pirates fan, this is the only day of the week we look forward to — Skenes day. Let's dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two. We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts. Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long. Game details & how to watch Tigers at Pirates Date: Monday, July 21, 2025 Time: 6:40PM EST Site: PNC Park City: Pittsburgh, PA Network/Streaming: FDSNDT, SNP Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out. Odds for the Tigers at the Pirates The latest odds as of Monday: Moneyline: Tigers (+102), Pirates (-122) Spread: Pirates -1.5 Total: 7.0 runs Probable starting pitchers for Tigers at Pirates Pitching matchup for July 21, 2025: Jack Flaherty vs. Paul Skenes Tigers: Jack Flaherty, (5-9, 4.65 ERA)Last outing: 5.0 Innings Pitched, 2 Earned Runs Allowed, 4 Hits Allowed, 2 Walks, and 7 Strikeouts Pirates: Paul Skenes, (4-8, 2.01 ERA)Last outing: 5.0 Innings Pitched, 2 Earned Runs Allowed, 5 Hits Allowed, 0 Walks, and 6 Strikeouts Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type! Expert picks & predictions for tonight's game between the Tigers and the Pirates Rotoworld Best Bet Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700. Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts. Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager. Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Monday's game between the Tigers and the Pirates: Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline. Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Detroit Tigers at +1.5. Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 7.0. Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC. Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Tigers at Pirates The Pirates have lost 10 of their last 11 games The Under is 4-1 in the Tigers' last 5 road games The Pirates are 9-11 in Skenes' 20 starts Skenes has allowed 2 earned runs or less in 17 of 20 starts The Tigers are 6-13 in Flaherty's 19 starts If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports! Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff: Jay Croucher (@croucherJD) Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper) Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)
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Padres must prove they're worth 'bold move' at MLB trade deadline
WASHINGTON — One hundred games into a season is typically long past time a ballclub has its identity firmly established. Yet the San Diego Padres know it's not too late to show the world exactly how good they are. And more specifically, to prove to club president A.J. Preller that their squad is worthy of the aggressive moves for which he's so renowned. 'We need to show him what we're capable of,' All-Star outfielder Fernando Tatis Jr. tells USA TODAY Sports, 'to see what kind of bold move he'll make.' For now, the Padres have proven they're playoff caliber: They hold down the final wild card spot in the National League and lurk just 3 ½ games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West. They began the second half by winning two of three games at Washington, the start of a 10-game humidity tour that will afford them climate-controlled indoor baseball in Miami before four games at St. Louis precede a return to San Diego's saner dew points. It was on this almost exact trip last year – also the first after the All-Star break - that the Padres won seven of nine games, going from .500 team to a club that gave the Dodgers the hardest punch of the playoffs before losing a five-game NL Division Series. And after that post-break burst, Preller juiced up the bullpen, swinging deals to land All-Star relievers Jason Adam and Tanner Scott, a just reward for a club that earned it. Now, these Padres face something of a last dance. Oh, it's never over in San Diego, not when veterans like Manny Machado ($350 million through 2033), Xander Bogaerts ($280 million, 2033) and Tatis ($340 million, 2034) are wrapped up well into the next decade, and eight other players locked into multi-year deals through at least 2027. But a mini-window of sorts is closing: Starting pitchers Dylan Cease and Michael King, the major pieces of their pivot to deal Juan Soto to the New York Yankees, are free agents after this season. The extent to which San Diego attempts to retain them this winter, or backfill the rotation via free agency, should be telling about the near-term fate of the franchise, which lost its franchise scion when owner Peter Seidler passed away in November 2023. While overflow crowds at Petco Park and the many long-term commitments ensure the Padres will stay competitive, coming years may suggest a re-tooling or at least easing the foot up on the gas. For now, though, there's still a pennant to chase, and a case to make. 'This is the stretch,' says Cease, who shrugged off a first half in which he posted a 4.88 ERA to strike out 10 in his first start after the break. 'Obviously all the games are important. But this is really, probably going to define who we're going to be at the end of the day.' With a president of baseball operations surely watching closely. 'I don't think in terms of that,' says Cease, 'but the better position we're in you know the more aggressive he's probably more willing to be. 'But he's probably going to be aggressive either way.' And Preller would be augmenting a club that, despite its 54-45 record, knows there's a little more in the tank. 'Didn't let 'em breathe' The Padres were hard to miss at the July 15 All-Star Game, what with five representatives led by Tatis and MVP candidate Manny Machado. Yet the remainder of their reps came from one unit: The bullpen. They were well-earned nods, with Robert Suárez leading the majors with 28 saves and Adam (2.05 ERA) and lefty Adrian Morejon (1.83 ERA, 0.81 WHIP) dominant almost every time out. Yet Adam and Morejon have already pitched in 48 games, one less than the major league leaders in that category. Jeremiah Estrada has logged 47 appearances. And the Padres have played 55 games decided by two runs or less, second-most in the majors. Fortunately, they're 34-21 in such games, yet the bullpen has burned a lot of high-leverage fuel to prop them up, and the sustainability questions will swirl if there are any late-inning hiccups. To put it bluntly: The Padres need to start kicking some teams' butts. 'Didn't let 'em breathe,' an approving manager Mike Shildt said after the Padres jumped the Nationals in an 8-1 victory to claim the series Sunday. 'If we continue to do that – we add on – watch out. 'This team will be even more dangerous than it already is.' That victory was jump-started by Machado and Tatis drawing first-inning walks and Bogaerts jumping All-Star MacKenzie Gore for a first-inning grand slam; it was 5-0 after one inning and 8-0 after three. And it continued Bogaerts' tear; he's raised his batting average 40 points since June 19, his .382 average second in the majors in that stretch. Bogaerts, who turns 33 Oct. 1, has had an uneven first two years in San Diego, his OPS falling 102 points to .688 last season. Yet he's back at his familiar shortstop post and exemplifying this Padre group's ethos: Make good swing decisions, get the ball in play, catch the ball and run the bases aggressively and smartly. Bogaerts' 16.2% strikeout rate is his best since 2015, when he was 22 and in his first full season with Boston. The Padres' 695 strikeouts are fewest in the NL – 68 less than the nearest playoff contender, the Cubs. 'Just trying to swing at strikes,' says Bogaerts, who has stolen 16 bases in 17 attempts. 'Keep working and keeping the same routine.' Shildt is a bit more effusive. 'Just looks under control. Balanced. Everything looks smooth. He's got a lot of (stolen bases), right there with Tati. And he's playing as good a shortstop as anybody in baseball. 'We're getting an All-Star version of Bogey.' A division shot, a shot in the arm As they pass the 100-game mark in Miami, the Padres can feel good in who they are, and what is at stake. 'I know we have a good team," says Bogaerts. "We have to play some really good baseball. We have a tough stretch coming up and a big second half, so hopefully we can get there.' Indeed, 29 of their next 35 games are against teams with winning records; the Padres are just 20-32 against teams better than .500 this season. Things aren't optimal, but you can see help from here. King, currently on the injured list with a pinched nerve in his right shoulder, is throwing bullpen sessions and hopes for an August return. In his stead, Nick Pivetta – signed when the veteran righty hit a free agent road bump due to the qualifying offer – is pitching better than he has in his nine-year career. Jackson Merrill, who probably should have won NL Rookie of the Year honors last year, has been slowed by a pair of IL stints yet still has a runway to salvage the rest of his sophomore season. And for better or worse, they'll be done with the Dodgers by Aug. 24 after playing them six times in a 10-game stretch. Of their final 27 games, 10 are against the Colorado Rockies and Chicago White Sox, the two worst teams in baseball. 'We have a chance to win the division out here,' says Tatis. 'We got a lot of baseball ahead of us. It's a matter of taking care of business and staying consistent.' And then there is the deadline. The Padres' needs are not unlike almost every other contender: A starting pitcher. Another outfield or DH bat, preferably right-handed. And perhaps another reliever, though the Padres are dealing from a position of strength rather than the relief misery many other clubs find themselves in. 'There is great talent in this room,' says catcher Martin Maldonado, the 38-year-old veteran of six Houston Astros playoff runs. 'The pitching staff is amazing.' In fact, the Padres believe, whatever additions arrive can only build upon something solid. Perhaps they will push them to a division title, a round deeper in the playoffs. Point is, the Padres have put themselves in position to reap those rewards. 'Almost every facet of the game we've been good,' says Shildt, citing the consistency of the team's at-bats as the last piece to slide into place. 'I do feel like we're in a good spot and trending to a great spot.' This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Padres' MLB trade deadline rumors depend on hot second-half start