Rental prices 'painful' for average earners
It follows the release of the government's Property Prices Bulletin, which shows the average local market rental price was £2,068 a month in the first quarter of 2025.
That figure is 1.5% higher than the previous quarter, 8.2% higher than the first quarter of 2024 and 51.7% higher than five years ago.
Richard Hemans, the IoD lead on economics, said comparing the figure to the most recent average income data showed renting would cost 55% of a persons salary.
Mr Hemans said rental prices had been a "major driver of inflation" in the island and had increased "much faster than in Jersey".
"The ongoing strength will continue to put upward pressure on local inflation," he said.
"The cost of renting a property in Guernsey has increased by 52% since the pandemic as the population has grown and not enough properties have been built.
"The last figures from Q3 2024 show that rental costs consume a painful 55% of earnings, leaving little scope for discretionary spending once essential purchases and taxation is paid."
He added: "Given that rental costs have likely outpaced earnings over the last six months, this metric will have deteriorated further."
The Property Prices Bulletin also showed the average price for a local market property was £580,412 at the start of the year, 3.2% lower than the first quarter of 2024.
"The cost of renting a property is still rising fast, whilst the affordability of ownership is improving although still elevated," said Mr Hemans.
"The latest figures confirm what we already know in that we are not building enough homes, which is the key driver of price and affordability pressures.
"This has to remain one of the top priorities for the next States and is fundamental to our social and economic prosperity."
He said 71 new property units were created over the last 12 months and 527 over the last five years, which was "significantly lower" than the target of 310 units per year, or 1,550 over five years.
"Over the last quarter the number of property units fell by five," said Mr Hemans.
"This explains why Guernsey house prices will continue to remain high and strong in the context of full employment, robust earnings, falling interest rates and a growing population driven by positive net migration.
He added: "The scale of the housing challenge has been recognised, and momentum is building to address the issue, but over the short term this disequilibrium will ensure that prices remain elevated whilst transactions will remain below historic levels."
More news stories for Guernsey
Listen to the latest news for Guernsey
Follow BBC Guernsey on X and Facebook and Instagram. Send your story ideas to channel.islands@bbc.co.uk.
Plans submitted for 101 homes near cinema complex
Guernsey adds 'one affordable home in two years'
Slight drop in Guernsey rent and house prices
Guernsey Property Prices Bulletin
Institute of Directors
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
an hour ago
- Yahoo
Full fibre broadband rollout begins in Woolston to boost speeds
Work is now under way on a full fibre broadband network that will transform connectivity. Openreach has begun building the new infrastructure in Woolston, promising gigabit-capable speeds and improved reliability for homes and businesses. The upgrade will enable faster streaming, smoother video calls, and better support for growing data needs across multiple devices. Martin Williams, Openreach partnership director for Hampshire, said: "We're bringing full fibre broadband to Woolston and letting local people know what to expect. Crews use existing ducts to speed up fibre installation process (Image: Openreach)READ MORE: AI phone assistant reduces cataract wait times "This is a major infrastructure upgrade, so there will be more engineering teams, equipment and vans around town, and we're working hard to keep disruption to a minimum." He added that most of the work will use existing ducts and poles to reduce roadworks and avoid installing new street furniture. However, Martin warned that in some areas, new underground ducts, fibre cables, or poles may still be needed to ensure all properties are included in the upgrade.
Yahoo
an hour ago
- Yahoo
Animal rendering plant responds - as MP calls for it to be shut down over bad smells
A BRADFORD business has said it "makes every effort to minimise odours" - after an MP urged the Council to take steps to shut its operations down amid concerns about bad smells. For years, residents and businesses have complained about odours allegedly linked to the P Waddington animal rendering plant, off Hammerton Street. This week, Imran Hussain, Bradford East Labour MP, wrote to Bradford Council demanding that it looks at the legal options it can take against Waddington & Co (1947) Ltd, with a view to closing its operations. Councillor Susan Hinchcliffe, leader of the Council, said the 'very offensive smells are hugely frustrating' for the area and 'need to stop'. P Waddington has been based in the city since the 1880s, and is one of just a handful of animal by-product rendering facilities in the UK. Dead animals and animal parts - such as bone, offal and hooves - are transported to the site from across the country and then recycled into energy and biofuels. P Waddington - which is owned by Sheffield-based company J G Pears Group - said it "understands concerns of residents and businesses located close to our facility", adding that its "operations are within the strict requirements of our environmental permit and odour management plan". 'Lives blighted' Mr Hussain told the Telegraph & Argus: "For years I have been campaigning for Waddingtons to take action and deal with the foul odours and long-standing concerns of local residents, whose lives have been seriously blighted. "I've written to Bradford Council demanding that they look at all the legal options available to deal with Waddington & Co, with a view to closing down their operation." He said the Council "must look at legal options to act decisively in the public interest". Bradford East MP Imran Hussain (Image: Parliament) He added: "This is not just unpleasant for residents - it's a serious public health issue. "For years, residents have had their lives made a misery. "I'm informed it's getting worse: more frequent, more intense, and more disruptive. "We need a legal solution to fix this situation. "I'm also calling on Bradford City Council to have an urgent debate on this and consider all legal option available." Cllr Hinchcliffe told the T&A: "The very offensive smells are hugely frustrating for the local community and for the wider district and need to stop. Councillor Susan Hinchcliffe, leader of Bradford Council (Image: Newsquest) "We are making so many improvements to the city centre that we now expect everyone to step up, play their part and clean up their act. "As leader, I want to make sure Council officers are doing all they can to hold those responsible to account and I will ask them to look at what more we can do. "We'll be replying to the MP, who has consistently made his views very clear on this matter, more formally in due course." 'We make every effort to minimise odours' Alistair Collins, a director at P Waddington, said: "We would like to highlight that we continue to be open to meeting the MP and community representatives to discuss this matter. "We understand the concerns of residents and businesses located close to our facility. "We also recognise the inherent challenges of a site in such a built-up area; however, the facility is in a designated industrial area, and there are other enterprises nearby handling animal products. "P Waddington make every effort to minimise odours beyond the site boundary. "Our operations are within the strict requirements of our environmental permit and odour management plan. "All of this is done in line with the UK Best Available Techniques (BAT). "BAT ensures that industrial installations use the best available techniques to prevent or minimise emissions and environmental impact. "Our permit was granted because the installation uses modern technology and operating procedures compliant with the current BAT standards. "Other installations handling animal by-products in the UK will be using the same techniques to manage odour and emissions. "The installation is regularly inspected by environmental health officers from Bradford Council. "We work with them constructively to ensure compliant operations at the installation in accordance with our environmental permit. "Animal by-product processing facilities like ours play a vital role in making livestock production sustainable and in preventing animal disease outbreaks. "We take animal material not suitable for food and convert it into safe, reusable resources, such as biofuels. "There are robust regulations governing this sector to ensure the protection of public health."
Yahoo
2 hours ago
- Yahoo
This could be the most consequential week for the economy in years
The state of President Donald Trump's economy is about to come into full view. A slew of crucial economic data is set for release this week, including the jobs report, inflation, consumer confidence and corporate earnings. We'll get the first glimpse at America's second-quarter gross domestic product, the broadest measure of the economy. And, most crucially, the Federal Reserve will decide whether to cut rates or hold steady one more time. As if that weren't enough, Trump's trade polices also come due: Friday is the administration's self-imposed deadline for settling tariff rates for all 200+ US trading partners. Trump's top economic advisers will be negotiating a trade framework with China in Sweden. And an appeals court will hear arguments this week about whether the bulk of Trump's tariffs are even legal, to begin with. Altogether, the data could paint a picture of an economy that is resilient — but slowing under the weight of Trump's dizzying tariff changes, reductions in government workers and spending, and an aggressive deportation of foreign-born workers. Here's a look at what to expect this week and why the data matters: Corporate earnings Some of the biggest names in tech are set to release earnings this week, including Microsoft, Meta, Amazon and Apple. That will set the tone for market sentiment. Tech stocks have fueled record market growth in recent months as investors focus on gearing up for AI expansion. So far, around 80% of S&P 500 companies reporting earnings this season have beaten estimates, according to FactSet. Overall, stocks have marched higher into record territory recently, supported by cautious optimism in trade deals and better-than-expected economic data. That has emboldened Trump to push harder on his trade deals, telling NBC News earlier this month that markets hit new highs because 'tariffs have been very well received.' Why it matters: Strong earnings could continue to boost the stock market, which is starting to look a bit expensive for some investors. That could also convince Trump that the market — which turned on him in April — has acquiesced to his plan for higher tariffs. Consumer confidence and sentiment Two separate reads on the way Americans are feeling about the economy are set to be released this week. Consumer confidence, as measured by Conference Board, sank to the lowest level since the pandemic when Trump slapped massive tariffs on major trading partners. Shoppers expressed concern about the negative impact on the economy and prices. But consumers are generally more optimistic now that trade deals are beginning to emerge. The consumer sentiment survey from the University of Michigan continues to show that shoppers are wary of inflation levels rising again, after the economy batted down historic price increases following the pandemic. Although sentiment has rallied back from near-record lows earlier this year, it remains depressed because of Trump's trade policy. Why it matters: Economists pay close attention to consumers' optimism, since their spending powers two-thirds of the economy — and when shoppers think prices are about to rise, they tend to pull back. The latest retail sales data shows that consumers are spending cautiously. Second-quarter GDP GDP is a key indicator of economic success and, arguably, a validation of Trump's policies. But this quarterly assessment has slumped in recent months, even shrinking in the first quarter of the year for the first time since 2022. Economists expect an improvement for the April-June quarter as imports rebalance after companies raced to front-load their purchases ahead of Trump's tariffs. They warn that, just as an inventory spike may have artificially hurt GDP in the first quarter, companies working through their warehoused goods in the second quarter may make the economy look better than it actually is. Why it matters: The US economy is large and resilient, and it has continued to support hundreds of thousands new jobs each month for years. But if Americans are getting cold feet, things could take a turn for the worse. Fed decision Trump has repeatedly — and publicly — berated Fed Chair Jerome Powell for not lowering the bank's interest rate (their recent détente notwithstanding), but the central bank is overwhelmingly expected to hold rates steady Wednesday at the conclusion of its two-day monetary policy meeting. In an unusual kink, two governors are expected to vote against the consensus of the board, which hasn't happened in three decades. With the job market still relatively strong, most Fed officials have said the economy can withstand higher rates for the time being. Meanwhile, they want to wait to see how Trump's policies of high tariffs and deportation of foreign workers impact inflation and the labor market. Why it matters: The bank is widely expected to start cutting its key overnight lending rate in September — a good sign for Americans hoping to borrow money, and especially for first-time homebuyers, who have been effectively locked out of the market with mortgage rates close to 7%. Inflation The Fed's favorite inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, has been creeping higher — moving further away from its 2% goal in recent months. That's just one factor behind the central bank's position on rate cuts. Why it matters: Shoppers have been pulling forward purchases, including back-to-school items, to mitigate expected higher prices, but the July data will likely still bear the fingerprints of Trump's tumultuous trade policy: Items like furniture and toys are starting to reflect elevated costs as pre-tariff inventory is depleted. Trade deadline Trump's pause on the hefty and unpopular tariffs he rolled out in April expires on August 1. In the intervening period, the White House has scrambled to make deals with a slew of partners, announcing preliminary arrangements with the UK, China, Vietnam, Indonesia, the Philippines and Japan. And on Sunday, Trump announced a framework for an EU deal. As the final deadline approaches, Trump said Friday he would be sending out letters to roughly 200 countries this week unilaterally setting a range of tariff rates. 'It's basically going to say, you're going to pay 10%, you're going to pay 15%, you're going to pay maybe less, I don't know,' Trump told reporters before he left for a trip to Scotland. US markets are 'very, very fixated' on the levels that are set, and an effective tariff rate beyond 20% on major trading partners could trigger a downturn on Wall Street, one analyst told CNN. Why it matters: Trump's tariffs that are currently in effect have raised the effective US tariff rate — the average tax that US importers pay on foreign goods — from around 2% to 18%, the highest since 1934, economists at Yale's Budget Lab said in a recent report. That works out to $2,400 a year in added costs for the average American household. The US economy and markets have been able to withstand that so far. A considerably higher tariff rate could put that to the test. Trade negotiations Talks with China are ongoing, however. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is set to meet Monday and Tuesday with Chinese officials to iron out the details of the framework the two countries agreed upon at their London and Geneva meetings. Trump in April slapped a 145% tariff on imports from China, prompting Beijing to respond with a 125% tariff on imports from the United States. That effectively created a total embargo between the world's two largest economies before they agreed on a pause until August 12. Meanwhile, on Thursday, the US Court of Appeals will hear oral arguments about whether Trump can use his emergency powers to levy tariffs after a lower court ruled he had exceeded his authority in doing so. Why it matters: One of the Trump administration's goals is to shift China towards a more consumer-driven domestic economy, thereby reducing global oversupply of its manufactured goods. While it's unlikely that the United States will dramatically reshape Chinese President Xi Jinping's economic policy, small changes could open some of China's market to US manufacturers, while helping to increase American factory jobs. Jobs report Trump has promised a 'Made in America' revival, but the July jobs report is expected to show that average monthly employment gains have dropped to a level not seen since 2010 (excluding the pandemic-era losses). The labor force has shrunk in recent months, a potential indication of how anti-immigrant rhetoric and mass deportations are weighing on employment. In addition, the most recent report showed that the manufacturing sector lost jobs for the second-straight month — a murky development for one of Trump's benchmark economic priorities. Why it matters: America's labor market has been its strong suit for years, routinely defying expectations since the pandemic. But it's showing cracks. Americans who lose their job are now staying unemployed for longer as businesses stall on making decisions, including hiring, as the trade war continues to raise costs.