Bayern Munich vs. Benfica odds, predictions: FIFA Club World Cup picks, best bets Tuesday
Bayern Munich demonstrated its mettle in a 2-1 victory over Boca Juniors last week, clinching its spot in the Round of 16 of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup.
The Bavarians now set their sights on Benfica, who can join Bayern in the knockout stages if they pick up at least a point against the German champions at the Bank of America Stadium on Tuesday afternoon.
Bayern needs to avoid defeat to win the group, but the betting market is anticipating plenty of squad rotation from Die Roten as they try to keep fresh ahead of the business end of the tournament.
Bayern is still the favorite to win the match, but they're sitting at plus-money on the three-way moneyline for this match.
That wouldn't be the case if Vincent Kompany was expected to dress his best Starting XI.
Known as a defensive powerhouse, you'd think that the circumstances of this match would suit Benfica.
The Portuguese side only conceded 0.82 goals per match this past season, and they've conceded just one goal and 0.86 expected goals (xG) in two matches at the FIFA Club World Cup.
Vangelis Pavlidis of Benfica celebrating a goal against Auckland City.
AP
The problem is that Bayern's defense is in another league compared to Benfica's.
Only one team (Napoli) in Europe's Big 5 Leagues conceded fewer expected goals than the Bavarians did last season.
Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps
Throw in an offense that led Europe in goals per game, and you can see how this match can go sideways for Benfica in a hurry.
Bayern, even with a rotated squad, should be a bigger favorite Tuesday.
THE PLAY: Bayern Munich +100 (FanDuel)
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
Hashtags
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
New York Times
20 minutes ago
- New York Times
Chloe Kelly and Hannah Hampton, England's Euros stars. Plus: How Gibbs-White shocked Spurs
The Athletic FC is The Athletic's daily football (or soccer, if you prefer) newsletter. Sign up to receive it directly to your inbox. Hello! England took the spoils at Euro 2025. We're ranking it as one of the most bulletproof campaigns in history. On the way: 🐈 Lionesses' nine lives 🤝 Bayern Munich agree Diaz fee 💂 Messi 'bodyguard' joins Miami 😬 Pep and Xavi India job hoax Nothing summed up England at this summer's European Championship more than Lucy Bronze navigating the entire tournament with a fractured left leg, without anyone on the outside knowing. The Lionesses are seasoned finalists, but hardship comes naturally too, and glory in Switzerland yesterday goes straight to the top as Sarina Wiegman's finest hour. A fractured tibia was not going to stop Lucy Bronze from battling for Euro 2025 glory with England. Nor will it prevent her from partying tonight. — The Athletic | Football (@TheAthleticFC) July 27, 2025 Where to start, beyond Bronze defying a competition-ending injury? There were the last-minute withdrawals hoisted upon Wiegman, at least one of which felt like toys out of the pram. There was a defeat against France in their tournament opener, and the two occasions when England teetered on the brink, looking like they were toast against Sweden in the quarter-finals and Italy in the semis. Advertisement They led for all of four minutes across the knockouts (and that includes stoppage time). The phrase you're looking for is 'more lives than a cat'. Even yesterday, on the way to beating Spain on penalties, they rode the concession of the opening goal and a big wobble to start the shootout. Beth Mead, having lost her footing and touched the ball twice while converting the initial penalty, was ordered to retake it (a legacy of the furore involving Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid in the Champions League last season). She stepped back up and missed. Somehow, minutes later, Chloe Kelly was winning the final regardless (below). Kelly herself is a lesson in managing adversity. She scored the winner when England won in 2022 and was their clutch player this summer, but go back six months and it wasn't certain that she would be on the plane to Switzerland. Her relationship with Manchester City had broken down irretrievably and, in some desperation, she forced a loan to Arsenal, accusing City of 'assassinating my character'. And then there's Hannah Hampton, a goalkeeper who went into the Euros as first choice but against the unhelpful backdrop of her predecessor, Mary Earps, retiring out of nowhere. Hampton was not supposed to have made it as a pro, yet there she was in Basel, stopping two penalties and saving the day, with notes on Spain's takers stuck to her forearms. Defending their Euro 2022 crown, Wiegman and England had something up their sleeve at every turn. Dynasty status is assured. A degree of sympathy lies with Spain because they deserved a major tournament win they could fully embrace. Two years ago, they claimed their first Women's World Cup but the moment was rapidly and sourly overshadowed by the fallout from Luis Rubiales kissing Jenni Hermoso in the aftermath. Spanish football is only just coming through the other side of that scandal. Advertisement Spain had England treading water in extra time in Basel but, in keeping with much of their semi-final victory against Germany, precision eluded them at the crucial moments. When they turned to Aitana Bonmati in the shootout, the world's best player was bested by Hampton (above). Everybody has moments when they prove to be human. Defeat doesn't change the fact that the sport in Spain is in rude health. The country's women's team were this close and, as Laia Cervello Herrero writes, its federation is giving them so much more support than it did in the lead-up to the 2023 World Cup. The men's team could easily go into the 2026 World Cup as favourites. Yesterday didn't belong to Spain, but they'll be coming again. 🖱️ Most clicked in Friday's TAFC: Fox Sports' Euro 2025 coverage. Morgan Gibbs-White, meet Nico Williams. For the second time this summer, the transfer window has caught us off guard by making a major move sound like a nailed-on eventuality, only to then go into reverse gear. TAFC covered Williams to Barcelona (or not) at length but let's recap the Gibbs-White situation: two weeks ago, he was all but en route for a medical at Tottenham Hotspur. Spurs, much to Nottingham Forest's chagrin, thought they had triggered a release clause in his contract, worth £60million ($80.6m). We jotted it down as done. As signings go, it would have been a coup for Tottenham and their new head coach, Thomas Frank. Gibbs-White is a quality midfielder who went into the window with Manchester City all over him. So you can picture the non-plussed faces at Spurs when, on Saturday, Gibbs-White extended his Forest deal to 2028 and, flanked by owner Evangelos Marinakis, used a club interview to confirm that he was staying put. Advertisement The Premier League has a pecking order and in years gone by, Spurs would have succeeded in strong-arming Forest, especially since Gibbs-White's release clause seemed to present them with an open goal. But Marinakis stood his ground, dug in his heels and, through the offer of a contract described as a 'record', delivered an almighty flex. They are many things, Forest, and never dull. In response to Lionel Messi's no-show at Major League Soccer's All-Star game — exposing him to the threat of a one-match ban — TAFC reader Marcelo Graca wrote to us. To paraphrase his view, suspending Messi would be laughable, and the All-Star game is a circus. I broadly agree, and MLS does need to consider the wisdom of pitching an exhibition fixture into the middle of a busy season. It's of zero consequence, after all. But equally, rules ought to be applied fairly and the rules state that anybody missing the All-Star game for reasons other than injury should be banned. MLS can't make exceptions, even for Messi. And sure enough, it didn't. Messi and Jordi Alba, who also failed to travel to Austin, served a one-match suspension during Inter Miami's 0-0 draw with FC Cincinnati on Saturday, a flat contest that didn't do much for Miami's chances of retaining the Supporters' Shield. Miami owner Jorge Mas isn't happy, and MLS hasn't heard the last of it. It wouldn't be like Inter to be cowed, though. As all this was kicking off, they were concluding the signing of Messi's midfield 'bodyguard', as some would have it. Rodrigo De Paul (above with Messi) joins from Atletico Madrid, a shark-sized catch in U.S. soccer terms. The Supporters' Shield might be in the balance but their chances of the MLS Cup just shot up. On Friday, we challenged you to name the 12 French footballers who have scored 30-plus goals and registered 20-plus assists in the Premier League. It wasn't a gimme, but I'd be disappointed if you didn't land a fair few of these. Thierry Henry, Nicolas Anelka, Olivier Giroud, Eric Cantona, Louis Saha, Alexandre Lacazette, Florent Malouda, Robert Pires, Samir Nasri, Patrick Vieira, Steed Malbranque and Anthony Martial. The 'strike' that puts us ahead at the break. One for the Dubious Goals Panel… 🧐 🍊 #UTMP — Blackpool FC (@BlackpoolFC) July 26, 2025 A new English season looms, and the playing-out-from-the-back police are ready. The punishment for this debacle, above, should be straight to jail without passing 'Go'. The guilty party were Doncaster Rovers, during a pre-season friendly against Blackpool over the weekend. The highlight of the clip is the crowd behind the goal, sitting and staring as if the entire sequence is a wind-up. God bless Pep Guardiola and his religious passing, but in inspiring the world, he's got a bit to answer for.
Yahoo
3 hours ago
- Yahoo
Liverpool 'to make formal offer' for Alexander Isak this week as £65.5m Luis Diaz transfer is agreed
Liverpool have agreed a deal that is expected to help fund a bid for Newcastle striker Alexander Isak. The Reds have already bolstered their attack with the signing of Hugo Ekitike but remain interested in bringing Isak, who scored 23 Premier League goals last season, to the club this summer. Despite approaching Newcastle over signing of the Sweden international for around £120million, the reigning champions of England were quickly told that the striker was not for sale. However, the transfer saga took a stunning twist last week when Isak asked to leave Newcastle and was subsequently left out of the squad that travelled to Asia for the pre-season tour. Now, the Magpies are bracing themselves for a formal offer from Liverpool for Isak this week. According to reports, the Merseyside giants have been given the green light to launch a bid for the striker as Luis Diaz's exit is imminent. Liverpool have agreed to sell the Colombia international to Bayern Munich for a fee said to be in the region of £65.5m. The money from the sale is expected to fund a bid for Isak. While the message from the Newcastle hierarchy has been they want to keep their best players, if Liverpool's offer approaches £150m mark and Isak pushes to leave St James' Park then that stance could soften. Regardless of the outcome, Newcastle manager Eddie Howe is well aware his side must strengthen after missing out on a number of key targets - including Ekitike. Speaking after the pre-season defeat to Arsenal on Sunday, he said: 'We're not deluded. We know we need to bring players in. 'We've known that for a long time. We did a lot of work (at the end of last season), we knew what we wanted. 'But it's been a challenging transfer window. Let's see what we can do.'
Yahoo
4 hours ago
- Yahoo
€78m deal is Liverpool's DREAM come true
Liverpool are set to strike a €78m deal. It's a dream come true and exactly what the Reds needed. Liverpool have found a few deals this summer that are still incredible to think about. Florian Wirtz's record-breaking arrival remains the peak, of course. LFC x New Era Shop Now LFC Signed Merch Shop Now LFC x Titleist Shop Now Wirtz cost Liverpool more than any other player in their history, arriving for around £100m guaranteed. That could well rise to a British transfer record if add-ons are met. The Jeremie Frimpong deal feels like a steal, too. He's joined for under £30m and fixes a few problems in the squad. One of those problems was created by Trent Alexander-Arnold leaving for Real Madrid. Still, Liverpool turned that into a remarkable deal - £10m for a player who wouldn't actually play for the club again. Jarell Quansah joined Bayer Leverkusen for a sizeable fee in another brilliant deal. Liverpool retain a buyback clause for the defender so if he does reach his remarkable potential, the Reds can buy him back. Everything has been going Liverpool's way this summer, then. And now another deal can be added to that list. Liverpool to strike Luis Diaz deal Fabrizio Romano is one of many saying that a deal between Liverpool and Bayern Munich for Luis Diaz is now close. He says this one's at the final stages, with only details being sorted. Now, Romano claims the fee here is around €75m. Sky Sports suggest it's slightly higher at around €78m. And this is a fantastic deal for Liverpool. It's a large fee - one of the largest received for a Red - and it's for someone approaching 29 with two years remaining on his contract. Diaz wasn't going to sign a new deal, either, after negotiations broke down. His asking price would have plummeted in a year as a result of that - Liverpool needed to get this one done now.
