Over 50 Dead in Texas Floods as Families of Missing Wait and Hope
Rescuers combing the swollen banks of the Guadalupe River were holding out hope that survivors might still be found. The potential of more bad weather Sunday also loomed over ground and air operations. The National Weather Service warned of more rainfall and slow-moving thunderstorms that could create flash floods in the already saturated areas in Texas Hill Country.
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CNN
13 minutes ago
- CNN
Local officials facing questions over lack of preparations in the years and hours before deadly Texas floods
As Central Texas reels from flash floods that killed over 100 people this weekend, questions are sharpening about whether officials could have done more to avert the tragedy – both in the decades leading up to the disaster, and in the moments after the Guadalupe River began cresting its banks. In recent years, multiple efforts in Kerr County to build a more substantial flood warning system have faltered or been abandoned due to budget concerns, leaving the epicenter of this weekend's floods without emergency sirens that could have warned residents about the rising waters. And while at least one neighboring county issued evacuation orders in the morning hours of July 4, Kerr County officials don't appear to have done so. A review of typically off-the-record communications from a real-time messaging system operated by the National Weather Service showed that no emergency manager from Kerr County was sending messages or interacting with NWS staff on the platform, even as emergency officials from other counties were doing so. CNN was granted permission to report some of the information from this platform. The lack of messages doesn't mean officials in Kerr County weren't monitoring the communications from the NWS and acting on them. But it raises new questions about local officials' actions, particularly in a crucial window between NWS's first public warning alert at 1:14 a.m. and a more urgent flash flood warning sent several hours later. Some local officials have defended the decision not to order broad evacuations, saying they were concerned cars could have been trapped in quickly rising waters. Kerr County Emergency Management Coordinator W.B. 'Dub' Thomas declined to comment when CNN asked him to explain actions the county took in the early morning hours of Friday. 'I don't have time for an interview, so I'm going to cancel this call,' he said. While NWS issued numerous warnings early Friday morning as the danger increased, it's unclear how widely they reached those in more remote areas where cell phone service may have been limited – including at Camp Mystic, where at least 27 campers and counselors were killed. Some campers at Mystic were staying in areas that had previously been identified as high-risk flood zones, government records show. Ali Mostafavi, a civil engineering professor at Texas A&M University, said the disaster showed how efforts to prepare for floods failed to keep pace with the risk in a region that he described as 'one of the deadliest flash flood alleys in the nation.' Local warning systems 'might have been adequate in the past,' Mostafavi said. 'But for the new norm, they are not adequate.' Local officials have long acknowledged the risk of deadly flooding in Kerr County. At a 2016 meeting, County Commissioner Tom Moser declared that Kerr was 'probably the highest risk area in the state for flooding,' and described the county's early warning system as 'pretty antiquated' and 'marginal at the best.' Moser, who retired from the commission in 2021, told CNN that his efforts to improve the local system hit wall after wall over the years. After massive flooding elsewhere in the Hill Country region in 2015, Moser said he studied how nearby Comal County had installed sirens, adopted plans for shutting off low-water crossings and made other flood preparations. He suggested that Kerr County follow suit. But some locals questioned where the funding would come from, while others worried about noise: 'Some people didn't like the concept of sirens going off and disturbing everybody,' Moser said. One of his fellow commissioners, H. A. 'Buster' Baldwin, voiced those concerns at a 2016 meeting. 'The thought of our beautiful Kerr County having these damn sirens going off in the middle of night, I'm going to have to start drinking again to put up with y'all,' said Baldwin, who died in 2022, according to a transcript of the meeting. In 2017, officials with the county and the Upper Guadalupe River Authority, which manages the river, applied for $980,000 in Federal Emergency Management Agency funds to build a flood warning system but were denied, meeting minutes and public records show. Without state or federal funding, Moser said, a flood warning system 'just didn't get to the top of the list' of funding priorities for the county itself – even though commissioners had considered 'all the number of people that have died in flash floods in the past.' Again in 2021, meeting minutes show how county commissioners discussed possibly allocating funds for a flood warning system that specifically included sirens. An engineer said a county commissioner had 'identified' $50,000 for the system. But the plans went nowhere. More recently, local officials considered applying for money for the system from Texas' Flood Infrastructure Fund, but declined to submit an application because the grant would have only covered about five percent of the cost of installation, according to documents from the river authority. Just this year, officials were moving forward with a more limited goal: The river authority posted a request for bids on a project to develop a data resource 'to improve flood warning to the public' in the county, according to an archived webpage from February. In April, the river agency passed a resolution to select a firm for the project, and an official said at a meeting the following month that 'consolidating rainfall, stream flow and other flood-related [data] would enhance delivery of flood warnings for the public,' according to an article in the Kerrville Daily Times. Moser said he thought that if the county had implemented an early warning system, it could have saved lives. 'You know, cell phones are good, okay? Text messages are good. But at the same time, there are places in the Hill Country you can't get a good signal,' he said. In the nearby town of Comfort, Texas, further downstream on the Guadalupe River, two sirens were helpful in alerting residents to evacuate, Brian Boyter, a volunteer firefighter in the town, told CNN. First responders on Monday in Comfort were still finding bodies that had washed down the river from Kerr County, but Boyter said that he wasn't aware of any flooding deaths in Comfort. The two areas have significant differences in topography and flood timing that made the flooding in Kerr County much more deadly, but Boyter attributed his town's success in part to the warning sirens. The Upper Guadalupe River Authority does have five gauges on the river in Kerr County, and one on a tributary, Johnson Creek, according to its website. Those gauges show the river level rose as much as 30 feet within a few hours early Friday morning. But Philip Bedient, a professor of engineering at Rice University who researches disaster management and flood modeling, said he thought the river should have at least double or triple that number of gauges in place. 'There should have been a better system,' Bedient said, calling the devastation caused by the flooding 'inexcusable.' He said the fact that Kerr County had been rejected for grant money to fund a warning system was 'just horrific.' 'I don't think they'll get turned down this time,' he said. Mark Rose, who worked as the manager of another Texas river authority, agreed that a larger network of gauges to give residents real-time information about the river's water level and 'what's coming down' toward them is critical – and worth the price tag. 'We'll spend more on recovery than the several million it would cost to put in a system of gauges,' Rose said of the Kerr County disaster. Without warning sirens, residents who faced rapidly rising waters in the early hours of July 4 were forced to rely on cellphone alerts and door-knocks from their neighbors. The National Weather Service issued its first public warning about the flooding in Kerr County at 1:14 a.m. on July 4, warning of 'life-threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams.' That warning, and subsequent warnings, triggered alerts to mobile devices through the Wireless Emergency Alert system, according to a CNN analysis of a FEMA alert database. The 1:14 a.m. message was followed by a series of increasingly dire bulletins, including a 4:03 a.m. warning saying, 'Move to higher ground now! This is an extremely dangerous and life-threatening situation.' But cellphone service in the area can be spotty, and not all residents appear to have received the alerts in the critical early-morning hours when the floodwaters rose. Behind the scenes, NWS officials were communicating with local emergency managers in the affected region over an internal messaging platform. Typically, the media is expected to treat messages from this platform as off-the-record, but a National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration official granted CNN permission to report general information about the Texas disaster from the platform. The messages show that after initial briefings on the afternoon of Thursday, July 3, about the potential of heavy rains to come, emergency managers from some counties in the region were posting on the system, querying forecasters about what to expect. Those messages picked up in pace as the flooding began in the early hours of July 4. But no emergency manager from Kerr County participated in those discussions on the messaging platform. It's unclear whether officials were reviewing the information being shared. As the floodwaters rose, officials in neighboring Kendall County ordered evacuations of residents living along Guadalupe River on Friday morning. But while Kerr County posted social media messages about the flooding on the morning of July 4, officials do not appear to have ordered any immediate evacuations. Local officials have defended the decision in recent days, saying that an evacuation in the middle of the night as waters were rapidly rising could have put more people in danger. In 1987, 10 campers in the region were killed when their bus was caught in Guadalupe River floodwaters as they were evacuating a flash flood, according to the NWS. 'It's very tough to make those calls,' Kerrville City Manager Dalton Rice told CNN on Monday. 'Evacuation is a delicate balance, because if you evacuate too late, you then risk putting buses or cars or vehicles or campers on roads into low water areas trying to get them out, which then can make it even more challenging.' 'What we also don't want to do is cry wolf,' Rice added. The risk was especially high at Camp Mystic, the nearly 100-year-old girls' camp on the banks of the Guadalupe River, where counselors and campers were forced to flee for higher ground amid rapidly rising floodwaters and more than two dozen people died. Some of the cabins campers were staying in are located in the river's 'regulatory floodway' – the area that floods first and is most dangerous – according to federal flood maps. Other cabins were located in an area that the federal government has determined has a 1% chance of flooding each year. New construction or significant renovations in those zones would have required a specific review by a local floodplain manager, according to Kerr County documents. But historic aerial imagery shows that the cabins in the area of the campground most affected by flooding have been there for more than 50 years. The county floodplain administrator did not respond to requests for comment on Monday. L. David Givler, a hydrologist and civil engineer based in Texas, said that residents and business owners in flood zones often don't realize the danger they're in. 'I don't think you're going to find anybody who would say it's a good idea for those structures to be there,' Givler said of Camp Mystic's cabins. CNN's Thomas Bordeaux, Isabelle Chapman, Majlie de Puy Kamp, Brandon Miller, Bob Ortega, and Jeff Winter contributed to this report.
Washington Post
29 minutes ago
- Washington Post
Texas county deflects mounting questions over actions before deadly flood
As deaths from catastrophic Texas flooding surpassed 100 on Monday, local officials in one of the hardest-hit counties have still revealed little about what, if any, actions they took to safeguard residents, tourists and visitors in an area known as 'flash flood alley.' At a series of briefings since the flooding on July 4, Kerr County officials have deflected a series of pointed questions about preparations and warnings as forecasters warned of life-threatening conditions.
Associated Press
42 minutes ago
- Associated Press
Texas county deflects mounting questions over actions before deadly flood
As deaths from catastrophic Texas flooding surpassed 100 on Monday, local officials in one of the hardest-hit counties have still revealed little about what, if any, actions they took to safeguard residents, tourists and visitors in an area known as 'flash flood alley.' At a series of briefings since the flooding on July 4, Kerr County officials have deflected a series of pointed questions about preparations and warnings as forecasters warned of life-threatening conditions. The county in the scenic Texas Hill Country is home to several summer camps, including Camp Mystic, an all-girls Christian summer camp that announced Monday it lost at least 27 campers and counselors. 'Today's not the day and now's not the time to discuss the warnings, who got them, who didn't got them. Right now I'm only worried about public safety,' Kerr County Sheriff Larry Leitha said Monday during an emergency session of the county commissioners court. Dalton Rice, the city manager of Kerrville, said Monday that authorities were reluctant to 'cry wolf' and order evacuations, adding that rainfall 'significantly' exceeded the projected amounts. He said officials had little time to react in the middle of the night, adding that qualified first responders were being 'swept away' driving through the initial rainfall. 'This rose very quickly in a very short amount of time,' Rice said. Dire weather service warnings In the 48 hours before the floods, the potential for heavy rains put precautions in motion as the state activated an emergency response plan and moved resources into the central Texas area. The National Weather Service issued a flash-flood warning at 1:14 a.m. Friday to mobile phones and weather radios, more than three hours before the first reports of flooding at low-water crossings in Kerr County at 4:35 a.m. The warning was updated at 4:03 a.m. to a flash-flood emergency. The warning included Hunt, the small town that's home to Camp Mystic. Girls who were rescued from the camp have said they were woken up after midnight by strong storms that knocked out power. Bright flashes from lightning strikes showed the river rising rapidly. It was not immediately clear what kind of evacuation plans Camp Mystic might have had. 'Flash flood alley' Local officials have known for decades that flooding posed serious risk to life and property in the region, and a county government report last year warned the threat was getting worse. Kerr County's hazard mitigation action plan reported at least 106 'flood occurrences' dating back to 1960. Local officials determined that another flood was likely in the next year and that 'future worst-case flood events' could be more severe than those of the past. The risk of a 500-year flood was 'not negligible' and could lead to downed power lines, stranded residents and buildings that were damaged 'or even completely washed away,' the report warned. Climate change could make the river flooding more frequent, it noted. The region has known significant tragedy. A 1987 flood after a heavy rain prompted the evacuation of a youth camp in the town of Comfort. A wall of water quickly swamped buses and vans. Ten teenagers died. Decades later, the Upper Guadalupe River Authority, which manages the river watershed, released a video to YouTube titled 'Be Flood Aware 2017.' Viewed over 40,000 times online, the video outlines the history of the Guadalupe River, its history of tragic flooding and ways the public can remain safe when floodwaters rise. 'Terrain here is unique for flash flooding,' the video noted. It mentioned the dangers of a significant rainfall near the river's headwaters near Camp Mystic. The video noted the shallow headwaters with limestone underneath the riverbed. 'If you get 3 or 4 inches of rain at one time, that can be a real serious problem,' the video warned. The storm that hit last Friday dumped more than 6 inches (15 centimeters) on the area in three hours. The river rose 26 feet (8 meters) in just 45 minutes. In January 2017, the Kerr County Commissioners Court unanimously approved an application for a $975,00 grant from the Federal Emergency Management Agency to develop a flood warning system, according to transcripts of the meeting. Less than a year later, commissioners learned the grant was not approved. Most of that funding went to communities hit by Hurricane Harvey. Calls for an alarm The river authority has cited the need to develop a flood warning system in Kerr County as a top priority in its last three annual strategic plans. Kerr County commissioners considered several years ago a proposal for a flood warning system similar to sirens used for tornadoes in other parts of the country, including in nearby Comal County, which includes part of the Guadalupe River. Kerr County Judge Rob Kelly, who was not on the commission at the time but attended meetings, said the warning system idea was shelved because residents 'reeled at the cost.' Nicole Wilson, a San Antonio mother who took her daughters out of a neighboring hill country camp ahead of the flooding amid concerns about its evacuation plans, said county leaders need to push for one. Wilson launched an online petition calling for Kerr County to install flooding warning sirens to alert in real time. She plans to present the signatures to Gov. Greg Abbott when lawmakers convene in a special session July 23. She called a siren system 'almost a no-brainer.' 'I'm sure those children expected at any moment that an adult was going to rescue them,' she said. 'I don't think there can be much more heartbreak than that, and so if there's a way to prevent it, it needs to be implemented quickly.'
