Analysts in India Redefine Equity Strategy Edge

Arabian Post

11 hours ago

Foreign institutional investor activity has slowed, but India's equity market is gaining a new level of sophistication thanks to the rapid emergence of long‑short strategies among domestic analysts. With regulatory approval of the Specialised Investment Fund route and increasing recognition of sell‑side research, analysts in India are setting new standards, outperforming peers in major global markets.
At the centre of this shift are flagship long‑short funds, enabled by an April amendment that allowed mutual funds to engage in both long and short equity positions via the SIF framework. Industry leaders such as ICICI Prudential, SBI, Quant and ITI Mutual Funds are among the first to roll out these products. This structural innovation, viewed by asset managers as a game‑changer, allows strategic hedging and enhanced alpha generation in volatile conditions.
Jatinder Pal Singh, CEO of ITI Mutual Fund, identifies the move as a watershed moment: 'We see a lot of potential in this category similar to what we have seen in alternative investment funds…'. Quantitative and hedge fund entrants—AlphaGrep, Abakkus and Carnelian—are also applying for SIF licences, signalling a rising tide of systematic strategies.
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The surge in long-short offerings emerges against a backdrop of changing investor sentiment and derivative market structures. While proprietary traders and retail continue to dominate derivatives trading—accounting for 52.3% and 33.6% respectively—domestic institutional participation remains minimal at just 0.2%. The launch of these funds is expected to usher in broader institutional adoption, reducing reliance on speculative flows.
Simultaneously, foreign players are reassessing their exposure. Citigroup downgraded Indian equities to 'neutral' citing stretched valuations and slower earnings growth. Bank of America has flagged valuation concerns as part of seven headwinds to near‑term market performance, though it remains bullish on India's long‑run structural strengths. Morgan Stanley echoes this optimism, describing the market as undervalued and promising for patient investors.
At the nexus of these developments, sell‑side analysts play a pivotal role. Their long‑short models provide more nuanced insights, enabling differentiated strategies compared to conventional long‑only approaches. This evolution mirrors practices in advanced markets, where close analyst coverage is integral to informed decision‑making.
International observers are taking note. Carson Block, known for his critical research into Chinese markets, is considering launching a long‑short or long‑only fund in India, citing opportunities in corporate transparency and leveraging tax-friendly jurisdictions like GIFT City. His interest signals growing confidence in the depth and potential of India's equity ecosystem.
The broader equities landscape reflects these shifts. Foreign institutional investors are ramping up bearish positions in derivatives, signalling caution amid valuation concerns and global uncertainties. Concurrently, new equity supply is expanding, with a surge in IPOs and share sales reflecting a 14% rise in benchmark indices over the preceding six months. Analysts warn that without strong institutional demand, this wave may trigger volatility.
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Experts argue the timing could not be better for long‑short funds. As valuations plateau and geopolitical uncertainty remains — including Middle East tensions affecting crude prices — the ability to manage risk through hedging becomes decisive. Fund managers are betting that structured strategies will better manage these headwinds.
At the same time, India's growing affluent class—from double‑digit income growth to rising equity allocation—adds tailwinds. Wealth managers like 360 One are expanding advisory services amid rising assets under management, reflecting the country's broader push toward financial sophistication. The development of long‑short funds aligns with these trends, offering differentiated solutions to high‑net‑worth investors seeking yield in uncertain markets.
Yet challenges remain. Institutional engagement in derivatives must scale meaningfully to support product viability. Regulators and market infrastructure will need to adapt, ensuring transparency and risk‑management frameworks keep pace. Moreover, investor education is critical; long‑short strategies are complex and require a clear understanding of leverage, margin risk and counterparty exposures.
Nonetheless, the direction is clear: Indian equity markets are transitioning from conventional long‑only investing to embrace multi‑directional strategies, leveraging deep local research and structural innovation. With the SIF framework opening doors for long‑short funds, analysts are stepping into roles once reserved for global peers. As Citi tones down enthusiasm and global investors tread cautiously, India's analysts are sharpening tools that could redefine the domestic landscape—and perhaps export this model abroad.