Oil tumbles as OPEC+ hikes August output more than expected
SINGAPORE (Reuters) -Oil prices slipped more than 1% on Monday after OPEC+ surprised markets by hiking output more than expected in August, raising concerns about oversupply.
Brent crude futures fell 80 cents, or 1.2%, to $67.50 a barrel by 0010 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $65.68, down $1.32, or 2%.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies, a group known as OPEC+, agreed on Saturday to raise production by 548,000 barrels per day in August.
"The increased production clearly represents a more aggressive competition for market share and some tolerance for the resulting decline in price and revenue," said Tim Evans of Evans Energy in a note.
The August increase represents a jump from monthly increases of 411,000 bpd OPEC+ had approved for May, June and July, and 138,000 bpd in April.
OPEC+ cited a steady global economic outlook and healthy market fundamentals, including low oil inventories, as reasons for releasing more oil.
The decision will bring nearly 80% of the 2.2 million bpd voluntary cuts from eight OPEC producers back in the market, RBC Capital analysts led by Helima Croft said in a note. However, the actual output increase has been smaller than planned so far and most of the supply has been from Saudi Arabia, they added.
In a show of confidence in oil demand, Saudi Arabia on Sunday raised the August price for its flagship Arab Light crude to a four-month high for Asia.
Goldman analysts expect OPEC+ to announce a final 550,000 bpd increase for September at the next meeting on August 3.
Separately, the United States is close to finalising several trade agreements in the coming days and will notify other countries of higher tariff rates by July 9, U.S. President Donald Trump said on Sunday, with the higher rates scheduled to take effect on August 1.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
25 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Japan must reduce reliance on US trade, opposition head says
By Leika Kihara and Takaya Yamaguchi TOKYO (Reuters) -Japan must diversify trade ties beyond the U.S. market to mitigate risks and focus on partnerships with countries favouring free trade, Hirofumi Yoshimura, co-representative of the opposition Japan Innovation Party, said on Monday. Tokyo should seek a "win-win" situation in trade negotiations, however, tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump show how the U.S. is a country risk for Japan - or a source of uncertainty that could hurt its economy, Yoshimura said. "Japan should expand trade ties with countries that focus on free trade," such as Europe, and leave itself more options to protect its economy, he told Reuters in an interview. "Instead of standing on just one, big pillar like the U.S., Japan should stand on, say, five to 10 smaller pillars. That's a better approach to avoid its roof from falling off." The remarks came as Japan faces the risk of sustained, steep U.S. tariffs after stalled trade talks led to criticism by Trump that Japan was engaging in "unfair" automobile trade. The views of small, opposition parties such as the Japan Innovation Party could gain importance after an upper house election on July 20, where Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) faces an uphill battle. Recent media polls including one by the Yomiuri newspaper showed the LDP and its coalition partner Komeito may lose their majority in the upper house - an outcome analysts say could force Ishiba to step down or seek an alliance partner. The LDP-Komeito ruling camp is already a minority coalition in the lower house, forcing Ishiba to seek the cooperation of opposition parties to pass some bills through parliament. Ishiba maintained his hard-line stance on trade talks with Washington in a television programme on Sunday, saying Japan will continue to demand the elimination of U.S. automobile tariffs and "won't make concessions easily." U.S. tariffs would add to woes for Japan's economy, which contracted in the first quarter as consumption took a hit from rising living costs. Yoshimura said Japan must focus on deregulation to revitalise the economy and reforms to rein in its ballooning social welfare costs that are straining its finances. On monetary policy, Yoshimura said the Bank of Japan (BOJ) should continue to phase out its ultra-loose policy but at a slow, cautious pace. "Japan has a huge public debt and relies on debt issuance in guiding policy," he said. "In light of this situation, the BOJ must tread carefully in raising interest rates." Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data


Forbes
29 minutes ago
- Forbes
Bond Vigilantes Give ‘Worse Than Greece' Japan A Reprieve
getty Global bond markets can breathe a little easier following Japan's successful sales of 30-year debt on Thursday. A low bar, perhaps, but then Japanese government bond (JGB) auctions over the last six weeks have tended to make global headlines for all the wrong reasons. Weak demand for a 20-year JGB sale in mid-May rocked markets everywhere. That auction attracted the fewest bids since 2012. The fact it happened at a moment when U.S. yields were spiking higher thanks to President Donald Trump's tariffs amplified the reaction in markets. By some measures, it was the sloppiest Japanese sale since 1987. The 'tail,' the gap between the average and lowest-accepted price, was the widest in 38 years. Japan's sale of 40-year bonds later that month didn't exactly pull in the bids either. Clearly, Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba didn't help things by saying in May that Japan's deteriorating finances are 'worse than Greece.' Talk about putting Japan in global headlines for all the wrong reasons. Hence the relief this week. The so-called bid-to-cover ratio, a key barometer of demand, was the best since February — 3.58. Last month, the Ministry of Finance announced plans to curtail the size of auctions given the risk of more flops. It reduced its offerings of 20-, 30-, and 40-year debt by about $22 billion from now until March 2026. To further smooth things over, the Bank of Japan is scaling back its 'quantitative tightening' ambitions. Yet, a bull market in uncertainty plagues not just the JGB and U.S. Treasury markets but debt bourses everywhere. That's because no one knows whether Trump's trade war is winding down or about to kick into a higher gear. On July 9, the globe will wait with bated breath for Trump's decision on 'reciprocal' tariffs. That's the day his delay on imposing huge import taxes on foes and friends alike expires. Much of the turmoil in debt markets is related to worries that tariffs will send global inflation sharply higher Tokyo is already grappling with a 3.7% year-on-year inflation rate, nearly double the Bank of Japan's 2% target. Anything that exacerbates inflation will put more pressure on the BOJ to continue tightening. Yet with growth contracting 0.2% in the first quarter year on year — and likely to shrink further in the second — big hiking rates could do more harm than good. For all the talk of stagflation in the U.S., Japan may be even more susceptible to this most dreaded of dilemmas. If so, the odds of increased government spending rise exponentially. That could put upward pressure on bond yields, boosting borrowing costs for the developed nation with the biggest debt burden. There's an argument that JGBs are less vulnerable than peers because about 88% of outstanding issues are held domestically. This gives rise to a mutually-assured destruction dynamic. If JGB yields rose to 2% or 3%, banks, insurance companies, pension funds, endowments, the postal system and the growing ranks of retirees would suffer painful losses. So, the collective incentive is to hold onto debt issues rather than selling. Yet with Trump mulling new shocks to the global financial system, the JGB market is decidedly in harm's way. So is, by extension, the so-called 'yen carry trade.' A quarter century of zero rates has made Japan into the top creditor nation. It became common practice for investment funds everywhere to borrow cheaply in yen to bet on higher-yielding assets around the globe. That's why this trade going awry has been known to blow up hedge funds here and there. The good news is that Japan's debt auctions are now attracting enough demand to calm nerves — and placate the bond vigilantes. The bad news is that all bets could be off if Trump decides to make trade wars great again.


Bloomberg
32 minutes ago
- Bloomberg
Saudi SAB Invest Makes First Foray Into MENA Private Credit
Saudi Awwal Bank's investment arm plans to raise as much as one billion riyals ($266 million) for its first private credit fund focused on the Middle East and North Africa. SAB Invest has already secured about $100 million from regional wealth managers and family offices and intends to raise the rest within the next year, according to Osama Alowedi, chief investment officer.