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Khaleej Times
2 hours ago
- Khaleej Times
Big Tech may be breaking the bank for AI, but investors love it
Big Tech is spending more than ever on artificial intelligence - but the returns are rising too, and investors are buying in. AI played a bigger role in driving demand across internet search, digital advertising and cloud computing in the April-June quarter, powering revenue growth at technology giants Microsoft, Meta, Amazon and Alphabet . Betting that momentum will sustain, Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon are ramping up spending to ease capacity shortages that have limited their ability to meet soaring AI services demand, even after several quarters of multi-billion-dollar outlays. The results offer the clearest sign yet that AI is emerging as a primary growth engine, although the monetization journey is still in its early days, investors and analysts said. The upbeat commentary underscores how surging demand for the new technology is shielding the tech giants from tariff-driven economic uncertainty hobbling other sectors. "As companies like Alphabet and Meta race to deliver on the promise of AI, capital expenditures are shockingly high and will remain elevated for the foreseeable future," said Debra Aho Williamson, founder and chief analyst at Sonata Insights. But if their core businesses remain strong, "it will buy them more time with investors and provide confidence that the billions being spent on infrastructure, talent and other tech-related expenses will be worthwhile," she added. Microsoft shares rose 4% on Thursday, with the Windows maker crossing $4 trillion in market value - a milestone only chip giant Nvidia had reached before it. Meta was up even more, rising 11.3% adding around $200 billion to its market value of about $1.75 trillion. Amazon slipped 7% after-market, after rising 1.7% in regular trading, on disappointing cloud computing results. All the companies have faced intense scrutiny from investors over their ballooning capital expenditures, which were expected to total $330 billion this year before the latest earnings. And until a few days ago, the Magnificent Seven stocks were also trailing the SP 500 in year-to-date performance. SILENCING DOUBTS Microsoft said on Wednesday it would spend a record $30 billion in the current quarter, after better-than-expected sales and an above-estimate forecast for its Azure cloud computing business showcased the growing returns on its massive AI bets. The prediction puts Microsoft on track to potentially outspend its rivals over the next year. It came after Google-parent Alphabet beat revenue expectations and raised its spending forecast by $10 billion to $85 billion for the year. Microsoft also disclosed for the first time the dollar figure for Azure sales and the number of users for its Copilot AI tools, whose adoption has long been a concern for investors. It said Azure generated more than $75 billion in sales in its last fiscal year, while Copilot tools had over 100 million users. Overall, around 800 million customers use AI tools peppered across Microsoft's sprawling software empire. "It's the kind of result that quickly silences any doubts about cloud or AI demand," said Josh Gilbert, market analyst at eToro. "Microsoft is more than justifying its spending." Amazon, for its part, said it expected second-half spending roughly at the same clip as its second-quarter total of $31.4 billion, suggesting it would spend around $118 billion for the full year. Analysts had projected about $100 billion. Other AI companies have also attracted a clutch of users. Alphabet said last week its Gemini AI assistant app has more than 450 million monthly active users. OpenAI's ChatGPT, the application credited with kicking off the generative AI frenzy, has around 500 million weekly active users. Meta, meanwhile, raised the bottom end of its annual capital expenditure forecast by $2 billion, to a range of between $66 billion and $72 billion. It also said that costs driven by its efforts to catch up in Silicon Valley's intensifying AI race would push 2026 expense growth rate above 2025's pace. Better-than-expected sales growth in the April-June period and an above-estimate revenue forecast for the current quarter, however, assured investors that strength in the social media giant's core advertising business can support the massive outlays. "The big boys are back," said Brian Mulberry, portfolio manager at Zacks Investment Management, which holds shares in all three major U.S. cloud providers. "This simply proves the Magnificent Seven is still magnificent at this moment in time."
Khaleej Times
2 hours ago
- Khaleej Times
Never mind Wall Street records, investors rethink US market supremacy
A rebound on Wall Street and in the dollar has not allayed investor concerns about the ability of U.S. assets to outperform overseas markets, with a fresh tariff salvo once again denting market optimism after a string of trade deals struck by the Trump administration perked up sentiment for equities to set record highs. The sliding dollar, down about 8% this year against a basket of major currencies, and the ballooning fiscal deficit are shaking the conviction that U.S. financial markets will deliver world-beating returns. For more than a decade, the concept of "American exceptionalism" - the conviction that the United States' democratic system plus its huge and liquid capital markets offer unique rewards - has been little challenged by investors. But ongoing uncertainty surrounding tariffs is rattling confidence. While the deals struck by Donald Trump with the European Union, Japan and South Korea have delivered some relief, the U.S. president late on Thursday slapped dozens of trading partners with steep tariffs. A market shakeout earlier this year caused by Trump's first tariff announcements triggered a re-evaluation. The U.S. market's standing appears "a little bit bruised," said Lori Heinel, global chief investment officer at State Street Investment Management. "The overhang of the (government) debt makes it less attractive to have dollar-based assets," she added. In a survey conducted in late May and June, market research consultancy CoreData found that many institutional investors and consultants, collectively overseeing $4.9 trillion in assets, are scaling back exposure to the U.S. Among respondents, 47% are cutting their strategic, long-term allocations to U.S. markets. While investors have become more upbeat on the outlook for Europe, as well as for China and other emerging markets, bullishness toward U.S. markets now lags those regions. That, said Michael Morley, head of CoreData US, marks 'a massive reversal' from attitudes two years ago. The latest wave of tariffs on exports from dozens of trading partners, including Canada, Brazil, India and Taiwan, sent global markets tumbling on Friday. The announced duties were "somewhat worse than expected," analysts at Societe Generale said in a note. "Markets responded more negatively to the August 1 announcement than to other news in the past two months, but the reaction was far less severe than on April 2," they said. TARIFF IMPACT OVERDUE? Investors began reconsidering their allocations following Trump's "Liberation Day" tariff announcement on April 2, reassessing the allure of "brand USA" and fretting about a new recession. The Trump administration then paused tariff rollouts and subsequently began announcing deals that cap tariffs at lower levels than initially proposed. Stocks rebounded, with the SP 500 soaring 27.2% from its April 8 close to its July 31 close, setting a series of new records. CoreData, however, found that 49% of institutions believe that markets now are too complacent about the impact of U.S. tariffs. U.S. consumer prices increased by the most in five months in June, according to Consumer Price Index data, suggesting that tariffs are boosting inflation. Other data points to a moderation in economic activity, and second-quarter growth was mainly strong because imports were weak. Global asset manager Man Group, which manages roughly $193 billion, is wary of overweighting U.S. assets. 'This is an opportunity for investors to take some profits, rebalance and go to neutral on the U.S.," said Kristina Hooper, chief market strategist at Man Group. Beyond tariffs The dollar's status as the global reserve currency may be in question as the U.S. forfeits the role of free trade facilitator, said Thierry Wizman, global FX and rates strategist at Macquarie Group, adding the firm expects to sell the dollar on any rally. After suffering its worst first-half performance since 1973 this year, the dollar posted its first monthly gains for 2025 in July, as investors regained confidence in the wake of trade deals. Also contributing to the reassessment of U.S. market supremacy is the risk of monetary policy being politicized. Trump has repeatedly called for lower interest rates and threatened to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. A recently approved tax and spending bill, meanwhile, will add trillions to the government's debt, exacerbating longstanding deficit concerns. Investors are likely to respond by seeking higher compensation for the risk of owning long-dated Treasury securities "There's very, very real risk that yields go significantly higher because of the deficit," said Man Group's Hooper. For many, the buoyant U.S. stock market and optimism surrounding the U.S. tech sector have made it hard to turn bearish. "The bottom line is that the U.S. has some of the most innovative and profitable companies in the world, and the deepest capital markets," said Kelly Kowalski, head of investment strategy at MassMutual. Anxiety about the demise of U.S. pre-eminence is "overblown," she said. Concerns over weaker foreign demand for U.S. debt have eased in recent weeks. After selling a net $40.8 billion of Treasuries in April, foreigners resumed buying to the tune of $146 billion in May, the latest government data showed. Also, while European stocks handily beat their U.S. counterparts in March, that gap has narrowed with every new trade deal announced. As of the end of July, Europe's STOXX 600 was roughly neck and neck with the SP 500. "The big factor in the room has nothing to do with policies, but technology," said Richard Lightburn, deputy chief investment officer at macro hedge fund MKP Capital Management. "It still feels like early innings for AI adoption and integration." Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial, continues to recommend a slight overweight to U.S. stocks relative to other global markets. "Call it 'exceptionalism' or just 'clarity.' The macro environment in the U.S. is comparatively more stable."
Khaleej Times
2 hours ago
- Khaleej Times
'Heart of the world': Dubai welcomes 9.88 million visitors in H1 2025, Sheikh Hamdan says
Dubai is making significant progress toward its ambition of ranking among the world's top three tourism destinations, announcing that it welcomed 9.88 million international visitors between January and June. According to the Dubai Department of Economy and Tourism (DET), this figure marks a 6% increase compared to the same period in 2024. Officials credited the growth to strong public-private partnerships, targeted global marketing, and the city's evolving destination offerings. Dubai's hotel sector recorded an average occupancy of 80.6% in H1 2025, up from 78.7% last year. Occupied room nights grew 4% to 22.24 million, while the average daily rate rose 5% to Dh584. 'Heart of the world' Dubai Crown Prince, Sheikh Hamdan, took to X to praise the milestone, extending "a warm welcome to all our visitors—from the heart of the world — Dubai." Dubai continues to set new records, welcoming over 9.88 million international visitors in the first half of this year, a 6% rise from the same period in 2024. This milestone reflects the vision of Mohammed bin Rashid to position Dubai among the worldâ��s top three global tourismâ�¦ — Hamdan bin Mohammed (@HamdanMohammed) August 3, 2025 Visitors' nationalities Among the millions of people who visited Dubai during this period, tourists from Western Europe topped the list, accounting for 22% of the total. They were followed by: The Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) and Eastern Europe (15%) South Asia (15%) GCC (15%) MENA (11%) North East and South East Asia (9%) The Americas (7%) Africa (4%) Australasia (2%) Factors behind success Dubai's accommodation portfolio expanded with openings such as Jumeirah Marsa Al Arab, Cheval Maison in Expo City, The Biltmore Hotel Villas, and Vida Dubai Mall, helping the city's open-arms policy to welcome tourists. Major global campaigns — including 'Find Your Story' with Millie Bobby Brown, 'Dubai. That's How You Summer,' and 'Dubai, Ready for a Surprise?' with Virat Kohli — also boosted international awareness. Gastronomy in Dubai continued to shine as well, with the 2025 Michellin Guide Dubai featuring 119 restaurants across 35 cuisines, including the city's first three-starred venues: FZN by Björn Frantzén and Trèsind Studio — the latter becoming the world's first Indian restaurant with three MICHELIN stars. Two Dubai restaurants, Trèsind Studio (No.27) and Orfali Bros (No.37), were also ranked among the World's 50 Best Restaurants.
