logo
Japan warns of US tariffs after trade deal reached: monthly report

Japan warns of US tariffs after trade deal reached: monthly report

The Mainichi29-07-2025
TOKYO (Kyodo) -- The government on Tuesday warned of downside risks to the Japanese economy stemming from U.S. tariffs in its first monthly report after Japan struck a trade deal with the United States that set a tariff rate lower than initially threatened.
The government still maintained its overall view that the domestic economy is recovering moderately in its economic report for July, citing a pickup in consumer spending and improvement in employment and income conditions.
The report said it was positive that the deal removed "uncertainty" for the economic outlook but added that the impact of U.S. tariffs, which are still higher than those before U.S. President Donald Trump took office, has been observed "in some areas."
Export volumes of autos for the United States have remained nearly flat in recent months compared with a year earlier but Japanese automakers have cut prices of vehicles for the U.S. market or boosted shipments of low-price products.
Such efforts to mitigate the impact of an increased tariff of 27.5 percent imposed on U.S-bound cars in April are squeezing their profitability.
Japan and the United States agreed on 15 percent tariffs on cars and other products last week in Washington. Trump said earlier in the month that the world's biggest economy would impose 25 percent tariffs on imports from Japan starting Aug. 1 under "reciprocal" tariffs.
The assessment of overall exports was revised down to "almost flat" from "showing movements of picking up," citing a pause in machinery shipments to other Asian countries, the Cabinet Office said.
The government said separately the same day in its annual white paper that Japan is at a "critical juncture" over whether it can shift to growth driven by wage increases.
Japanese companies offered the highest pay increases in decades last year and agreed on similar wage growth this year but risks from the U.S. tariffs and inflation could hinder the economy from getting on a steady growth path.
The paper said the U.S trade policy could affect the broader Japanese economy, possibly undermining corporate hiring and capital spending and private consumption.
"It is important to continue careful analysis of the effects of tariff measures and to take every possible step to minimize their impact on domestic industries and the economy," the paper said.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Malaysia Agreed to $150B in Purchases as Part of US Tariff Deal: Minister
Malaysia Agreed to $150B in Purchases as Part of US Tariff Deal: Minister

The Diplomat

time2 minutes ago

  • The Diplomat

Malaysia Agreed to $150B in Purchases as Part of US Tariff Deal: Minister

Despite the White House's release of updated tariff figures last week, there is much still to be negotiated between Washington and its trade partners. Late last week, U.S. President Donald Trump announced updated tariff rates for 67 nations, including nine from Southeast Asia, which are set to come into effect on August 7. However, given the unpredictability of the Trump administration and the speed of the negotiations that preceded last week's announcement, there is a lot that we don't know about these figures, and how they will affect each nation's trade with the U.S. For instance, while most Southeast Asian nations succeeded in negotiating a reduction in the tariff rate to around 19-20 percent, it still remains unclear specifically what each agreed to. It is also unclear what exemptions might apply to their major exports to the U.S. and whether other geopolitical conditions may have been slipped into the trade discussions. As James Guild wrote recently for The Diplomat regarding the deals with Indonesia, Vietnam, and the Philippines, which were announced prior to last week's announcement, 'many important details are missing. In fact, many of the countries on the other side of these deals quickly made it known they viewed things a bit differently than President Trump.' Yet, as the days go by, further details are emerging about what each nation put on the table during the rapid trade negotiations with the Trump team. Speaking to parliament yesterday, Malaysia's trade minister offered some details about how his nation managed to secure a reduction in its tariff, from 25 percent to 19 percent. In comments to parliament, Reuters reported that Tengku Zafrul Aziz said that Malaysian negotiators have agreed to spend up to $150 billion over the next five years to buy equipment from U.S. multinationals, in order to address the trade imbalance between the two countries. This includes agreements for state energy firm Petroliam Nasional Berhad to buy liquefied natural gas worth $3.4 billion a year. As Reuters reported, Malaysia 'will also commit to $70 billion in cross-border investments in the United States over the next five years.' He confirmed that Malaysia had also agreed to remove its tariffs on more than 98 percent of U.S. goods. Last year, Malaysia had a trade surplus of around $24.9 billion with the U.S., according to the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative. Tengku Zafrul said that the two countries were finalizing a joint statement covering the commitments that had been made, which also included tariff exemptions that Malaysia managed to secure on its pharmaceutical products and semiconductor exports to the U.S. In his address to parliament, the minister warned that semiconductor chips may still be subject to additional tariffs under U.S. tariffs on the grounds of national security. 'Therefore, we need to continue to be prepared for any possible additional tariffs imposed on the semiconductor industry,' he said. He added that the country was seeking similar exemptions for important raw materials, including cocoa, rubber, and palm oil, but that these had not yet been finalized. While Tengku Zafrul's comments bring some clarity to Malaysia's situation, it also highlights the challenge of negotiating trade agreements, which often take years of negotiations, on such a short time scale. Another area of considerable uncertainty that has been kicked down the road involves transshipped goods. Trump's tariff announcement included a blanket 40 percent tariff on any goods deemed to have originated in China. Like much else, it is still unclear how (and by whom) the provenance of goods will be established and verified. Lurking behind the uncertainty about the specifics of the deal, there is the larger uncertainty about whether the tariffs will even be in place in a month, a year, or a decade's time. One writer in Free Malaysia Today argued today that Malaysian policymakers should not panic, assuming that the tariffs are 'an assertive, yet unstable, use of executive power' that might not last. 'The current tariff wave is not a permanent reordering of trade architecture,' the op-ed argued, 'it is a phase of legal and political experimentation.' As such, the article argued that Malaysia should avoid making knee-jerk concessions to Trump. However long the tariffs are in effect, the short-term 'wins' that Trump has secured through the brute leveraging of U.S. economic power will likely be outweighed by the long-term drain of U.S. influence, as Southeast Asian governments seek out more predictable and 'like-minded' trade partners.

South Korea, U.S. prepare for summit with details of trade deal unresolved
South Korea, U.S. prepare for summit with details of trade deal unresolved

Japan Times

timean hour ago

  • Japan Times

South Korea, U.S. prepare for summit with details of trade deal unresolved

As South Korea and the United States prepare for a summit of their leaders, topics left unresolved by a recent trade deal provide scope for more disputes between the key allies and trade partners, six former negotiators and experts said. U.S. President Donald Trump may use the summit with counterpart Lee Jae Myung to seek more concessions on defense costs and corporate investments, left out of the deal, while non-tariff barriers and currency could prove thorny issues, experts said. No official summit date has been disclosed, though Trump last week gave a time frame of two weeks. The absence of a written agreement underpinning last week's talks could open the way for disputes, with some differences already emerging in the two sides' accounts of the deal. Key among these was Sunday's denial by a South Korean presidential adviser of U.S. claims that it would take 90% of the profit from project investments of $350 billion by South Korea, which also agreed to open up its domestic rice market. "Even a binding deal like the FTA has been efficiently scrapped," warned Choi Seok-young, a former chief negotiator for the Korea-U.S. free trade deal, signed in 2007. "And this is just promise." Last week's pact was scaled down from South Korea's previous plans for a package deal on trade, security and investment envisioned in the run-up to the summit between Trump and the newly-elected Lee. South Korean President Lee Jae Myung delivers a speech during a press conference to mark his first 30 days in office on July 3 in Seoul. | Pool / via REUTERS But Japan struck a deal with the United States sooner than expected, spurring South Korea into a scramble for a trade-focused pact, leaving issues of security and investment for the coming summit, presidential adviser Kim Yong-beom said. Uncertainty clouds plans for $350 billion in funds Trump has said South Korea would invest in the United States in projects "owned and controlled by the United States" and selected by him, though he gave few details of the plan's structure or timing. The allies face challenges in ironing out details of the fund at upcoming working-level talks, South Korean Finance Minister Koo Yun-cheol told reporters on Friday. "People say the devil is in the details," he added. In a social media post, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick gave an assurance of "90% of the profits going to the American people", while White House spokesperson Karoline Leavitt said part would go to the U.S. government to help repay debt. But Kim, the presidential adviser, said the two sides did not discuss profit distribution during talks, and South Korea expected the profit to be "reinvested" in the United States. The idea of the United States potentially taking most of the profit is "hard to understand in a civilized country", he added, while dismissing as "political rhetoric" Washington's claim that it would make all decisions about the fund. South Korea had added a safety mechanism to reduce financing risk, including U.S. commitments to buy products from the projects, under an "offtake" clause and invest in commercially feasible projects, he said. Seoul officials have said $150 billion would go to the shipbuilding industry, with the rest earmarked for areas such as chips, batteries, critical minerals, biotechnology, nuclear power and other strategic industries. The specifics of the structure have not been determined, said Kim, adding that loans and guarantees make up a majority of the funds, with equity investments accounting for a small part. South Korean Finance Minister Koo Yun-cheol speaks ahead of his departure to Washington to meet U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, at the Incheon International Airport in Incheon, South Korea, on July 29. | Yonhap / via REUTERS Leavitt said South Korea would provide "historic market access to American goods like autos and rice," echoing earlier comments by Trump. But South Korea said repeatedly there had been no agreement on the agriculture market, including beef and rice, despite strong pressure from Washington. Trump expressed keen interest in Korea's quarantine process for fruits and vegetables, Seoul said, improvements to which will figure in planned technical talks on non-tariff barriers that will also cover vehicle safety rules, but gave no details. Other non-tariff barriers such as regulation of Big Tech could be hurdles. "We cannot be relieved because we do not know when we will face pressure from tariffs or non-tariff measures again," Trade Minister Yeo Han-koo said last week on returning from Washington. Defence costs are expected to emerge as a key issue during the upcoming summit, with Trump having long said South Korea needed to pay more for the U.S. troop presence there. In addition to the $350 billion, Trump said South Korea agreed to invest a large sum of money in the United States, to be announced during the summit, which he said on July 30 would be held within two weeks. The allies are holding working level-talks on currency policy, put on the agenda at April's opening round of trade talks.

India's Russian oil imports: 4 things to know
India's Russian oil imports: 4 things to know

Nikkei Asia

timean hour ago

  • Nikkei Asia

India's Russian oil imports: 4 things to know

Energy More than a third of India's oil needs are met by Russia, which has attracted Trump's ire An oil tanker in Novorossiysk, Russia. The country is the largest supplier of crude oil to India, providing 37% of the roughly 1 billion barrels the country has imported so far in 2025. © AP SOUMYAJIT SAHA MUMBAI -- U.S. President Donald Trump on Monday warned of higher trade tariffs on India over the South Asian nation's purchases of Russian oil, with these expected to be piled on top of an existing 25% tariff.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store