
Private sector activity soars to 14-month high in June
The flash composite purchasing managers index (PMI), released by HSBC India, rose to 61 in June, up from a downward revised figure of 59.3 in May. The index, which measures monthly changes in the combined output of manufacturing and services, has been above the 50-mark which separates growth from contraction for the 47th month on the trot, the bank said Monday.
Manufacturers led the upturn in business activity, though growth also picked up pace in the services economy. According to the participants of the survey, output was boosted by favourable demand trends, efficiency gains and tech investment.
'New business placed with goods producers and service providers increased at the end of the first fiscal quarter, with the faster upturn among the former. At the composite level, the rate of expansion was the strongest seen since July 2024,' said the survey.
Pranjul Bhandari, the chief economist at HSBC India, said the flash PMI for May indicates strong growth in June as new export orders continued to fuel private sector business activity, especially in manufacturing.
'A combination of robust global demand and rising backlogs prompted manufacturers to increase hiring. Employment growth is also healthy in the services sector despite slightly weakening on a sequential basis from May to June. Finally, input and output prices continued to rise for both manufacturing and services firms, but rates of increase showed signs of softening,' she said.
Flash PMI records 75-85% of the 800 responses from services and manufacturing firms each month.
'June data show an intensification of capacity pressures among companies. Outstanding business volumes rose at a modest pace that was faster than in May and a tick above its long-run average. Moreover, the current sequence of rising backlogs was extended to three-and-a-half years. Rates of accumulation were broadly similar among manufacturing firms and their services counterparts,' she read.
On the employment front, the survey notes that the combination of demand strength and rising backlogs prompted companies to recruit additional staff in June as anecdotal evidence indicated that both full- and part-time employees were hired for permanent and temporary positions. Employment growth reached a series peak in the manufacturing industry, while service providers signalled a slower upturn in job creation than in May.

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles

Mint
2 hours ago
- Mint
Wall Street Week Ahead: Spotlight on Fed rate decision, earnings from Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Apple, Amazon
Wall Street in the week ahead will receive plenty of economic data, Big Tech earnings, and the US Federal Reserve's fifth interest rate decision of the year. The economic calendar will see the release of data such as jobs report, second quarter GDP (Gross Domestic Product) numbers, personal income and spending data, PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) Index, and S&P manufacturing PMI report among others. For the Q2 earnings, investors will closely watch financial results from tech giants Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Apple, and e-commerce giant Amazon. On the monetary policy front, market participants were keenly awaiting the interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve, which is widely expected to hold it steady. Post-rate decision, Jerome Powell's press conference will be heavily scrutinized amid enormous criticism from US President Donald Trump. On Friday, Trump said that he believed that Fed Chair Jerome Powellmight be ready to lower rates. He made a rare visit to the central bank on Thursday after calling Powell a "numbskull" earlier in the week for failing to cut rates. On July 29 (Tuesday), separate reports on advanced US trade balance in goods for June, S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index (20 cities) for May, consumer confidence for July, job openings for June will be released. On July 30 (Wednesday), separate reports on ADP employment for July, GDP Q2, pending home sales for June, FOMC interest rate decision will be declared. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's press conference is also scheduled on Wednesday. On July 31 (Thursday), separate reports on Employment Cost Index Q2, personal income and spending for June, PCE Index for June, and Chicago Business Barometer (PMI) for July will be released. On August 1 (Friday), US employment report for July, S&P final US manufacturing PMI for July, ISM manufacturing for July, construction spending for June, consumer sentiment (final) for July, and TBA Auto sales for July will be released. Following companies are due to report second quarter results in the week ahead — Waste Management, Nucor, Visa, Procter & Gamble, UnitedHealth, Boeing, PayPal, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Qualcomm, Robinhood, eBay, Apple, Mastercard, Exxon Mobil, and Chevron. data-vars-page-type="story" data-vars-link-type="Manual">US stocks ended higher and dollar firmed on Friday ahead of a big week for market risk. The S&P 500 gained 26.73 points, or 0.42%, to end at 6,390.08 points, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 53.95 points, or 0.26%, to 21,111.90. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 213.74 points, or 0.48%, to 44,907.65. In the bond market, the yield on the 10-year Treasury eased to 4.38% from 4.43%. The 2-year Treasury yield held steady at 3.91%.
&w=3840&q=100)

Business Standard
5 hours ago
- Business Standard
Gold may remain in consolidation phase amid global trade talks: Analysts
Gold prices are expected to witness further consolidation in the coming week as investors brace for a slew of events, ranging from central bank meetings, including the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting's outcome, to global trade negotiations, analysts said. Traders will also closely watch macroeconomic data, including Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation numbers, employment data from the US, manufacturing PMI numbers from across regions and developments related to the August 1 trade deal deadline. August 1 marks the end of the suspension period of Trump tariffs imposed on dozens of countries, including India. Pranav Mer, Vice President, EBG - Commodity & Currency Research, JM Financial Services, said, "Gold prices may see some consolidation in the week ahead as the focus will be on the outcome of trade negotiations between the US-Euro zone and the US-China along the policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan, both of them expected to keep interest rates on hold. "However, their official commentary will be closely watched," Mer said, adding that the Fed remains under pressure to cut interest rates, and the Bank of Japan is being tracked for potential hikes. On the domestic front, gold futures for October delivery corrected from a recent high of Rs 1,01,543 to Rs 98,764 per 10 grams, down by 2.74 per cent on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX). Prathamesh Mallya, DVP - Research, Non-Agri Commodities and Currencies at Angel One, said, the rally in gold prices took a breather due to a combination of factors including ease of safe-haven demand, profit taking following recent highs, and optimism about global trade deals especially between the US-Japan, and the US-EU talks. "Gold prices have had a good ride in July; however, the correction was driven by lower safe-haven demand and expectations of a breakthrough in trade deals," he said. Mallya expects that precious metal prices to remain under pressure and added that the US GDP data will also play a critical role in shaping gold's trajectory in the short term. Jateen Trivedi, VP Research Analyst, Commodity and Currency at LKP Securities, said that volatility in the rupee owing to tariff-related uncertainties may offer limited support to the bullion prices in the domestic market. On the global front, Comex gold futures for August delivery slipped by USD 37.90 or 1.12 per cent to close at USD 3,335.60 per ounce in New York. N S Ramaswamy, Head of Commodity & CRM, Ventura, said gold saw a sharp drop from USD 3,438 to USD 3,335.60 per ounce amid an extended tariff truce between the US and China, which has added to this sentiment. Gold may stay weak as hopes of more trade deals or tariff delays before the August 1 deadline, Ramaswamy stated. "Safe haven demand seems to have vanished and has lifted the US stocks and Treasury yields, buoyed by strong AI-linked corporate earnings and risk-on appetite. The next move in gold will depend on whether the US Fed signals a more dovish stance or if tensions flare again on the tariff front," he said. Ramaswamy added that a possible resumption of Chinese central bank gold buying could offer support later in 2025, but for now, the market may remain in a phase of consolidation.


United News of India
a day ago
- United News of India
Manufacturing sector is booming with steady services growth in India: Report
New Delhi, July 26 (UNI) The HSBC Flash India Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) report showed strong domestic economic conditions fueled by vibrant manufacturing. This report highlighted the headline composite PMI Output index, which rose to 60.7 per cent in July. While the manufacturing PMI also witnessed a surge and rose to 59.2 per cent. The manufacturing sector showed a major increase in buying levels among good producers, which was widely supported by timely supplier deliveries. On the other hand, the stock of finished goods witnessed a marginal fall as firms have mostly used the warehoused goods to meet the standards of rising demand. The HSBC report also pointed out a surge in charge inflation as private sector companies raised the selling prices to share the cost burden with clients. A strong inflation rate is observed in both the manufacturing and service sectors. The report also noted that international orders placed with private sector companies witnessed a surge in July. Moreover, major contributing economies were Asia, Europe, and the US. Pranjul Bhandari (chief India economist, HSBC), pointing out the strong composite output index numbers in July, mentioned some factors, including growth in total sales, export orders, and output levels. Bhandari also stated that Indian manufacturers are leading the way with steady service sector growth. The HSBC Flash India PMI report is compiled by S&P Global (Standard & Poor's) by conducting rigorous surveys of manufacturers and service providers. This data is then used for creating PMI indices, which are considered the key economic health indicators of the manufacturing and service sectors. UNI SAS PRS