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Motorcar Parts of America Reports Fiscal Year Results

Motorcar Parts of America Reports Fiscal Year Results

Yahoo09-06-2025
- Record Sales and Gross Profit with Strong Cash Flow Generation -
LOS ANGELES, June 09, 2025--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. (Nasdaq: MPAA) today reported strong results for its fiscal 2025 fourth quarter, with record net sales and gross profit, and strong cash flow generation for the year ended March 31, 2025.
Key highlights for the fiscal year
Net sales increased 5.5 percent to a record $757.4 million.
Gross profit increased 16.1 percent to a record $153.8 million.
Generated cash from operating activities of $45.5 million and reduced net bank debt by $32.6 million to $81.4 million.
Repurchased 542,134 shares for $4.8 million.
Fiscal 2025 Fourth Quarter Results
Net sales for the fiscal 2025 fourth quarter increased 1.9 percent to $193.1 million from $189.5 million in the prior year.
Gross profit for the fiscal 2025 fourth quarter increased 10.6 percent to a fourth quarter record $38.5 million from $34.8 million a year earlier. Gross margin for the fiscal 2025 fourth quarter was 19.9 percent compared with 18.4 percent a year earlier. Gross margin for the fiscal 2025 fourth quarter was impacted by $3.2 million, or 1.7 percent, of non-cash expenses, and $4.6 million, or 2.4 percent, for certain tariffs costs paid for products sold before price increases were effective, as detailed in Exhibit 3.
Interest expense for the fiscal fourth quarter decreased by $2.1 million to $12.5 million from $14.6 million a year ago, impacted by lower average outstanding balances under the company's credit facility and lower interest rates.
Net loss for the fiscal 2025 fourth quarter was $722,000, or $0.04 per share, reflecting the impact of $4.6 million, or $0.24 per share pre-tax, for certain tariffs costs paid for products sold before price increases were effective, as mentioned above. Net loss was also impacted by certain non-cash items of $2.6 million, or $0.14 per share, as detailed in Exhibit 1. Net income for the prior year was $1.3 million, including the impact of non-cash expenses and cash expenses as detailed in Exhibit 1.
"We remain focused on continuing to execute and capitalize on our leadership position within the non-discretionary automotive aftermarket business, following a solid fiscal year," said Selwyn Joffe, chairman, president, and chief executive officer.
He noted that the company is working with its suppliers and customers to address the current geopolitical environment and related challenges -- specifically tariffs and pricing. The company's solid financial position and cash flow generation support its competitive position and anticipated future growth.
Joffe noted that over the last several years, the company proactively has focused on significantly reducing its reliance on Chinese suppliers, which today represents less than 25 percent, and has an established footprint in North America that could be utilized to further reduce this reliance going forward.
Joffe highlighted that the company generated cash of approximately $45.5 million from operating activities during fiscal 2025, reduced net bank debt by $32.6 million for the fiscal year to $81.4 million from $114.0 million and also utilized $4.8 million for share repurchases.
Twelve-Month Results
Net sales for fiscal 2025 increased 5.5 percent to a record $757.4 million from $717.7 million a year ago.
Gross profit for fiscal 2025 increased 16.1 percent to a record $153.8 million from $132.6 million a year earlier. Gross margin for fiscal 2025 was 20.3 percent compared with 18.5 percent a year earlier. Gross margin for fiscal 2025 was impacted by $13.5 million, or 1.8 percent, of non-cash expenses, and $5.9 million, or 0.8 percent, of one-time cash expenses, as detailed in Exhibit 4.
Interest expense decreased by $4.5 million for fiscal 2025 to $55.6 million from $60.0 million a year ago, impacted by lower average outstanding balances under the company's credit facility and lower interest rates.
Net loss for fiscal 2025 was $19.5 million, or $0.99 per share, including the impact of non-cash expenses of $25.0 million, or $1.27 per share, and one-time cash expenses of $6.9 million, or $0.35 per share, as detailed in Exhibit 2. Net loss for the prior fiscal year was $49.2 million, or $2.51 per share, including the impact of non-cash expenses of $50.3 million, or $2.56 per share, and cash expenses of $7.0 million, or $0.36 per share, as detailed in Exhibit 2.
Share Repurchase
During fiscal 2025 fourth quarter, the company repurchased 274,004 shares for $2.7 million at an average share price of $9.98, and for the full fiscal year, the company repurchased 542,134 shares for $4.8 million at an average share price of $8.91 under its current authorization program, supported by solid cash generation from operating activities. The company anticipates further opportunities to build shareholder value through enhanced profitability and strong cash generation.
Fiscal 2026 Guidance
Motorcar Parts of America expects net sales for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026 to be between $780 million to $800 million, representing between 3.0 percent and 5.6 percent year-over-year growth. Operating income is expected to be between $86 million and $91 million, representing between 4.3 percent and 10.4 percent year-over-year growth. The company estimates depreciation and amortization will be approximately $11 million. These estimates do not include certain non-cash items and one-time expenses and exclude the impact of tariffs recently enacted due to the uncertainty and continuing changes.
Use of Non-GAAP Measure
This press release includes the following non-GAAP measure – EBITDA, which is not a measure of financial performance under GAAP and should not be considered as an alternative to net income as a measure of financial performance. The company believes this non-GAAP measure, when considered together with the corresponding GAAP measures, provides useful information to investors and management regarding financial and business trends relating to the company's results of operations. However, this non-GAAP measure has significant limitations in that it does not reflect all the costs and other items associated with the operation of the company's business as determined in accordance with GAAP. In addition, the company's non-GAAP measures may be calculated differently and are therefore not comparable to similar measures by other companies. Therefore, investors should consider non-GAAP measures in addition to, and not as a substitute for, or superior to, measures of financial performance in accordance with GAAP. For a definition and reconciliation of EBITDA to net income, its corresponding GAAP measure, see the financial tables included in this press release. Also, refer to our Form 8-K to which this release is attached, and other filings we make with the SEC, for further information regarding this measure.
Earnings Conference Call and Webcast
Selwyn Joffe, chairman, president and chief executive officer, and David Lee, chief financial officer, will host an investor conference call today at 10:00 a.m. Pacific time to discuss the company's financial results and operations. The call will be open to all interested investors either through a live audio webcast at www.motorcarparts.com or live by calling (888) 440-5584 (domestic) or
(646) 960-0457 (international). For those who are not available to listen to the live broadcast, the call will be archived on Motorcar Parts of America's website www.motorcarparts.com. A telephone playback of the conference call will also be available from approximately 1:00 p.m. Pacific time on June 9, 2025 through 8:59 p.m. Pacific time on June 16, 2025 by calling (800) 770-2030 (domestic) or (609) 800-9909 (toll) and using access code: 1545314.
About Motorcar Parts of America, Inc.
Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. is a remanufacturer, manufacturer, and distributor of automotive aftermarket parts -- including alternators, starters, wheel bearings and hub assemblies, brake calipers, brake pads, brake rotors, brake master cylinders, brake power boosters, turbochargers, and diagnostic testing equipment utilized in imported and domestic passenger vehicles, light trucks, and heavy-duty applications. Its products are sold to automotive retail outlets and the professional repair market throughout the United States, Canada, and Mexico, with facilities located in California, New York, Mexico, Malaysia, China and India, and administrative offices located in California, Tennessee, Mexico, Singapore, Malaysia, and Canada. In addition, the company's electrical vehicle subsidiary designs and manufactures testing solutions for performance, endurance, and production of multiple components in the electric power train – providing simulation, emulation, and production applications for the electrification of both automotive and aerospace industries, including electric vehicle charging systems. Additional information is available at www.motorcarparts.com.
The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a "safe harbor" for certain forward-looking statements. The statements contained in this press release that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements based on the company's current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effects on the company. These forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties (some of which are beyond the control of the company) and are subject to change based upon various factors. Reference is also made to the Risk Factors set forth in the company's Form 10-K Annual Report filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in June 2025 and in its Forms 10-Q filed with the SEC for additional risks and uncertainties facing the company. The company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as the result of new information, future events or otherwise.
MOTORCAR PARTS OF AMERICA, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
Consolidated Statements of Operations
Three Months Ended March 31,
Year Ended March 31,
2025
2024
2025
2024
(Unaudited)
Net sales
$
193,105,000
$
189,478,000
$
757,354,000
$
717,684,000
Cost of goods sold
154,610,000
154,685,000
603,526,000
585,133,000
Gross profit
38,495,000
34,793,000
153,828,000
132,551,000
Operating expenses:
General and administrative
16,113,000
15,644,000
64,047,000
57,769,000
Sales and marketing
5,657,000
5,443,000
22,561,000
22,481,000
Research and development
3,521,000
2,643,000
11,405,000
9,995,000
Foreign exchange impact of lease liabilities and forward contracts
(3,074,000
)
(1,155,000
)
15,892,000
(3,814,000
)
Total operating expenses
22,217,000
22,575,000
113,905,000
86,431,000
Operating income
16,278,000
12,218,000
39,923,000
46,120,000
Other expenses:
Interest expense, net
12,546,000
14,640,000
55,550,000
60,040,000
Change in fair value of compound net derivative liability
2,520,000
(2,710,000
)
60,000
(1,020,000
)
Loss on extinguishment of debt
-
-
-
168,000
Total other expenses
15,066,000
11,930,000
55,610,000
59,188,000
Income (loss) before income tax expense (benefit)
1,212,000
288,000
(15,687,000
)
(13,068,000
)
Income tax expense (benefit)
1,934,000
(1,050,000
)
3,783,000
36,176,000
Net (loss) income
$
(722,000
)
$
1,338,000
$
(19,470,000
)
$
(49,244,000
)
Basic net (loss) income per share
$
(0.04
)
$
0.07
$
(0.99
)
$
(2.51
)
Diluted net loss per share
$
(0.04
)
$
(0.03
)
$
(0.99
)
$
(2.51
)
Weighted average number of shares outstanding:
Basic
19,519,836
19,662,380
19,685,322
19,601,204
Diluted
19,519,836
22,085,292
19,685,322
19,601,204
MOTORCAR PARTS OF AMERICA, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
Consolidated Balance Sheets
March 31, 2025
March 31, 2024
ASSETS
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents
$
9,429,000
$
13,974,000
Short-term investments
1,881,000
1,837,000
Accounts receivable — net
91,064,000
96,296,000
Inventory — net
341,209,000
377,040,000
Inventory unreturned
18,460,000
20,288,000
Contract assets
29,606,000
27,139,000
Income tax receivable
4,208,000
5,683,000
Prepaid expenses and other current assets
15,614,000
18,202,000
Total current assets
511,471,000
560,459,000
Plant and equipment — net
31,990,000
38,338,000
Operating lease assets
66,603,000
83,973,000
Deferred income taxes
4,569,000
2,976,000
Long-term contract assets
336,268,000
320,282,000
Goodwill
3,205,000
3,205,000
Intangible assets — net
552,000
1,069,000
Other assets
2,978,000
1,700,000
TOTAL ASSETS
$
957,636,000
$
1,012,002,000
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
Current liabilities:
Accounts payable
$
141,906,000
$
154,977,000
Accrued liabilities
30,211,000
30,205,000
Customer finished goods returns accrual
34,411,000
38,312,000
Contract liabilities
38,158,000
37,591,000
Revolving loan
90,787,000
128,000,000
Other current liabilities
5,570,000
7,021,000
Operating lease liabilities
9,982,000
8,319,000
Total current liabilities
351,025,000
404,425,000
Convertible notes, related party
35,207,000
30,776,000
Contract liabilities, less current portion
241,404,000
212,068,000
Deferred income taxes
362,000
511,000
Operating lease liabilities, less current portion
65,308,000
72,240,000
Other liabilities
6,631,000
6,872,000
Total liabilities
699,937,000
726,892,000
Commitments and contingencies
Shareholders' equity:
Preferred stock; par value $.01 per share, 5,000,000 shares authorized; none issued
-
-
Series A junior participating preferred stock; par value $.01 per share, 20,000 shares authorized; none issued
-
-
Common stock; par value $.01 per share, 50,000,000 shares authorized; 19,435,706 and 19,662,380 shares issued and outstanding at March 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively
194,000
197,000
Additional paid-in capital
234,413,000
236,255,000
Retained earnings
20,033,000
39,503,000
Accumulated other comprehensive income
3,059,000
9,155,000
Total shareholders' equity
257,699,000
285,110,000
TOTAL LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
$
957,636,000
$
1,012,002,000
Additional Information and Non-GAAP Financial Measures
To supplement the consolidated financial statements presented in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP"), the company has included the following additional information and non-GAAP financial measures for the three and twelve months ended March 31, 2025 and 2024. Among other things, the company uses such additional information and non-GAAP adjusted financial measures in addition to and together with corresponding GAAP measures to help analyze the performance of its business.
The company believes this information helps provide a more complete understanding of the company's results of operations and the factors and trends affecting the company's business. However, this information should be considered as a supplement to, and not as a substitute for, or superior to, information contained in the company's financial statements prepared in accordance with GAAP. In addition, the company's non-GAAP measures may be calculated differently and are therefore not comparable to similar measures by other companies.
The company defines EBITDA as earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. A reconciliation of EBITDA to net income is provided below along with information regarding such items.
Items Impacting Net Income for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2025 and 2024
Exhibit 1
Three Months Ended March 31,
2025
2024
$
Per DilutedShare
$
Per DilutedShare
GAAP net (loss) income
$
(722,000
)
$
(0.04
)
$
1,338,000
$
(0.03
)
Non-cash items impacting net income
Core and finished goods premium amortization
$
2,725,000
$
0.14
$
2,761,000
$
0.13
Revaluation - cores on customers' shelves
489,000
0.03
973,000
0.04
Share-based compensation expenses
868,000
0.04
432,000
0.02
Foreign exchange impact of lease liabilities and forward contracts
(3,074,000
)
(0.16
)
(1,155,000
)
(0.05
)
Change in fair value of compound net derivative liability
2,520,000
0.13
(2,710,000
)
(0.12
)
Tax effect (a)
(882,000
)
(0.05
)
(75,000
)
(0.00
)
Tax valuation allowance
-
-
548,000
0.02
Total non-cash items impacting net income
$
2,646,000
$
0.14
$
774,000
$
0.04
Cash items impacting net income
Supply chain disruptions and related costs (b)
$
-
$
-
$
734,000
$
0.03
New product line start-up costs and transition expenses, and severance and other (c)
160,000
0.01
840,000
0.04
Tariff costs paid for products sold before price increases were effective
4,607,000
0.24
-
-
Tax effect (a)
(1,192,000
)
(0.06
)
(394,000
)
(0.02
)
Total cash items impacting net income
$
3,575,000
$
0.18
$
1,180,000
$
0.05
(a) Tax effect is calculated by applying an income tax rate of 25.0% to items listed above; this rate may differ from the period's actual income tax rate.
(b) For the three months ended March 31, 2024, consists of $734,000 impacting gross profit.
(c) For the three months ended March 31, 2025, consists of $160,000 included in operating expenses.
For the three months ended March 31, 2024, consists of $840,000 included in operating expenses.
Items Impacting Net Income for the Twelve Months Ended March 31, 2025 and 2024
Exhibit 2
Twelve Months Ended March 31,
2025
2024
$
Per DilutedShare
$
Per DilutedShare
GAAP net loss
$
(19,470,000
)
$
(0.99
)
$
(49,244,000
)
$
(2.51
)
Non-cash items impacting net income
Core and finished goods premium amortization
$
10,738,000
$
0.55
$
10,963,000
$
0.56
Revaluation - cores on customers' shelves
2,805,000
0.14
5,353,000
0.27
Share-based compensation expenses
3,877,000
0.20
4,700,000
0.24
Foreign exchange impact of lease liabilities and forward contracts
15,892,000
0.81
(3,814,000
)
(0.19
)
Change in fair value of compound net derivative liability and loss on extinguishment of debt
60,000
0.00
(852,000
)
(0.04
)
Tax effect (a)
(8,343,000
)
(0.42
)
(4,088,000
)
(0.21
)
Tax valuation allowance
-
-
38,009,000
1.94
Total non-cash items impacting net income
$
25,029,000
$
1.27
$
50,271,000
$
2.56
Cash items impacting net income
Supply chain disruptions and related costs (b)
$
-
$
-
$
7,472,000
$
0.38
New product line start-up costs and transition expenses, and severance and other (c)
4,598,000
0.23
1,820,000
0.09
Tariff costs paid for products sold before price increases were effective
4,607,000
0.23
-
-
Tax effect (a)
(2,301,000
)
(0.12
)
(2,323,000
)
(0.12
)
Total cash items impacting net income
$
6,904,000
$
0.35
$
6,969,000
$
0.36
(a) Tax effect is calculated by applying an income tax rate of 25.0% to items listed above; this rate may differ from the period's actual income tax rate.
(b) For the twelve months ended March 31, 2024, consists of $7,472,000 impacting gross profit.
(c) For the twelve months ended March 31, 2025, consists of $1,298,000 impacting gross profit and $3,300,000 included in operating expenses.
For the twelve months ended March 31, 2024, consists of $1,820,000 included in operating expenses.
Items Impacting Gross Profit for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2025 and 2024
Exhibit 3
Three Months Ended March 31,
2025
2024
$
Gross Margin
$
Gross Margin
GAAP gross profit
$
38,495,000
19.9%
$
34,793,000
18.4%
Non-cash items impacting gross profit
Core and finished goods premium amortization
$
2,725,000
1.4%
$
2,761,000
1.5%
Revaluation - cores on customers' shelves
489,000
0.3%
973,000
0.5%
Total non-cash items impacting gross profit
$
3,214,000
1.7%
$
3,734,000
2.0%
Cash items impacting gross profit
Supply chain disruptions and related costs
$
-
-
$
734,000
0.4%
Tariff costs paid for products sold before price increases were effective
4,607,000
2.4%
-
-
Total cash items impacting gross profit
$
4,607,000
2.4%
$
734,000
0.4%
Items Impacting Gross Profit for the Twelve Months Ended March 31, 2025 and 2024
Exhibit 4
Twelve Months Ended March 31,
2025
2024
$
Gross Margin
$
Gross Margin
GAAP gross profit
$
153,828,000
20.3%
$
132,551,000
18.5%
Non-cash items impacting gross profit
Core and finished goods premium amortization
$
10,738,000
1.4%
$
10,963,000
1.5%
Revaluation - cores on customers' shelves
2,805,000
0.4%
5,353,000
0.7%
Total non-cash items impacting gross profit
$
13,543,000
1.8%
$
16,316,000
2.3%
Cash items impacting gross profit
Supply chain disruptions and related costs
$
-
-
$
7,472,000
1.0%
New product line start-up costs and transition expenses
1,298,000
0.2%
-
-
Tariff costs paid for products sold before price increases were effective
4,607,000
0.6%
-
-
Total cash items impacting gross profit
$
5,905,000
0.8%
$
7,472,000
1.0%
Items Impacting EBITDA for the Three and Twelve Months Ended March 31, 2025 and 2024
Exhibit 5
Three Months Ended March 31,
Twelve Months Ended March 31,
2025
2024
2025
2024
GAAP net (loss) income
$
(722,000
)
$
1,338,000
$
(19,470,000
)
$
(49,244,000
)
Interest expense, net
12,546,000
14,640,000
55,550,000
60,040,000
Income tax expense (benefit)
1,934,000
(1,050,000
)
3,783,000
36,176,000
Depreciation and amortization
2,538,000
2,775,000
10,400,000
11,619,000
EBITDA
$
16,296,000
$
17,703,000
$
50,263,000
$
58,591,000
Non-cash items impacting EBITDA
Core and finished goods premium amortization
$
2,725,000
$
2,761,000
$
10,738,000
$
10,963,000
Revaluation - cores on customers' shelves
489,000
973,000
2,805,000
5,353,000
Share-based compensation expenses
868,000
432,000
3,877,000
4,700,000
Foreign exchange impact of lease liabilities and forward contracts
(3,074,000
)
(1,155,000
)
15,892,000
(3,814,000
)
Change in fair value of compound net derivative liability and loss on extinguishment of debt
2,520,000
(2,710,000
)
60,000
(852,000
)
Total non-cash items impacting EBITDA
$
3,528,000
$
301,000
$
33,372,000
$
16,350,000
Cash items impacting EBITDA
Supply chain disruptions and related costs
$
-
$
734,000
$
-
$
7,472,000
New product line start-up costs and transition expenses, and severance and other
160,000
840,000
4,598,000
1,820,000
Tariff costs paid for products sold before price increases were effective
4,607,000
-
4,607,000
-
Total cash items impacting EBITDA
$
4,767,000
$
1,574,000
$
9,205,000
$
9,292,000
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250609118643/en/
Contacts
Gary S. MaierVice President, Corporate Communications & IR(310) 972-5124
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LKQ (NASDAQ:LKQ) stock performs better than its underlying earnings growth over last five years

When you buy and hold a stock for the long term, you definitely want it to provide a positive return. Furthermore, you'd generally like to see the share price rise faster than the market. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the LKQ Corporation (NASDAQ:LKQ) share price is up 51% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. Zooming in, the stock is actually down 6.7% in the last year. The past week has proven to be lucrative for LKQ investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance. Trump has pledged to "unleash" American oil and gas and these 15 US stocks have developments that are poised to benefit. While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS). During five years of share price growth, LKQ achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 7.3% per year. So the EPS growth rate is rather close to the annualized share price gain of 9% per year. This indicates that investor sentiment towards the company has not changed a great deal. In fact, the share price seems to largely reflect the EPS growth. The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image). It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. This free interactive report on LKQ's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further. As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for LKQ the TSR over the last 5 years was 65%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return. Investors in LKQ had a tough year, with a total loss of 3.9% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 15%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 10% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand LKQ better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for LKQ that you should be aware of before investing here. LKQ is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of small cap companies at attractive valuations which insiders have been buying. Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges. — Investing narratives with Fair Values Suncorp's Next Chapter: Insurance-Only and Ready to Grow By Robbo – Community Contributor Fair Value Estimated: A$22.83 · 0.1% Overvalued Thyssenkrupp Nucera Will Achieve Double-Digit Profits by 2030 Boosted by Hydrogen Growth By Chris1 – Community Contributor Fair Value Estimated: €14.40 · 0.3% Overvalued Tesla's Nvidia Moment – The AI & Robotics Inflection Point By BlackGoat – Community Contributor Fair Value Estimated: $359.72 · 0.1% Overvalued View more featured narratives — Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

A Look At The Fair Value Of Balchem Corporation (NASDAQ:BCPC)
A Look At The Fair Value Of Balchem Corporation (NASDAQ:BCPC)

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timean hour ago

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A Look At The Fair Value Of Balchem Corporation (NASDAQ:BCPC)

The projected fair value for Balchem is US$164 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With US$165 share price, Balchem appears to be trading close to its estimated fair value Our fair value estimate is 17% lower than Balchem's analyst price target of US$197 Does the July share price for Balchem Corporation (NASDAQ:BCPC) reflect what it's really worth? Today, we will estimate the stock's intrinsic value by taking the forecast future cash flows of the company and discounting them back to today's value. This will be done using the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model. Don't get put off by the jargon, the math behind it is actually quite straightforward. We would caution that there are many ways of valuing a company and, like the DCF, each technique has advantages and disadvantages in certain scenarios. Anyone interested in learning a bit more about intrinsic value should have a read of the Simply Wall St analysis model. We've found 21 US stocks that are forecast to pay a dividend yield of over 6% next year. See the full list for free. We are going to use a two-stage DCF model, which, as the name states, takes into account two stages of growth. The first stage is generally a higher growth period which levels off heading towards the terminal value, captured in the second 'steady growth' period. To start off with, we need to estimate the next ten years of cash flows. Where possible we use analyst estimates, but when these aren't available we extrapolate the previous free cash flow (FCF) from the last estimate or reported value. We assume companies with shrinking free cash flow will slow their rate of shrinkage, and that companies with growing free cash flow will see their growth rate slow, over this period. We do this to reflect that growth tends to slow more in the early years than it does in later years. Generally we assume that a dollar today is more valuable than a dollar in the future, so we discount the value of these future cash flows to their estimated value in today's dollars: 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Levered FCF ($, Millions) US$189.0m US$202.7m US$214.8m US$225.7m US$235.7m US$245.1m US$254.1m US$262.8m US$271.5m US$280.1m Growth Rate Estimate Source Analyst x2 Est @ 7.27% Est @ 5.97% Est @ 5.06% Est @ 4.42% Est @ 3.98% Est @ 3.67% Est @ 3.45% Est @ 3.30% Est @ 3.19% Present Value ($, Millions) Discounted @ 6.9% US$177 US$177 US$176 US$173 US$169 US$164 US$159 US$154 US$149 US$144 ("Est" = FCF growth rate estimated by Simply Wall St)Present Value of 10-year Cash Flow (PVCF) = US$1.6b We now need to calculate the Terminal Value, which accounts for all the future cash flows after this ten year period. For a number of reasons a very conservative growth rate is used that cannot exceed that of a country's GDP growth. In this case we have used the 5-year average of the 10-year government bond yield (2.9%) to estimate future growth. In the same way as with the 10-year 'growth' period, we discount future cash flows to today's value, using a cost of equity of 6.9%. Terminal Value (TV)= FCF2035 × (1 + g) ÷ (r – g) = US$280m× (1 + 2.9%) ÷ (6.9%– 2.9%) = US$7.2b Present Value of Terminal Value (PVTV)= TV / (1 + r)10= US$7.2b÷ ( 1 + 6.9%)10= US$3.7b The total value is the sum of cash flows for the next ten years plus the discounted terminal value, which results in the Total Equity Value, which in this case is US$5.4b. In the final step we divide the equity value by the number of shares outstanding. Compared to the current share price of US$165, the company appears around fair value at the time of writing. The assumptions in any calculation have a big impact on the valuation, so it is better to view this as a rough estimate, not precise down to the last cent. We would point out that the most important inputs to a discounted cash flow are the discount rate and of course the actual cash flows. If you don't agree with these result, have a go at the calculation yourself and play with the assumptions. The DCF also does not consider the possible cyclicality of an industry, or a company's future capital requirements, so it does not give a full picture of a company's potential performance. Given that we are looking at Balchem as potential shareholders, the cost of equity is used as the discount rate, rather than the cost of capital (or weighted average cost of capital, WACC) which accounts for debt. In this calculation we've used 6.9%, which is based on a levered beta of 0.919. Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility, compared to the market as a whole. We get our beta from the industry average beta of globally comparable companies, with an imposed limit between 0.8 and 2.0, which is a reasonable range for a stable business. Check out our latest analysis for Balchem Strength Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry. Debt is not viewed as a risk. Weakness Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Chemicals market. Expensive based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value. Opportunity Annual earnings are forecast to grow for the next 2 years. Threat Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the American market. Valuation is only one side of the coin in terms of building your investment thesis, and it ideally won't be the sole piece of analysis you scrutinize for a company. The DCF model is not a perfect stock valuation tool. Preferably you'd apply different cases and assumptions and see how they would impact the company's valuation. For instance, if the terminal value growth rate is adjusted slightly, it can dramatically alter the overall result. For Balchem, there are three pertinent aspects you should assess: Financial Health: Does BCPC have a healthy balance sheet? Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis with six simple checks on key factors like leverage and risk. Future Earnings: How does BCPC's growth rate compare to its peers and the wider market? Dig deeper into the analyst consensus number for the upcoming years by interacting with our free analyst growth expectation chart. Other High Quality Alternatives: Do you like a good all-rounder? Explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing! PS. Simply Wall St updates its DCF calculation for every American stock every day, so if you want to find the intrinsic value of any other stock just search here. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Sign in to access your portfolio

A Look At The Fair Value Of Balchem Corporation (NASDAQ:BCPC)
A Look At The Fair Value Of Balchem Corporation (NASDAQ:BCPC)

Yahoo

timean hour ago

  • Yahoo

A Look At The Fair Value Of Balchem Corporation (NASDAQ:BCPC)

The projected fair value for Balchem is US$164 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With US$165 share price, Balchem appears to be trading close to its estimated fair value Our fair value estimate is 17% lower than Balchem's analyst price target of US$197 Does the July share price for Balchem Corporation (NASDAQ:BCPC) reflect what it's really worth? Today, we will estimate the stock's intrinsic value by taking the forecast future cash flows of the company and discounting them back to today's value. This will be done using the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model. Don't get put off by the jargon, the math behind it is actually quite straightforward. We would caution that there are many ways of valuing a company and, like the DCF, each technique has advantages and disadvantages in certain scenarios. Anyone interested in learning a bit more about intrinsic value should have a read of the Simply Wall St analysis model. We've found 21 US stocks that are forecast to pay a dividend yield of over 6% next year. See the full list for free. We are going to use a two-stage DCF model, which, as the name states, takes into account two stages of growth. The first stage is generally a higher growth period which levels off heading towards the terminal value, captured in the second 'steady growth' period. To start off with, we need to estimate the next ten years of cash flows. Where possible we use analyst estimates, but when these aren't available we extrapolate the previous free cash flow (FCF) from the last estimate or reported value. We assume companies with shrinking free cash flow will slow their rate of shrinkage, and that companies with growing free cash flow will see their growth rate slow, over this period. We do this to reflect that growth tends to slow more in the early years than it does in later years. Generally we assume that a dollar today is more valuable than a dollar in the future, so we discount the value of these future cash flows to their estimated value in today's dollars: 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Levered FCF ($, Millions) US$189.0m US$202.7m US$214.8m US$225.7m US$235.7m US$245.1m US$254.1m US$262.8m US$271.5m US$280.1m Growth Rate Estimate Source Analyst x2 Est @ 7.27% Est @ 5.97% Est @ 5.06% Est @ 4.42% Est @ 3.98% Est @ 3.67% Est @ 3.45% Est @ 3.30% Est @ 3.19% Present Value ($, Millions) Discounted @ 6.9% US$177 US$177 US$176 US$173 US$169 US$164 US$159 US$154 US$149 US$144 ("Est" = FCF growth rate estimated by Simply Wall St)Present Value of 10-year Cash Flow (PVCF) = US$1.6b We now need to calculate the Terminal Value, which accounts for all the future cash flows after this ten year period. For a number of reasons a very conservative growth rate is used that cannot exceed that of a country's GDP growth. In this case we have used the 5-year average of the 10-year government bond yield (2.9%) to estimate future growth. In the same way as with the 10-year 'growth' period, we discount future cash flows to today's value, using a cost of equity of 6.9%. Terminal Value (TV)= FCF2035 × (1 + g) ÷ (r – g) = US$280m× (1 + 2.9%) ÷ (6.9%– 2.9%) = US$7.2b Present Value of Terminal Value (PVTV)= TV / (1 + r)10= US$7.2b÷ ( 1 + 6.9%)10= US$3.7b The total value is the sum of cash flows for the next ten years plus the discounted terminal value, which results in the Total Equity Value, which in this case is US$5.4b. In the final step we divide the equity value by the number of shares outstanding. Compared to the current share price of US$165, the company appears around fair value at the time of writing. The assumptions in any calculation have a big impact on the valuation, so it is better to view this as a rough estimate, not precise down to the last cent. We would point out that the most important inputs to a discounted cash flow are the discount rate and of course the actual cash flows. If you don't agree with these result, have a go at the calculation yourself and play with the assumptions. The DCF also does not consider the possible cyclicality of an industry, or a company's future capital requirements, so it does not give a full picture of a company's potential performance. Given that we are looking at Balchem as potential shareholders, the cost of equity is used as the discount rate, rather than the cost of capital (or weighted average cost of capital, WACC) which accounts for debt. In this calculation we've used 6.9%, which is based on a levered beta of 0.919. Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility, compared to the market as a whole. We get our beta from the industry average beta of globally comparable companies, with an imposed limit between 0.8 and 2.0, which is a reasonable range for a stable business. Check out our latest analysis for Balchem Strength Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry. Debt is not viewed as a risk. Weakness Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Chemicals market. Expensive based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value. Opportunity Annual earnings are forecast to grow for the next 2 years. Threat Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the American market. Valuation is only one side of the coin in terms of building your investment thesis, and it ideally won't be the sole piece of analysis you scrutinize for a company. The DCF model is not a perfect stock valuation tool. Preferably you'd apply different cases and assumptions and see how they would impact the company's valuation. For instance, if the terminal value growth rate is adjusted slightly, it can dramatically alter the overall result. For Balchem, there are three pertinent aspects you should assess: Financial Health: Does BCPC have a healthy balance sheet? Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis with six simple checks on key factors like leverage and risk. Future Earnings: How does BCPC's growth rate compare to its peers and the wider market? Dig deeper into the analyst consensus number for the upcoming years by interacting with our free analyst growth expectation chart. Other High Quality Alternatives: Do you like a good all-rounder? Explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing! PS. Simply Wall St updates its DCF calculation for every American stock every day, so if you want to find the intrinsic value of any other stock just search here. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

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