
Anand Rathi stock recommendation: THIS small-cap stock below ₹20 may rise over 20% in one month
Anand Rathi observed that Infibeam has recently broken out above a falling trendline on the daily chart—an important technical development that suggests a shift in trend after a prolonged period of underperformance. The current chart structure also shows the emergence of an Inverse Head and Shoulder formation, a widely followed reversal pattern in technical analysis.
Additionally, the brokerage noted the formation of a bullish AB=CD harmonic pattern, with the reversal zone seen between ₹ 17–18. This zone is being closely watched as a key support area and also serves as a logical stop-loss placement for traders.
Strengthening the bullish case further is a positive divergence in the weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI)—a momentum indicator that often signals a price reversal when RSI trends higher despite falling prices. This suggests improving strength behind the recent uptick in the stock.
Based on its technical analysis, Anand Rathi recommended initiating long positions in the ₹ 19–19.5 range. The stock, currently trading below ₹ 20, offers an upside target of ₹ 23.75, indicating a potential gain of over 20 percent from the lower end of the recommended entry band.
To mitigate risk, a stop-loss below ₹ 17 on a daily closing basis has been advised by the brokerage.
Beyond technicals, Infibeam has also made headlines recently by announcing a plan to raise up to ₹ 700 crore via a rights issue of equity shares. The move is expected to strengthen the company's capital base and support its future growth initiatives.
According to its filing, Infibeam will offer the new shares to existing shareholders, with final details such as pricing and entitlement ratio to be determined by a newly formed Rights Issue Committee. The company said it will proceed with the fundraising upon receiving regulatory approvals, although no specific timeline has been announced.
While the smallcap stock has corrected nearly 42 percent over the past year, it has shown signs of recovery in recent weeks. Infibeam has gained 14 percent in May so far, extending its upward trend from April's 3 percent rise. However, the preceding months were weak for the stock—it fell 9 percent in March, 20 percent in February, and 12.7 percent in January.
Disclaimer: The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or broking companies, and not of Mint. We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles

Economic Times
6 hours ago
- Economic Times
NSDL IPO subscribed 1.62 times on Day 1, GMP rises to 17%. Check reviews, other details
The initial public offering (IPO) of India's first and largest depository, National Securities Depository Ltd (NSDL) managed to sail through within hours of its issue opening for the public on Wednesday, July 30, with its grey market premium (GMP) at 16.75% or Rs 134-140, up from 15.6% earlier in the morning. ADVERTISEMENT Around 4:30 pm on Wednesday, the total subscription stood at 1.62 times, with enthusiasm driven by the non-institutional investors (NIIs). At the time, the Non-Institutional Investors (NIIs) had subscribed to the issue by 2.40 times, while the retail investors subscribed to the issue by 1.78 times. Meanwhile, the qualified institutional buyers (QIBs) had made an 82% subscription for the NSDL issue. The shares of NSDL are trading at a healthy premium of 15.6% in the grey market, which translates into a listing gain of around Rs 125-126 for the public issue, which is a pure offer for sale (OFS) by existing shareholders amounting to Rs 4,012 crore, witnessed an overall subscription of 26% around 11:00 am today. The highest participation was driven by the Non-Institutional Investors (NIIs).The NIIs subscribed to the issue by 41%, followed by the retail investors, who had subscribed to the issue by 35%. The qualified institutional buyers (QIBs) had made a bid for 14,688 shares at the time. ADVERTISEMENT Brokerages have largely recommended a 'Subscribe' rating to the NSDL IPO for long-term investors. Anand Rathi and Canara Bank Securities cite NSDL's near-monopoly scale in the depository ecosystem, healthy financials, wide product coverage, and strategic relevance to India's capital market infrastructure as key positives. ADVERTISEMENT Meanwhile, Angel One has issued a 'subscribe for long-term' rating for the offer, stating, 'At the upper price band of Rs 800, NSDL is valued at a post-issue P/E of 47× FY25 earnings, which is lower than listed peer CDSL. Given its strong market position, high entry barriers, and long-term growth tailwinds from India's digital and capital market expansion.'Additionally, Bajaj Broking also assigned a 'subscribe for long-term' rating for the NSDL IPO. In its note, it stated that NSDL is engaged as a pioneer in depository services in India and is an icebreaker for the demat process. The company is expanding its horizon with more value-added services and options. ADVERTISEMENT 'With dominant market share, a wide service reach, and diversified asset coverage, NSDL is well-positioned for long-term growth, supported by macroeconomic tailwinds and regulatory enablers. However, investors should remain cautious of its dependence on transaction volumes, evolving investor behaviour, and high regulatory and cybersecurity risks,' flagged Saurabh Jain, Equity Head, Research- Fundamentals at SMC Global IPO comprises 5.01 crore equity shares, and the subscription window will remain open until August 1. Investors can bid for a minimum lot of 18 equity shares and in multiples thereof. The company is proposed to be listed on the BSE, with the tentative listing date set for August 6. ADVERTISEMENT Established following the enactment of the Depositories Act, 1996, NSDL was the first depository to commence operations in India. It plays a crucial role in the country's financial market infrastructure and offers depository services across multiple asset classes, including equities, debt instruments, mutual funds, REITs, InvITs, AIFs, and boasts a pan-India reach, covering over 99% of PIN codes, and has a global footprint with clients in 186 countries. The company operates on a stable annuity-like revenue model, derived from annual issuer charges and transaction-based the financial year ended FY25, NSDL reported revenue of Rs 1,420 crore, marking a 12% year-on-year growth, while profit after tax (PAT) rose 25% YoY to Rs 343 crore. The company posted a strong EBITDA margin of 34.71%, highlighting efficient has also diversified its business through subsidiaries like NSDL Database Management Ltd (NDML) and NSDL Payments Bank Ltd (NPBL), expanding into areas such as e-governance services, regulatory technology platforms, and digital the valuation front, the IPO is priced at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 46.62x and a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 7.98x, based on FY25 earnings. In comparison, its listed peer Central Depository Services (India) Ltd (CDSL) trades at a higher P/E of 60.43x and P/B of 18.08x. However, NSDL commands a larger share of demat assets, more extensive institutional coverage, and a broader service infrastructure. Also read: Tata Motors shares down 42% from peak: Should you buy the dip in this auto major's stock? (Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times) (You can now subscribe to our ETMarkets WhatsApp channel)


Time of India
7 hours ago
- Time of India
NSDL IPO: Brokerages decode the Rs 4,011 cr issue; Here's what they recommend
The Rs 4,012 crore initial public offering (IPO) of National Securities Depository Ltd (NSDL), India's first and largest depository, opened for subscription on Wednesday and will close on Friday, August 1. The entire issue is a pure offer for sale (OFS), with no fresh capital being raised. A total of 5.01 crore equity shares are being offloaded by existing shareholders, which include institutions such as IDBI Bank, NSE, Union Bank of India, SBI, HDFC Bank, Canara Bank, and IIFCL. Explore courses from Top Institutes in Please select course: Select a Course Category Design Thinking Digital Marketing Cybersecurity CXO Data Analytics Data Science PGDM Healthcare Others Management healthcare Product Management Project Management Finance Leadership Artificial Intelligence Data Science MBA others Technology Operations Management MCA Public Policy Degree Skills you'll gain: Duration: 25 Weeks IIM Kozhikode CERT-IIMK PCP DTIM Async India Starts on undefined Get Details Skills you'll gain: Duration: 22 Weeks IIM Indore CERT-IIMI DTAI Async India Starts on undefined Get Details Priced in a range of Rs 760 to Rs 800 per share, the IPO is currently commanding a grey market premium (GMP) of around Rs 125–126, translating to a premium of roughly 15.6 percent. The shares are proposed to be listed on the BSE, with the listing date expected to be August 6. Brokerages have weighed in on the IPO with mostly positive recommendations. Anand Rathi has assigned a 'Subscribe' rating, stating that at the upper price band, the company is valued at a P/E of 46.6x on FY25 earnings with a market cap of Rs 16,000 crore and return on net worth of 17.1 percent post issue. The firm considers the IPO fairly priced Angel One has also recommended a 'Subscribe' for long-term investors, pointing out that NSDL is priced at a lower multiple than listed peer CDSL. The brokerage highlighted NSDL's strong market position, structural growth potential , and high entry barriers as attractive features for long-term holders. Further, Reliance Securities has echoed similar sentiments, assigning a 'Subscribe' rating and citing NSDL's dominant market presence, regulatory backing, and diversified revenue mix. The brokerage added that its high-margin depository services, increasing digital adoption, and robust risk management position it well in a growing capital market environment. Also read: NSDL IPO: Peer CDSL turned multibagger with 12x gains since listing. Can history repeat itself? SMIFS also recommended subscribing to the IPO, noting NSDL's significant scale with Rs 5,00,000 crore in assets under custody and 39.45 million active demat accounts. It underscored the company's leadership in issuer onboarding, demat settlement value, and ecosystem platforms such as NSDL Jiffy and Cash Management Services. Another brokerage firm Ventura , has suggested subscribing and holding the stock for the long term, emphasizing NSDL's tech-led infrastructure and operational efficiency. It pointed to services like e-voting, e-AGMs, and blockchain-based monitoring systems, along with offerings from its subsidiaries NDML and NPBL, as drivers of long-term value. Domestic brokerage firm Bajaj Broking has issued a 'Subscribe for long term' rating as well, citing NSDL's consistent financial performance over FY23 to FY25. The brokerage noted that based on FY25 earnings, the P/E works out to 46.62, with an average RoNW of 16.75% and EPS of Rs 15.13 over the last three fiscal years. Lastly, SMC Global Securities has also weighed in, with Saurabh Jain, Equity Head – Research (Fundamentals), stating that NSDL presents a compelling IPO opportunity backed by market leadership , a stable recurring revenue model, and robust technological infrastructure. However, he also flagged the company's dependence on transaction volumes, changing investor behaviour, and high regulatory and cybersecurity risks as areas investors should monitor closely. With consensus building among analysts on the company's strong fundamentals and growth visibility, brokerages are largely aligned in their view that NSDL is a worthy addition to long-term portfolios. Also read: Is Bajaj Finance's decline a sign of looming crisis in India's NBFC sector?


Indian Express
12 hours ago
- Indian Express
Rs 87,000 crore AUM, Rs 94 crore quarterly profit: Is Anand Rathi still a buy?
The stock price of Anand Rathi Wealth increased from Rs 280 to nearly Rs 2,600 per share in the last three years. That is a 9x return or over 800% gains in just 36 months. In the latest quarter (Q1 FY26), the wealth management company posted a 28% jump in net profit to Rs 94 crore. Revenue grew 16% year-on-year to Rs 284 crore, and assets under management (AUM) crossed Rs 87,000 crore. It also added Rs 3,825 crore in fresh money, 600 new client families, and still kept client attrition at just 0.11%. So what is driving this business? Let us break it down. What is Anand Rathi's business, and why the numbers make sense To understand Anand Rathi's Rs 87,000 crore AUM and Rs 94 crore quarterly profit, it is important to understand what the company does. Anand Rathi Wealth is a fee-based wealth management company. It does not manage mutual funds, it does not offer loans, and it does not earn brokerage from stock trading. Instead, it earns money by giving financial advice to wealthy families and managing their long-term investment portfolios. The more assets it manages, the more it earns. Here is how the model works: This is why Anand Rathi's revenue has grown in line with AUM. In Q1 FY26: Anand Rathi's growth has come without raising debt, without marketing discounts, and without over-hiring. Even the profit margin has improved from 30% last year to 33% now. The company added nearly Rs 4,000 crore of net inflows in Q1 alone, without needing to expand costs at the same pace. Another reason the numbers make sense is that client stickiness is very high. This means that growth can come from both new client acquisition and deeper wallet share from existing clients. When a business has long-term revenue visibility, high client retention, and improving operating margins, they are a reflection of the model working well. And that is what Anand Rathi has built over the last 10 to 15 years, it seems. What can grow from here The management still believes there is a long runway ahead. The reason lies in both where India is going and how the firm is positioned. 1. India's wealth is growing but still under-managed India now has over 8 lakh high-net-worth individuals, and that number is expected to double by 2027. Most of this wealth is still under-advised or spread across fragmented portfolios. A large chunk is sitting in low-return assets like real estate, fixed deposits, or insurance plans. This is where Anand Rathi steps in with a model built on professional advice, structured products, and long-term planning. Management believes the real opportunity is not just in winning new clients, but also in increasing wallet share from existing ones. In fact, in their own words, many clients have not yet allocated their full portfolios to Anand Rathi. So even within the current base of 12,000+ families, there is room to grow deeper. 2. Structured products can drive margins and stickiness About 27% of the company's AUM is in structured products, which are tailor-made investment strategies designed to offer stable returns even when markets do not move much. These are not traded like stocks or mutual funds. They are created specifically for each investor and usually come with a 1- to 3-year lock-in period. That means more predictable revenue for the company and more loyalty from the client. The company issued over Rs 1,700 crore worth of structured products in the primary market this quarter. Management shared that this segment is expected to grow faster, especially when markets remain uncertain and investors look for downside protection. Over the long term, this can boost both margins and customer retention. 3. Digital and OFA (Omni Financial Advisor): Still small, but scaling Anand Rathi's Digital Wealth arm caters to the mass affluent, those with financial assets worth Rs 10 lakh to Rs 5 crore. This is a fast-growing segment in India, and most of these investors are not served by traditional private bankers. In Q1 FY26, Digital AUM grew 19% year-on-year, and clients rose to 6,284. The company is not spending heavily on this segment yet, but early traction shows that a tech-enabled advisory model could open up a large retail base. Similarly, the OFA platform, which supports over 6,600 independent financial advisors, now has Rs 1.58 lakh crore of assets flowing through it. While Anand Rathi does not directly manage this money, it helps build industry-wide presence and opens up future monetisation opportunities. Both these businesses are about building infrastructure today for optionality tomorrow. 4. RM productivity can still go up Another major lever is improving the productivity of existing relationship managers (RMs). Currently, the average AUM per RM is around Rs 32 crore, and the average number of families served per RM is 85. Management believes this can go higher over time as RMs mature and clients consolidate more assets. Because Anand Rathi does not believe in heavy lateral hiring, the team grows gradually — but becomes stronger with each batch. As more RMs cross the Rs 40 crore-mark in client assets, overall operating leverage will improve. That means higher revenue without an equivalent rise in cost. 5. Stable revenue mix = Better quality of earnings About 80-85% of the firm's revenue now comes from trail-based, recurring income. This is very different from firms that rely on transaction-based, one-time fees. The management has said they want to keep building this trail income. It gives the company predictable cash flows, makes quarterly numbers less dependent on market mood, and aligns the firm's success with that of the client. This shift in revenue quality is not visible in just one quarter, but over time, it builds a much more stable and scalable business. Valuation, expectations, and investor takeaway The stock price of Anand Rathi Wealth has gone from around Rs 280 in 2021 to nearly Rs 2,600 today. That is a 9x return in three years, or over 800% gains. Many investors are now asking: Is there still room to grow from here? Let us look at the current reality. At this price, the stock trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of around 70 times trailing earnings. That is not cheap by any standards. But valuation is never about the past. It is about whether future growth justifies the premium. In Anand Rathi's case, here is what the numbers suggest: If earnings grow by even 25% per year, the P/E can drop into the 25-30 range in two years without needing the stock to fall. This is what long-term investors usually look for: earnings catching up with the price. But the bigger story is the quality of business. Anand Rathi is building scale, is largely not dependent on market cycles for survival, is growing both AUM and trust, and is focusing on recurring income rather than short-term fees. For investors, this kind of model creates two key benefits: Of course, no business is without risk. Markets can go through rough periods. Client inflows can slow. Regulatory changes in commissions may impact fee structures. But for now, Anand Rathi has shown that it can grow through both upcycles and downcycles by focusing on long-term wealth creation. So is it still a hidden gem? Probably not. But is it a business worth tracking closely as India's wealth boom continues? Very likely, yes. Sometimes, boring businesses that compound quietly turn out to be the most rewarding. Note: This article relies on data from annual and industry reports. We have used our assumptions for forecasting. Parth Parikh has over a decade of experience in finance and research and currently heads the growth and content vertical at Finsire. He holds an FRM Charter and an MBA in Finance from Narsee Monjee Institute of Management Studies. Disclosure: The writer and his dependents do not hold the stocks discussed in this article. The website managers, its employee(s), and contributors/writers/authors of articles have or may have an outstanding buy or sell position or holding in the securities, options on securities or other related investments of issuers and/or companies discussed therein. The content of the articles and the interpretation of data are solely the personal views of the contributors/ writers/authors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific objectives, resources and only after consulting such independent advisors as may be necessary.