Vance 'shoe-in' to win 2028 presidential election, according to new odds
Odds for the 2028 presidential election were revealed by Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market — and bettors are putting their money on the veep becoming the victor.
JD Vance has a 27% chance of becoming the country's next commander in chief, according to the cryptocurrency-based prediction market.
3 JD Vance leads as the winner in the 2028 presidential election according to new odds released by Polymarket.
Ron Sachs/CNP / SplashNews.com
Vance, 40, has already spoken about a possible 2028 run.
'When we get to that point, I'll talk to the president, we'll figure out what we want to do. But the way that I think about it is, if we do a good job, the politics take care of themselves,' he said on 'Fox & Friends' in April.
3 California Governor Gavin Newsom is currently in second place.
ZUMAPRESS.com / MEGA
In a distant second place was California Gov. Gavin Newsom — who told the Wall Street Journal last month 'I'm not thinking about running, but it's a path that I could see unfold' — with 14%.
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez was third, with 10%, followed by former Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg at 8%, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 6%.
Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro, a front-runner to be Kamala Harris' running mate in 2024, was sixth with 5%
3 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the third spot.
LP Media
Harris and Florida Gov. tied for seventh with 4%
Although he technically cannot run for a third term, President Trump came in eighthis in 8th place with 3%.
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New York Post
9 hours ago
- New York Post
Sean Hannity urges others to move to ‘Free State of Florida' if Mamdani is elected
Fox News host Sean Hannity has claimed there will be a 'mass exodus' out of the state of New York if Democrat Zohran Mamdani is elected as the city's mayor in November—warning that many companies will choose to relocate to Florida in order to avoid 'burdensome regulations and high taxes.' Hannity, 63, who himself moved to the Sunshine State from New York in January, made the claims during an appearance on his fiancée Ainsley Earhardt's show, 'Fox & Friends,' during which he discussed the Democratic party's plummeting approval rating. According to a new poll by Quinnipiac University, 72% of voters disapprove of the Democrats in Congress, while just 19% gave the party a positive rating. However, the numbers were not much better for congressional Republicans, who received a 62% disapproval rating from voters. 5 Fox News host Sean Hannity has claimed there will be a 'mass exodus' out of the state of New York if Democrat Zohran Mamdani is elected as the city's mayor in November on 'Fox & Friends.' Fox News While sharing his views on the rating—which he noted is at an all-time low—Hannity suggested that it may be related to the political party's choice of spokespeople, mocking the likes of Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and the other members of a group known as 'the squad,' before taking aim at Mamdani. Mamdani, 33, who won the Democratic mayoral primary in June, is now being largely viewed as one of the leading new voices of his political party—however, Hannity claimed that his policies will likely lead to many New York residents fleeing the state, suggesting that his fellow Fox News hosts may want to get ahead of the trend by joining him in Florida. 'If they want to go with Mamdani as the Mayor of New York City, I invite you all to come and broadcast your show as I do, originate your show in the free state of Florida,' he said. 'Because there is going to be a mass exodus out of the state of New York the likes of which we have never seen.' 5 Mamdani won the Democratic mayoral primary in June. Getty Images Addressing the impact on New York City's economy, the Fox News host went on to warn that many businesses have already made the decision to set up bases in Florida—and will likely turn even more attention to the Southern state in the event of a Mamdani victory in November's mayoral election. 'What a lot of people don't know—and it's a pretty fascinating phenomenon—is that Wall Street South is already here,' he added. 'All these companies, they don't just have offices in Southern Florida, no, they've got half their companies down here now. 'The reason is because of burdensome regulation, high taxes, they've chased them out. And they're just going to pick up and leave completely now.' 5 'Wall Street South is already here,' Hannity said about companies moving from New York to Florida. 'All these companies, they don't just have offices in Southern Florida, no, they've got half their companies down here now.' TTstudio – When asked about Mamdani's fellow mayoral candidates, Hannity urged Fox News viewers not to count out Republican nominee Curtis Sliwa, claiming that there may still be a 'lane' for him in the election, particularly given that independent runner Andrew Cuomo is closing in on Mamdani in the polls. 'So, Mamdani's numbers have been going down. It looked like it might have been a slam dunk in the beginning—I'm not so sure,' he said, before calling attention to the fact that there are three other left-leaning politicians in the race: Cuomo, Eric Adams, and Jim Walden, which may prove to be of benefit to Sliwa. 5 'Mamdani's numbers have been going down. It looked like it might have been a slam dunk in the beginning—I'm not so sure,' Hannity said. Paul Martinka 'Cuomo is definitely leading in terms of coming into second place. But you've got three leftists on the ticket besides Mamdani and, sorry, Eric Adams is not polling particularly well, [although] I know there's going to be a lot of money thrown in his direction,' Hannity said. 'But if all three of them stay in the race and Mamdani stays in the race, I do believe—it's an outside shot—but it does create a lane for Curtis Sliwa, who has been a longtime friend of mine. He really is Mr. New York, he loves New York City.' Hannity went on to describe Sliwa as a 'Giuliani 2.0,' referring to Rudy Giuliani, Donald Trump's disgraced former attorney who served as Mayor between 1994 and 2001. Start and end your day informed with our newsletters Morning Report and Evening Update: Your source for today's top stories Thanks for signing up! Enter your email address Please provide a valid email address. By clicking above you agree to the Terms of Use and Privacy Policy. Never miss a story. Check out more newsletters The conservative pundit noted that Sliwa has a 'very hard' road ahead of him, given New York City's long-standing affiliation with the Democratic party, but insisted that if the left is split between multiple candidates, the Republican candidate could still have a shot at a win. Earhardt and Hannity went on to discuss Mamdani's 'socialist, Marxist' policies, with the latter describing them as 'madness' and 'insanity.' Though Hannity believes that a Mamdani victory in the election would prompt a 'mass exodus' from New York, real estate experts have insisted that it's too early to begin making those kind of predictions—particularly when it comes to the city's wealthiest residents. 5 Hannity discussed Mamdani's 'socialist, Marxist' policies, describing them as 'madness' and 'insanity.' Getty Images Luxury real estate broker Donna Olshan told earlier this month that, while she has received some 'nervous calls' from her clients, she believes it's highly unlikely that long-term residents will simply up and leave New York and move elsewhere. 'It's way too early to see how this will affect the luxury market in Manhattan,' Olshan said earlier this month. 'Have I gotten nervous calls? Yes, but at the end of the day, most people are not going to pick up roots and move somewhere else because they don't like the mayor and are afraid of the direction the city will go in.' Still, Mamdani's policies are already influencing the New York City real estate market, with Olshan revealing that right after the primary, a buyer submitted a low offer on an apartment she was representing—in an attempt to secure a 'Mamadani discount.' 'I thought this was ironic,' Olshan adds. 'They were perfectly happy to live in New York City—even with Mamdani—if they could get a discount on an apartment.' And while Manhattan residents may have previously looked to places like Palm Beach as an alternative home base, figures show that these trends have changed. Instead, city dwellers who want to leave the Big Apple are now seeking alternative residences in places much closer to home, like Suffolk and Nassau. 'It appears that more Manhattan residents are interested in staying within the New York City metro, but outside the city proper,' senior economist Joel Berner said.
CNET
14 hours ago
- CNET
Worried About a Recession? Take These 5 Steps to Prepare Now
Recession risks are down, but keep your guard up. Getty Images/Jeffrey Hazelwood/CNET Early this spring, talk of a recession swirled after President Donald Trump began his chaotic tariff campaign. The likelihood of a severe economic downturn hit 66%, according to Polymarket. As Trump deferred some of his most aggressive trade proposals, those forecasts leveled out, but the contours of a potential recession are hard to ignore. Growth in the first quarter of 2025? Down. Jobless claims? Sharply higher. Consumer sentiment? That almost hit rock bottom. On top of that, there are whispers of stagflation, a painful mix of high prices and joblessness, which is even worse than a recession. You won't see the same cracks reflected in the stock market, which runs on the moves of a few big names on Wall Street. Investors cheer each time tariffs are delayed or a trade deal is hinted at. It's why markets continue to etch new highs when most of us feel like we're walking a tightrope. Businesses are effectively in a holding pattern, cutting costs and delaying hiring, which adds to the economic unease. Households battling elevated prices and facing job insecurity are tightening their budgets and spending less. Financial uncertainty can become a self-fulfilling prophecy, said Shang Saavedra, founder and CEO of Save My Cents, a personal finance education platform. Read more: Worse Than a Recession? Trump's Tariffs Risk 'Self-Inflicted' Stagflation Are all recessions the same? As tough as they are, recessions are a built-in feature of our economy. Modern capitalism has a historic boom and bust cycle. Since the mid-20th century, the US has experienced a recession roughly once every five to seven years, with an average length of 11 months. The most recent one hit with the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020. By April, more than 16 million jobs were lost. Federal policymakers implemented relief and recovery measures to ease hardship and help spur an economic recovery. The pandemic recession was the deepest but also the shortest in the post-World War II era. Now, after a significant period of growth, many experts believe another economic reset is on the horizon. 'It's never a matter of 'if,' but 'when' the next recession is,' said Saavedra. FAQ: How to prepare for a recession Looking back at past recessions can help us understand what we're facing and allow us to take proactive action regarding money decisions. That means checking in with our financial plans and figuring out what changes we need to make to stay on track. 1. Is it possible to plan for a recession? Even if the economy is a mess, most of us have time to assess our financial situation and make a plan before an economic downturn becomes a reality. "Some folks wait on a recession to be officially 'called' before changing their financial behavior,' said Berna Anat, financial educator and author of Money Out Loud: All the Financial Stuff No One Taught Us. Anat recommends trying to reroute to a preparedness mindset instead of a panic mind-set. For example, focus on establishing realistic safeguards and strengthening your financial foundation. Consider the specific steps you would take if you get laid off. Contributing to an emergency fund and managing your debt levels now can create a buffer against the potential financial shocks of a recession. Impulsive actions, like selling investments at a loss, can set you back in the long run. 'Fear narrows our focus and limits our cognitive ability, so it's really important to prepare now,' said Lisa Countryman-Quiroz, CEO of JVS Bay Area, a workforce development nonprofit. 2. How much cash should I have saved? In the event of job loss or a reduction in work hours, you need to be able to cover your monthly bills without borrowing money or dipping into your retirement account. "You don't want to find yourself relying on credit as your only tool for emergencies,' Anat said. Experts recommend having an emergency fund that would allow you to cover three to six months of living expenses. To settle on an amount that makes you feel financially secure, consider your current income and job stability; your monthly expenses (housing, medical bills, groceries, utilities); and your future plans (expanding your family, moving, caring for a loved one). To prepare, adjust your budget and avoid stretching your finances too much with unnecessary expenses. Delay major purchases like vacations or buying a home, and avoid growing a balance on a credit card or taking out new loans that will accumulate interest. Pro tip: The best place to keep your emergency fund is in an account you can access that keeps your money secure. Saavedra recommends a high-yield savings account because it's liquid and provides solid returns on your balance. Money market accounts and certificates of deposit (CDs) can also be options. 3. What should I do if I'm worried about layoffs? When mass layoffs occur during recessions, it can take months to find new employment. Last year, before talk of a recession even took over headlines, it took jobseekers an average of eight months and 294 applications to land a job. Part of building your financial safety net includes planning for job loss before it happens, said Countryman-Quiroz. But having a resume ready is only the first step. Actively networking to expand your professional connections can also open doors to new opportunities. More importantly, try carving out 30 minutes each week to focus on building new skills to help you stand out to employers. Doing this prep work while employed can help you transition more easily into new roles or industries. "It doesn't matter where you are in your career or in the workforce, it's absolutely critical that you build skills around technology -- especially AI -- critical thinking, collaboration and communication," said Countryman-Quiroz. Read more: Don't Make the Job Hunt Harder. 9 Strategies to Stay Sane and Get Hired 4. Should I move my investments? While market downturns are unsettling, you don't always need to overhaul your investment strategy. The stock market has a history of recovering from dips and growing over time. Selling when things are down often means missing out on the recovery. For most people, staying the course is better than making drastic changes: Stick with a mix of investments you're comfortable with and continue investing. "If retirement is at least five years away, it is not the time to panic," said Saavedra. That said, if you are nearing retirement, it may be worth considering safer investments. Money market funds or CDs could be good options if you need more balance and less risk. 5. Is it better to save money or pay off debt? Having debt becomes a lot more burdensome during a recession, especially if you have a high-interest credit card balance eating away at your income. If inflation stays high or increases, those APRs will only get more painful. You don't need to be 100% debt-free to weather a recession. The goal is to lessen your financial vulnerability, not deplete your savings. Before tackling debt, Saavedra recommends having at least one month of living expenses saved in your emergency fund. Then, start by paying down the debt with the highest interest rates (10% and above) so you pay the least interest over time. If you're juggling several high-interest debts (medical bills, credit cards, etc.), you might also consider a debt consolidation loan, which combines those debts into a single personal loan with one fixed monthly payment. Another strategy is to move your credit card debt to a balance transfer card with a 0% introductory APR, which gives you some breathing room to avoid interest charges for 12 to 24 months. Once that introductory period ends, the card's regular APR kicks in, so you need a plan to pay off what's left. How to emotionally prepare for a recession Preparing for a recession involves more than just money. It's about creating a safety net and having a crucial lifeline for your emotional well-being during a stressful time. 'You want to feel emotionally supported, knowing that you won't have only yourself to rely on when the seasons change,' said Anat. For example, reach out to close friends and family to discuss ways you can support each other. Consider setting up informal agreements or exchanging help for meals, caregiving, carpooling or household maintenance. Anat also recommends connecting with local mutual aid funds in your community and exploring ways to contribute resources or receive support. You could start researching mental health services in your area, particularly those offering sliding scale fees or affordable care. In the end, recessions aren't new. If you think of yourself as the captain of a ship or boat, a recession is like a big wave or storm that comes and goes, according to Anat. The size and scope are often unpredictable, but all you can do is prepare for the worst.
Yahoo
20 hours ago
- Yahoo
DOGE Rebounds Hard After Flash Dip, Bulls Target $0.27 Next
Dogecoin rebounded aggressively during the July 18 06:00 to July 19 05:00 session, recovering from steep mid-session losses to close with a sharp 8% gain. The token carved out a volatile $0.2267–$0.2560 range, bouncing off the $0.2267 session floor after heavy selling pressure and surging to tag $0.2561 in the final stretch. Bit Origin's $500 million treasury move and mounting DOGE ETF chatter helped restore confidence as volume surged above key thresholds throughout the recovery. What to Know DOGE bounces 8% in volatile trading, closing at $0.2533 after dipping as low as $0.2267 Volume spikes to 1.66 billion in final hour as bulls reclaim control and retake $0.25 resistance Bit Origin commits $500 million to DOGE treasury strategy; ETF speculation adds fuel with 80% approval odds by Sept. News Background Bit Origin announced a $500 million institutional allocation plan to build DOGE-denominated treasury reserves, marking the largest known corporate move into the meme coin to date. The announcement coincided with a broader resurgence in the memecoin market, which has gained $17 billion this month. Meanwhile, traders are pricing in an 80% chance of a DOGE ETF approval by September, according to prediction platform Polymarket. These developments come as DOGE breaks out from a 10-month consolidation phase. Price Action Summary The 24-hour session opened at $0.2437, before sellers dragged DOGE to $0.2267 around 20:00. Volume surged to 1.102 billion—well above the 873.9 million average—as whales defended key support levels. A sharp post-midnight reversal pushed DOGE to $0.2533, delivering a 7.7% rebound off session lows. In the final hour, DOGE traded within a tight 1.85% band between $0.2514 and $0.2561. Price hit session highs at 04:34 before retreating slightly on profit-taking. Notably, volume exploded to 1.66 billion during the rally and exceeded 45 million during the peak formation, signaling institutional participation. Technical Analysis Trading range: $0.2267–$0.2561 (12.94% intraday spread) Support: Established at $0.2267 on 1.1 billion volume surge during drawdown Resistance: Clean break of $0.2500; local top at $0.2561 before final pullback Volume Trends: Final-hour surge to 1.66 billion validates strength of recovery Short-term Momentum: Strong bounce suggests $0.2500 may flip to support Next Resistance: Analysts eye $0.2670 and $0.2825 zones if rally holds What Traders Are Watching DOGE's ability to hold above $0.25 will be key for any continuation higher. Traders are monitoring ETF headlines and broader memecoin sentiment, while breakout targets of $0.36 to $1.00 are now in play if institutional flows continue. The current volume profile supports short-term consolidation before a possible next leg up. Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk's full AI Policy. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
