Weekly Recap: Ethereum's Comeback Summer
Ethereum's comeback is the story of the summer. Through ETFs ($2 billion inflows in two weeks), ETH treasury vehicles and excitement around tokenization, the comeback is well and truly on. And institutions are in the driving seat.
One of BlackRock's key digital assets stars will lead Joseph Lubin's ETH vehicle, SharpLink.
As EY's Paul Brody wrote this week, with institutions, 'Ethereum Has Already Won,' and will probably keep winning for decades to come. The incumbency of the Network Effect – that a critical mass of transactions in stablecoins and tokenization will fall to Ethereum – makes it a de facto network.
We'll see.
In markets:
While bitcoin held steady under 120k, altcoins did well. Hell. Most of the crypto market is looking relatively healthy these days.
And, according to President Trump, Jerome Powell could soon cut rates (or get fired). If so, that will help risky assets like bitcoin et al.
In other big news:
Roman Storm's Tornado Cash trial intensified. CoinDesk's Cheyenne Ligon was there.
Elon signed up X/Grok to prediction market Kalshi
JP Morgan will offer crypto loans but faces protests from crypto trade groups over data access.
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He laid out his views on Opendoor on social media on July 14, sparking not only a rapid rise in the stock, which also seems to have revived the meme stock trade among a newer group of unloved stocks, including Kohl's, Krispy Kreme, and GoPro. But for Jackson, Opendoor isn't a joke. He declined to disclose the value of his firm's stake, but it's now the single biggest position in EMJ Capital's portfolio, he told Business Insider. "I never thought of it that way," he said of investors who called Opendoor a meme stock. "So I sort of take offense, because I find all the meme stocks to be, to me, kind of terrible businesses that I would never want to own. Whereas I see Opendoor as a legitimate turnaround story." Opendoor will probably be the only company among the meme-stock cohort that won't be forgotten about by next week, he said, adding that he sees the latest speculative buying spree fizzling out. Indeed, most of this week's meme stock cohort was already giving up their biggest gains by midday on Friday. Opendoor's stock price spiked as high as $4.97 this week in intraday trading, an almost 830% increase in July. The stock has since pared its gains, trading around $2.46 a share on Friday, but Jackson still thinks shares could hit $82 within the next several years, a gain that would mark a 3,200% increase from current levels. The next leg-up for the stock could come in the next few weeks when the company reports third-quarter earnings, Jackson said. 'I'm not here to pump up a stock' Opendoor first appeared on Jackson's radar in 2022, around the time he started paying attention to Carvana. In a podcast called "The Compound and Friends," he said he believed both companies, which were struggling at the time, could stage a massive turnaround. His bet on Carvana paid off. Shares of the online used car retailer have risen almost 7,000% since the beginning of 2023. The bet on Opendoor — until now — did not. The stock traded between $1-$3 a share around the time Jackson finally gave up on the call and cashed out his shares nine months ago. "It's like having a painful ex in your history and you just don't want to look at their Instagram page or something like that, because it just brings up bad feelings," he said. Jackson thinks the story could be different this time around for a few reasons: Opendoor stock now looks similar to Carvana when Jackson first made his call on the used car seller. Opendoor shares were trading under $1 around the time he fired off a series of posts about the company on X. Opendoor has aggressively slashed its costs in recent years. In 2024, it cut its workforce by 17%. The firm doesn't have much competition in the iBuying space now that Zillow and Redfin have exited that business. Opendoor was likely "thrown for a loop" by the Fed keeping interest rates higher for longer than expected in 2022 and 2023, Jackson said. 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Since posting the Opendoor thread on X, he told BI he's spoken with investors all over Asia, Africa, Europe, and South America who buy into his call, but he has also come across "a lot of negative stuff" on X about his thesis. "I guess it comes with the territory when you stick your neck out there as a real person with real thoughts. You get all these anonymous trolls chirping back at you," he said. "I really hope that if all of retail and all institutional investors truly believe in this $82 story, my hope is they zero in with like, the Death Star on this planet, and just buy and hold," he said, adding that he believed investors could stage a rally similar to Cisco's meteoric rise during the dot-com bubble. Importantly, he emphasized that he's not a fan of people saying he sparked the meme stock rally. "But I'm some grifter or flipper, no. I'm in this for the long run. I'm not here to pump up a stock and jump out of it. I've never done that." 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