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Dalai Lama reincarnation: Contest over the soul of Tibet

Dalai Lama reincarnation: Contest over the soul of Tibet

Deccan Herald15 hours ago

As the 14th Dalai Lama celebrates his 90th birthday on July 6, all eyes are on his expected announcement on his reincarnation. He, himself, stated that the 15th Dalai Lama would be found in the 'free world'. China, which 'liberated' Tibet in 1951 with a military invasion, on the other hand, declared its intention to select the next Dalai Lama through a 'golden urn' lottery process. Beijing hopes to create some confusion among the Tibetans on the issue of the reincarnation of the Dalai Lama. It had done the same in the case of Panchen Lama, the second-highest monk after the Dalai Lama in Tibetan Buddhism. China expects the move will also pave the way for its unbridled influence over Tibet. Earlier, in 1995, when the Dalai Lama recognised Gedhun Choekyi Nyima as the 11th Panchen Lama, China put him under house arrest and, instead, selected Gyaltsen Norbu for the position through a "golden urn" process. Gyaltsen Norbu today occupies important political positions in communist China. He is a member of the standing committee of China's People's Political Consultative Conference and the vice president of the Buddhist Association of China. He is also seen touring Tibet and meeting political leaders of China..Dalai Lama @90: The monk who still scares the dragon.China, since President Jiang Zemin's time, stated that it will resort to the "golden urn" process in the case of the 15th Dalai Lama as well. Moreover, in August 2020, the Tibet Forum Meeting – one of the highest decision-making bodies in communist China – declared 'sinicisation' of Tibetan Buddhism to convert all aspects in Tibet into Han Chinese practices with socialist interpretations, despite the promises of it made in the 1951 17-point agreement for the autonomy of Tibetans. The Dalai Lama would not like to see Chinese-induced chaos destroying the Tibetan identity and way of life. In 2011, the Dalai Lama transferred his temporal powers to the popularly elected Sikyong (the prime minister). The exiled Tibetans, since then, took part in the elections of the Sikyong thrice, while Tibet under China had never witnessed popular elections. China's concern is also that, despite its seven decades of tight rule over Tibet since 1951 and assimilation policies, an estimated 97% of Tibetans in Tibet still revere the 14th Dalai Lama. China shudders to think of Tibet slipping from its tight embrace. Spiritually, the Dalai Lama's declaration on his 90th birthday is expected to be endorsed by the key head monks from Mongolia (the originator of the Dalai Lama institution) and those now living in India, Nepal, Bhutan and other countries. The Dalai Lama also has significant influence in the United States (which passed the Tibet Policy and Support Act of 2020 and Tibet Reciprocity Act of 2018), the European Union, Japan, Australia and other countries. Such a contest over the future Dalai Lama has ramifications for not only the Tibetan community but also to the trans-Himalayan belt. With its $19 trillion GDP, China intends to influence the region through infrastructure connectivity and military mobilisation, while the Dalai Lama wants to protect the soul of Tibet and his people..Dalai Lama says his successor to be born outside China.For India, which had borders with Tibet historically, the Dalai Lama's succession creates uncertainties along the current borders, as the Galwan clashes in 2020 and the current full-scale border mobilisation indicate. India also has to factor China's 628 dual-use 'well-off society' villages in the border areas, as nearly 200 such 'villages' were constructed on the path of the Dalai Lama's flight in 1959. Besides, India is also aware of the irredentist Chinese claims on not only Tawang but also the whole of Arunachal Pradesh. India also has to cope with the fragile trans-Himalayan law and order situation. Despite heavy political and military pressure from China, India has vowed to protect and further the identity of the Tibetans living in India and termed the 14th Dalai Lama as a "spiritual" leader. New Delhi is likely to stick to its position in the case of the 15th Dalai Lama too..(The writer is a Professor of Chinese Studies at Jawaharlal Nehru University)

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It raises concerns over the status of Iran's 400 kg of enriched uranium — enough material for nearly 10 nuclear bombs — or the condition of its advanced centrifuges, which IAEA inspectors could ascertain if Iran allows them. However, despite being aware of the lack of balance of power, Iran's battle-hardened leadership is unlikely to back down. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei even claimed Tehran won its recent 12-day war with Israel. Iranian-American academic Vali Nasr also argues that since Iran is locked in a battle for survival with Israel and the US, it is unlikely to capitulate and would possibly seek to acquire nuclear weapons as a measure of deterrence. During the 12-day war, Iran's sustained retaliatory attacks against Israel not only exposed vulnerabilities in its vaunted multilayered air defence system but also demonstrated the futility of war in either dismantling its nuclear programme or imposing regime change. The situation turns the spotlight back to diplomacy. 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The head of the UN agency for Palestinian refugees (UNRWA) Philippe Lazzarini says GHF aid distribution sites created 'a killing field'. This view was echoed by the Director of the Council for Arab-British Understanding, Chris Doyle, as he told Al Jazeera that food distribution centres are 'death traps'. He also stressed that UN agencies and humanitarian groups have for months warned that operations by the GHF were 'utterly wrong and unworkable'. Meanwhile, ongoing restrictions on the entry of essential medical supplies and fuel have compounded the health crisis in Gaza, the UNRWA has said. According to Gaza's Health Ministry, Israel's war on Gaza has killed at least 56,331 people and wounded 132,632. An estimated 1,139 people were killed in Israel during the October 7 attacks, and more than 200 were taken captive. Al Jazeera's Nour Odeh, reporting from Amman in Jordan, also said that talk of a 'ceasefire in Gaza increased exponentially after the ceasefire between Israel and Iran. 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The 32 leaders of member countries endorsed the final summit statement saying: 'Allies commit to invest 5 per cent of GDP annually on core defence requirements as well as defence- and security-related spending by 2035 to ensure our individual and collective obligations.' However, Spain, which had allocated 1.24 per cent of its GDP in 2024 to defence spending, announced it would not adhere to this target, earning Trump's ire and the potential for Spain-specific trade sanctions. The summit was held in The Hague, the Netherlands on 24-25 June. The 'One for All, All for One' principle mentioned in Article 5 constitutes the bedrock of NATO's existence. It says an attack against even one of the members would be considered an attack against all members. NATO was founded by 12 Western countries in 1949 to resist the threat from the communist Soviet Union. NATO's first secretary-general, Lord Ismay, famously declared its goal: 'To keep the Americans in, the Russians out, and the Germans down.' C. Raja Mohan argues that in the post-War order, this formula made sense, but the present moment demands a very different configuration. The reversal of decades-long animosity between the US and Russia has largely upended NATO's stance towards Ukraine. Since 2022, every NATO summit has committed to aiding Ukraine in its war against Russia. Most NATO countries view Russia as a direct and immediate threat. But Trump has paused US military aid to Ukraine in its war against Russia and has ruled out the possibility of Ukraine joining NATO. C. Raja Mohan argues as Trump rethinks US relations with Russia and China, major powers in Europe and Asia will have to rethink their great power relations and look beyond the US security alliances. This recalibration of global power equations coincides with India and the US seeking to finalise a trade agreement. As the July 9 deadline for the reciprocal tariff pause is just days away, Indian trade negotiators are in the US to hold final negotiations for a trade deal. However, market access in agriculture and other sensitive areas remains key sticking points. President Donald Trump on June 26 said the US and India may sign a 'very big' deal 'where we're going to open up India'. According to a person privy to the development, India is likely to face more pressure to accept US demands to avoid reciprocal tariffs. The US and India held the last round of talks earlier this month, which yielded little progress. The two sides are at loggerheads over the US's demand seeking increased market access for its agricultural products, especially soya and corn. Agricultural goods receive high protection in India and have largely remained outside trade agreements. India primarily exports basmati rice, spices, cereals, dairy, and poultry products to the US. Amid the ongoing trade talks, there were reported concerns among some domestic agricultural-based industries about the possible concessions that the deal might entail, especially those related to genetically modified (GM) crops. The US has also flagged a number of non-tariff barriers and high duties in India, but is yet to commit to several Indian demands. In addition to the elimination of the 26 per cent reciprocal tariff, India is seeking duty-free entry for labour-intensive export items such as textiles and footwear in the US. At the same time, India has reduced tariffs on some items, including high-end motorcycles and automobiles, and some other electronics. Official trade data also shows that India's import of crude oil from the US rose 11.49 per cent to $63 billion in March 2025 compared to the previous year. In the meantime, Trump claimed that the US and China have signed a trade deal that will make it easier for American firms to obtain magnets and rare earth minerals from Beijing. 'Part of the agreement was tariffs coming down and rare earth magnets starting to flow back to the US,' Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Friday. The same day, another significant political development was reported from Africa. The Democratic Republic of Congo and Rwanda signed a peace agreement on Friday (June 27), raising hopes for an end to the worst fighting in decades that killed thousands and displaced hundreds of thousands. The agreement, signed by the two African countries' foreign ministers in Washington, DC, would see Rwandan troops withdraw from eastern Congo within 90 days, according to a copy seen by Reuters. The peace deal is backed by the US and Qatar, and came after a series of talks that followed a meeting between the governments of Congo and Rwanda in March in Doha, Al Jazeera cited a Qatari diplomat as saying. The talks were held amid offensives by Rwanda-backed M23 fighters in which they captured eastern Congo's two largest cities – Goma and Bukavu – and lucrative mining areas earlier this year. The gains by M23 were the latest cycle in a decades-old conflict with roots in the 1994 Rwandan genocide. Eastern Congo, on the other hand, has been experiencing the worst conflict since the Second Congo War (1998–2003). The Democratic Republic of Congo, formerly known as Zaire (from 1971 to 1997), is a vast, resource-rich country with an estimated $24 trillion in untapped mineral deposits. US President Trump said, 'We're getting, for the United States, a lot of the mineral rights from the Congo as part of it,' Reuters reported. Send your feedback and ideas to

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