Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game 5 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds
The Oklahoma City Thunder will meet the Minnesota Timberwolves in a decisive Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals. The Thunder face the Timberwolves in a game that Oklahoma City is currently a strong favorite by 8.5 points. The over/under is 220.5 points for the game.
Here's everything you need to know to know about the Thunder-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information. Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds When: Wednesday, May 28, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
TV: ESPN Thunder vs Timberwolves Betting Information Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Thunder -8.5 -112 -108 220.5 -110 -110 -375 +295 Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction
ATS Pick: Thunder (- 8.5)
O/U Pick: Over (220.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 118 - Timberwolves 107 Thunder vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights The Thunder and their opponent have combined to score over 220.5 points, the current matchup's over/under, in 56 of 82 games this season.
This season, 46 of the Timberwolves' 82 total matchups have gone over 220.5 total points scored.
These two teams average a combined 234.8 points per game, 14.3 more points than the over/under of 220.5 set for this matchup.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 216.9 points per game, 3.6 fewer than the over/under for this game.
Oklahoma City has been victorious in 65, or 83.3%, of the 78 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
Minnesota has been victorious in eight, or 44.4%, of the 18 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
Oklahoma City has taken five of its last eight head-to-head meetings with Minnesota.
The Timberwolves have a 5-3 record against the spread when playing the Thunder.
The Thunder covered the spread in their past four games, and were favored in all of those contests. Thunder Recent Trends The Thunder have gone 7-3 over their past 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span.
Oklahoma City's average total over the last 10 games is 1.1 points more than the 220.5 total given for this matchup.
In the Thunder's 82 games this season, they have 53 wins against the spread.
Oklahoma City has an ATS record of 27-15-3 in its 45 games as a favorite of 8.5 points or more so far this season.
Thunder games this year have eclipsed the over/under 45 times in 82 opportunities (54.9%).
The Thunder put up 120.5 points per game, 11.2 more points than the 109.3 the Timberwolves give up.
When Oklahoma City puts up more than 109.3 points, it is 44-16-2 against the spread and 53-9 overall.
The Thunder are shooting 48.2% from the field this season, 2.2 percentage points higher than the 46% the Timberwolves allow to opponents.
Against the spread, the Thunder have fared better at home, covering 28 times in 42 home games, and 25 times in 40 road games.
In terms of over/unders, Oklahoma City hits the over more often when playing at home, as it has eclipsed the total 25 times in 42 opportunities this season (59.5%). In road games, it has hit the over 20 times in 40 opportunities (50%).
The Thunder have played better as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, putting up a home record of 35-6, compared to going 30-7 in away games. Thunder Recent Stats Stat Average Rank Points Scored 120.5 4 Points Allowed 107.6 3 Rebounds 44.8 11 Assists 26.9 12 Steals 10.3 1 Blocks 5.7 2 Thunder Leaders Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.7 points, 6.4 assists and 5 boards per contest.
Jalen Williams posts 21.6 points, 5.3 boards and 5.1 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.6 steals (seventh in league) and 0.7 blocks.
Isaiah Hartenstein posts 11.2 points, 10.7 rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 1.1 blocks.
Aaron Wiggins puts up 12 points, 3.9 boards and 1.8 assists per contest, shooting 48.8% from the field and 38.3% from downtown with 1.7 made treys per contest.
Luguentz Dort averages 10.1 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest, shooting 43.5% from the floor and 41.2% from downtown with 2.4 made treys per contest. Thunder Player Props Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG (Reg. Season) Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 31.5 -125 32.7 Jalen Williams 21.5 -120 21.6 Chet Holmgren 14.5 -125 15 Alex Caruso 8.5 -115 7.1 Luguentz Dort 7.5 -125 10.1 Timberwolves Recent Trends The Timberwolves are 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests.
Minnesota has averaged a total of 209.9 combined points over its last 10 games, 10.6 fewer than this game's over/under of 220.5.
Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 39-43-0 this season.
So far this season, Minnesota has been installed as underdogs by an 8.5-point margin or more four times and are 4-0 ATS in those contests.
Timberwolves games this season have hit the over 44 times in 82 opportunities (53.7%).
The Timberwolves put up 6.7 more points per game (114.3) than the Thunder allow (107.6).
When it scores more than 107.6 points, Minnesota is 30-22 against the spread and 39-13 overall.
The Timberwolves are shooting 46.8% from the field, 3.2% higher than the 43.6% the Thunder's opponents have shot this season.
This season, the Timberwolves are 17-24-0 at home against the spread (.415 winning percentage). On the road, they are 22-19-0 ATS (.537).
Minnesota's games have finished above the over/under 58.5% of the time at home (24 of 41), and 48.8% of the time on the road (20 of 41).
The Timberwolves' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .639 (23-13), and on the road it is .654 (17-9). Timberwolves Recent Stats Stat Average Rank Points Scored 114.3 13 Points Allowed 109.3 5 Rebounds 44.3 15 Assists 26.1 16 Steals 8 17 Blocks 5 13 Timberwolves Leaders Anthony Edwards puts up 27.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game for the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves are getting 18.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game from Julius Randle this year.
The Timberwolves are receiving 12 points, 10.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game from Rudy Gobert this year.
The Timberwolves are receiving 14.2 points, 6 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game from Naz Reid this year.
Jaden McDaniels gets the Timberwolves 12.2 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2 assists per contest while putting up 1.3 steals and 0.9 blocked shots. Timberwolves Player Props Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG (Reg. Season) Anthony Edwards 26.5 -115 27.6 Julius Randle 17.5 -115 18.7 Jaden McDaniels 12.5 -120 12.2 Naz Reid 10.5 -110 14.2 Donte DiVincenzo 8.5 -130 11.7
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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