Wheat recoups some losses, but ample supply caps gains
Corn futures rose slightly, but forecasts for crop-friendly rain in U.S. grain belts capped the gains. Soybeans increased amid news that China will reduce hog production and look for alternatives to soybean meal in feed rations.
The most-active wheat contract on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) was up 0.2% at $5.41-3/4 a bushel at 1117 GMT, after falling 1.6% on Wednesday. Prices had slipped to a five-year low of $5.06-1/4 in May. CBOT soybeans were up 0.4% at $10.27 a bushel and corn rose 0.5% to $4.19-1/2 a bushel. U.S. wheat is now cheaper than wheat from Europe or top exporter Russia, said Ole Houe, director of advisory services at IKON Commodities in Sydney. "U.S. wheat is ultra-competitive," he said.
"The U.S. is finding plenty of demand that should have got to Russia... every time you get down to the sort of levels where we are today, you tend to jump back up again two days later." That said, Russian prices are likely to fall in the coming weeks as the country's new harvest - which is expected to be large by historical standards - flows into the market, he said.
Separately, a senior official said India, the world's second-biggest producer of wheat, was not immediately planning to sell wheat from government reserves as supplies are comfortable and prices stable.
Meanwhile, updates from a crop tour of North Dakota's hard red spring wheat fields underlined expectations of a good harvest, with per-acre yields falling from last year's records but remaining above average. The market will be watching for revisions to the U.S. Department of Agriculture's estimates when it releases its World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report on August 12.
Traders also hope that President Donald Trump will get foreign buyers to purchase more U.S. farm goods. Negotiations over a U.S.-European Union deal are ongoing and U.S.-China talks are scheduled for next week. Prices at 1117 GMT Last Change Pct Move CBOT wheat 541.75 1.25 0.23 CBOT corn 419.50 2.00 0.48 CBOT soy 1027.00 4.25 0.42 Paris wheat 199.00 -0.50 -0.25 Paris maize 56.48 0.34 0.61 Paris rapeseed 475.75 -0.75 -0.16 Euro/dlr 1.17 0.00 -0.18 Most active contracts - Wheat, corn and soy US cents/bushel, Paris futures in euros per tonne.
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