
A Decade After Obergefell, Is Same-Sex Marriage Safe?
When Jim Obergefell and John Arthur boarded a charter medical jet one summer day in 2013 to exchange vows, national attitudes towards same-sex marriage were shifting. That May, a record-high 51% of American adults said they were in favor of allowing queer couples to marry, a dramatic uptick from the just 32% who supported marriage equality in 2003, when Massachusetts became the first state to legalize it following a state Supreme Court decision.
The pair's rushed ceremony, which took place on the tarmac of the Baltimore/Washington International Airport due to Arthur's deteriorating ALS condition, cemented the relationship between the couple who had been together for more than two decades.
'It really was the happiest moment of our life together,' Obergefell tells TIME. 'That's for us what marriage represented; that coming together and that public commitment of saying, you're the person I choose to spend my life with, and I will do anything I can for you and with you.'
Five days later, that bliss was dulled after civil rights attorney Al Gerhardstein explained that Obergefell would not be on his husband's death certificate because their marriage was not legally recognized by the state of Ohio. 'We had just jumped through so many hoops to get married that millions of couples would never have to do, and we simply wanted John to die a married man,' Obergefell says.
Their lawsuit, and several more from other same-sex couples, culminated in the Supreme Court's landmark 2015 ruling in Obergefell v. Hodges, which made same-sex marriage the law of the land throughout the U.S.
A decade later, some fear marriage equality could soon be at risk.
Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas said as much in a concurring opinion in the 2022 Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization decision that overturned Roe v. Wade, urging the court to reconsider its rulings in Obergefell, along with two other landmark cases, calling them 'demonstrably erroneous.'
Only two of the justices that ruled in favor of Obergefell—Elena Kagan and Sonia Sotomayor—remain on the court. A subset of the LGBTQ+ community is already facing rolled back protections following the Skrmetti ruling that upheld Tennessee's gender-affirming-care ban for youth. Advocates are awaiting a decision on Mahmoud v. Taylor, a case regarding opt-out measures for books featuring LGBTQ+ characters, and justices are set to hear arguments for Chiles v. Salazar, which is challenging Colorado's conversion therapy ban. This year alone, legislators in at least nine states have filed resolutions asking the Supreme Court to overturn Obergefell, with one such lawmaker citing 'religious persecution.'
'There is a reason to be nervous, certainly more so after Dobbs,' admits University of Maine School of Law professor Jessica Feinberg, who specializes in gender and sexuality law. 'But I guess what makes me feel a little less panicked is [the Obergefell decision] was very recent.' Roe v. Wade and its recognition of a right to abortion, in contrast, had been in place for nearly 50 years before the court overturned it.
Others agree—at least for now.
Legal experts tell TIME that Obergefell's legal standing is twofold, hinging on both the due process and equal protection clause in the 14th Amendment. Due process refers to the fundamental rights guaranteed to individuals. 'It's one of those choices that is so personal and so central to our identity and our economy that we protect it,' says Feinberg.
Thomas's concurring Dobbs opinion argues that the court should re-address its due process findings in Obergefell and other landmark cases, but does not take into account equal protection, which could provide a safety net for marriage equality. 'The legal issues are somewhat different,' says Mary Bonauto, the attorney who argued Obergefell before the court and currently works as the senior director of civil rights at GLAD Law. 'A central holding in Obergefell was that there was an equal right to marry, and that was not an issue in Dobbs.'
She adds that courts must consider additional 'reliance interests' in regards to marriage, which include rules with respect to the way married couples file taxes, purchase property, or are even included on each other's health insurance plan. 'The marriage issue really, is about stability and security, the rights of couples to marry and to keep being able to marry,' she adds.
Feinberg also points to the Respect for Marriage Act, a bipartisan 2022 law that mandated states to recognize same-sex and interracial marriages, as a second layer of protection.
Some activists have pointed to shortcomings in the federal law, notably that the legislation does not bar states from refusing to issue marriage licenses to same-sex couples should Obergefell be overturned. But Cathryn Oakley, senior director of legal policy at the Human Rights Campaign, a nonprofit advocating for LGBTQ+ rights, notes that even if Congress wanted to pass a national law to codify same-sex marriage, it would be difficult because states control marriage rights.
'The Respect for Marriage Act is as close as our separation of powers will let us come to that and really guarantee those rights under federal law,' she says.
'It's hard not to think about marriage for same sex couples being shaken up,' says Bonauto. '[But] the Supreme Court takes 1%, if that, of its cases every year … So given the enormous importance of this issue and how it affects the stability of families in their day to day lives … there's good reason to believe it should remain the law of the U.S.'
Bonauto, who has been at the forefront of court battles for marriage equality for more than two decades, fighting—and winning—cases that guaranteed civil unions and eventually marriage, points to the long path to marriage equality, which was paved by a myriad of challenges.
In the six months between the Massachusetts Supreme Court ruling in favor of marriage equality and the first day licenses could be issued, critics of the decision fought back through constitutional amendment proceedings and lawsuits. It wasn't until June 2007, four years after the initial court ruling, that legislators defeated the final constitutional amendment seeking to overturn it. 'Until that happened, the idea that it could go away was very present in people's minds,' says Bonauto. 'This made it clear marriage was here to stay.'
Roadblocks to marriage equality came up again and again in other states. In order to pass Vermont's state marriage equality law, legislators had to override then-Governor James Douglas's veto. Maine lawmakers passed a state law allowing same-sex marriage, only for voters to revoke it at the ballot box, before voting in favor of marriage once again in 2012.
'There was so much change happening across the nation when it comes to marriage equality,' Obergefell recalls of the time he was fighting for the right a decade ago. 'My experience was overwhelmingly positive. People in support of marriage equality hugging me, crying, telling me stories and explaining what this fight meant to them, to their loved one, to their children.'
For older queer folks, the idea that the Supreme Court could even grant marriage equality seemed like a far away dream, Oakley says. Older colleagues would tell her, 'Well, you know, it never even occurred to me that I might be able to get married,' she remembers. She had a much different perspective. 'I had always assumed I was going to be able to get married eventually. I just didn't know how long it was going to take.'
The Obergefell decision ended the back-and-forth battles and ushered in legal stability for same-sex marriage. In the decade since the court ruled in the case, hundreds of thousands of queer couples have gotten married and started families across the country. More than 750,000 households are now led by same-sex married couples, making up 1.3% of married couples in 2023, the Pew Research Center reports. A solid majority of Americans—nearly 70%, according to a Gallup survey conducted last month—now support same-sex marriage.'Now my daughter is living in a world that's not that much further away, and she's never known a time that marriage equality wasn't legal across the country,' Oakley says. 'In light of Skrmetti and other things, I think it's really important that people keep in mind, ultimately, how quickly LGBTQ rights have progressed.'
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Newsweek
3 minutes ago
- Newsweek
Donald Trump Voters Are Losing Faith With Trump
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Once the cornerstone of his political strength, President Donald Trump's base is showing signs of erosion. The latest YouGov/Economist poll, conducted June 20-23 among 1,590 adults, shows that Trump's approval rating among those who voted for him in 2024 stands at 83 percent, while 14 percent disapprove, giving him a net approval rating of +69 points, down from +80 last month. The poll had a margin of error of +/-3.5 percentage points. President Donald Trump speaks with reporters on Air Force One while in flight from Joint Base Andrews, Maryland, to Amsterdam, Netherlands, on June 24, 2025. President Donald Trump speaks with reporters on Air Force One while in flight from Joint Base Andrews, Maryland, to Amsterdam, Netherlands, on June 24, 2025. Alex Brandon/AP Last month's poll was conducted before Trump carried out airstrikes against three key Iranian nuclear facilities over the weekend. In retaliation, Iran fired missiles at a U.S. military base in Qatar on Monday. A ceasefire between Iran and Israel was agreed to the same day, though tensions remain high. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have since accused Iran of violating the ceasefire and threatened to strike Tehran in response—an accusation Tehran denies. The rapid escalation has spotlighted the risks of deeper U.S. military involvement in the Middle East and highlighted the evolving nature of American foreign policy under Trump, who once promised to protect "America's vital interests" without engaging in "endless wars" overseas. The strikes appear to have triggered a shift in public attitudes—even among Republicans—with polls showing signs of declining support for Trump's agenda. Additional data from the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll, conducted June 21–23 among 1,139 respondents, reinforces the trend: 84 percent of Republicans said they approve of the president's job performance, down from 90 percent last month. The latest poll had a margin of error of +/-3.2 percentage points. Political analysts say Trump's declining approval ratings are tied to a growing disconnect between his actions and voter priorities—particularly after his recent military intervention in Iran. Thomas Gift, founding director of the University College London Centre on U.S. Politics, told Newsweek Trump's decision to strike Iranian nuclear facilities has unsettled many in the MAGA movement who expected him to avoid foreign entanglements. "Trump's recent actions in Iran have done little to reassure the MAGA base that he'll steer clear of another endless war in the Middle East," Gift said, noting that even former chief strategist Steve Bannon has warned the conflict could escalate into "U.S. boots on the ground." Gift added that a core tenet of Trump's 2024 message was that "'America First' meant staying out of foreign conflicts," but now "that promise is starting to ring hollow." Peter Loge, a political communications professor at George Washington University and former Obama advisor, told Newsweek Trump's approval ratings are falling for broader reasons as well. "Trump's numbers are down because that's how public opinion works," Loge said. "He is pursuing policies people don't like, while ignoring things people care about." He pointed to "thermostatic politics"—the idea that voters often react against the party in power, even when it does what they asked for—as a key factor. "Trump started in a weak position with a lot of soft support," Loge explained. "That he is getting less popular is unsurprising." Loge added that many of Trump's headline policies—such as sending troops into American cities or escalating military conflicts abroad—don't match what most voters are asking for. "Most voters mostly want things to work," he said. "They want to be able to afford gas and groceries, pay their medical bills, and know their kids have a shot at a good future." Instead, Trump's agenda—threatening Medicaid, risking inflation with tariffs, and engaging in costly foreign conflicts—"either ignores what most voters care about, or threatens to make those things worse." "President Trump likes people to pay attention to Donald Trump," Loge said. "Voters would rather pay attention to their families." It comes as polls show that a majority of Americans do not approve of U.S. airstrikes in Iran. The YouGov/Economist poll found just 29 percent think the U.S. should be carrying the strikes, while 46 percent said it should not. The Washington Post found modestly higher support for the U.S. military bombing Iran. In a poll, 25 percent of adults supported "the U.S. military launching airstrikes against Iran over its nuclear program," while 45 percent were opposed. The poll also found that 82 percent of Americans were either "somewhat" or "very" concerned about getting involved in a full-scale war with Iran. Analysis by pollster G. Elliott Morris showed that 21 percent of Americans said last week that they supported U.S. involvement in Iran, while 57 percent opposed. And it seems that Trump's decision to launch airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities has exposed deep divisions within the party. Republican Representative Thomas Massie of Kentucky called Trump's move unconstitutional. "This is not our war. Even if it were, Congress must decide such matters according to our Constitution," Massie posted on X, formerly Twitter. Far-right Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia, a Trump ally, struck a cautious tone after the bombing, posting on X: "Let us join together and pray for the safety of our U.S. troops and Americans in the Middle East." But just 30 minutes before the announcement of the airstrikes, Greene voiced frustration: "Every time America is on the verge of greatness, we get involved in another foreign war... Israel is a nuclear armed nation. This is not our fight. Peace is the answer." Former Trump adviser and War Room podcast host Steve Bannon was even more direct in his criticism, blasting the president for publicly thanking Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu after the operation. "It hasn't been lost... that he thanked Bibi Netanyahu, who I would think right now – at least the War Room's position is – [is] the last guy on Earth you should thank," Bannon said. Bannon, who has long opposed U.S. military involvement in Iran, questioned Trump's reliance on intelligence reportedly provided by Israel, rather than U.S. sources. "I don't think we've been dealing from the top of the deck," he said, and described Trump's post-strike remarks as "very open-ended," adding: "I'm not quite sure [it was] the talk that a lot of MAGA wanted to hear." While Bannon insisted that "the MAGA movement will back Trump," he noted growing discomfort with the president's increasingly hawkish posture, recalling that opposition to "forever wars" was a defining issue in Trump's 2016 campaign. "One of the core tenets is no forever wars," Bannon told an audience in Washington days before the strike. Tulsi Gabbard, Trump's director of national intelligence, also appeared to diverge from the president. Trump recently criticized the intelligence community's assessment that Iran had not taken the political decision to build a nuclear bomb, saying they were "wrong." Gabbard has denied any serious disagreement. Charlie Kirk, a prominent right-wing influencer, warned ahead of the strikes that Trump risked alienating his base. "Trump voters, especially young people, supported [him] because he was the first president in my lifetime to not start a new war," he said. But after the strikes, Kirk appeared to soften, reposting a clip of Vice President JD Vance praising the pilots involved. "They dropped 30,000 pound bombs on a target the size of a washing machine... Whatever our politics, we should be proud," Vance said. Nonetheless, polls suggest that Trump's MAGA base is largely supportive of the strikes. A recent J.L. Partners poll showed that support for U.S. military action against Iran is strongest among Trump's most devoted base. Two-thirds of self-identified "MAGA Republicans" (65 percent) back U.S. strikes, far surpassing support among "Traditional Republicans" (51 percent). Most Republican voters also view Israel's war with Iran as a shared American cause, with 63 percent saying "Israel's war is America's war"—a figure that rises to 67 percent among MAGA Republicans. And a new Washington Post/George Mason University survey finds Republican support for a strike rising from 47 percent to 77 percent. For comparison, political independents moved 10 points in Trump's direction, and Democrats stayed put. For pollster G Elliott Morris, there is a simple explanation for this. "Many Republicans do not hold isolationism as a value above their partisanship," he wrote in a blog post. "When push comes to shove, party loyalty and following the leader override some abstract commitment to staying out of foreign conflicts. If Trump decides that the MAGA movement should abandon isolationism altogether and invade Iran, then a large chunk of the movement will follow suit. The speed and scale of the shift in Republican opinion after Trump's decision to bomb Iran is a textbook example of this." He continued: "Of course, partisanship is not just a Republican phenomenon, but Trump's gravitational pull on opinion is unlike the force wielded by any other politician." Aaron Evans, president of Winning Republican Strategies, summed up why Republicans support Trump's actions in Iran. "Americans know President Trump did exactly what he promised: he stopped Iran from getting nuclear weapons without dragging us into another endless war," Evans told Newsweek. "While Democrats rushed to scream 'World War III,' Trump exposed their weakness and lack of seriousness on foreign policy. He showed strength, poise, and strategic discipline—doing what others only talk about: keeping nukes out of the hands of a terror regime while securing peace through strength. The media can spin, but voters see the truth. President Trump acted with precision, avoided war, and protected American lives. He's a man of action, not talk—and that's exactly why his base remains strong." However, the most recent YouGov/Economist poll found that only 47 percent of Trump 2024 voters think the U.S. should take active part in world affairs, while 37 percent disagreed and 19 percent said they are not sure.


USA Today
30 minutes ago
- USA Today
Ranked choice voting promised more moderates. It delivered extremists instead.
Ranked choice voting further loosens party control and gives the activists within either party more say in the process. And voters in the middle suffer the consequences. In one of my first published columns ever, I advocated for ranked choice voting, which was at the time a lesser-known alternative way to conduct elections in which you rank several candidates in order of preference. I have since changed my view. Since then, the idea has grown in popularity, even making its way into New York City's Democratic Party primary election on Tuesday, June 24. Ranked choice made headlines as state lawmaker Zohran Mamdani won that primary. The promise of ranked choice voting producing more moderate candidates has been undermined by extreme candidates. American politics are better off under more traditional voting systems. What is ranked choice voting? Ranked choice voting seeks to solve the issue of strategic voting ‒ when voters cast their ballot not for their top choice in a crowded field, but rather their preference between one of the two candidates with a high chance of winning. One of the central arguments in favor of ranked choice is that, because people can express their true preferences, it is more likely to produce more moderate candidates. However, in practice, it rarely accomplishes this goal. Take New York's mayoral primary race, for example. The city's ranked choice system led to the election of Mamdani, a democratic socialist, as the Democratic nominee to be the next mayor, giving him the inside track at the job. Now, part of that issue is candidate quality. Mamdani's opponent was Andrew Cuomo, who is best known for resigning the New York governorship in disgrace in 2021 due to numerous sexual harassment claims and mismanagement of COVID-19. But that dilemma goes even further to the point of ranked choice voting not producing better outcomes than an ordinary ballot system. The New York election is not the sole arbiter of this system's effectiveness, however. Other municipalities that have adopted ranked choice have seen more extreme candidates prevail. Researchers have found that 'as an electorate grows more polarized, candidates located at the median are less likely to be elected under IRV (another term for ranked choice voting) because they simply are not the first choice of enough voters.' In our polarized political environment, ranked choice voting may make matters even worse by favoring more extreme candidates, thus widening the partisan divide in races. Ranked choice voting weakens political parties One fact that many in the news media are reluctant to admit (but may agree with privately) is that voters are extraordinarily bad at selecting good candidates. This is why America is better off with strong political parties. Strong political parties, with more influence over who their nominees are, limit the extent to which voters can influence a party to nominate a candidate outside of the mainstream opinion. Political parties have grown weaker in recent years as populist movements in both parties grow, and the result is a rise in extreme candidates in response to American political polarization. More extreme candidates acting outside the structure of parties is a major reason for this. Ranked choice voting reduces the amount of sway that a political party has over its nominee. Ordinarily, in a primary election, there is a uniform sequence of dropouts that build coalitions among two and three candidates by the time Election Day rolls around. This typical procession gives parties plenty of opportunities to interject their preferences into the race, and to help boost their preferred candidate. Still, the existence of a primary system in the first place entails that, from time to time, the voters will override the preferences of the internal party structure, such as Donald Trump's initial nomination in the 2016 presidential election. That problem has worsened as activists have captured the primary system to promote their candidates, rather than those of the median partisan. Ranked choice voting further loosens party control and gives the activists within either party more say in the process. These activists are only further likely to produce more extreme candidates, and the voters in the middle suffer the consequences. Dace Potas is an opinion columnist for USA TODAY and a graduate of DePaul University with a degree in political science.
Yahoo
an hour ago
- Yahoo
Terror in Gaza: Hamas offers bounties to kill US and local aid workers, group says
EXCLUSIVE — The Gaza Humanitarian Foundation (GHF) is facing a new threat as Hamas terrorists allegedly place bounties on the heads of its workers, including U.S. security personnel and local aid staff. According to GHF, Hamas is offering monetary rewards to anyone who kills or injures the organization's workers. "We are aware of credible reports that Hamas is openly targeting the Gaza Humanitarian Foundation and those who work with us. According to these reports, Hamas has placed bounties on both our American security personnel and Palestinian aid workers, offering cash rewards to anyone who injures or kills them," GHF said in a statement provided exclusively to Fox News Digital. "The targets of Hamas' brutality are heroes who are simply trying to feed the people of Gaza in the middle of a war." Hamas Working To 'Sabotage' Trump-backed Aid Group With 'Fake News': Israeli Official GHF also said Hamas has positioned "armed operatives" near humanitarian zones in an apparent attempt to "disrupt the only functioning aid delivery system in Gaza." Read On The Fox News App Earlier this month, Hamas launched a deadly attack on GHF workers, leaving 12 dead. The organization said Hamas also tortured others. The victims were local workers, according to GHF. U.S. Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee issued a statement on the alleged bounties and criticized the United Nations' silence on Hamas brutality. "Last month [President Trump] told us to get food to civilians in Gaza, but DON'T let Hamas steal it," Huckabee wrote on X. "NOT always pretty, but 800k+ unique recipients of food & 1ST TIME they [have] received food FREE since start of war. Hamas has stolen or taxed it & now w/ GHF they CAN'T! Hamas' main tool to control Gaza is GONE. Hamas has put a bounty on the heads of everyone at GHF — Gazans [and] Americans. The UN remains SILENT." People In Gaza Are Thanking Trump For Aid, Leader Of Us-backed Group Says In response to Huckabee's statement, Rev. Johnnie Moore, GHF executive chairman, wrote in his own post on X that reports of the Hamas bounties are based on "new and credible information received today." "Hamas would be very unwise to test the resolve of [President Donald Trump]," Moore wrote. GHF is demanding the international community break its silence on Hamas' treatment of the organization's local workers and the American security personnel, many of whom are U.S. veterans. "Hamas, through these violent and escalating threats, is showing the world it prefers chaos and starvation to peace and aid," GHF wrote. "We call on international leaders and aid groups to stand with us and with the people of Gaza. The people of Gaza, who show up to our sites every day in defiance of Hamas' threats and brutality, deserve it." GHF said it has been able to distribute about 49,915,822 meals so far. The organization recently received a funding boost after the U.S. State Department announced it had approved $30 million in funding for the group. "We call on other countries to also support the GHF, the Gaza Humanitarian Foundation, and its critical work," State Department spokesperson Tommy Piggot said in a briefing June 26. "From day one, we said we are open to creative solutions that securely provide aid to those in Gaza and protects Israel. The support is simply the latest iteration of President Trump's and Secretary Rubio's pursuit of peace in the region."Original article source: Terror in Gaza: Hamas offers bounties to kill US and local aid workers, group says