logo
Using options to buy the recent dip in this used car retail stock

Using options to buy the recent dip in this used car retail stock

CNBC20-06-2025
Despite beating earnings estimates and maintaining solid profit margins, Carvana (CVNA) has been under pressure recently, losing more than 9% in the last eight sessions — all on tariff scare headlines. While tariffs are a legitimate concern for many companies, this kind of sharp drop is a textbook example of a knee-jerk reaction — and the market is full of them. As a mean reversion trader, the goal is to identify these overreactions and take the other side when the setup aligns. In this case, I'm using a couple of key technical indicators to spot whether CVNA is setting up for a bounce: RSI (relative strength index): RSI is a flexible indicator that helps identify both trend reversals and continuations. In this case, the signal is pretty clear — RSI reversed course on 6/26 and has been climbing since, suggesting that the recent bearish momentum may be fading. Support/resistance: Support and resistance levels are often simple to spot — and in the chart below, you'll see clear support around the $280 level. What's interesting is that CVNA is starting to bounce right off that zone, reinforcing its significance. MACD (5,13,5): I like to bring the MACD indicator into my analysis from time to time because it's a solid tool for spotting early entry signals. While the standard MACD can lag a bit, I often use a short-term version to catch momentum shifts sooner. A bullish crossover — where the MACD line crosses above the signal line — typically acts as an early signal to consider getting into a trade. In this case, MACD hasn't confirmed the setup just yet, but it's definitely worth keeping an eye on for potential confirmation. The trade setup: CVNA 305-310 bull call spread To take advantage of this mean reversion setup, I'm using a bull call spread — a strategy that allows me to risk as little as $250 per trade and scale up easily by adding more contracts. For instance, using 10 contracts means risking $2,500 for a shot at $2,500 in profit, as long as CVNA closes at or above $310 by expiration — just $3 above its current price. With the stock trading near $307, the trade is built by buying the $305 call and selling the $310 call. It's a simple, defined-risk structure that gives me upside exposure without tying up too much capital. I break down setups like this in detail in my book Mean Reversion Trading , and you can explore tons of real-world examples at tradingextremes.com . Here is my exact trade setup: Buy $305 call, July 18 expiry Sell $310 call, July 18 expiry Cost: $250 Potential Profit: $250 -Nishant Pant Founder: https://tradingextremes.com Author: Mean Reversion Trading Youtube, Twitter: @TheMeanTrader DISCLOSURES: None. All opinions expressed by the CNBC Pro contributors are solely their opinions and do not reflect the opinions of CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, their parent company or affiliates, and may have been previously disseminated by them on television, radio, internet or another medium. THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY . THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSITUTE FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX OR LEGAL ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY OR OTHER FINANCIAL ASSET. THE CONTENT IS GENERAL IN NATURE AND DOES NOT REFLECT ANY INDIVIDUAL'S UNIQUE PERSONAL CIRCUMSTANCES. THE ABOVE CONTENT MIGHT NOT BE SUITABLE FOR YOUR PARTICULAR CIRCUMSTANCES. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR. Click here for the full disclaimer.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Traders Pile on Short Positions as Bitcoin Approaches All-Time High
Traders Pile on Short Positions as Bitcoin Approaches All-Time High

Yahoo

time17 hours ago

  • Yahoo

Traders Pile on Short Positions as Bitcoin Approaches All-Time High

Crypto traders are exhibiting bearish behavior despite bitcoin BTC trading above $110,000 and possibly taking aim at a new record high above $112,000. Data from Coinalyze shows that during bitcoin's move this week from $106,000 to $110,000, the long/short ratio fell from 1.223 in favor of longs to 0.858 in favor of shorts. It's worth noting that the long/short ratio in this case is analyzing the percentage of accounts that are long or short, which is typically an indicator of retail sentiment. The long/short ratio has been negative numerous times during the recent move above $100,000 despite staying positive throughout the previous bull market in 2021. Open interest also rose from $32 billion to $35 billion during this period, indicating that significant capital is being pumped into shorting bitcoin. However, funding rates remained positive throughout this rise, indicating that traders are also entering long positions. Bitcoin has been trapped in a relatively tight range since early May, trading between $100,000 and $110,000 with three tests of each level of support and resistance. Technical indicators like relative strength index (RSI) continue to paint a bearish image with several drives of bearish divergence, with RSI weakening on each test of $110,000. The recent influx of short positions could well be lower timeframe traders capitalizing on the range, shorting resistance before reversing their trade at each test of $100,000. This rang true on June 22 when the long/short ratio shot up to 1.68 as bitcoin momentarily slumped through $100,000 before bouncing. There is a potential bull case with the increase in short positions: a short squeeze. This would occur if bitcoin begins to trigger liquidation points and stop losses above a record high, which would cause an impulse in buy pressure and continuation to the in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

Carvana (NYSE:CVNA) Surges 114% Over Last Quarter Following Strong Q1 2025 Earnings
Carvana (NYSE:CVNA) Surges 114% Over Last Quarter Following Strong Q1 2025 Earnings

Yahoo

timea day ago

  • Yahoo

Carvana (NYSE:CVNA) Surges 114% Over Last Quarter Following Strong Q1 2025 Earnings

Carvana recently experienced multiple removals from various Russell indices at the end of June 2025, indicating potential market concerns or performance challenges. Despite this, the company's stock soared by 114% over the past quarter, a performance starkly divergent from the broader market's 2% rise in recent days and 14% increase over the past year. Key drivers included a strong Q1 2025 earnings report, showcasing substantial growth in sales, revenue, and net income, alongside expanding business operations and service offerings. These positive developments likely contributed significantly to Carvana's impressive share price performance. Carvana has 3 possible red flags (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about. AI is about to change healthcare. These 25 stocks are working on everything from early diagnostics to drug discovery. The best part - they are all under $10b in market cap - there's still time to get in early. The recent news surrounding Carvana's removal from various Russell indices may raise concerns about the company's ongoing performance challenges. However, the impressive share price surge of 114% in the past quarter suggests that market participants have shown confidence in Carvana's resilient performance. Over a longer-term period of three years, Carvana's total return, which includes share price and dividends, is very large at 1200.71%, highlighting a substantial growth trajectory when compared to the recent year-over-year market performance of 14.3% and the Specialty Retail industry's 14.7%. This context underscores the company's past ability to outperform its sector and the broader market despite any short-term pressures. The integration of ADESA and AI adoption, highlighted in the company's narrative, have the potential to bolster Carvana's operational efficiencies and revenue streams, supporting more optimistic revenue and earnings forecasts. Analysts foresee Carvana's earnings could reach US$1.4 billion by 2028, indicating significant anticipated growth. Despite this optimism, the current share price of US$258.81 stands close to the consensus analyst price target of US$259.81, suggesting the stock might be fairly valued by market expectations. This relatively narrow gap reflects analysts' general alignment on Carvana's current valuation relative to future potential. Nonetheless, investors are encouraged to form their own views on the company's growth prospects as they assess this information. Evaluate Carvana's historical performance by accessing our past performance report. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Companies discussed in this article include NYSE:CVNA. This article was originally published by Simply Wall St. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@ Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

Molina (MOH) Loses 18.3% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why a Trend Reversal May be Around the Corner
Molina (MOH) Loses 18.3% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why a Trend Reversal May be Around the Corner

Yahoo

time2 days ago

  • Yahoo

Molina (MOH) Loses 18.3% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why a Trend Reversal May be Around the Corner

Molina (MOH) has been beaten down lately with too much selling pressure. While the stock has lost 18.3% over the past four weeks, there is light at the end of the tunnel as it is now in oversold territory and Wall Street analysts expect the company to report better earnings than they predicted earlier. We use Relative Strength Index (RSI), one of the most commonly used technical indicators, for spotting whether a stock is oversold. This is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. RSI oscillates between zero and 100. Usually, a stock is considered oversold when its RSI reading falls below 30. Technically, every stock oscillates between being overbought and oversold irrespective of the quality of their fundamentals. And the beauty of RSI is that it helps you quickly and easily check if a stock's price is reaching a point of reversal. So, by this measure, if a stock has gotten too far below its fair value just because of unwarranted selling pressure, investors may start looking for entry opportunities in the stock for benefiting from the inevitable rebound. However, like every investing tool, RSI has its limitations, and should not be used alone for making an investment decision. The RSI reading of 21.88 for MOH is an indication that the heavy selling could be in the process of exhausting itself, so the stock could bounce back in a quest for reaching the old equilibrium of supply and demand. The RSI value is not the only factor that indicates a potential turnaround for the stock in the near term. On the fundamental side, there has been strong agreement among the sell-side analysts covering the stock in raising earnings estimates for the current year. Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate for MOH has increased 0%. And an upward trend in earnings estimate revisions usually translates into price appreciation in the near term. Moreover, MOH currently has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), which means it is in the top 20% of more than 4,000 stocks that we rank based on trends in earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises. This is a more conclusive indication of the stock's potential turnaround in the near term. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>> . Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Molina Healthcare, Inc (MOH) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research ( Zacks Investment Research Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store