
LVMH sales weaker than expected as luxury sector awaits US trade deal
France-based LVMH, which owns over 70 brands ranging from handbags, high-end fashion and watches to spirits and hotels, has traditionally drawn on its size and geographical footprint to maximise profits and withstand headwinds. Yet the group is struggling to shake off consumer fatigue and reignite desire for luxury items.
Sales for the second quarter to the end of June were down 4% to 19.5 billion euros (22.95 billion dollars), falling short of a consensus forecast for a 3% decline compiled by Visible Alpha, cited by UBS. Sales at the group's fashion and leather division, accounting for the bulk of profits, were down 9%, below expectations for a 6% drop.
Chief Financial Officer Cecile Cabanis said on a call she was still "rather confident" about the rest of the year as the group expected trade talks between the EU and the Trump administration to deliver good news soon.
Asked how LVMH would view a potential general tariff rate of 15% anticipated for exports to the United States, Cabanis said that would be an "overall good outcome for the general mood of our clients".
With the exception of wines and spirits, some of LVMH's labels still have room to draw on their pricing power to mitigate the tariff impact, she said.
In China, where a real estate crisis has dampened appetite for luxury goods, the group saw some improvement, Cabanis said, adding that the success of Louis Vuitton 's new ship-shaped store in Shanghai demonstrated the brand still had the clout to attract worldwide attention.
Most luxury sector analysts still view the extended downturn that followed a post-pandemic boom as cyclical, induced in part by the prolonged slump in China, bouts of inflation and a yet unresolved trade dispute with the United States. But after two years of slowing sales following a post-pandemic boom, unease about the health of the industry is growing and high-end labels are scrambling to revitalise their offer.
Consultancy Bain expects sales of luxury goods worldwide to fall between 2% and 5% this year after a 1% drop last year.
LVMH has recently changed designers at Dior, Celine, Givenchy and Loewe, but they will need time to make their mark.

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Euronews
2 hours ago
- Euronews
On defence, France and Germany are inching closer but remain far apart
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This convergence was driven by Russia's ongoing full-scale invasion of Ukraine, which brought back conventional war to European soil, Donald Trump's return to the White House, which has put in doubt continued long-term US commitment to Europe's security, and a change of leadership in Germany. The new chancellor, Friedrich Merz, "basically took what I can only describe as a Gaullist stance", Kirkegaard said, by saying that "Europe needs to prepare for a future without a US security guarantee". 'France is converging with Germany' Yet one example of how this rapprochement in defence remains a laborious process came last week when France's Emmanuel Macron and Merz sought to diffuse tensions over a joint €100 billion project to develop a sixth-generation fighter jet. At the core of the dispute is the demand by France to secure 80% of the workshare for the new Future Combat Air System (FCAS), negating previous agreements that it would be split equally between the two countries and Spain, which is also part of the project. The French demand, however, "should not be as surprising as it seems", Rafael Loss, a policy fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR), told Euronews, given that one of the major differences between France and Germany is how differently they view their military and the purpose they serve. The armed forces in France are part of the national foreign policy - as recent deployments in the Sahel attest - with the country's overseas territories and its possession of the nuclear weapon adding to its global perspective. 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Still, Loss continued, "France is converging with Germany" with the "realisation that for the sake of European security, it needs to show that it invests in its partnerships and relationships with Europeans, especially those on the eastern flank". 'A big wasted opportunity' But the other major hurdle for the two to advance a common defence agenda at the EU level is the stark difference in their respective fiscal space. Germany's debt-to-Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ratio stood at 62.3% in the first quarter of the year. France's was at 114.1%, well above what the bloc's rules mandate (60%). This structural divergence means that as European countries aim to significantly ramp up their defence spending and military capabilities to deter a possible Russian attack towards the turn of the decade, Germany can afford to invest heavily in defence, while France cannot. 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Given the scale of the task ahead, the Commission has been asked to come up with "innovative" financing options for defence. Macron has called for one of those options to be joint EU borrowing, something Germany has flat-out rejected. For Kirkegaard, this means that the crisis ushered in by Russia's war on Ukraine, is "a big wasted opportunity" for the bloc. "This crisis, the war in Ukraine, will not lead to materially more EU institutional or fiscal integration. It will lead to an expansion of the EU with Ukraine and maybe other countries but that's a different type of change to the EU and that's also very different than the last many big crises we've had," he said.


France 24
3 hours ago
- France 24
US tariff tussles stuff of nightmares for Bordeaux winemakers
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Fashion Network
6 hours ago
- Fashion Network
Stock investors expect rally as Europe clinches US trade deal
John Plassard, head of investment strategy at Cité Gestion, said the deal is 'good enough to unlock what equity markets needed most: visibility.' 'Tariff escalation risk is now off the table, and with that, a major macro overhang disappears. For investors, that's not just a sigh of relief, it's a green light,' he said. Euro Stoxx 50 futures will reopen for trading around 2 a.m. Paris time on Monday. Sectors most exposed to trade, including autos and consumer products, had outperformed Friday as investors were optimistic that an agreement would be reached before the Aug. 1 tariff deadline. European stocks have been range-bound since May due to jitters around the outlook for global trade. The benchmark Stoxx 600 is now 2.3% below its March record high. A UBS basket of stocks sensitive to tariffs has underperformed this year, suggesting there's room for the group to catch up to the broader regional benchmark. 'I do think there will be a relief rally as soon as the details are finalized, and this is a much needed shot in the arm for European stocks as earnings season is in full swing,' said Geoff Yu, a macro strategist for EMEA at BNY Mellon. Focus will be on carmakers, such as Stellantis NV, Volkswagen AG, Mercedes-Benz Group AG and BMW AG, as well as auto parts suppliers like Valeo SE, Forvia SE and Pirelli & C SpA. A gauge for the sector is flat on the year, missing out on Europe's broader rally. Investors will also be watching luxury goods makers including LVMH, Kering SA and Salvatore Ferragamo SpA, given North America is a significant market for the luxury sector. Drinks makers including Diageo Plc, Remy Cointreau and Pernod Ricard will be in focus, as well as shipping stocks such as A.P. Moller-Maersk A/S and Hapag-Lloyd AG, given freight's sensitivity to tariffs. Still, some investors warned that the rally could be short-lived until more details of the trade agreement are announced. 'There's a chance you see markets pick up in the morning and probably sell off again,' said Neil Birrell, chief investment officer at Premier Miton Investors. 'The devil will be in the detail, and it won't all be good for Europe and it won't all be good for the US.' Here's what other market participants are saying: Kallum Pickering, chief economist at Peel Hunt 'People want to bet that the US will strike a series of deals. They're not necessarily good deals, but uncertainty is worse. After we move up a little tomorrow in Europe, markets' attention will turn to Canada and Mexico. Any positive sign that they can strike deals like today's will be good enough for risk on.' Joachim Klement, strategist at Panmure Liberum 'Stock markets will likely rally on this news, but this can only be a sugar high. The fact is that Americans will pay higher tariffs from US imports and face an inflation surge and lower growth in the second half. The EU also faces higher tariffs than the UK, which gives UK exporters an advantage over their European competitors.' Michael Brown, senior research strategist at Pepperstone 'Stocks hardly need much of an excuse to rally right now, and the agreement not only removes a key left tail risk that the market had been concerned about, but also yet again reiterates that the direction of travel remains away from punchy rhetoric, and towards trade deals done. Rumours that the US-China trade truce will be extended for a further 90 days will also help on this front.' 'From a sectoral perspective, European automakers are one of the big winners here, with the 15% tariff also applying to auto imports into the States, a similar carve out to that achieved by Japan. Other obvious winners include US defense names given the EU's purchase commitments on that front, as well as US energy stocks, bearing in mind the almost $1 trillion of spend coming their way.' Mahmood Pradhan, global head of macro at Amundi Asset Management 'We'll probably get some sort of short-term relief rally in the morning, including more short covering. But given where we were pre-Liberation Day, this isn't good news for Europe. Longer-term, it will keep growth subdued in Europe.'