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Moody's downgrade US credit rating: What led to Moody's downgrading the U.S. credit rating to Aa1, first time in over a century? Here are the reasons the agency cited and why Americans should be worri

Moody's downgrade US credit rating: What led to Moody's downgrading the U.S. credit rating to Aa1, first time in over a century? Here are the reasons the agency cited and why Americans should be worri

Time of India17-05-2025
Reason For Moody's Downgrading the US Credit Rating
What Does This Mean for the US Economy?
How Does This Compare to Previous Downgrades?
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For the first time in over a century, the US does not hold a top-tier rating from any major credit agency, as even Moody's Ratings downgraded the US government's credit rating from Aaa to Aa1 on Friday, as per reports.Moody's explained that it reduced the ratings due to repeated failures by successive administrations to control the country's growing debt, as per Newsweek. However, the ratings agency also mentioned that the United States 'retains exceptional credit strengths such as the size, resilience and dynamism of its economy and the role of the U.S. dollar as global reserve currency," quoted AP.ALSO READ: Moody's downgrades U.S. rating from AAA to Aa1; what are the consequences of this move, and will the economy be affected? Here are all the details The rating agency also pointed out that, 'We expect federal deficits to widen, reaching nearly 9% of (the U.S. economy) by 2035, up from 6.4% in 2024, driven mainly by increased interest payments on debt, rising entitlement spending, and relatively low revenue generation," quoted AP.While, Moody's also cautioned that extending US president Donald Trump's 2017 tax cuts, which is now a key priority for the Republican-led Congress, would add $4 trillion to the federal primary deficit over the next 10 years, as per Newsweek.It is the latest downgrade of the three major rating agencies to lower the federal government's credit, Standard & Poor's downgraded federal debt in 2011 and Fitch Ratings followed in 2023, reported AP.ALSO READ: Who is Mark Zandi, the Iranian-American Moody's chief economist whom Donald Trump accuses of downgrading the U.S. credit rating to Aa1? Democratic strategist Chris Jackson posted on social media platform X, saying, "BREAKING: In a stunning move, Moody's has downgraded the U.S. credit rating from Aaa to Aa1—for the first time in history. That's right: the only major credit agency that hadn't downgraded us under Trump just did. Who else enjoying all this 'economic winning' under Trump?" as quoted by Newsweek.It means the US no longer holds the highest credit rating.Moody's downgraded the US due to the rising national debt and a lack of government action to address it.
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125 immigrant billionaires now hold $1.3 trillion of America's wealth
125 immigrant billionaires now hold $1.3 trillion of America's wealth

Business Standard

time8 minutes ago

  • Business Standard

125 immigrant billionaires now hold $1.3 trillion of America's wealth

Immigrants aren't just cheap labour — they help make America wealthier. The 2025 Forbes list of foreign-born billionaires living in the US, along with Meta's newly announced Superintelligence Lab run entirely by immigrant researchers, reflects how central immigrants have become to the country's growth — economically and technologically. A record 125 foreign-born American citizens now appear on Forbes' annual list of billionaires residing in the US, up from 92 in 2022. Together, they account for 14 per cent of America's nearly 900 billionaires and hold $1.3 trillion in combined wealth — around 18 per cent of the country's total billionaire fortune. Among the top 10 richest Americans, three are immigrants. The world's wealthiest person, Elon Musk, was born in South Africa and moved to the US via Canada as a student. He is now worth $393.1 billion. Google cofounder Sergey Brin, who came to the US from Russia as a child, follows with a net worth of $139.7 billion. Nvidia's Jensen Huang, born in Taiwan and sent to the US as a child during political unrest in Thailand, is worth $137.9 billion. These 125 billionaire immigrants hail from 43 countries, but most were born in just a handful of places. • Indian-origin immigrants leads with 12 billionaires, up from 7 in 2022 • Taiwan and Israel follow closely with 11 each • Canada (9), China (8), and Germany and Iran (6 each) also feature prominently Among the new entrants are AMD CEO Lisa Su, cousin of Nvidia's Huang, and Iranian-born biotech leader Maky Zanganeh, now co-CEO of Summit Therapeutics. 'Being an immigrant is about seeking the best opportunities and learning to adapt to new environments,' Forbes quoted Zanganeh, whose firm's lung cancer drug candidate helped push her into the billionaire bracket. Indians added five new immigrant billionaires this year — more than any other country. Sundar Pichai, Satya Nadella, and Nikesh Arora are now part of this cohort, joining other US-based billionaires like Jay Chaudhry, Vinod Khosla, and Romesh Wadhwani. Most are self-made, and many came for education While over a quarter of US billionaires inherited their wealth, 93 per cent of immigrant billionaires built it themselves. Nearly two-thirds made their fortune in tech (53 people) or finance (28 people). Many came to the US for higher education and stayed on. According to Forbes, Musk arrived to study at the University of Pennsylvania. Jay Chaudhry, now worth $17.9 billion, flew from India to the University of Cincinnati in 1980 having never been on a plane. Shahid Khan, owner of the Jacksonville Jaguars, arrived at 16 to study in Illinois and washed dishes for $1.20 an hour his first day. Immigrants leading Meta's AI lab Beyond billionaires, immigrants are also behind some of the most cutting-edge innovation in the US today. Meta's newly launched Superintelligence Lab, tasked with building next-generation AI systems, is staffed entirely by immigrant researchers. The 11-member team includes talent from India, China, the UK, South Africa, and Australia — all with advanced US university degrees and work histories at top AI firms like OpenAI, Google and DeepMind. 'Meta's Superintelligence Lab, led entirely by immigrant researchers, is the practical reality we needed to see,' Praneet Singh, AVP of University Partnership at upGrad's study abroad division told Business Standard. 'AI innovation is truly going borderless and India continues to serve as a strong hub of ready talent.' He added, 'It's quite paradoxical, though — while our talent is ready, mobility remains constrained. Despite policy shifts like STEM OPT extensions and improved green card processing, visa constraints and bureaucratic uncertainties continue to slow down global movement.' This rise in immigrant wealth and innovation comes against the backdrop of tighter immigration scrutiny under the Trump administration, with longer visa processing times and expanded enforcement.

Falling producer prices in China, and slowing inflation in SE Asia has a story to tell: Trump is transnational
Falling producer prices in China, and slowing inflation in SE Asia has a story to tell: Trump is transnational

First Post

time9 minutes ago

  • First Post

Falling producer prices in China, and slowing inflation in SE Asia has a story to tell: Trump is transnational

Trade war between US and China is far from over. AP The latest data from China and Southeast Asia show that prices are rising more slowly, a trend that is growing and going beyond just local economic conditions. Behind the falling prices from producers and weaker consumer inflation, there is a bigger story—one that is increasingly shaped by US President Donald Trump's trade policies. Usually, inflation is driven by local issues and of course, guided by regional supply factors, but what's happening in Asia now seems to be caused by global forces, especially political ones. Trump's protectionist economic policies, like new tariffs, are having an effect far beyond the United States. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD China's factory gate prices plunge China's producer price index (PPI) dropped a startling 3.6 per cent year-on-year in June, marking the sharpest contraction in nearly two years. This surpassed economists' expectations and extended a streak of factory-gate deflation to 33 consecutive months. While weak consumer demand and oversupply have played a role, there is a growing recognition that this is not merely a domestic issue. Consumer prices in China (measured by the Consumer Price Index, or CPI) went up slightly by 0.1 per cent in June compared to the same time last year. This small rise marks a technical end to deflation. However, core inflation, which leaves out food and energy prices, is still low at 0.7 per cent. Experts have warned that deflation may not yet be over. The slow recovery in China's property market and the early stages of an 'anti-involution' campaign, which is meant to stop harmful price-cutting between companies, point to this analysis. These price wars, especially in sectors like autos, batteries and solar panels, reflect manufacturers' attempts to offload excess capacity in the face of weakening domestic and foreign demand. With US tariffs squeezing access to North American markets, Chinese firms have increasingly turned to Southeast Asia as an outlet, flooding regional markets with cheap goods. This shift reflects the transnational dimension of the price collapse. Southeast Asia: Collateral damage in the US-China trade crossfire Thailand, often seen as an inflation bellwether in Asean, saw its CPI drop 0.25 per cent in June, its third consecutive month of decline, a report in Nikkei Asia said. Thai officials attribute this to a bountiful agricultural harvest and lower food and energy costs. However, economists warn that Thailand is particularly vulnerable to deflation, given its political uncertainty and stalled tourism recovery, both of which drag on consumer demand. The region's fragility is being compounded by surging imports of cheap Chinese goods. In her view, Thailand, with its heavy reliance on Chinese tourism and weak domestic spending, is highly exposed to imported deflation. This vulnerability is mirrored across the region. Singapore's headline inflation dropped to 0.8 per cent in June, the lowest since the pandemic, while Malaysia's eased to a four-year low of 1.2 per cent in May. Importantly, these developments are not simply cyclical. China, once a net importer from Asean, has become a major net exporter to the Asean-5, especially in consumer electronics and manufactured goods. This shift is largely a byproduct of US-China trade frictions. Trump's tariffs: Economic contagion in policy form The root of these distortions, increasingly, can be traced back to Washington. Trump's return to aggressive tariff measures, particularly on Chinese and Japanese goods, has upended trade flows. In an effort to bypass US tariffs, Chinese producers have rerouted goods to friendlier Southeast Asian markets, effectively exporting deflation. In this way, Trump's economic interventions, though framed as domestic protectionism, have created ripple effects that stretch across Asia. This isn't the usual effect of US Federal Reserve policies or changes in capital flows. Instead, it's a price disruption caused by government policies in the US spreading through trade to affect both industrial and consumer sectors in Asia. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Japan: A mirror and a warning Even Japan, which has stronger institutions and is trying to move away from more than ten years of very loose monetary policy, is also being affected. Core consumer inflation in Japan is still high at 3.7per cent, but wholesale inflation has dropped for the third month in a row in June, which could mean prices may start falling soon. The Bank of Japan has already raised interest rates earlier this year, but now it faces a tough choice whether to raise rates again, even as trade weakens or change course to support falling demand from other countries. Beyond trade: A struggle for market share Underlying this entire narrative is a transnational price war, one in which China and Southeast Asian nations are locked in a contest for consumer markets that are shrinking due to political walls. Chinese firms, pressured by overcapacity and dulled by domestic demand fatigue, are selling into Southeast Asia at cut-rate prices, pushing regional producers to either lower their prices or surrender market share. Beijing, recognising the damage, has pledged to regulate excessive price-cutting. Yet, without strong stimulus, China may remain trapped in a deflationary spiral and exports, particularly to Asean will remain Beijing's best short-term outlet. Inflation no longer stays local Traditionally, inflation and deflation were seen as primarily domestic phenomena, shaped by local monetary policy, supply constraints or fiscal measures. But what Asia is experiencing now is different. The Trump administration's trade war has turned inflation into a transnational variable, transmitted through trade flows, consumer expectations and price competition. In this situation, policy decisions in Washington, once considered remote, have direct effects on food prices in Thailand, electronics prices in Malaysia and export strategy in Guangdong. Trump, in his bid to revive US industry, has inadvertently reshaped the inflation dynamics of half the globe. Inflation has gone global in a new way. It is no longer driven purely by monetary forces, but by political choices, chief among them the Trump administration's protectionist agenda. The rise of a transnational Trump effect is not just visible in trade data or diplomatic tension, it is embedded in the price tags of goods across Asia. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD

After 35 yrs, Congress to revive campus elections in Karnataka to reclaim youth base, counter ABVP & Left
After 35 yrs, Congress to revive campus elections in Karnataka to reclaim youth base, counter ABVP & Left

The Print

time14 minutes ago

  • The Print

After 35 yrs, Congress to revive campus elections in Karnataka to reclaim youth base, counter ABVP & Left

'The high command has instructed (the state government) to hold student elections,' B.K. Hariprasad, Karnataka MLC and former AICC general secretary, told ThePrint. It is a significant step for the state Congress, which has relied on student-based support to fill in leadership positions in the past. Bengaluru: The Congress has instructed its Karnataka unit to restart student elections on campuses, resuming a practice that was last held in the 1989-90 academic year. A ban on the same was imposed by the Veerendra Patil-led Congress government in 1989. The Congress high command has written to Chief Minister Siddaramaiah about the same as well, at least three party leaders said. The purpose behind restarting student elections is to counter the tightening grip over the fraternity by the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS)-backed Akhil Bharatiya Vidyarthi Parishad (ABVP) and Left-leaning outfits, shrinking space for Congress-backed student unions. Congress' student wing National Students' Union of India (NSUI) has seen its influence wane in Karnataka since student elections were seen as dominated by violence, caste-based politics, interference by rowdy elements and politicians, vitiating the atmosphere in colleges. The Karnataka High Court too has held the view that campus elections were responsible for the widespread violence. 'Elections will be first conducted in government colleges. We (government) cannot direct private colleges or universities to hold elections,' Saleem Ahmed, MLC and former working president of the state Congress, told ThePrint. Ahmed was the last national president of the NSUI from Karnataka. The NSUI claims that it has over 40 lakh members across 15,000 colleges in India. But there is little information on its actual ground presence in Karnataka's academic institutions. Seasoned politicians cutting across party lines, such as Arun Jaitley, Sitaram Yechury, Lalu Prasad Yadav, Ananth Kumar, Ajay Maken and Ashok Gehlot, among others, all came up through student movements. But over the years, the space for student leaders has been given to children and relatives of existing leaders or those with money, multiple politicians ThePrint spoke to said. Also Read: DU Students Union election campaigns make grand promises, but no mention of LGBTQ+ or environment 'Breeding ground for future leaders' In the late 1980s, student body elections, especially in Bengaluru's Government RC College and Government Arts & Science College were just as high-profile as any assembly polls. In Karnataka, leaders like Hariprasad dominated student politics in the 1970s, giving Congress grassroots-level support and a constant source of fresh blood for leadership roles. Incumbent deputy CM D. K. Shivakumar too was active in student politics. Other leaders like former Karnataka Speaker Vishweshwar Hegde Kageri, BJP leader N. Ravi Kumar, former minister Roshan Baig and incumbent transport minister Ramalinga Reddy, among others, too came from student movements. But there was violence in colleges and unruly elements roamed campuses, who were often associated with other anti-social elements from outside. Even Shivakumar has openly admitted to having had the backing of Kotwal Ramachandra, a notorious gangster, when he was contesting student elections. Speaking to ThePrint, Ahmed said that in RC College, some members of the students' union had picked up a fight with the principal in the late 1980s. The principal, who was seen to be close to then education minister K.H. Ranganath, asked for a ban on student elections. 'There was at least one murder on account of student elections and Ranganath was given a picture that student elections breed violence,' Ahmed said. It led to the ban on student elections which has remained in effect till this day. Ahmed said that the NSUI gained immense significance after former prime minister Rajiv Gandhi lowered the voting age to 18. 'I had requested Rajiv Gandhi to restart student elections in Karnataka, who in turn referred me to Oscar Fernandes who was KPCC (Karnataka Pradesh Congress Committee) president. Fernandes asked Ranganath but he did not budge,' Ahmed said. The Congress, like its counterparts, relied on student movements to shape young leaders. 'It was a breeding ground for future leaders,' he added. But multiple leaders who spoke to ThePrint said the practice of honing student leaders has now been replaced with that of children of established politicians being paradropped into key positions. Leaders like Hariprasad also lamented the decline of the infrastructure that gave the party its strength. In the 2022 hijab-related protests, the Congress literally had no position nor presence on campuses. The Campus Front of India, student arm of the now banned Popular Front of India, stood with the students who demanded the right to wear a hijab in classrooms while several pro-Hindu organisations stood with those opposing this. Student-led movements also played a crucial role in the Emergency-era protests against Indira Gandhi. With ABVP and Left-leaning parties dominating student elections in other states, the Congress hopes that its strong presence in Karnataka will attract young students to its ideology and help increase its base among state youth. (Edited by Nida Fatima Siddiqui) Also Read: Hyderabad university land row: NSUI members oppose own Congress govt, condemn CM Revanth's remarks

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