Treasury Bonds Just Hit 4-Week Lows. How Much Lower Can They Go?
See on the daily bar chart for September U.S. Treasury bond futures that prices are now starting to trend lower and have just hit a four-week low. See, too, at the bottom of the chart that the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator is in a bearish posture and has recently produced a bearish line crossover signal, whereby the red MACD line has moved below the blue trigger line. Both lines are also trending down.
Shopify Stock is a Bargain - How to Make a 3.2% One-Month Yield with SHOP
Tariffs, Inflation and Other Key Things to Watch this Week
Stocks Set to Open Lower as Trump Ratchets Up Tariff Threats, U.S. Inflation Data and Big Bank Earnings Awaited
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Fundamentally, the U.S. economy is in pretty good shape, as seen by recent more upbeat U.S. economic data. The Federal Reserve also thinks U.S. inflation remains sticky. Both of these factors are likely to limit the ability of the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. These elements are also U.S. bond-market bearish. Rising U.S. trade tariff threats have only added to worries about rising inflation.
A move in September U.S. T-Bond futures prices below chart support at 112 16/32 would become a selling opportunity. The downside price objective would be 108 even, or below. Technical resistance, for which to place a protective buy stop just above, is located at 114 16/32.
IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any trades and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.
Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):
Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.
On the date of publication, Jim Wyckoff did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. This article was originally published on Barchart.com
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Yahoo
21 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Trump says 'not planning' fire Fed Chair Powell after reports suggest Powell ouster coming 'soon'
President Trump on Wednesday tempered reports from earlier in the day that suggested he planned imminently to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, the latest twist in the ongoing saga regarding Trump's displeasure with the central bank head. Speaking to reporters in the Oval Office late Wednesday morning, Trump said he is "not planning" to fire Powell, though reiterated his view that rates should be lower and the Fed chair is doing a "terrible job." Trump's comments came just about an hour after a slew of reports suggested the president was inching closer to firing Powell. Bloomberg reported that the president was likely to remove Powell "soon," quoting a White House official, and CBS News reported that Trump indicated to lawmakers he would do so while polling House GOP members Tuesday night about whether he should go through with it. The New York Times reported that Trump even showed those lawmakers a draft of a Powell firing letter in the Oval Office Tuesday night. But Bloomberg and The New York Times also both noted in their reports that Trump has not made a final decision. Following Trump's comments on Wednesday, markets erased some of the losses suffered after the initial reports Trump would fire Powell in short order. Trump also said Wednesday he had not drafted a letter regarding Powell's firing. These signals of a possible firing come after Trump on Tuesday told reporters that Powell's handling of a $2.5 billion renovation of the Federal Reserve headquarters 'sort of is' a fireable offense. Any final move by the president to oust the Fed chair could lead to a legal war with Powell, who has argued he can't be removed by law. The president also appeared in his latest comments to narrow his choices to replace Powell. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is an "option," but not the top choice, 'because I like the job he is doing,' he said. The Washington Post and Bloomberg reported this week that National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett is rising as an early front-runner in the race to replace Powell, although former Fed governor Kevin Warsh is also under consideration. Fed governor Christopher Waller is another possibility. Bessent, though, is 'probably not that much of an option," Trump said Tuesday, citing what he views as his good performance as Treasury secretary. "He's a very soothing force." Trump has been hammering Powell for months over what Trump viewed as a refusal to ease monetary policy for political and personal reasons, referring to Powell publicly as 'dumb,' a numbskull,' a 'stubborn mule,' 'stupid,' a 'moron,' and a 'fool.' Trump nominated Powell for the Fed chair seat during his first administration, and his current term is scheduled to run until May of 2026. Read more: How much control does the president have over the Fed and interest rates? Trump's allies in recent weeks have used another tactic to turn up the pressure on Powell: They have invoked a $2.5 billion renovation of the Fed's headquarters as a way to question the chair's management of the institution and whether he told Congress the truth about the project during testimony in June. Trump said Tuesday that "the one thing I wouldn't have guessed is he would be spending two and a half million dollars to build a little extension onto the Fed." When asked if it was a fireable offense, Trump said, "I think it sort of is, because if you look at his testimony ... he's not talking about the problem. It's a big problem." One House Republican, Florida Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, posted on X Tuesday night: "Hearing Jerome Powell is getting fired! From a very serious source" and later added: "I'm 99% sure firing is imminent." CBS also reported that some members of the House Financial Services Committee, which acts as oversight for the Fed, were planning to meet with Powell on Wednesday night, and that some want to reinforce his independence. Top administration officials have sent mixed signals about how far Trump would go with Powell. Hassett said Sunday on ABC News's "This Week" that whether the president has the legal authority to fire Powell before his term is up next May "is being looked into" and that "certainly, if there's cause, he does." But Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Bloomberg Tuesday that the president "said numerous times he's not going to fire Jay Powell" and compared Trump's public pressure to former college basketball coach Bobby Knight "working the refs." "President Trump seems to prefer the Bobby Knight school," he said. Bessent also said Tuesday, "there's a formal process that's already starting" to find Powell's replacement. He also hopes Powell decides to leave the Fed board when his term as chair is up. His seat on the Fed Board of Governors is not up until 2028. Trump, too, has sent mixed signals in recent months about whether he would seek to remove Powell, musing about it publicly before assuring he wouldn't do it. Wall Street is paying close attention to the drama unfolding in Washington, D.C. JPMorgan Chase (JPM) CEO Jamie Dimon said Tuesday that the independence of the Federal Reserve is "absolutely critical" and warned that "playing around with the Fed can often have adverse consequences." A firing by Trump could potentially open a new legal war with Powell, who has argued that his removal is 'not permitted by law.' The only language in law pertaining specifically to the removal of Fed board members can be found in Section 10 of the Federal Reserve Act. The law states that each member of the board shall hold office for 14 years "unless sooner removed for cause by the President." The statute doesn't have any language that specifically addresses the chair of the Board of Governors, nor does it detail what exactly constitutes "for cause." The term has been interpreted in legal rulings to mean "inefficiency, neglect of duty, or malfeasance." But Powell and the Fed could still have the backing of the Supreme Court, which made it clear in a May decision it might protect the central bank even as it allowed Trump to fire the board members of two other independent agencies: the National Labor Relations Board and the Merit Systems Protection Board. The central bank, the court said, 'is a uniquely structured, quasi-private entity that follows in the distinct historical tradition of the First and Second Banks of the United States.' What Trump is trying to challenge is a 90-year-old Supreme Court precedent limiting the power of the president to dismiss independent agency board members except in cases of neglect or malfeasance. If that precedent eventually falls, a Powell firing may be easier to legally justify at the Fed. Click here for in-depth analysis of the latest stock market news and events moving stock prices
Yahoo
21 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq waver as Trump says 'not planning' to fire Powell
US stocks recovered from session lows in early afternoon trading Wednesday after President Trump said he's "not planning" to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell despite new reports emerging suggesting he was close to making that decision. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) was off 0.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) hugged the flat line. The tech-heavy Nasdaq (^IXIC) lost around 0.2%. Bloomberg reported Wednesday, citing a White House official, that Trump was considering firing Powell "soon." But Trump subsequently said in the Oval Office that he wasn't "planning" to do so, despite going on a rant at the Fed chair not lowering interest rates at his preferred pace. "No, we're not planning on doing anything," he told reporters, but added, "We're very concerned." "He's doing a lousy job, but no, I'm not talking about that. Fortunately, we get to make a change in the next eight months or so, and we'll pick somebody that's good," Trump said. Trump also confirmed a report that said he had asked a meeting of Republican lawmakers late Tuesday whether he should fire the chair. He said most of the lawmakers said he should do it. He denied a different report that said he had drafted a letter to fire Powell. Stocks opened Wednesday's session mixed as Wall Street weighed a surprise inflation print and scoured the latest batch of earnings for signs that corporate America is weathering the tariff turmoil. Solid earnings from Bank of America (BAC) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) helped ease some Wall Street worry about Trump's cycle of escalating tariff threats. BofA's trading desks benefited from trade policy-driven market gyrations, as did those at fellow banks Morgan Stanley (MS) and Goldman Sachs (GS). Read more: Full earnings coverage in our live blog At the same time, markets took in a wholesale inflation checkup on Wednesday that provided better news on price pressures. The Producer Price Index print for June came in unchanged on a monthly basis and rose 2.3% year over year, below estimates. The release came after the latest Consumer Price Index reading spurred traders to pare bets on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Tuesday's CPI report showed inflation accelerated in June. It rose at its fastest year-over-year clip since February, with signs of tariff-driven inflation starting to show up in the data. Read more: The latest on Trump's tariffs Trump: Powell does a 'terrible job,' but says 'not talking about' firing Fed chair Just moments after reporting from multiple outlets suggested President Trump was moving closer to firing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, Trump said he's "not talking about" firing Powell. Speaking to reporters in the Oval Office, Trump was asked about whether he'd try to remove Powell and while he reiterated his view Powell is not doing a good job and should be lowering rates, he's not considering firing the Fed chair, noting that his term is up in May. In response, stocks moved off session lows and were trading little-changed. Dollar crushed as Trump appears to move closer to firing Powell The drumbeat that President Trump will fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell got louder Wednesday, with reporting from CBS News, Bloomberg, CNBC, and The New York Times all adding to the sense that Trump is getting closer to making the unprecedented move. Stocks were lower following the news, but the biggest move in markets was coming from the foreign exchange market, where the dollar was getting crushed against other major currencies. The dollar quickly fell as much as 1% against the Japanese yen, lost about 0.7% against the euro, and fell about 0.5% against the British pound. The dollar index fell about 0.7%. Trump has for some time complained about Powell's lack of aggressive rate cuts this year, saying the Fed chair is "too late," among other barbs. And while the spat between Trump and Powell — who was named Fed chair by Trump during his first term in office — has now spanned multiple administrations, some on Wall Street also see Trump's desire to cut Powell as coming back to aiding his key economic agenda: tariffs. "There is method to President Donald Trump's madness regarding Fed Chair Jerome Powell," Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research wrote in a note to clients on July 1. "Trump has been hammering Powell almost daily recently because doing so is very effectively hammering the foreign-exchange value of the dollar. Trump wants a weaker dollar to boost US exports and depress US imports. He has said that he favored a weaker dollar many times in the past, but now he has found a way to achieve that: by beating up on Powell." As for whether Trump will be able to fire Powell, the Supreme Court in May issued a ruling that walled off the Federal Reserve from other independent agencies that had their leaders removed by Trump. Stocks sink as Trump moves to fire Powell President Trump asked Republican members of the House of Representatives if he should fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell in the Oval Office on Tuesday night, CBS News reported Wednesday, citing unnamed sources. The New York Times reported that Trump had showed off a draft of a letter firing Powell during the meeting. The Republican representatives voiced approval for such a move, CBS reported. Shortly after the CBS report, Bloomberg reported that Trump is likely to fire Powell soon, citing a White House official. All three major indexes fell after the news to touch lows for the day. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell 0.45%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) fell 0.3%. The Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) dropped nearly 0.6%. The US Dollar DXY ( fell roughly 0.9% following the news. Meanwhile, bets on Fed rate cuts rose from earlier in the day after weaker-than-expected inflation data out earlier Wednesday morning. As of late Wednesday morning, traders saw a more than 70% chance of the Fed cutting rates in September, versus roughly 56% earlier in the day, according to CME Group. Expectations for Fed rate cuts in September are falling Investor speculation that the Fed will hold rates steady not just this month but also in September is growing. According to the CME Group, traders are pricing in a 44% chance that the Fed will not cut rates in September, up from 30% last week. Investors see a more than 54% probability of a 25 basis point cut in September, down from roughly 66% last week. And traders are betting that there's a slim 1.4% chance that the central bank will cut rates by 50 basis points, down from 4.2% last week. Johnson & Johnson stock climbs after earnings beat Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) stock climbed nearly 5% Wednesday after the drugmaker's latest earnings results topped expectations and the company raised its financial outlook for the year. The pharma giant reported revenues of $23.7 billion, higher than the $22.8 billion expected by Wall Street analysts. Earnings per share came in at $2.77, compared to the $2.66 projected, Yahoo Finance's Anjalee Khemlani reports. The company also raised its revenue guidance for the year to a range between $93.2 billion and $93.6 billion, up from its prior range of $91 billion to $91.8 billion. J&J lifted full-year earnings per share guidance by $0.25 to $10.85. Khemlani writes: Read more about J&J's latest earnings results here. US stocks edge up at the open US stocks inched higher Wednesday morning as investors digested another round of corporate earnings results and a wholesale inflation checkup. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose about 0.3% after shedding over 400 points on Tuesday, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) was up nearly 0.2%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) was just above the flat line after notching a fresh record Tuesday as AI chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA) hit a new high. Shares of Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Bank of America (BAC), and Goldman Sachs (GS) rose after reporting solid earnings results, while Morgan Stanley (MS) stock fell despite the bank's own earnings report topping Wall Street's projections. Trending tickers: J&J, ASML, Goldman Sachs, SharpLink Gaming Here's a look a the top trending tickers in premarket trading as earnings season kicks off: Read more live coverage of earnings season here. Wholesale prices increase less than expected in June Wholesale prices rose less than expected in June. Wednesday's report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that its producer price index (PPI) — which tracks the price changes companies see — rose 2.3% from the year prior, below the 2.7% seen in May and lower than the 2.5% increase economists had projected. On a monthly basis, prices were flat. Economists had expected 0.2% increase. Excluding food and energy, "core" prices rose 2.6% year over year, below the 3.2% gain seen in May. Economists had expected an increase of 2.7%. Meanwhile, month-over-month core prices were flat below the 0.2% increase economists had expected and the 0.3% gain seen last month. The report follows Tuesday's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which showed core price increases accelerated to 2.9% in June. Goldman stock gains as trading and dealmaking boosts profits Shares of Goldman Sachs (GS), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), and Citigroup (C) were moving higher in premarket trading on Wednesday after the Wall Street firms reported higher dealmaking and trading revenue this week to kick off earnings season. Yahoo Finance's David Hollerith reports: Read more here. Markets are now ho-hum about tariff threats. Trump and Wall Street disagree about why. Yahoo Finance's Ben Werschkul reports: Read more here. Chip linchpin ASML warns on 2026 growth amid tariff headwinds ASML (ASML, shares slumped almost 8% in premarket trading after the chip industry linchpin said it may not achieve growth in 2026. The warning came even as the world's biggest supplier of chipmaking gear's second quarter bookings topped Wall Street estimates on Wednesday. Reuters reported: Read more here. Gold rises as trade war fears bolster haven asset Gold (GC=F) rose overnight Tuesday as a wave of tariff updates did little to appease flighty investors looking for safe investments. With multiple rocky trade deals on the table, markets have pushed back into the valuable metal which has risen by over 25% this year so far. Bloomberg reports: Read more here. Trump order to open up private investment to retirement plans. President Trump is in the process of signing an executive order that will allow retirement plan providers to invest more heavily in private assets, according to those familiar with the matter. The order should take place within the next few days and will open up retirement plans to riskier investments. Reuters reports: Read more here. Trump: Powell does a 'terrible job,' but says 'not talking about' firing Fed chair Just moments after reporting from multiple outlets suggested President Trump was moving closer to firing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, Trump said he's "not talking about" firing Powell. Speaking to reporters in the Oval Office, Trump was asked about whether he'd try to remove Powell and while he reiterated his view Powell is not doing a good job and should be lowering rates, he's not considering firing the Fed chair, noting that his term is up in May. In response, stocks moved off session lows and were trading little-changed. Just moments after reporting from multiple outlets suggested President Trump was moving closer to firing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, Trump said he's "not talking about" firing Powell. Speaking to reporters in the Oval Office, Trump was asked about whether he'd try to remove Powell and while he reiterated his view Powell is not doing a good job and should be lowering rates, he's not considering firing the Fed chair, noting that his term is up in May. In response, stocks moved off session lows and were trading little-changed. Dollar crushed as Trump appears to move closer to firing Powell The drumbeat that President Trump will fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell got louder Wednesday, with reporting from CBS News, Bloomberg, CNBC, and The New York Times all adding to the sense that Trump is getting closer to making the unprecedented move. Stocks were lower following the news, but the biggest move in markets was coming from the foreign exchange market, where the dollar was getting crushed against other major currencies. The dollar quickly fell as much as 1% against the Japanese yen, lost about 0.7% against the euro, and fell about 0.5% against the British pound. The dollar index fell about 0.7%. Trump has for some time complained about Powell's lack of aggressive rate cuts this year, saying the Fed chair is "too late," among other barbs. And while the spat between Trump and Powell — who was named Fed chair by Trump during his first term in office — has now spanned multiple administrations, some on Wall Street also see Trump's desire to cut Powell as coming back to aiding his key economic agenda: tariffs. "There is method to President Donald Trump's madness regarding Fed Chair Jerome Powell," Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research wrote in a note to clients on July 1. "Trump has been hammering Powell almost daily recently because doing so is very effectively hammering the foreign-exchange value of the dollar. Trump wants a weaker dollar to boost US exports and depress US imports. He has said that he favored a weaker dollar many times in the past, but now he has found a way to achieve that: by beating up on Powell." As for whether Trump will be able to fire Powell, the Supreme Court in May issued a ruling that walled off the Federal Reserve from other independent agencies that had their leaders removed by Trump. The drumbeat that President Trump will fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell got louder Wednesday, with reporting from CBS News, Bloomberg, CNBC, and The New York Times all adding to the sense that Trump is getting closer to making the unprecedented move. Stocks were lower following the news, but the biggest move in markets was coming from the foreign exchange market, where the dollar was getting crushed against other major currencies. The dollar quickly fell as much as 1% against the Japanese yen, lost about 0.7% against the euro, and fell about 0.5% against the British pound. The dollar index fell about 0.7%. Trump has for some time complained about Powell's lack of aggressive rate cuts this year, saying the Fed chair is "too late," among other barbs. And while the spat between Trump and Powell — who was named Fed chair by Trump during his first term in office — has now spanned multiple administrations, some on Wall Street also see Trump's desire to cut Powell as coming back to aiding his key economic agenda: tariffs. "There is method to President Donald Trump's madness regarding Fed Chair Jerome Powell," Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research wrote in a note to clients on July 1. "Trump has been hammering Powell almost daily recently because doing so is very effectively hammering the foreign-exchange value of the dollar. Trump wants a weaker dollar to boost US exports and depress US imports. He has said that he favored a weaker dollar many times in the past, but now he has found a way to achieve that: by beating up on Powell." As for whether Trump will be able to fire Powell, the Supreme Court in May issued a ruling that walled off the Federal Reserve from other independent agencies that had their leaders removed by Trump. Stocks sink as Trump moves to fire Powell President Trump asked Republican members of the House of Representatives if he should fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell in the Oval Office on Tuesday night, CBS News reported Wednesday, citing unnamed sources. The New York Times reported that Trump had showed off a draft of a letter firing Powell during the meeting. The Republican representatives voiced approval for such a move, CBS reported. Shortly after the CBS report, Bloomberg reported that Trump is likely to fire Powell soon, citing a White House official. All three major indexes fell after the news to touch lows for the day. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell 0.45%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) fell 0.3%. The Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) dropped nearly 0.6%. The US Dollar DXY ( fell roughly 0.9% following the news. Meanwhile, bets on Fed rate cuts rose from earlier in the day after weaker-than-expected inflation data out earlier Wednesday morning. As of late Wednesday morning, traders saw a more than 70% chance of the Fed cutting rates in September, versus roughly 56% earlier in the day, according to CME Group. President Trump asked Republican members of the House of Representatives if he should fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell in the Oval Office on Tuesday night, CBS News reported Wednesday, citing unnamed sources. The New York Times reported that Trump had showed off a draft of a letter firing Powell during the meeting. The Republican representatives voiced approval for such a move, CBS reported. Shortly after the CBS report, Bloomberg reported that Trump is likely to fire Powell soon, citing a White House official. All three major indexes fell after the news to touch lows for the day. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell 0.45%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) fell 0.3%. The Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) dropped nearly 0.6%. The US Dollar DXY ( fell roughly 0.9% following the news. Meanwhile, bets on Fed rate cuts rose from earlier in the day after weaker-than-expected inflation data out earlier Wednesday morning. As of late Wednesday morning, traders saw a more than 70% chance of the Fed cutting rates in September, versus roughly 56% earlier in the day, according to CME Group. Expectations for Fed rate cuts in September are falling Investor speculation that the Fed will hold rates steady not just this month but also in September is growing. According to the CME Group, traders are pricing in a 44% chance that the Fed will not cut rates in September, up from 30% last week. Investors see a more than 54% probability of a 25 basis point cut in September, down from roughly 66% last week. And traders are betting that there's a slim 1.4% chance that the central bank will cut rates by 50 basis points, down from 4.2% last week. Investor speculation that the Fed will hold rates steady not just this month but also in September is growing. According to the CME Group, traders are pricing in a 44% chance that the Fed will not cut rates in September, up from 30% last week. Investors see a more than 54% probability of a 25 basis point cut in September, down from roughly 66% last week. And traders are betting that there's a slim 1.4% chance that the central bank will cut rates by 50 basis points, down from 4.2% last week. Johnson & Johnson stock climbs after earnings beat Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) stock climbed nearly 5% Wednesday after the drugmaker's latest earnings results topped expectations and the company raised its financial outlook for the year. The pharma giant reported revenues of $23.7 billion, higher than the $22.8 billion expected by Wall Street analysts. Earnings per share came in at $2.77, compared to the $2.66 projected, Yahoo Finance's Anjalee Khemlani reports. The company also raised its revenue guidance for the year to a range between $93.2 billion and $93.6 billion, up from its prior range of $91 billion to $91.8 billion. J&J lifted full-year earnings per share guidance by $0.25 to $10.85. Khemlani writes: Read more about J&J's latest earnings results here. Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) stock climbed nearly 5% Wednesday after the drugmaker's latest earnings results topped expectations and the company raised its financial outlook for the year. The pharma giant reported revenues of $23.7 billion, higher than the $22.8 billion expected by Wall Street analysts. Earnings per share came in at $2.77, compared to the $2.66 projected, Yahoo Finance's Anjalee Khemlani reports. The company also raised its revenue guidance for the year to a range between $93.2 billion and $93.6 billion, up from its prior range of $91 billion to $91.8 billion. J&J lifted full-year earnings per share guidance by $0.25 to $10.85. Khemlani writes: Read more about J&J's latest earnings results here. US stocks edge up at the open US stocks inched higher Wednesday morning as investors digested another round of corporate earnings results and a wholesale inflation checkup. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose about 0.3% after shedding over 400 points on Tuesday, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) was up nearly 0.2%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) was just above the flat line after notching a fresh record Tuesday as AI chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA) hit a new high. Shares of Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Bank of America (BAC), and Goldman Sachs (GS) rose after reporting solid earnings results, while Morgan Stanley (MS) stock fell despite the bank's own earnings report topping Wall Street's projections. US stocks inched higher Wednesday morning as investors digested another round of corporate earnings results and a wholesale inflation checkup. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose about 0.3% after shedding over 400 points on Tuesday, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) was up nearly 0.2%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) was just above the flat line after notching a fresh record Tuesday as AI chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA) hit a new high. Shares of Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Bank of America (BAC), and Goldman Sachs (GS) rose after reporting solid earnings results, while Morgan Stanley (MS) stock fell despite the bank's own earnings report topping Wall Street's projections. Trending tickers: J&J, ASML, Goldman Sachs, SharpLink Gaming Here's a look a the top trending tickers in premarket trading as earnings season kicks off: Read more live coverage of earnings season here. Here's a look a the top trending tickers in premarket trading as earnings season kicks off: Read more live coverage of earnings season here. Wholesale prices increase less than expected in June Wholesale prices rose less than expected in June. Wednesday's report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that its producer price index (PPI) — which tracks the price changes companies see — rose 2.3% from the year prior, below the 2.7% seen in May and lower than the 2.5% increase economists had projected. On a monthly basis, prices were flat. Economists had expected 0.2% increase. Excluding food and energy, "core" prices rose 2.6% year over year, below the 3.2% gain seen in May. Economists had expected an increase of 2.7%. Meanwhile, month-over-month core prices were flat below the 0.2% increase economists had expected and the 0.3% gain seen last month. The report follows Tuesday's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which showed core price increases accelerated to 2.9% in June. Wholesale prices rose less than expected in June. Wednesday's report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that its producer price index (PPI) — which tracks the price changes companies see — rose 2.3% from the year prior, below the 2.7% seen in May and lower than the 2.5% increase economists had projected. On a monthly basis, prices were flat. Economists had expected 0.2% increase. Excluding food and energy, "core" prices rose 2.6% year over year, below the 3.2% gain seen in May. Economists had expected an increase of 2.7%. Meanwhile, month-over-month core prices were flat below the 0.2% increase economists had expected and the 0.3% gain seen last month. The report follows Tuesday's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report which showed core price increases accelerated to 2.9% in June. Goldman stock gains as trading and dealmaking boosts profits Shares of Goldman Sachs (GS), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), and Citigroup (C) were moving higher in premarket trading on Wednesday after the Wall Street firms reported higher dealmaking and trading revenue this week to kick off earnings season. Yahoo Finance's David Hollerith reports: Read more here. Shares of Goldman Sachs (GS), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), and Citigroup (C) were moving higher in premarket trading on Wednesday after the Wall Street firms reported higher dealmaking and trading revenue this week to kick off earnings season. Yahoo Finance's David Hollerith reports: Read more here. Markets are now ho-hum about tariff threats. Trump and Wall Street disagree about why. Yahoo Finance's Ben Werschkul reports: Read more here. Yahoo Finance's Ben Werschkul reports: Read more here. Chip linchpin ASML warns on 2026 growth amid tariff headwinds ASML (ASML, shares slumped almost 8% in premarket trading after the chip industry linchpin said it may not achieve growth in 2026. The warning came even as the world's biggest supplier of chipmaking gear's second quarter bookings topped Wall Street estimates on Wednesday. Reuters reported: Read more here. ASML (ASML, shares slumped almost 8% in premarket trading after the chip industry linchpin said it may not achieve growth in 2026. The warning came even as the world's biggest supplier of chipmaking gear's second quarter bookings topped Wall Street estimates on Wednesday. Reuters reported: Read more here. Gold rises as trade war fears bolster haven asset Gold (GC=F) rose overnight Tuesday as a wave of tariff updates did little to appease flighty investors looking for safe investments. With multiple rocky trade deals on the table, markets have pushed back into the valuable metal which has risen by over 25% this year so far. Bloomberg reports: Read more here. Gold (GC=F) rose overnight Tuesday as a wave of tariff updates did little to appease flighty investors looking for safe investments. With multiple rocky trade deals on the table, markets have pushed back into the valuable metal which has risen by over 25% this year so far. Bloomberg reports: Read more here. Trump order to open up private investment to retirement plans. President Trump is in the process of signing an executive order that will allow retirement plan providers to invest more heavily in private assets, according to those familiar with the matter. The order should take place within the next few days and will open up retirement plans to riskier investments. Reuters reports: Read more here. President Trump is in the process of signing an executive order that will allow retirement plan providers to invest more heavily in private assets, according to those familiar with the matter. The order should take place within the next few days and will open up retirement plans to riskier investments. Reuters reports: Read more here. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
21 minutes ago
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Instant View: Dollar, Treasury prices tumble after report Trump to fire Fed's Powell
LONDON/NEW YORK (Reuters -The dollar fell sharply on Wednesday after Bloomberg, citing an unidentified White House official, reported U.S. President Donald Trump is likely to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell soon. The dollar fell by as much as 0.7% against a basket of major currencies in a matter of moments after the news hit, while rate-sensitive areas of the market such as U.S. regional banking shares fell and gold rallied. Longer-dated Treasuries sold off, leaving the 30-year bond yielding 5.06%, up nearly 5 basis points on the day. It had traded earlier at a low of around 4.97%, down 5 bps from Tuesday. Investors had been on edge for weeks about the prospect of Powell being removed from his job before his term ends next May, as Trump has repeatedly criticised him for not cutting U.S. rates quickly enough. COMMENTS: FRANCESCO PESOLE, FX STRATEGIST, ING, LONDON: "If we get a headline today on Powell (removal), then we are looking at much more bigger sell-off in the dollar. Federal Reserve independence is the foundation the U.S.' status as the No.1 reserve currency." "Given the implications of removing a Fed chair, the reaction is still relatively contained. Euro/dollar is at $1.17 and should be trading higher on this, because the implications are massive. Markets are still not fully pricing this all in. You would expect that if Powell is removed today, then the Fed cuts in September." CHRIS BEAUCHAMP, CHIEF MARKET ANALYST, IG, LONDON: "The news has put the dollar firmly on the back foot but has dragged stocks lower too. The Fed chairman's departure would leave the independence of the central bank in question. It seems likely that his (Trump's) recent successes in passing his tax and spending bill, and the ceasefire in the Middle East, have emboldened the president to act." "Now we will see if the bond market vigilantes will put the U.S. in their sights again. Such a dramatic move also suggests there is no backing down from tariffs this time around, especially with stocks at record highs." LEE HARDMAN, SENIOR CURRENCY ANALYST, MUFG, LONDON: "If that does happen (Trump fires Powell), it would be very damaging for investor confidence in the dollar, that's why we're starting to see the heavy selling, and it could extend further if he were to do so. "It's not clear-cut whether Trump has the power to fire Powell, so we would expect to see a legal challenge very quickly, but even if it were overruled, the hit to confidence would be long lasting, and it reinforces our bearish outlook on the dollar." Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
