logo
Has Hochschild Mining plc's (LON:HOC) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

Has Hochschild Mining plc's (LON:HOC) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

Yahoo02-06-2025
Most readers would already be aware that Hochschild Mining's (LON:HOC) stock increased significantly by 49% over the past three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Hochschild Mining's ROE.
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
AI is about to change healthcare. These 20 stocks are working on everything from early diagnostics to drug discovery. The best part - they are all under $10bn in marketcap - there is still time to get in early.
ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hochschild Mining is:
17% = US$114m ÷ US$687m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each £1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made £0.17 in profit.
Check out our latest analysis for Hochschild Mining
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
At first glance, Hochschild Mining seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 12%. As you might expect, the 7.8% net income decline reported by Hochschild Mining is a bit of a surprise. We reckon that there could be some other factors at play here that are preventing the company's growth. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.
So, as a next step, we compared Hochschild Mining's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 10% over the last few years.
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is HOC fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.
Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 29% (or a retention ratio of 71%) which is pretty normal, Hochschild Mining's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.
Moreover, Hochschild Mining has been paying dividends for nine years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to drop to 20% over the next three years. As a result, the expected drop in Hochschild Mining's payout ratio explains the anticipated rise in the company's future ROE to 21%, over the same period.
Overall, we feel that Hochschild Mining certainly does have some positive factors to consider. However, given the high ROE and high profit retention, we would expect the company to be delivering strong earnings growth, but that isn't the case here. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering its growth. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Stifel Called Amazon (AMZN) a Buy Before Earnings With a $262 Price Target
Stifel Called Amazon (AMZN) a Buy Before Earnings With a $262 Price Target

Yahoo

time18 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Stifel Called Amazon (AMZN) a Buy Before Earnings With a $262 Price Target

Inc. (NASDAQ:) is one of the . On July 30, Stifel analyst Mark Kelly raised the price target on the stock to $262.00 (from $245.00) while maintaining a 'Buy' rating. 'Third-party data suggests a better 2Q than expected, as the Trump administration has either struck more favorable deals, or pushed out tariff implementation while waiting for deals to be struck. The e-commerce group, in particular, has been volatile throughout these announcements/implementation delays, and we largely believe a lot of the upside to numbers is baked into most of our coverage. Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) is an American technology company offering e-commerce, cloud computing, and other services, including digital streaming and artificial intelligence solutions. While we acknowledge the potential of AMZN as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: 10 Must-Watch AI Stocks on Wall Street and Disclosure: None. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

What Analysts Are Saying About Apple's AI Ambitions After Strong Quarterly Results
What Analysts Are Saying About Apple's AI Ambitions After Strong Quarterly Results

Yahoo

time18 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

What Analysts Are Saying About Apple's AI Ambitions After Strong Quarterly Results

Key Takeaways Multiple analysts raised their price target for Apple stock following the iPhone maker's quarterly results. CEO Tim Cook told analysts Apple is growing its AI investments, both in infrastructure and personnel. An emphasis on AI, potentially including an acquisition, could set Apple up for strong iPhone cycle in 2026, Citi analysts (AAPL) CEO Tim Cook made it clear that Apple is growing its AI investments, both in infrastructure and personnel, and multiple analysts raised their price target following the iPhone maker's quarterly results. JPMorgan analysts called out Cook's 'aggressive tone on investments to catch up and support Al competitiveness.' On Apple's earnings call, Cook said the iPhone maker is ramping up its investments and reallocating employees to focus on AI. The bank maintained an 'overweight' rating and raised its price target to $255 from $250, suggesting 22% upside with Apple stock down 2% Friday at about $204. Whether it reaches that target could depend on features like an AI-enhanced Siri, which Cook confirmed is coming in 2026, after extensive delays. Citi raised its target to $240 from $235, noting that growing AI spending, including a potential acquisition in the sector, could position Apple for a strong iPhone cycle in 2026. Cook said on the earnings call Apple would consider buying other companies to raise its AI capabilities—something Wall Street analysts have suggested could give Apple's AI efforts a bigger boost. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, a longtime Apple bull, last month suggested AI startup Perplexity may be a target. And according to reports, Apple had discussions with Claude developer Anthropic and ChatGPT maker OpenAI about utilizing their models versus using in-house options. Jefferies meanwhile raised its price target to about $191, which still implies downside to Apple's current share price. The broker maintained a 'hold' rating, adding, it's 'hard to get excited,' at the company's current valuation. UBS similarly kept a 'neutral' rating and raised its target to $220 from $210. Read the original article on Investopedia Sign in to access your portfolio

'A gamechanger': Economists react to weak July jobs report as rate cut bets surge
'A gamechanger': Economists react to weak July jobs report as rate cut bets surge

Yahoo

time18 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

'A gamechanger': Economists react to weak July jobs report as rate cut bets surge

Wall Street strategists are sharply recalibrating their economic outlooks after Friday's July jobs report showed weaker-than-expected hiring and staggering downward revisions to prior months' data, suggesting the labor market may be losing steam at a quicker pace than previously thought. The US economy added just 73,000 jobs in July, far below the 104,000 expected by economists. But the bigger surprise came from revisions to May and June's figures, which collectively erased 258,000 jobs. This marked the largest two-month downward revision since May 2020. Sarah House, senior economist at Wells Fargo, called the July jobs report "a dud" in a client note titled "July and the No Good, Very Bad Jobs Report." "The 'solid' state of the labor market described by the FOMC earlier this week looks more questionable after the July employment report," she said, citing broad-based hiring weakness in cyclically sensitive sectors like manufacturing, retail, and professional services. Despite persistent strength in healthcare hiring, she added, "the pace [of job growth] has lurched lower to just 35K" over the past three months when factoring in revisions. Steve Sosnik, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, bluntly told Yahoo Finance that the July numbers were simply "not good. There's no way to sugarcoat that. The two-month revision is just staggering. It basically wipes out two months of what we thought were healthy job gains." Citi economist Veronica Clark agreed, telling Yahoo Finance, "It's not so much this July number, but the massive downward revisions to the June number that we had last month. ...This definitely does look like a labor market that is weakening." Meanwhile, Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, called the report a "gamechanger" in a post on X, echoing others in saying "the labor market now looks a lot weaker than expected." The unemployment rate ticked up to 4.2% in July, in line with expectations and still near historic lows. But as Clark pointed out, "that happened despite the labor force participation rate falling more," a shift some economists have linked to President Trump's immigration crackdown. Ahead of the report, there were growing concerns that increased deportations were reducing labor supply and keeping the jobless rate artificially low. September rate cut odds surge The revised data has added urgency to calls for rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, with market pricing shifting notably in the aftermath. "We still anticipate that the Fed starts to cut in September with consecutive cuts thereafter leading to about 100 basis points of cuts in total," said Leslie Falcone, head of taxable fixed income strategy at UBS Global Wealth Management. Falcone noted that while the Fed had already turned more cautious, the scale of the revisions surprised even the most dovish forecasters. "Some of these revisions are much more than what people expected. ...I do think that this is a bit on the weaker side. And it does put cuts back on the table." Traders seem to agree. Following the report, the probability of a September rate cut surged to about 80%, up from just 38% the day prior, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Earlier this week, Fed governors Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller broke from the majority of FOMC officials, dissenting against the decision to hold interest rates steady after warning the labor market was weaker than initial data had indicated. That warning appeared prescient on Friday as markets tumbled following the report. The tech-heavy Nasdaq (^IXIC) fell over 2% by mid-morning as the Dow shed nearly 600 points and the S&P 500 (^GSPC) dropped around 1.6%. Meanwhile, bond prices surged on increased rate cut bets, sending the yield on the 10-year Treasury (^TNX) down 11 basis points to around 4.2%. Adding to labor market concerns, escalating trade tensions were also top of mind for investors as Trump hiked tariff rates on several US trading partners, including a surprise 39% tariff on Switzerland. "The market had sort of put tariffs in the rearview mirror and assumed that the labor market was okay," Sosnik said. "Well, both of those assumptions have been overturned quite dramatically this morning." The strategist warned markets appear to be entering a "reckoning period," explaining, "We're not seeing a lot of reflexive dip buying. ...That, to me, tells me that the psychology, at least as of this particular moment, is a bit more tenuous than it was." Allie Canal is a Senior Reporter at Yahoo Finance. Follow her on X @allie_canal, LinkedIn, and email her at Sign in to access your portfolio

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store