
Japan's wholesale inflation slows, relieves interest rate-hike pressure
While food prices continued to rise steadily, some analysts said they expect inflationary pressure to moderate in coming months as pain from U.S. tariffs on Japan's economy intensifies.
"As wholesale inflation slows, consumer inflation will likely face stronger downward pressure with some lag," said Masato Koike, senior economist at Sompo Institute Plus.
"Japan's trade talks with the U.S. seem deadlocked, so it will likely take time for uncertainty to fade. By then, consumer inflation will slow and make it hard for the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates," Koike said.
The corporate goods price index, which measures the price companies charge each other for their goods and services, rose 2.9% in June from the same month a year earlier, the data showed, matching a median market forecast.
The index, a leading indicator of consumer inflation, slowed from a revised 3.3% in May due partly to falling prices of fuel and metal products, the data showed.
The yen-based import price index dropped 12.3% in June from a year earlier, after a 10.3% decline in May, indicating the currency's rebound pushed down raw material import costs.
Food and beverage prices rose 4.5% in June on stubbornly high cost of rice, though it slowed from a 4.7% increase in May, the data showed.
The BOJ ended a decade-long stimulus programme last year and in January raised its policy interest rate to 0.5% on the view that inflation was on the cusp of durably meeting its 2% target.
While the BOJ expects food inflation to moderate this year, it has signalled readiness to raise the interest rate again once the economy resumes a recovery on solid wage gain.
The core consumer inflation rate hit a more than two-year high of 3.7% in May, remaining above the BOJ's 2% target for well over three years, due largely to a surge in food costs.
The interest rate-hike outlook, however, is clouded by uncertainty over U.S. trade policy following President Donald Trump's latest threat to raise tariffs on Japanese goods to 25% from 10% unless a trade deal is signed by a newly set deadline of August 1.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


The Guardian
an hour ago
- The Guardian
Spreadsheets and day trips to Egypt: how gen Z is ‘soft saving' for the future
As holiday season kicks into gear, a casual glance at gen Z social media might suggest this generation is adopting an expensive lifestyle filled with fine dining and travel. But behind those Phuket photos lies a meticulous spreadsheet. Rather than aggressively stockpiling for retirement, gen Z is embracing a 'soft saving' approach, according to research: prioritizing memorable experiences now while saving extra cash for the future. A significant number of gen Zers are frequent travelers, averaging three leisure trips a year, according to Morning Consult, despite 60% earning less than $50,000 annually. How are they fitting travel into their budget? The answer appears to be an unusually focused attitude to how they spend money. 'I don't want to miss out on opportunities when I am young, but I also don't want to go into debt,' said Sofia Qistina, 22, who stressed that she prefers to spend more on experience than material items. 'Being financially aware is the best thing possible, because then you're able to see where you can stretch your budget and where you can't.' More than other generations, a majority of gen Z splurges intentionally, according to a recent McKinsey report. Many young consumers open dedicated travel or experience funds alongside their retirement savings, and use on loyalty programs such as credit card points to lower trip expenses. 'When I was 20 and younger, I would spend exorbitantly on many luxury things just 'cause I thought they were cool and I was always on a high. But I lost a lot of opportunities and comfort,' said Qistina, who is now studying abroad and working as a freelance social media marketer in Sydney, Australia. 'I realized that way of living was toxic and not sustainable. So now, everything is overly calculated and I am very intentional with how I spend my money.' Andy Reed, a financial behavior expert at Vanguard, said when people spend on experiences, they typically derive more pleasure than when they spend on things. 'But it's also true that gen Zers are also saving more than their predecessors,' he added, noting that 'baggage' including a higher cost of living, the Covid-19 recession and student debt has helped shape their financial habits and anxieties. Qistina, for example, attends parties, eats her way through Sydney, and travels with friends to cities such as Dubai and Paris. She splits her income between a high-yield savings account and a 'wants' fund for traveling and social engagements. Booking her travel is no mean feat: before buying tickets, she said she compares thousands of flights, airlines, locations and dates to ensure she is getting the best value for money. A new generation of tourists is now prioritizing the value of a trip ahead of its financial cost, according to Heather Leisman, president of EF Ultimate Break, a travel agency for 18-to-35-year-olds. 'Gen Z looks at value,' she said. 'For them it's not a price tag. 'Affordability is a concern of theirs, but it's also how they budget. We are seeing people booking shorter trips than before and they're deal-seeking, meaning they are traveling in off-peak seasons or to more affordable places like Thailand or Portugal.' Qistina said: 'We don't realize that the day-to-day things that we do – like always eating out or that coffee from an overpriced cafe – adds up, and that's why we think we're not able to do all those big things like traveling.' Kevin Droniak, 28, does not eat at Michelin-starred restaurants or grab a $7 matcha. He lives in a cramped New York apartment, fitted with just the essentials. He saves both for retirement, and has been doing do since he was 20, but also a day trip to Egypt. 'It's very fulfilling to land somewhere and experience it, get a taste of it, and then go back home immediately,' he said after a one-night visit to Colombia. 'It's ticking off bucket list items, and it's a memory I'll have forever.' Some of Droniak's day-trip locations include Iceland, Italy, France and the UK. The trips can range from about $200 to nearly $1,000. He began this 'addiction' to balance his responsibilities, such as helping his 95-year-old grandmother, while seeing the world. 'Everyone works so hard and you don't get that much time off, which can prevent you from being able to travel. But you really don't need a week off to experience something new,' he said. Droniak budgets these trips to be less than $1,000, meaning flights should be about $500 and the location should have cheap transport options, like subways or inexpensive taxis. He eats at a 'basic local restaurant' to keep the food bill in check. 'I fly back-of-the-plane economy and when I am there I always look for free activities, like going to the beach or hiking,' Droniak said. 'It's good to be financially aware and at the same time I also want to live life while I am young, which means spending money for these trips.' He deems travel to be a need, rather than a want. 'Traveling is my therapy, and I see it as an investment on my mental health,' he said. 'These trips get me out of routines that can put me down in the dumps and being in somewhere new gives my brain a serotonin boost.' But many gen Zers are balancing this serotonin boost with a secure future, too. They are making 'some very good financial choices', said Reed. Droniak saves at least $20,000 a year for retirement, and Qistina makes sure to put away a significant sum every quarter. Both opened retirement accounts due to financial anxieties and pressure from older family members, who advise them to prepare for the future. 'Gen Zers, in particular, plan to spend rather than spontaneous spending,' Reed said. 'As long as you cover the bases like rent and food, you can splurge, which can lead to a lot of experiences with emotional value.' Qistina sees financial success as financial freedom: the luxury of not living paycheck to paycheck, and having the means to fulfill her whims on a dime. 'If I'm able to say, I'm going to Paris in three days because I kind of want a croissant, not comparing flights, and just having that flexibility – that is financial success,' she said. 'I truly believe I will get there, too, because I'm pacing myself.'


BBC News
8 hours ago
- BBC News
Anthony Albanese: Trade trumps geopolitics as Australia PM visits China
Australia's leader Anthony Albanese will visit China and meet with President Xi Jinping this weekend as he seeks to strengthen ties with Canberra's largest trading security and trade will take centre stage during the prime minister's six-day trip spanning three cities - Beijing, Shanghai and Chengdu. "My government will continue to cooperate with China where we can, disagree where we must, and engage in our national interest," Albanese said in a trip marks Albanese's second official visit to China - but the first since his re-election in May. It comes as countries around the world navigate US president Donald Trump's "America First" policies including tariffs. China accounts for nearly a third of Australia's total trade and "will remain so for the foreseeable future", Albanese said."The relationship in China means jobs in Australia. It's as simple as that," he told reporters on whose Labor Party government was re-elected with an increased majority in May, had pledged among other things to create more jobs and bring back manufacturing in say this trip signals a stabilisation of ties between Australia and China, even as Beijing has been trying to extend its military reach across the Pacific to some protest by Australia. Last month, Australia's defence minister Richard Marles called on China to explain why it needs to have "such an extraordinary military build-up".A rare Chinese military drill in the Tasman sea in February was also called "unusual" by Marles. "Both sides recognise their differences... [and] agree those differences should not define the relationship," says James Laurenceson, director of Australia-China Relations two countries are not seeking geopolitical alignment, he said. "They need to keep the politics stable and constructive so that other parts of the relationship, like businesses, cultural organisations, universities and so on can forge ahead with engagement in their own areas."Mr Laurenceson notes, however, that Washington "will not be pleased" with Albanese's visit. But the prime minister has domestic support for this, he says."Washington is heading in a direction so plainly contrary to Australia's interests that any [leader] seen as kowtowing to the White House would face pushback at home," he will continue to criticise Australia's involvement in the Aukus submarine deal with its longstanding allies, the UK and the US, observers tell the BBC, while Canberra will reiterate its commitment to the pact - even as Trump's administration has recently put the agreement under review. But disagreements over issues like Aukus will not thwart Australia's and China's relationship significantly, the observers say. And neither will other contentious topics Albanese may bring up - including China's actions in the South China Sea and the case of Australian novelist Yang Hengjun, who has been jailed and handed a suspended death sentence by Beijing on espionage charges which he denies."This is part of a broader, understated and mature diplomacy from the current government and it does not fall into the recriminations of previous years," says Bryce Wakefield, who leads the Australian Institute for International delegation to China includes top executives from Macquarie Bank and the Australian arm of HSBC, as well as mining giants Rio Tinto, BHP and Fortescue, according to the Australian Financial had cited green energy among the areas that Australia and China can "further engage" in China, the prime minister will also meet with Premier Li Qiang and Zhao leji, chairman of the Standing Committee of the National People' state newspaper Global Times says Albanese's visit "carries special significance" and shows "Australia's desire to seek more reliable partners in an uncertain world order... with China being the obvious choice". In November 2023, Albanese became the first Australian leader visit China in seven years - ending a hiatus triggered by a string of disputes including various Chinese sanctions on Australian goods, and back and forth accusations of foreign then, his administration has managed to stabilise ties with Beijing and negotiate the end of a series of brutal tariffs.


Reuters
8 hours ago
- Reuters
Rubio says no 'drama or division' in US relations with Japan
July 11 (Reuters) - U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio on Friday played down concerns about relations with key U.S. ally Japan, saying there is no "drama or division," despite the Japanese prime minister speaking of the need for Tokyo to wean itself off U.S. dependence. In remarks to reporters, Rubio also disputed reports of U.S. pressure on Japan to significantly increase its defense spending, saying that while Washington was "encouraging" Tokyo to invest in certain capabilities, this did not amount to a "demand." "It's less to do with the amount of money and more to do about certain things they can do," he said after attending a regional meeting in Malaysia. Japanese media reported last month that the Trump administration was demanding that Japan and other Asian allies boost defense spending to 5% of GDP in line with demands on NATO members. A Financial Times report last month said Japan canceled an annual defense and foreign ministers meeting with the U.S. after it called on Tokyo to boost defense spending beyond what it requested earlier. President Donald Trump further upset Japan this week by announcing a 25% tariff on Japanese imports starting August 1 as part of his global tariff strategy. On Thursday, Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba said Japan needed to wean itself from U.S. dependence in security, food, and energy. Asked about Ishiba's remarks, Rubio said the United States has "a very strong and very good relationship with Japan, and that's not going to change." "Anyone who's looking for, like, drama or division there ... shouldn't be doing it because the truth of the matter is our relationship with Japan is very solid." He said Ishiba's comment should not be viewed negatively. "The idea that Japan's military would become more capable is not something we would be offended by; it's something we would actually be encouraged by," he said. Christopher Johnstone, a former Biden White House official now with the Asia Group consultancy, said trade frictions, pressure on defense spending, and uncertainty about U.S. defense commitments meant U.S.-Japan tensions were probably at their worst in a generation, but reducing Tokyo's reliance on the U.S. was easier said than done. "If the two countries reach a trade agreement by August 1, it could fade," he said. "But Ishiba's comments reflect sentiment that is real and widespread."