logo
Uber inks six-year robotaxi deal with Lucid, invests $300 million in EV company

Uber inks six-year robotaxi deal with Lucid, invests $300 million in EV company

CNBC17-07-2025
Uber on Thursday announced a partnership to deploy more than 20,000 robotaxis over the next six years as demand for driverless cars kicks into high gear.
As part of the partnership, the ride-hailing company is teaming up with Lucid, the electric vehicle maker, and Nuro, an autonomous vehicle startup. Under the agreement, Uber will invest $300 million in Lucid. Nuro will build the self-driving technology that will be used by Lucid to supply Uber the robotaxis over the course of the deal.
The companies plan to launch the robotaxis in a major U.S. urban hub next year.
"We're thrilled to partner with Nuro and Lucid on this new robotaxi program, purpose-built just for the Uber platform, to safely bring the magic of autonomous driving to more people across the world," said Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi in a statement.
In an interview with CNBC, Lucid interim CEO Marc Winterhoff called the partnership an opportunity for the EV maker to compete in a "completely new" addressable market it has yet to penetrate.
Nuro, which is backed by Google and the SoftBank Vision Fund, will provide "level 4 self-driving system" software for the cars. The technology can drive passengers under normal traffic and weather conditions without a human behind the wheel.
The partnership with Lucid and Nuro follows Uber's alliance with Alphabet-backed Waymo. The two companies expanded their service to Atlanta and Austin, Texas, earlier this year.
Waymo's vehicles are also considered Level 4, as defined by SAE Levels of Driving Automation. Tesla sells cars today equipped with Autopilot and FSD Supervised systems that fall into the level 2 category, requiring a human at the wheel. Elon Musk's EV company debuted a robotaxi pilot test in Austin in June,
Lucid said the 450-mile range for its Gravity vehicles should help cut costs and charge times while improving accessibility. Winterhoff said the program may eventually include future Lucid vehicles currently in development.
"We've been chosen because of our EV technology leadership," he said.
Testing for the first prototype vehicle is underway on a closed circuit at Nuro's Las Vegas-based proving grounds. In April, the startup raised $106 million in a funding round from T. Rowe Price, Fidelity, Tiger Global and Greylock.
The deal is a "blueprint for a robotaxi program that's both commercially viable and globally scalable," Nuro said in a statement to CNBC.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Better EV Stock: Alphabet vs. Tesla (Hint: Robotaxis Are the Key)
Better EV Stock: Alphabet vs. Tesla (Hint: Robotaxis Are the Key)

Yahoo

timean hour ago

  • Yahoo

Better EV Stock: Alphabet vs. Tesla (Hint: Robotaxis Are the Key)

Key Points The future of the auto industry lies in electric vehicles and ridesharing in autonomous vehicles. After many years in service, Waymo still can't point to a timeline of profitability. Tesla also faces challenges with its robotaxi offering, but it's well positioned, provided it can demonstrate safety and efficacy. These 10 stocks could mint the next wave of millionaires › Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG) (NASDAQ: GOOGL) isn't, strictly speaking, an electric vehicle (EV) company. However, its autonomous driving technology company, Waymo, is committed to only using EVs in its fleet. Funnily enough, it could be argued that Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) isn't really a pure EV company either. After all, most of its sky–high valuation is attributable to the potential of its robotaxis. However, the comparison of these two as EV companies is valid because the future of the auto industry is EVs, and ridesharing in autonomous vehicles will be a larger part of the industry in the future. But which company is better placed, and which is the better stock? Alphabet vs. Tesla It's entirely possible that Alphabet could decide to spin off Waymo, not least because it reportedly could be valued at more than $45 billion. Meanwhile, one of Tesla's biggest supporters, Cathie Wood's Ark Invest, ascribes 88% of Tesla's enterprise value (market cap plus net debt) to robotaxis in its investment case for the stock, producing an expected value of $2,600 for the stock in 2029. As I have previously discussed, the Ark targets should be taken with a pinch of salt, as its track record on Tesla hasn't been good. However, Ark's core argument is sound and points to Tesla being potentially a far more valuable stock than Waymo ever will be. Pathways to profitability The core argument is that Tesla's business model is scalable to profitability while Waymo's is far less so. The issue of Waymo's profitability arose in a recent CNBC interview with Waymo co-CEO Tekedra Mawakana, where she was asked whether Waymo is profitable. She replied, "We're proving out that it can be a profitable business." When asked when Waymo would be profitable, she replied, "not clear." It's also not clear if Alphabet/Waymo doesn't have an internal forecast for when it will hit profitability, or if Mawakana preferred not to divulge what the company considers an uncertain forecast. However, it's inconceivable that Alphabet is not internally crunching the numbers on this, and if it does decide to spin off Waymo, it's a question that needs to be answered. The point here is that a business that can't be profitable isn't worth anything, let alone $45 billion, so at some point, its management is going to have to set some timelines. Tesla and timelines Whereas investors need to hear more about timelines from Waymo, whose public self-driving ride-hailing service was launched in 2018, there's probably a need for fewer declared timelines from Tesla, or, rather, a need for more accurate ones. For example, in 2019, CEO Elon Musk famously told investors to expect a million self-driving vehicles on the road by mid-2020. In April 2022, he also stated that Tesla aspired to reach volume production of a dedicated robotaxi (Cybercab) in 2024 -- a timeline that has now been pushed back to 2026. These timeline estimates matter because plugging overly optimistic assumptions from them into valuation models can produce dramatically erroneous conclusions. Why Tesla is better positioned With all that said, Tesla has clear advantages over Waymo, provided it can demonstrate safety and reliability and achieve regulatory approvals. Its advantages include: Lower vehicle costs, with Musk aiming for a $30,000 price tag for a dedicated robotaxi, the Cybercab. Meanwhile, Wall Street analysts estimate Waymo's current vehicles cost more than $120,000. In addition, Tesla manufactures its own cars (Waymo does not), and existing Teslas can be converted into robotaxis using Tesla's as-yet-unreleased-to-the-public unsupervised full self-driving (FSD) software, giving Tesla a significant advantage in scaling the robotaxi business. Tesla's use of camera-centric technology is inherently less expensive than Waymo's combination of cameras, light detection and ranging (Lidar) lasers, and high-definition maps. Every Tesla car (robotaxi or not) on the road is effectively a data gatherer, with the data used to improve the AI that powers its AI models. As such, even though Waymo was first, Tesla has significantly more data than Waymo. Which is the better EV stock? Waymo may become profitable in the future, particularly if Lidar costs continue to drop. However, it's challenging to think that it will be a strong competitor to Tesla, provided Musk's company can master safe, unsupervised FSD using a camera-centric approach. That's a big "if" at this stage, but it becomes a smaller "if" as time goes by and Tesla expands its nascent robotaxi offering across new geographies. Tesla's next robotaxi launch is expected to be in Phoenix, as it plans to continue slowly building its robotaxi business. I think Tesla is the better EV stock when comparing Tesla and Alphabet. Should you buy stock in Tesla right now? The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the for investors to buy now. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $636,628!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,063,471!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 1,041% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 183% for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of July 21, 2025 Lee Samaha has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet and Tesla. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Better EV Stock: Alphabet vs. Tesla (Hint: Robotaxis Are the Key) was originally published by The Motley Fool Sign in to access your portfolio

Alphabet Posts Lower Free Cash Flow and FCF Margins - Is GOOGL Stock Overvalued?
Alphabet Posts Lower Free Cash Flow and FCF Margins - Is GOOGL Stock Overvalued?

Yahoo

time3 hours ago

  • Yahoo

Alphabet Posts Lower Free Cash Flow and FCF Margins - Is GOOGL Stock Overvalued?

Alphabet Inc. (GOOG, GOOGL) reported higher Q2 revenue on July 23, but lower operating cash flow and significantly reduced free cash flow (FCF). Based on its capital expenditure plans, Alphabet's FCF could decline 10% over the next 12 months (NTM). As a result, GOOGL stock may be fully valued today. Shorting out-of-the-money (OTM) put options to set a lower buy-in point may be a good play here. This article will delve into this. More News from Barchart The Saturday Spread: Leveraging Practical Math to Extract Alpha in Hidden Places Stop Missing Market Moves: Get the FREE Barchart Brief – your midday dose of stock movers, trending sectors, and actionable trade ideas, delivered right to your inbox. Sign Up Now! GOOGL closed at $193.18 on Friday, July 25. That is up from its July 23 close of $190.23, and well off its 6-month peak of $206.38 on Feb. 4. It's possible, without a huge increase in the stock's FCF multiple, GOOGL could be worth around 10% less at $174 per share. Alphabet's AI-Driven Capital Spending Plans Alphabet's Q2 revenue rose 14% YoY, and its operating income was also 14% higher. Moreover, the operating income margin stayed flat at 32% for both periods. But that is all before the company's cash flows and, more importantly, its capital expenditure (capex) activities. The table below from its Q1 and Q2 earnings releases shows that operating cash flow margins fell YoY, and its capex spending exploded. As a result, this table shows that Alphabet's FCF margin imploded to just 5.5% of sales, down from 21% last quarter and 18% over the last year. It's due to capex spending, which is now 40% of sales and 80% of operating cash flow. If this keeps up over the next year, Alphabet's valuation could falter. In fact, Alphabet's CEO, Sundar Pichai, said on the first page of the Q2 earnings release, Alphabet will spend $85 billion this year on capex, all driven by its AI-driven activities. Let's look at that. The table above shows that capex so far this year is $39.943 billion. That leaves $45.057 billion over the next 2 quarters, or $22.5 billion on average (about equal to Q2). That implies that over the next 12 months (NTM), capex will be $90 billion (i.e., $22.5 x 4). Let's use that to forecast NTM FCF. Forecasting NTM FCF Analysts project sales this year will be $393.38 billion and next year $436.94 billion. That puts its next 12 months (NTM) sales forecast at $415.16 billion. So, if we use its Q2 operating cash flow (OCF) margin of 28.8% and assume it will last over the NTM period: $415.16b x 0.288 = $119.57 NTM OCF In other words, OCF could fall from $133.7 billion over the trailing 12 months (TTM) - see the table above - to just $120 billion. That's a 10.2% decline. So, just to be conservative, and to improve the outlook, let's assume the margin stays the same (36%) as the TTM figure above: $415.15b x 0.36 = $149.6 billion OCF Next, we can deduct the $90 billion in run-rate capex spending that the CEO implied in his statement that 2025 capex will be $85 billion in 2025: $150b OCF - $90b = $60 billion FCF But that is still -10% below the $66.728 billion Alphabet generated in the TTM period (see the table above). In other words, the outlook is not good for Alphabet's FCF rising. This could dramatically affect the stock over the next year. Setting a FCF-Based Price Target for GOOGL Stock One way to value a stock using its FCF forecast is to use a FCF yield metric. This assumes that 100% of the FCF is paid out to investors. What will the dividend yield be? For example, given the market cap today of $2.341 trillion from Yahoo! Finance, its TTM FCF represents 2.85% of its market value: $66.728 billion TTM FCF / $2,341 billion mkt cap = 0.0285 This is also the same as multiplying FCF by 35x (i.e., 1/0.0285 = 35.1) So, using this FCF yield metric, and applying to the $60 billion forecast for FCF over the next 12 months: $60.00b x 35.1 = $2,106 billion est. mkt cap That is still 10% below today's market cap of $2,341 billion. In other words, GOOGL stock's price target is 10% lower than today, or $173.86: $193.18 x (1-.10) = $193.18 x 0.90 = $173.86 price target The point is that GOOGL stock may be overvalued. The only way this might turn around is if its OCF margin rises over 36% (even though it was just 28.8% in Q2) and/or the market gives the stock a higher multiple than 35x FCF. Therefore, it might make sense to set a lower buy-in price by selling short out-of-the-money (OTM) put options. That way, an investor can get paid waiting for GOOGL stock to fall. Shorting OTM Puts For example, look at the Aug. 29 expiration period. That is just over one month from now. It shows that the $175.00 strike price put option, about 9.4% lower than today's price, has a midpoint premium of $1.23 per put contract. That means a short-seller of these puts can make a yield of 0.70% (i.e. $1.23/$175.00). But note that there is just a 13% chance of this occurring (i.e., the delta ratio is -0.1294). The point is that if GOOGL stock falls to $175.00, the breakeven point for the assigned investor's account is $173.77 (i.e., $175.00-$1.23). That is just below our breakeven point for the stock $173.86 - see above). If the investor is able to repeat this over the next 3 months until the next quarterly release, the expected return is +2.1% (i.e., 0.70% x 3). But at least investors in GOOGL stock can make extra income here, shorting puts if they already own shares. The bottom line is that if GOOGL stock falters one way to play it is to sell short OTM puts every month. On the date of publication, Mark R. Hake, CFA did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. This article was originally published on Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

Analysts turn heads with new Alphabet stock price target after earnings
Analysts turn heads with new Alphabet stock price target after earnings

Miami Herald

time3 hours ago

  • Miami Herald

Analysts turn heads with new Alphabet stock price target after earnings

Alphabet's solid earnings have investors feeling more confident in Google again. The company posted earnings of $2.31 per share on revenue of $96.43 billion, both ahead of Wall Street analysts' forecast. Search brought in $54.19 billion, while total ad revenue climbed to $71.34 billion, up 10% from last year. YouTube ads came in at $9.8 billion, slightly above expectations. Cloud was a standout, with revenue jumping 32% to $13.62 billion. Alphabet recently struck a deal with OpenAI to power ChatGPT using Google Cloud. Alphabet also raised its 2025 capital spending forecast to $85 billion, up from $75 billion in February, citing "strong and growing demand for our Cloud products and services." CFO Anat Ashkenazi said spending will likely increase again in 2026. The upbeat report helped push Alphabet stock (GOOGL) closer to its all-time high. Shares closed at $194.08 on July 25, up more than 13% over the past month. That mirrors a broader bounce in tech stocks as optimism grows around AI and cloud. So far this year, however, Alphabet shares are still trailing the market, up just 1.91% compared to the S&P 500's 8.62% gain. Image source:Alphabet's latest earnings beat has prompted a wave of price target hikes from Wall Street analysts, though opinions split on how much upside is left. Bank of America analyst Justin Post raised his price target on Alphabet to $217 from $210 while maintaining a buy rating, following the company's better-than-expected second-quarter results. Related: Analysts unveil bold Amazon stock price target before earnings The analyst highlighted that both Cloud and Search outperformed expectations, calling them "a bright spot" in what he described as "another strong" quarter that suggests AI use is growing the market. "Another stable qtr for Search results increases our confidence in the AI transition and should ease concerns on a potential revenue reset," the analyst wrote. "We acknowledge growing users of OpenAI but think Street could be underappreciating potential AI driven upside for Search (more use, better ads) and Cloud," he added. JPMorgan raised its price target on Alphabet to $232 from $200 and reiterated an overweight rating, according to The firm believes Alphabet's AI-driven demand and accelerating backlog make Google Cloud a "bigger driver of the bull case going forward." Other firms also lifted their targets following the earnings beat, though with a more cautious tone. Stifel raised its price target on Alphabet to $222 from $218, citing solid performance across Search, YouTube, and Cloud. However, the firm doesn't expect much follow-through in shares due to lingering concerns about Alphabet's long-term AI position and the DOJ overhang. UBS bumped its target to $202 from $192, calling the quarter Alphabet's "cleanest" in a while, with strong fundamentals supporting earnings growth. Still, the firm kept a neutral rating, pointing to pressure on the stock's valuation from unresolved regulatory risks and rising competition in Search. Despite Alphabet's strong earnings, concerns around regulatory and competitive threats still exist. The company is currently facing a major antitrust lawsuit from the U.S. Department of Justice. In early August 2024, Judge Amit Mehta of the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia accused Google of illegally maintaining a search engine monopoly by using exclusive agreements with device makers like Apple (AAPL) . Related: Jim Cramer drops blunt 6-word message on Nvidia stock The DOJ is now pursuing remedies that include forced divestitures of Chrome and Android. The case is still pending, but could lead to structural changes or costly settlements if the DOJ prevails. Mehta said he aims to rule by August, Reuters reported. Beyond regulatory headwinds, Alphabet is also under mounting pressure from emerging AI competitors. More Wall Street Analysts: Veteran analyst drops surprise call on Tesla ahead of earningsBest Buy analyst, focused on earnings growth, reworks stock price targetMicrosoft analysts reboot stock price targets ahead of Q4 earnings As generative AI reshapes how users find information, traditional search is being challenged by AI tools like ChatGPT. These platforms offer more conversational responses, potentially reducing the need for users to "Google." There's also a risk that trade tensions could curb advertiser spending on Google's platforms, potentially impacting revenue growth. But when asked about the outlook, Alphabet's Chief Business Officer Philipp Schindler said it was too soon to make any calls. "I think it's really too early to comment on anything happening in the second half of the year," Schindler said. Related: Legendary fund manager has blunt message on 'Big Beautiful Bill' The Arena Media Brands, LLC THESTREET is a registered trademark of TheStreet, Inc.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store