logo
Gold, pesos and lasers: What's on Fidelity's investment radar

Gold, pesos and lasers: What's on Fidelity's investment radar

Business Times18 hours ago
[HONG KONG] A weakening US dollar and volatile equity markets were among the hotly discussed themes at Fidelity International's Asia-Pacific Media Investment Conference in Hong Kong on Thursday (Jul 3).
Speaking at the event, the firm's portfolio managers and analysts – who collectively manage US$900.7 billion in assets – outlined investment opportunities they are eyeing across currencies, commodities, and emerging markets.
Here are some of the key picks:
1. Betting against the greenback
The US dollar could continue to weaken, said Matthew Quaife, global head of multi asset, who favours the euro and yen.
'If I were to shut my eyes and say: 'Will the dollar be weaker or stronger in a year's time?' I think it would be weaker against the euro and yen,' he said.
The greenback has fallen 11.65 per cent and 8 per cent year to date against the euro and yen, respectively, as at Friday's close.
BT in your inbox
Start and end each day with the latest news stories and analyses delivered straight to your inbox.
Sign Up
Sign Up
A weaker dollar means that investments in euro- or yen-denominated assets – such as equities or bonds – would deliver higher returns when converted back to US dollars.
2. Gold still glitters
'We continue to like gold; we've liked gold for a while, so obviously that's been a good trade,' said Quaife. 'It's likely going higher, even though it's gone a long way.'
Spot gold prices have climbed 27.11 per cent year to date, fuelled by safe-haven demand amid US dollar weakness.
While the metal has already 'run some distance', it could rise further if investors rotate out of US Treasuries, Quaife added: 'If even a small amount of US Treasury money goes chasing (after) gold, it can really run.'
3. Long on Philippine government bonds
Philippine central bankers may cut rates again amid sluggish growth, said portfolio manager Terrence Pang, making local currency government bonds an attractive bet.
'We certainly see potential to cut (interest rates) twice, if the growth continues to be sluggish,' he said.
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas last trimmed its policy rate to 5.25 per cent in June, its lowest in two-and-a-half years.
With bond prices typically rising when interest rates fall, Pang sees upside in this space.
He also flagged the currency angle: while most Asian currencies have rebounded to pre-conflict levels after the Israel-Iran war, the peso has lagged by '1-and-a-bit' per cent – offering what he called a 'currency kicker'.
4. Chinese lidar on the rise
Lidar sensor adoption in Chinese cars is accelerating fast, with 15 to 20 per cent of cars sold this year expected to come fitted with lidar, said portfolio manager Dale Nicholls.
'That's up from 5 to 10 per cent in 2024, and 1 to 2 per cent in 2023, so the growth is exponential,' he said.
Used in autonomous vehicles and self-driving functions, lidar – or light detection and ranging – is also expanding into robotics applications, such as autonomous vacuum cleaners.
Nicholls did not name specific stocks, citing company policy, though China's top players in the space include Hesai Group and RoboSense Technology.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

After petrol, China's oil refiners face a jet fuel glut
After petrol, China's oil refiners face a jet fuel glut

Business Times

time2 hours ago

  • Business Times

After petrol, China's oil refiners face a jet fuel glut

[NEW YORK] China's oil refiners are grappling with an oversupply of jet fuel, in yet another blow to the bottom line of a sector already dealing with ebbing demand for petrol and diesel. In the post-pandemic period, as flights returned to the skies, jet fuel was a boon for domestic refiners struggling with a sputtering economic recovery, the electrification of the car fleet and trucks turning to alternatives such as liquefied natural gas. Refiners piled into aviation, using up feedstock that in the past would have gone into road-transport fuels. Now, though, there may be too much of a good thing. Supply this year is already running over 40 per cent ahead of demand, according to data from analytics firm Kpler. In the long term, structural changes, like the build out of high-speed rail, stand to limit future growth. 'Jet was China's solution to demand destruction in gasoil and petrol, but all it did was shift the problem elsewhere,' said Zameer Yusof, a middle distillates analyst at Kpler, who forecasts a surplus of 390,000 barrels per day in the country this year. 'Chinese international travel looks weak, contributing to the glut we are seeing.' Granted, consumption is set to keep climbing in 2025 as more aircraft take flight and a larger proportion of the population travels – but it's still short of the growth that the refining system needs to absorb the extra production. BT in your inbox Start and end each day with the latest news stories and analyses delivered straight to your inbox. Sign Up Sign Up A pivot towards domestic travel in recent years, at the expense of international routes, has not helped, slowing the growth trajectory further. Other headwinds include an uncertain outlook for consumer spending, plus newer, more fuel-efficient aircraft and better management by airlines eager to trim the consumption necessary for each flight. With 'limited options for relief', Chinese refinery margins will remain under pressure, Yusof said. Export trouble As with much of China's excess capacity, much of this may turn into a headache beyond its borders. Last month, Kpler forecast the nation's June exports would reach a record 2.6 million tonnes, potentially displacing flows into the region from the Middle East and India. China's refineries have been struggling with paper-thin margins for years. China's diesel demand likely peaked in 2019, while the nation's electric-vehicle boom means petrol consumption may have crested in 2023, the chairman of top refiner Sinopec Group said in March. Beijing has urged a shift towards making more petrochemical products – including ethylene, a key building block for many plastics – but that has done little to ease the financial pain. 'There is already too much ethylene-producing capacity in China,' said Manish Sejwal, a natural gas liquids analyst at Rystad Energy. 'This is all happening at a time when demand for ethylene remains clouded by a slowing global economy.' The country plans to add six million tonnes of ethylene production capacity in 2025, and a further 20 million tonnes over the next three years, according to Rystad, taking total capacity to 70 million tonnes. Bloomberg

Gold prices drop as Trump signals trade deals, extends tariff reprieve
Gold prices drop as Trump signals trade deals, extends tariff reprieve

Business Times

time2 hours ago

  • Business Times

Gold prices drop as Trump signals trade deals, extends tariff reprieve

[BENGALURU] Gold prices dropped on Monday (Jul 7) after US President Donald Trump signalled progress on multiple trade agreements and announced extended tariff reprieve for several countries, dampening demand for the safe-haven metal. Spot gold was down 0.3 per cent at US$3,323.71 per ounce, as at 0028 GMT. US gold futures also fell 0.3 per cent to US$3,332.20. The US is close to finalising several trade agreements in the coming days and will notify other countries of higher tariff rates by Jul 9, Trump said on Sunday, with the higher rates scheduled to take effect on Aug 1. Trump announced in April a 10 per cent base tariff on most countries, with additional duties of up to 50 per cent. He later postponed the effective date for all but 10 per cent of those tariffs from Jul 9. The new date grants a three-week reprieve to most affected nations. Concerns over tariff-driven inflation have jostled expectations for Federal Reserve policy. Rate futures show traders no longer expect a Fed rate cut this month and are pricing in a total of just two quarter-point reductions by the year-end. Last week, Trump signed into law a massive package of tax and spending cuts at the White House, which as per nonpartisan analysis, will add more than US$3 trillion to the nation's US$36.2 trillion debt. The US dollar index weakened 0.3 per cent on Monday, after registering its second consecutive weekly loss last week. A lower US dollar makes greenback-priced bullion affordable for overseas buyers. Elsewhere, the first session of indirect Hamas-Israel ceasefire talks in Qatar ended inconclusively, two Palestinian sources familiar with the matter said early on Monday, adding that the Israeli delegation did not have a sufficient mandate to reach an agreement with Hamas. Spot silver was steady at US$36.94 per ounce, platinum shed 0.3 per cent to US$1,388.06 and palladium remain unchanged at US$1,134.38. REUTERS

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store