Prediction: 1 AI Stock Will Be Worth More Than Nvidia and Palantir Technologies Combined by 2030
Nvidia and Palantir are currently worth a collective $4.5 trillion, but Amazon can surpass that figure within five years, which implies 100% upside for shareholders.
Amazon is a key player in three major industries, and the company is using artificial intelligence to improve profitability across its retail and cloud-computing divisions.
Wall Street expects Amazon's earnings to increase at 18% annually over the next three to five years, which makes the current valuation of 36 times earnings look reasonable.
10 stocks we like better than Amazon ›
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) stock has returned 29% this year, and its market value currently stands at $4.2 trillion. Meanwhile, Palantir (NASDAQ: PLTR) shares have advanced 104%, and its market value currently stands at $360 billion. That brings their collective valuation to $4.5 trillion.
I think Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) can surpass that figure in no more than five years. The company is currently worth $2.3 trillion, so the stock would need to advance 100% for Amazon to achieve a market value of $4.6 trillion. Here's why that seems likely.
Amazon has a strong presence in three growing industries
Amazon has a strong presence in e-commerce, digital advertising, and cloud computing, and all three markets are projected to grow quickly in the next few years. Details are provided below:
Amazon runs the largest e-commerce marketplace in the world in terms of revenue and the most popular in terms of web traffic. Despite its dominance, the company is growing faster than the industry average and is projected to gain market share through 2027.
Amazon is the third largest ad tech company in the world as measured by sales due to its ability to engage shoppers. It is also the largest retail media advertiser, the fastest-growing category of the broader digital advertising market, so the company is gaining share rapidly.
Amazon Web Services (AWS) is the largest public cloud as measured by infrastructure and platform services sales. With more customers and partners than its peers, AWS is uniquely positioned to monetize demand for artificial intelligence (AI) services.
Through 2030, Grand View Research estimates that online retail sales will increase at 11% annually; ad tech sales will grow at 14% annually; and cloud-computing sales will increase 20% annually. That sets Amazon on track for double-digit annual revenue growth through the end of the decade. But investors have reason to believe earnings will increase more quickly than revenue.
Amazon's AI innovations should result in greater profitability
Amazon has built over 1,000 generative AI applications to make its retail business more efficient, including tools to optimize inventory placement, demand forecasting, and last-mile delivery routes. The company has also debuted an AI model that makes its robot fleet smarter, and it's building another generative AI model that will let warehouse workers engage fulfillment robots in natural language.
Additionally, Amazon is reportedly developing generative AI software for humanoid robots with the initial goal of assisting delivery drivers. The company wants humanoid robots to ride alongside humans in its electric vans and carry packages to doorsteps. Eventually, the entire process could be automated because Amazon is also developing robotaxis through its autonomous-driving subsidiary Zoox.
Meanwhile, Amazon is also working with AI to make developers more productive in its cloud-computing division. AWS last year said its developer team used its generative AI assistant Amazon Q to upgrade tens of thousands of production applications. Doing so let the team accomplish in minutes tasks the would have taken days, saving the company $260 million, according to CEO Andy Jassy.
Morgan Stanley analyst Brian Nowak recently said Amazon is "one of the companies best positioned to deliver material financial return from physical AI and robotics" in the next few years. He estimates costs related to shipping and fulfillment currently consume about 36% of retail revenue, so the company should become increasingly profitable as it takes steps to automate those workflows.
Why Amazon could be a $4.6 trillion company by 2030
Amazon shares currently trade at 36 times earnings, a reasonable valuation for a company whose earnings are forecast to grow at 18% annually over the next three to five years. If Amazon meets that consensus, its market value can double to hit $4.6 trillion by 2030, while its valuation falls to 31 time earnings. In that scenario, Amazon in five years would be worth more than Palantir and Nvidia's combined market values today.
Should you invest $1,000 in Amazon right now?
Before you buy stock in Amazon, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the for investors to buy now… and Amazon wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $687,149!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,060,406!*
Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 1,069% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 180% for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.
See the 10 stocks »
*Stock Advisor returns as of July 15, 2025
John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Trevor Jennewine has positions in Amazon, Nvidia, and Palantir Technologies. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon, Nvidia, and Palantir Technologies. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Prediction: 1 AI Stock Will Be Worth More Than Nvidia and Palantir Technologies Combined by 2030 was originally published by The Motley Fool
Hashtags
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
16 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Why NIKE (NKE) Could Be a Comeback Story Among the Dogs of the Dow
NIKE, Inc. (NYSE:NKE) is included among the 11 Dogs of the Dow Dividend Stocks to Buy Now. A close-up of a hand holding a casual sneaker with the Nike logo on it. The world's biggest footwear company stated on Thursday that existing tariffs might push its costs up by around $1 billion. This announcement followed the release of its fiscal fourth-quarter 2025 results, which managed to surpass estimates. In fiscal Q4 2025, NIKE, Inc. (NYSE:NKE) reported revenue of $11.1 billion, which fell by nearly 12% from the same period last year. However, the revenue surpassed analysts' estimates by $373.5 million. The fourth quarter marked the period with the most significant financial impact from the company's 'Win Now' initiatives, and management expects these pressures to ease going forward. Leadership expressed confidence in the firm's ability to steer through the current unpredictable environment by maintaining focus on controllable factors and effectively carrying out the 'Win Now' strategy. NIKE, Inc. (NYSE:NKE)'s cash position also remained stable. The company ended the year with cash and equivalents and short-term investments of $9.2 billion. During the year, it returned $2.3 billion to shareholders through dividends. The company offers a quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share and has a dividend yield of 2.10%, as of July 26. It has raised its payouts for 23 consecutive years. While we acknowledge the potential of NKE as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: and Disclosure: None. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
16 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Dogs of the Dow: Why Procter & Gamble (PG) is a Pillar of Dividend Stability
The Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE:PG) is included among the 11 Dogs of the Dow Dividend Stocks to Buy Now. A happy couple viewing the products of this household and personal product company in a mass merchandiser store. The Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE:PG) owns several leading consumer brands like Pampers and Tide— products that are considered essentials for many households. While there's always a possibility that consumers could opt for cheaper, generic alternatives, recent sales figures don't indicate any major shift in buying behavior that would pose a serious threat to the business. The Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE:PG) is considered one of the most reliable dividend stocks in the market. Its stability comes from a wide range of top-tier brands in areas like beauty, health, grooming, home care, and family care. Thanks to strong customer loyalty and an efficient global supply chain, the company regularly posts profit margins that outperform many competitors. The Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE:PG)'s long-standing financial strength is further proven by its impressive 69 consecutive years of dividend increases, which is one of the longest growth streaks among publicly traded companies. On July 8, the company declared a quarterly dividend of $1.0568 per share, in line with its previous dividend. With a dividend yield of 2.67% as of July 26, PG is among the best dogs of the Dow. While we acknowledge the potential of PG as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: and Disclosure: None.
Yahoo
16 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Why The Home Depot (HD) Remains a Reliable Dividend Pick in the Dogs of the Dow
The Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE:HD) is included among the 11 Dogs of the Dow Dividend Stocks to Buy Now. An insurance broker discussing policy options with a homeowner. The company is facing challenges expanding its business amid a tough economic climate marked by elevated interest rates and growing caution among consumers when it comes to major purchases. Still, several positive trends could work in the company's favor. Housing inventory in the US remains tight compared to demand, and the average home is aging. In addition, homeowners have access to trillions of dollars in home equity that could be used for remodeling and improvements. As economic conditions stabilize or improve, Home Depot is likely to benefit from stronger demand. In the first quarter of 2025, The Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE:HD) reported revenue of $39.86 billion, up 9.44% from the same period last year. Comparable sales declined by 0.3%, while US comparable sales saw a slight increase of 0.2%. The company noted that fluctuations in foreign exchange rates had a negative effect, reducing overall comparable sales by about 70 basis points. The Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE:HD) reported an operating cash flow of $4.3 billion and ended the quarter with $1.4 billion in cash and cash equivalents. The company is a reliable dividend payer with 16 consecutive years of dividend growth under its belt. Currently, it offers a quarterly dividend of $2.30 per share for a dividend yield of 2.45%, as of July 26. While we acknowledge the potential of HD as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: and Disclosure: None. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
