
Dollar holds firm against euro, yen as US trade pressure mounts
The greenback rallied from multi-year lows against the euro and British pound hit earlier in the week after stronger than expected U.S. jobs data pushed out the timing for potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
New Zealand's kiwi dollar, a common proxy for risk appetite, rose 0.2 per cent to $0.608 after U.S. stocks climbed to new record levels.
The Republican-controlled House of Representatives narrowly passed Trump's "One, Big, Beautiful Bill" of spending and tax cuts that is estimated to add $3.4 trillion to the nation's $36.2 trillion debt.
With the U.S. closed for Independence Day, attention turns to Trump's July 9 deadline when sweeping tariffs take effect on countries like Japan that have not yet secured trade agreements.
"The dynamic is raising questions about fiscal sustainability and bond market stability," said Kyle Rodda, senior financial markets analyst at Capital.com, referring to the bill's passage.
"However, for now, those risks are being looked through as the markets embrace signs of labour market resilience and hopes for further U.S. trade deals."
The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against major peers, had its worst first half since 1973 as Trump's chaotic roll-out of sweeping tariffs stoked concerns about the U.S. economy and the safety of Treasuries.
Trump said the U.S. will start sending letters to countries on Friday specifying what tariff rates they will face, a shift from earlier pledges to ink individual deals.
Against the yen the dollar was traded at 144.69 yen, down 0.2 per cent from late in the U.S. trading day when it surged 0.8 per cent. The euro added 0.1 per cent to $1.1769, while sterling traded at $1.3668, up 0.1 per cent.
The Australian dollar fetched $0.6577, up 0.1 per cent in early trade.
U.S. Labor Department's closely watch employment report on Thursday showed that nonfarm payrolls increased by 147,000 jobs in June, well ahead of economists' forecast in a Reuters poll for a rise of 110,000.
Market expectations that the Fed will leave rates unchanged at its July meeting rose to a 95.3 per cent probability, up from 76.2 per cent previously, according to the CME's Fedwatch tool.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


CNA
an hour ago
- CNA
Trump to sign 'big, beautiful' bill on US Independence Day
WASHINGTON: US President Donald Trump prepared Friday (Jul 4) to sign his flagship tax and spending bill in a pomp-laden Independence Day ceremony featuring fireworks and a flypast by the type of stealth bomber that bombed Iran. Trump pushed Republican lawmakers to get his unpopular "One Big Beautiful Bill" through a reluctant Congress in time for him to sign it into law on the US national holiday, and they did so with a day to spare Thursday. Ever the showman, Trump will now meld a victory lap over the bill, which cements his radical second term agenda, with a grand party at the White House marking 249 years of independence from Britain. Trump announced a signing ceremony at the White House for 4pm (4am, Singapore time) and said pilots who carried out the bombing on Iran were among those who had been invited. Looking jubilant at a rally Thursday in Iowa after the bill passed, Trump said "the age of America is upon us. This is a golden age." The bill, which includes massive new funding for Trump's migrant deportation drive, is the latest in a series of big political wins at home and abroad for the 79-year-old tycoon, and underscores his dominance over both the Republican Party and US politics at large, for now. His administration has meanwhile glossed over deep concerns from his own party and voters that it will balloon the national debt, while simultaneously gutting health and welfare support. White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett on Friday rebuffed the criticism, claiming the bill will produce "a real blowout for growth." "Nobody's going to lose their health insurance because of this," Hassett told Fox News, rejecting nonpartisan analyses estimating millions of poor Americans will lose health coverage on the government-funded Medicaid program. First Lady Melania Trump was also set to attend the Independence Day event. The president's wife had told reporters on Thursday that a B-2 bomber, the type of aircraft that bombed Iran's nuclear facilities on June 22, and fighter jets would carry out a flypast for the Jul 4 event. And Trump told the rally-goers in Iowa that the pilots and others who worked on the mission would join him for the festivities. "They're going to be in Washington tomorrow, at the White House, we're going to be celebrating," he said. Deep misgivings Trump forced through the bill despite deep misgivings in the Republican Party, and the vocal opposition of his billionaire former ally, Elon Musk. It squeezed past a final vote in the House of Representatives 218-214 after Republican Speaker Mike Johnson worked through the night to corral the final group of dissenters. The sprawling mega-bill honors many of Trump's campaign promises: boosting military spending, funding a mass migrant deportation drive and committing US$4.5 trillion to extend his first-term tax relief. The legislation is the latest in a series of big wins for Trump, including a Supreme Court ruling last week that curbed lone federal judges from blocking his policies, and the US air strikes that led to a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. But it is expected to pile an extra US$3.4 trillion over a decade onto the US deficit. At the same time it will shrink the federal food assistance program and force through the largest cuts to the Medicaid health insurance scheme for low-income Americans since its 1960s launch. Up to 17 million people could lose their insurance coverage under the bill, according to some estimates. Scores of rural hospitals are expected to close as a result.

Straits Times
5 hours ago
- Straits Times
Trump to sign tax-cut and spending bill in July 4 ceremony
FILE PHOTO: U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a press conference in the Roosevelt Room at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., May 12, 2025. REUTERS/Nathan Howard/File Photo President Donald Trump is scheduled to sign a massive package of tax and spending cuts into law at a ceremony at the White House on Friday, one day after the Republican-controlled House of Representatives narrowly approved the legislation. The bill, which will fund Trump's immigration crackdown, make his 2017 tax cuts permanent, and is expected to knock millions of Americans off health insurance, was passed with a 218-214 vote after an emotional debate on the House floor. Trump is expected to sign the bill on Friday around 5 p.m. ET at a White House celebration for the July 4 Independence Day holiday. The ceremony is expected to include a flyover by stealth bombers and fighter jets that took part in the recent U.S. strikes on nuclear facilities in Iran. The bill's passage amounts to a big win for Trump and his Republican allies, who have argued it will boost economic growth while largely dismissing a nonpartisan analysis predicting it will add $3.4 trillion to the nation's $36.2 trillion debt. Vice President JD Vance, who cast the tie-breaking vote for the bill to clear the Senate, said on Friday that the legislation would support Trump's goal of making it easier to invest in the United States and harder to invest abroad. "We're going to look back on this, I really do think, as the beginning of the golden age of the United States of America," Vance told reporters during a visit to North Dakota. While some lawmakers in Trump's party expressed concerns over the bill's price tag and its hit to healthcare programs, in the end just two of the House's 220 Republicans voted against it, joining all 212 Democrats in opposition. Top stories Swipe. Select. Stay informed. Singapore PAP has begun search for new candidates; PM Wong hopes to deploy them earlier ahead of next GE Singapore 20 retired MPs spoke up on many issues in Parliament, helped successors prepare for new role: PM Wong Singapore $3b money laundering case: 9 financial institutions handed $27.45m in MAS penalties over breaches Singapore Banks tighten vigilance and processes following $3b money laundering case Asia JB petrol station shooting: Dead man with bullet wounds dumped at hospital Singapore Trilateral work group formed to address allegations of foreigners illegally taking on platform work Singapore Power distribution system in renewal project may be linked to Bukit Panjang LRT disruption: SMRT Singapore Rise in number of scam e-mails claiming to be from Cardinal William Goh: Catholic Church The tense standoff over the bill included a record-long floor speech by House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries, who spoke for eight hours and 46 minutes, blasting the bill as a giveaway to the wealthy that would strip low-income Americans of federally-backed health insurance and food aid benefits. REUTERS


CNA
5 hours ago
- CNA
Tariffs, geopolitics drag on European IPOs, even as funds flow in
(Refiles to add the name Kramer to the legal firm in paragraph 19) By Charlie Conchie and Emma-Victoria Farr LONDON/FRANKFURT :Tariffs and Middle East turmoil are spooking European companies and the investors weighing their initial public offerings even as volatility subsides and money flows back into equity markets, advisers told Reuters. President Donald Trump's announcement of sweeping tariffs targeting imports from nearly all U.S. trading partners in April and his subsequent U-turn pause on the levies sent shockwaves through the global economy. But markets, including those in Europe, have since bounced back. The VIX, Wall Street's "fear gauge", has fallen around 67 per cent from a peak touched following Trump's tariff announcement. And fund inflows into European stocks reached their second-highest level this century earlier this year. Still, investors remain wary of new listings. Topping their list of concerns, according to seven IPO advisers interviewed by Reuters, are the potential impact of conflicts like the Israel-Iran war and uncertainty regarding newly listed companies' aftermarket performance. "There's still a bit of nervousness in the network and a hangover from issues around tariffs and the war in the Middle East," said Scott McCubbin, head of EY's UK and Ireland IPO practice. Some companies, meanwhile, are unwilling to accept lower valuations than they had hoped for, the advisers said. SHELVED LISTINGS German medical technology firm Brainlab postponed its IPO this week, citing "geopolitical uncertainties". Pharmaceutical company Stada delayed its debut in March, citing market volatility, while another German firm, car parts seller Autodoc did the same last month without giving a reason. Glencore-backed metals investor Cobalt Holdings, which was planning London's biggest IPO of 2025, meanwhile failed to secure enough investor interest, a person familiar with the matter told Reuters previously. Cobalt Holdings declined to comment. The recent run of shelved listings is making things harder for firms attempting to reopen the IPO market, one person close to the Brainlab IPO process said. Investors could not agree a price for the offering with Brainlab, the person and a second source said. Existing shareholders were dissatisfied with the makeup of the order book, said one of the sources, both of whom spoke on condition of anonymity because the process was private. A spokesperson for Brainlab said interest from investors was "very strong" but the conditions were not optimal for an IPO. While more funds have flowed into European equities this year from investors seeking to reduce their exposure to U.S. assets, that money is going into the stocks of large companies rather than IPOs, said one equity capital markets banker. Some of the reticence stems from cases like German perfume retailer Douglas, which saw its shares drop more than 12 per cent on its listing debut. It subsequently cut its guidance this year. The number of companies that went public across the EMEA region in the first six months of this year fell to 44 from 59 in the same period last year, according to Dealogic data. The amount raised also fell sharply, to around $5.5 billion from $14.1 billion. In such a challenging environment, Naveen Mittel, head of equity capital markets syndicate for EMEA at Citi, said companies planning an IPO have little margin for error. "You need to be clean in terms of setup and structure, evaluation of price, and there needs to be no question marks around it," he said. A POST-SUMMER IPO REBOUND? There have been some success stories this year. Hacksaw, a developer and distributor of online betting games, successfully listed on Nasdaq Stockholm in June. "It's hard to draw any firm conclusions from a few deals when others like Hacksaw, are still getting away," said Michael Jacobs, a partner at law firm Herbert Smith Freehills Kramer. "But it does feel like the IPO window needs a summer break to reset." Advisers are hoping an array of bigger deals may help open the market in the second half. That could include a return of Stada, and possible listings of prosthetic manufacturer Ottobock, Deutsche Boerse's research and technology unit ISS Stoxx, and classifieds business Swiss Marketplace Group. Stada is evaluating all options for the further ownership of the company including a possible IPO, it said. Swiss Marketplace Group said it had recently taken initial steps to achieve a "high level of IPO readiness", but its shareholders had not yet made a decision on the possible timing of a float. And Ottobock said it is continually reviewing options including an IPO, but no decision has been made. Deutsche Boerse said it was considering an IPO of ISS Stoxx, but could also buy out private equity investor General Atlantic from the company. No decision had yet been made, it added. Despite the bleak year-to-date numbers, the big picture for European IPOs - positive funds inflows and a calming of market volatility - looks good, one equity capital markets banker said.