China says tariff pause extended with U.S.
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Business Upturn
6 hours ago
- Business Upturn
Why China is pursuing Taiwan: Geopolitical objectives, potential outcomes, and public theories explained
Over the past decade, China's rhetoric, military build-up, diplomatic pressure, and policy strategy surrounding Taiwan have intensified—leading many to question whether a full-scale capture of Taiwan is inevitable. This analysis explores China's motivations, what would change if control is established, and the dominant geopolitical narratives discussing this issue. 1. Historical and ideological roots Civil War legacy: Taiwan is governed by the Republic of China (ROC), which emerged victorious in a 1912–1949 civil war. China's Communist Party established the People's Republic of China (PRC) in 1949 and has never renounced the use of force to bring Taiwan under Beijing's jurisdiction. Article 8 of China's 2005 Anti‑Secession Law formalizes this. National reunification principle: The PRC's official policy—'one China' and Xi Jinping's 'peaceful reunification' under the 'one country, two systems' framework—frames Taiwan as a breakaway province rather than a separate international entity. Political legitimacy: Taiwanese unification is a powerful domestic symbol for the CCP, often used in propagating nationalism and consolidating Xi's political mandate internal to China. 2. Strategic and economic incentives a. Strategic position and power projection Military anchoring in the First Island Chain: Taiwan sits on the so-called 'first island chain,' providing strategic depth in the Western Pacific. Controlling it would significantly extend China's naval and air capabilities, reducing US forward-operating access. Maritime chokepoint control: The Taiwanese straits are adjacent to vital shipping lanes—roughly 60 per cent of Asian maritime trade flows through nearby corridors. Chinese dominance over Taiwan would strengthen its hold over the South China Sea's commercial arteries. b. Technological and economic gain Semiconductor supremacy: Taiwan is home to TSMC, the world's largest semiconductor foundry, responsible for over 50 per cent of global chip fabrication. Full integration could accelerate China's ambitions in semiconductor independence and technological parity. Supply chain control: Taiwan plays a central role in global supply chains—particularly in electronics and green technology manufacturing. Its absorption would give China a critical advantage in these sectors. 3. What would change if China controls Taiwan? a. Shifts in global security and balances of power Decline of US strategic influence in Asia: Losing Taiwan would seriously weaken Washington's ability to project force in the Western Pacific and could unravel alliances with Japan, Korea, and Australia. Expansion of China's 'kill‑chain' reach: Models show that with Taiwan under PRC control, air-and-missile denial coverage expands, forcing US bases like Guam or the Philippines to operate at reduced effectiveness. b. Global economic fallout Unprecedented disruption: Even a brief conflict or aggressive blockade over Taiwan could cost the world economy over $10 trillion—short-term shocks similar to, or bigger than, the Ukraine war or 2008 financial crisis. Impact on capital and technology: Taiwan is a key conduit for foreign-invested capital and advanced microelectronics. Its loss could throttle foreign inflows, affecting Beijing's broader innovation-driven growth strategy. c. Political and cultural consequences Erosion of democratic autonomy: Taiwan's integration would mean dissolving its democratic institutions, curtailing civil liberties, and subsuming it under the PRC's authoritarian model—something sharply resisted by approximately 90 per cent of Taiwanese people. Continued 'political warfare': China would likely escalate its cognitive warfare campaigns—disinformation, political infiltration, propaganda—aimed at conditioning Taiwanese public opinion to accept Beijing's supremacy. 4. Public and strategic theories on Beijing's motivations Theory / Framework Key Idea Source Great Power Assertion Annexing Taiwan reinforces China's self-declared status as a leading global power, challenging the U.S.-led world order. Reddit , Wikipedia , Barron's 'Cognitive Warfare' Mastery Over time, China could annex Taiwan without force by eroding public will through propaganda and election manipulation. TIME , Wikipedia 'Anaconda Strategy' Beijing applies gradual diplomatic, economic, and military pressure to strangle Taipei's autonomy before physically seizing control. Council on Foreign Relations , Small Wars Journal Premptive Window Strategy Some Western analysts argue China might strike before U.S. internal political changes reduce deterrence or alliances weaken. Reddit , , Domestic Consolidation Taiwan serves as a rallying symbol at home, diverting attention from domestic issues and strengthening leadership legitimacy. Reddit , Small Wars Journal 5. Challenges and limits to a Taiwan takeover Massive military cost and human toll: Models show an amphibious invasion would be extraordinarily difficult—due to Taiwan's terrain, US and allied intervention, and Taiwan's own reserve mobilization plan. Economic blowback: China would face isolation from global markets, capital outflows, and loss of critical technology access—particularly in high-end semiconductors and foreign investment. Domestic risk amid PLA reforms: Xi's ongoing military leadership reshuffle raises questions about the People's Liberation Army's readiness for such a complex operation. 6. What the international community is doing US deterrence doctrine: US policymakers advocate a 'reassure and deter' framework—maintaining ambiguous support for Taiwan's defense while discouraging aggressive PRC action. Allied formation in the Indo-Pacific: Countries like Australia and Japan have pledged closer defense cooperation. A US congressional delegation is visiting Taiwan to reaffirm support. Taiwan civilian readiness: Under the 'Territorial Defense Force' model, Taiwan is enhancing its reserve system and investing in low-cost mobile defense weapons to make occupation prohibitively costly. Conclusion China views Taiwan as integral to its national identity and global power projection plan, but control requires overcoming immense global and domestic resistance. Economic gain and strategic depth are key motivators, yet the full takeover presents massive economic and geopolitical costs, including undermining Beijing's longer-term modernization strategy. Multiple scholarly frameworks—from great power theory to cognitive and political warfare—explain why China may pursue Taiwan even short of war. International deterrents and Taiwan's own resilience planning are central to preventing conflict, although no one can accurately predict Beijing's next move. Ahmedabad Plane Crash Vipul Sipani is a qualified IT professional with over eight years of active working experience. He is a trained web technologist and a certified Ethical Hacker v8 security analyst. Vipul has also been a consultant with the detection and prevention of cyber crimes, with the Cyber Crime Investigation Cell (CCIC) of Rajasthan State Police. Vipul is currently working as editor-in-chief at and he is reachable on [email protected]


Business Upturn
6 hours ago
- Business Upturn
No new crypto ban from China in 2025: Clarifying misinformation spreading on social media
Fact Check: Viral claims about a new cryptocurrency ban in China are false. The policy referenced dates back to 2021 and remains unchanged. What's being claimed A viral message circulating online claims: 'China has officially banned cryptocurrency trading, mining, and related services, citing financial risks, capital flight concerns, and environmental impacts.' Many users on social media, including Twitter and Telegram groups, have shared this message, causing confusion among crypto investors and enthusiasts across the globe. The truth China did indeed impose a ban on cryptocurrency trading, mining, and related activities — but this happened back in September 2021. The report being circulated as 'breaking news' is actually a recycled screenshot from a Reuters article published on September 24, 2021, which clearly mentions the original date and the update timestamp (September 27, 2021). No fresh announcement has been made by Chinese regulators in 2025 regarding a new crypto crackdown. What the 2021 policy said In 2021, China's central bank and other regulators declared all crypto-related transactions illegal. The policy cited: Financial risk and market volatility Concerns about money laundering and capital flight Environmental concerns from high-energy usage of crypto mining operations These reasons were cited at the time of the original ban and have not been reiterated in any official announcement this year. Why the confusion? The misinformation appears to have originated from: Outdated screenshots of past news being reshared without context Misleading captions that present old news as a new development Viral posts designed to influence crypto market sentiment, often timed with market volatility A post featuring the 2021 Reuters headline has been making the rounds, with some users falsely claiming it is from August 2025. Official clarification Multiple sources, including Bitcoin Junkie and crypto analysts, have confirmed that no new ban has been issued by Chinese authorities in 2025. The People's Bank of China (PBoC) and Chinese state media have also made no statements or press releases regarding any additional regulatory steps this year. What the Reuters article actually says: 'China's top regulators ban crypto trading and mining, sending bitcoin tumbling' Published: September 24, 2021 — Updated: September 27, 2021 The date in the screenshot (which many users overlook) clearly proves that it's an old report. How to avoid falling for fake news in the crypto space Check the date of the article or screenshot Verify from credible financial news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC) Be cautious of Twitter and Telegram forwards that lack official links or timestamps Look for official regulator announcements on government portals or reputable media Claims and reality check Claim Reality 'China banned all crypto again in 2025' False — no new ban announced 'Reports are based on recent Reuters article' Partially true — article discusses policy review, not a ban 'It's new national regulation' False — the discussion was regional (Shanghai), no national decree 'Chinese regulators are considering yuan-based stablecoins' True — indirectly confirmed by company lobbying and meeting context Market impact Although the false report did create temporary panic among some retail investors, the broader crypto market has largely remained stable. Analysts believe seasoned investors quickly identified the misinformation. Conclusion China's stance on cryptocurrency remains unchanged since 2021. No new policy banning crypto trading or mining has been enacted in 2025. The message claiming 'China has officially banned crypto in 2025' is false, misleading, and should not be acted upon. Always fact-check before reacting to viral financial content. Ahmedabad Plane Crash News desk at


Business Upturn
11 hours ago
- Business Upturn
ROSEN, SKILLED INVESTOR COUNSEL, Encourages Fiserv, Inc. Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important Deadline in Securities Class Action
NEW YORK, Aug. 02, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — WHY: Rosen Law Firm, a global investor rights law firm, reminds purchasers of common stock of Fiserv, Inc. (NYSE: FI) between July 24, 2024 and July 22, 2025, both dates inclusive (the 'Class Period'), of the important September 22, 2025 lead plaintiff deadline. SO WHAT: If you purchased Fiserv common stock during the Class Period you may be entitled to compensation without payment of any out of pocket fees or costs through a contingency fee arrangement. WHAT TO DO NEXT: To join the Fiserv class action, go to or call Phillip Kim, Esq. at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for more information. A class action lawsuit has already been filed. If you wish to serve as lead plaintiff, you must move the Court no later than September 22, 2025. A lead plaintiff is a representative party acting on behalf of other class members in directing the litigation. WHY ROSEN LAW: We encourage investors to select qualified counsel with a track record of success in leadership roles. Often, firms issuing notices do not have comparable experience, resources, or any meaningful peer recognition. Many of these firms do not actually litigate securities class actions, but are merely middlemen that refer clients or partner with law firms that actually litigate the cases. Be wise in selecting counsel. The Rosen Law Firm represents investors throughout the globe, concentrating its practice in securities class actions and shareholder derivative litigation. Rosen Law Firm achieved the largest ever securities class action settlement against a Chinese Company at the time. Rosen Law Firm was Ranked No. 1 by ISS Securities Class Action Services for number of securities class action settlements in 2017. The firm has been ranked in the top 4 each year since 2013 and has recovered hundreds of millions of dollars for investors. In 2019 alone the firm secured over $438 million for investors. In 2020, founding partner Laurence Rosen was named by law360 as a Titan of Plaintiffs' Bar. Many of the firm's attorneys have been recognized by Lawdragon and Super Lawyers. DETAILS OF THE CASE: According to the lawsuit, throughout the Class Period, defendants made false and misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (1) due to cost issues and other problems with its older Payeezy platform, Fiserv forced Payeezy merchants to migrate to its Clover platform; (2) Clover's revenue growth and gross payment volume ('GPV'), the total monetary value of transactions processed through Clover, were temporarily and unsustainably boosted by these forced conversions, which concealed a slowdown in new merchant business; (3) shortly after these conversions, a significant portion of former Payeezy merchants switched to competing solutions due to Clover's high pricing, significant down time, and systematic compatibility issues; (4) as a result of these merchant losses, Clover's GPV growth was significantly slowing, and its revenue growth was unsustainable; and (5) based on the foregoing, Fiserv's positive Class Period statements about Clover's growth strategies, competition, attrition, GPV growth, and business prospects were materially false and misleading. When the true details entered the market, the lawsuit claims that investors suffered damages. To join the Fiserv class action, go to or call Phillip Kim, Esq. at 866-767-3653 or email [email protected] for more information. No Class Has Been Certified. Until a class is certified, you are not represented by counsel unless you retain one. You may select counsel of your choice. You may also remain an absent class member and do nothing at this point. An investor's ability to share in any potential future recovery is not dependent upon serving as lead plaintiff. Follow us for updates on LinkedIn: on Twitter: or on Facebook: Attorney Advertising. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome. ——————————- Contact Information: Laurence Rosen, Esq. Phillip Kim, Esq. The Rosen Law Firm, P.A. 275 Madison Avenue, 40th Floor New York, NY 10016 Tel: (212) 686-1060 Toll Free: (866) 767-3653 Fax: (212) 202-3827 [email protected]