
Trump's dramatic shift on Middle East policy is another diplomatic triumph for Starmer
Amid the rambling of the US president almost drowned out by the bagpipe music commissioned to welcome the prime minister and his wife Lady Victoria, there was a significant shift in policy.
Trump essentially greenlighted Sir Keir recognising a Palestinian state and almost simultaneously rewrote US Republican party policy in regards to Israel and supporting Benjamin Netanyahu 's government.
Trump publicly dismissed the Israeli prime minister's claim that 'nobody is starving in Gaza '.
He said that 'you can't fake pictures' of starving children and, alongside Sir Keir, made ending the hunger his number one priority.
The president then refused to praise the Israeli PM's tactics, saying that 'nobody is doing very well there' and calling the whole Gaza crisis 'a mess'.
This is a significant departure from the absolute support he has given the Israeli government previously. Netanyahu has been a regular guest of his in Florida and a close political ally.
But even more important was telling Starmer that he did not mind him 'taking a position' on a Palestinian state.
The issue had been an incredibly vexatious one for Sir Keir. He had a divided cabinet arguing over it due to meet in an emergency session this week. Most of his party were demanding that it happens. More than 250 MPs from nine different political parties backed it. And worse still, Jeremy Corbyn was threatening him on the left on the issue with a new political party.
One of the biggest problems with the UK following French President Emmanuel Macron's lead last week was US opposition - voiced just on Friday by secretary of state Marco Rubio.
Now the US president, Rubio's boss, has told Starmer he can go ahead if he wants – it does not bother him.
This takes a huge amount of heat off Sir Keir and means much of the political danger he faces from within his own party is reduced.
Trump makes no bones about the fact he likes Sir Keir, even if they disagree politically on much. Now he is repaying Starmer's patience in press conferences and willingness to massage the president's ego on every occasion in full.
And for those who watched the painful official press conference after their formal meeting, those remarks on the Turnberry steps were a pre-reward for Sir Keir's patience and forbearance.
Underneath the prime minister must have been gritting his teeth as the US president toyed with him throughout.
There was Labour London Mayor Sir Sadiq Khan being 'a nasty man'; there was the advice on how to beat Nigel Farage in an election (clue: it involved Starmer doing the opposite to what his government is doing now); there were the lectures on immigration and not putting inheritance tax on farmers.
Throughout, Sir Keir sat with a smile on his face, not wavering in his warmth to Trump but occasionally standing up for himself on certain issues without directly criticising the president.
The prime minister has learnt the hard way that insulting the world's most powerful politician is not the way to get what you want. He and many of his cabinet did that during the first Trump term.
The truth is that the US president likes a mixture of sycophancy along with someone who is willing to defend themselves politely. Starmer is here for that, every so often pointing out his own policy successes or saying Sir Sadiq is his friend 'actually'.
But the main aim is for the love shown to Trump to reduce tariffs for UK exports to the US and he can persuade a reluctant president to be more helpful on issues like Ukraine, and even more importantly, the Middle East.
So successful has Starmer been that we are already seeing leaders like Germany's Friedrich Merz and Nato secretary general Marc Rutte follow his example.
Starmer has proven time and again that he is a superb diplomat who has won the friendship and admiration over everyone from Ursula von der Leyen to Trump. Perhaps only he could have got the US president to shift so much on Middle Eastern policy.
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The Guardian
24 minutes ago
- The Guardian
‘It wasn't an error': Ofqual boss defends regulator after withdrawn data row
England's chief regulator of exams has put up a staunch defence of Ofqual after it was forced to withdraw a decade of statistics detailing the number of students granted extra time and other assistance for A-levels and GCSEs. In his first interview with a national media organisation since his permanent appointment as head of Ofqual, and just weeks after the data was dramatically pulled, Sir Ian Bauckham said there had been no error in the figures, blaming instead the way they had been interpreted. He also denied that the data 'misunderstanding', which comes five years after Ofqual's disastrous attempt during Covid to award GCSE and A-level grades by algorithm, had further undermined confidence in the organisation, saying: 'We've got a qualification system in this country to be proud of.' In an interview with the Guardian, the chief regulator also addressed the debate surrounding the government's curriculum and assessment review, warning against any wholesale move from exams to coursework because of concerns about students' growing use of AI. He also urged caution over the introduction of digital exams, saying that any assessment innovation must be secure and deliverable, and should not disadvantage poorer students who may not have had the same access to digital devices and software as their wealthier peers. Ofqual, which was set up in 2010 to regulate qualifications in England, shocked the education sector when it announced on 17 July that it was withdrawing official statistics for special access arrangements for exams going back to 2014, because they 'significantly overstated' the number of students. Access arrangements are adjustments to exams for students with special needs, disabilities or injuries, with 25% extra time being the most common. In 2012-13, 107,000 students in England were granted extra time, but in 2024 Ofqual said it was nearly 420,000 students, an increase of nearly 300%. The data appeared to show that 30% of students had been granted 25% extra time last year, with particularly high rates in private schools where nearly 42% of students received adjustments. Ofqual now thinks the actual rate is far lower. Bauckham said the confusion had arisen because, rather than showing access arrangements solely for students entered for GCSEs and A-levels in one particular year, the data includes a much broader list of access arrangements. Each access arrangement lasts two years. There can be duplicate applications for the same student, and the list may include pupils with special arrangements in place who did not sit exams that year at all. 'It wasn't an error, because the published data only ever claimed to be the long list of approved access arrangements,' Bauckham said. 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The Guardian
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Europe's trade deal with the US was dead on arrival – it needs to be buried. Here's how to do it
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The balance also tilts in the US's favour in important sectors such as consumer goods, food and drink, and agriculture. Tariffs tend to stick, so this is long-term damage. The EU even gives up its right to respond to future US pressures through duties on digital services or network fees. To top it off, von der Leyen's defence and investment pledges (for which she had no mandate) go against Europe's interest. The EU's competitiveness predicament is precisely one of net investment outflows. As international capital now reallocates under the pressures of Trumponomics and a weakening dollar, the case for Europe to become a strategic investment power was strengthening. Von der Leyen's promise of $600bn in EU investment in the US is therefore disastrous messaging. How could this happen? All EU member states wanted to avoid Trump's 30% tariff threat and a trade war, but none perhaps as much as Germany and Ireland, supported by German carmakers and US big tech firms. 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For Europe, the lesson from the Brexit negotiations – one that von der Leyen ought to have grasped before now – is that nothing is agreed until everything is agreed. There is now an opportunity for EU governments and the European parliament to course correct and salvage something from this train wreck. Georg Riekeles is the associate director of the European Policy Centre, and Varg Folkman is policy analyst at the European Policy Centre

The National
an hour ago
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History will judge monsters who enabled a genocide
Keir Starmer's announcement that Britain will recognise the State of Palestine in September if Israel doesn't agree to a ceasefire and a two-state solution sums up his political project. Starmer himself is an empty vessel, a mere frontman for Labour's most reactionary and self-serving political faction: his own advisers briefed that he thinks he's driving a train, but they had placed him in front of London's driverless District Light Railway. This faction is defined by its cynicism, lacking not just a vision for our disunited kingdom, but a moral core. They saw that growing numbers of MPs were demanding Palestinian recognition, including some of the drones they parachuted into the parliamentary party, whose blind loyalty has been frayed by the realisation they're heading towards electoral apocalypse. READ MORE: Gaza detainees 'tortured and raped' by Israeli forces, United Nations hears The SNP were preparing to force a parliamentary vote on statehood, which would leave Labour exposed. And indeed other European states, like Spain, have already taken this step, with the likes of France making clear they will too. But all Starmer's aides care about is political game playing, rather than what happens to be the right thing to do. And here's the thing – they're not even good at it. They scrapped the universal Winter Fuel Payment because they thought it would win respect as a 'tough decision'. Alas, they project their lack of a heart on to the electorate, who shocked Labour goons by being averse to freezing their grans. They decided to wage war on disabled people with cuts which would drive hundreds of thousands into hardship, and were again shocked at being stopped in their tracks by the consequent revulsion, including from the malfunctioning androids who benefited from their rigged parliamentary selections. In this case, their ruse is as cackhanded as it is morally bankrupt. Any move which recognises the humanity of Palestinians is going to provoke the pro-Israel lobby, who long sank into a sewer of genocidal depravity, and so it proved. What about everyone else – that is, popular opinion, given the polling shows overwhelming public support for recognition of a Palestinian state, an arms embargo on Israel, as well as the arrest of its leader, Benjamin Netanyahu, for war crimes and crimes against humanity? Starmer's team are essentially arguing that if Israel tones down its genocide, then it will withdraw support for Palestinian statehood. The inalienable right of a people to be free is reduced to a crude bargaining chip, a chess piece on a board to be discarded for a greater strategic cause. So who is this supposed to please, exactly? Here's the gruesome truth. Obviously, Britain should have supported Palestinian national self-determination many moons ago. But there won't be any Palestine left to recognise at this rate. Here is the most symbolic gesture on offer, and even that is reduced to a cynical ploy. There is growing pressure on the Government, because they are facilitating what the former UN aid chief, Martin Griffiths, calls the 'worst crime of the 21st century'. Here is an attempt to deflect from action they could be taking, like ending all arms sales to Israel, including crucial components for F-35 jets that are exterminating Palestinians, or imposing sweeping sanctions on Israel. Indeed, earlier this year, Britain joined other Western states in imposing sanctions on two particularly extreme Israeli ministers, Itamar Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich. They are both genocidal maniacs who belong in jail, sure, but it is easy to make them the bogeymen in order to absolve the wider guilt of the Israeli state. Notably, the sanctions were justified on the grounds of their incendiary comments, rather than their actions, because the latter implicates the British government. Nothing our government has done remotely meets the scale of the crime. A consensus of genocide scholars – including Israeli scholars – long ago concluded this is genocide. B'Tselem was one of two Israeli human rights organisations to reach the same conclusion this week, alongside Israeli author David Grossman, who won Israel's top literary prize in 2018. Gaza has been plunged into deliberate famine by an Israeli state which repeatedly broadcast to the world that it was intentionally starving the strip. More hungry Palestinians have been massacred at aid points alone since late May than the total number of Israeli civilians and soldiers killed on October 7. And even the BBC is now having to report that Palestinian children are being systematically shot in the head or chest – evidence which points in only one direction: that the Israeli army is deliberately shooting kids. The depravity is so extreme, documented and confessed to, that it is difficult to know either where to begin or end. The British government had a choice when confronted with an incontrovertible criminal reality: to make itself complicit in this historic abomination, or to abide by the most rudimentary building blocks of international law. It chose the former, and now it seeks to wash away its guilt by publicly agonising over Israel's crimes while making tokenistic gestures about a Palestinian nation it has literally helped to massacre. You would have to be either terminally gullible, or a dupe, to be beguiled by this. Throughout history, monsters didn't realise that that is what they are, but they were still monsters. The same applies to Westminster's rulers – and that will be the definitive conclusion of history and, we can hope, the courts, too.