
Uncertain economic times? That means it's gold's time to shine
That's enough for more than 1 billion Olympic gold medals, which are actually primarily made of silver, and about 750,000 pots of gold waiting at the end of every rainbow. Or you'd have to spend $694 billion at Costco on its 1-ounce gold bars, although the $3,410 bar is out of stock.
Value of reserves rises and falls with price of gold
The price of gold fluctuates, but as of July 2025, the market value of all the gold stored in the New York Federal Reserve vault could be estimated somewhere between $470 billion and $680 billion, depending on the market price of gold, which hit a record high this year.
Who owns all the gold in the Fed's stockpile?
But none of that gold belongs to the Fed, and most of it isn't American. In 2021, the U.S. Treasury Department reported it only stores about 13.4 million fine troy ounces – about 416 metric tons – there. The rest belongs to foreign governments, other central banks, and official international organizations, who trust the Fed to keep it locked away 80 feet below street level.
Golden opportunity for a heist movie?
Where is the world's gold stored?
The United States stores gold in other places, too. The largest American-owned gold stockpile is at Fort Knox in Kentucky, which houses about 147.3 million fine troy ounces of gold – about 4,583 metric tons.
Other countries, including Germany, Italy, and France, also have large gold reserves.
More: Trump wants lower interest rates. Will the Fed make cuts? Live updates
Why people still like gold
Beyond its shine, some investors, central banks, and governments view gold as an attractive asset that inspires confidence, even in uncertain times.
'It's historical money. It goes back several millennia as original money,' said Aakash Doshi, the global head of gold strategy at State Street Investment Management. 'It goes back to biblical times. It was one of the gifts from the three wise men.'
While today gold isn't used as a large-scale payment method, it's a highly liquid asset with no particular credit risk and is not directly controlled by any central bank, according to Joe Cavatoni, the senior market strategist for the Americas for the World Gold Council.
Some investors still view it as 'real' money – something that can't be printed – and a hedge against market and economic volatility.
'Gold performs in good times as well as in the bad times,' Cavatoni said.
Why gold demand surged
While the dollar or the euro isn't going away anytime soon, Doshi said the demand for real hard assets that complement fiat currency rose over the last few decades as global debt and governments' share of that debt has increased.
In 2024, gold overtook the euro as the second-largest global reserve asset after the U.S. dollar, according to a June European Central Bank report.
Doshi listed the 2008 financial crisis, the U.S.-China trade war, shifting trade alliances like the rearrangement of the North American Free Trade Agreement, and expanded sanctions as forces driving some central banks' increased interest in gold, as they seek stability amid economic shocks and geopolitical tension.
Cavatoni said that rating agencies' recent downgrades to the U.S. government's creditworthiness and the risks that come with holding treasuries are also likely on people's minds, adding that a lot of the increased demand is coming from emerging market central banks.
Gold price jumped since the start of 2024
He said gold is valued higher when market risk is unclear and uncertainty is high, adding, 'that's kind of the world we're living in now.'
'When you think about their absolute level of holdings, they are still very low relative to the percentage of total reserves. And I think that there's still an opportunity for them to continue to grow,' Cavatoni said. 'But I think we're seeing in our second quarter data and other sound bites that they're definitely paying close attention to what the performance is going to look like.'
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


New York Post
24 minutes ago
- New York Post
CNN data guru dubs Trump the ‘most influential president this century'
CNN data guru Harry Enten has dubbed President Trump the 'most influential president this century' while rattling off the major transformations he has ushered in on tariffs, immigration and other issues. Enten argued that the president 'has been tremendously influential to a historic degree' just over half a year into his second term. 'Love it, like it, lump it — Trump's remaking the United States of America,' Enten said as he began a weekend segment on the cable news network. 'I can't think of a more influential president during this century.' Enten noted that the highest average US tariff rate in effect on another country has jumped from 2% last year up to about 18%, which is the largest rate in America since the 1930s. 3 CNN data guru Harry Enten cited President Trump's work on tariffs, immigration and executive orders to back up his assessment of 'historic' influence of the commander in chief. CNN 3 Trump has made overhauling US trade a key objective of his second term. AFP via Getty Images On immigration, the data buff noted that net migration into the US appears to be trending down sharply, by at least 60%, from 2.8 million last year. 'We may be dealing with — get this — negative net migration to the United States in 2025,' Enten said. 'That would be the first time there is negative net migration in this country in at least 50 years.' 'Trump has always run on tariffs, and he's running a hawkish line on immigration,' Enten said. 'And on both of those issues — we are seeing record-high tariff rates for this century, and when it comes to immigration, net migration, we are seeing record low levels.' 3 The president has also mounted a significant clampdown at the US-Mexico border and stepped up enforcement of immigration laws. REUTERS Based on those two factors, Enten contended that Trump is the most influential president 'probably dating a good [chunk back] into the 20th century.' Another example Enten cited was Trump's use of executive orders, having signed 180 of them halfway through his first year of his second term, surpassing all of his predecessors dating back to Franklin D. Roosevelt. Trump is one of two presidents to serve two nonconsecutive terms as president, alongside Grover Cleveland.
Yahoo
29 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Top economist warns the U.S. is ‘on the precipice of recession' — and it will be hard for the Fed to come to the rescue
Indicators from the past week paint an overall picture of an economy on the edge of a downturn, according to Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi. Not only is the labor market weakening, but consumer spending is flat while construction and manufacturing are shrinking, he warned, adding that the Federal Reserve will have a hard time reviving growth with inflation still above its target. The shocking jobs report on Friday wasn't the only red flag. Indicators from the past week paint an overall picture of an economy that's headed for a downturn, according to Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi. After months of looking remarkably resilient in the face of President Donald Trump's tariffs, the economic outlook has suddenly turned gloomier. 'The economy is on the precipice of recession. That's the clear takeaway from last week's economic data dump,' Zandi wrote in a series of posts on X on Sunday. 'Consumer spending has flatlined, construction and manufacturing are contracting, and employment is set to fall. And with inflation on the rise, it is tough for the Fed to come to the rescue.' Payrolls grew by just 73,000 last month, well below forecasts for about 100,000. Meanwhile, May's tally was revised down from 144,000 to 19,000, and June's total was slashed from 147,000 to just 14,000, meaning the average gain over the past three months is now only 35,000. While Trump has claimed without evidence that the jobs data was 'rigged' and fired the head of the agency that produces the report, Zandi noted that data often gets big revisions when the economy is at an inflection point, like a recession. Separate reports also held warning signs. GDP rebounded more robustly than expected in the second quarter, but a metric that strips out the impact of foreign trade and looks instead at final domestic demand indicated slowing. The personal consumption expenditures report showed core inflation accelerated to 2.8%, further above the Fed's 2% target, and that consumer spending rose less than expected in June. Fed policymakers have held off on interest rate cuts as they wait to see how much tariffs impact inflation. Meanwhile, construction spending continued to decline in June amid a sharp drop in single-family homes. And the Institute for Supply Management's manufacturing activity index for July dipped, indicating the sector contracted at a quicker pace. For now, the Atlanta Fed's GDP tracker points to continued growth, though it's expected to decelerate to 2.1% in the third quarter from 3% in the second quarter. There are also no signs of mass layoffs, and the unemployment rate has barely changed, bouncing in a tight range between 4% and 4.2% for more than a year. But Zandi said the jobless rate is still low only because the size of the labor force has stagnated. That's as the foreign-born workforce has plunged by 1.2 million in the last six months amid Trump's immigration crackdown, while the overall labor participation rate has slipped. As the supply of labor has softened, so has the demand. Zandi pointed to an 'economy-wide hiring freeze, particularly for recent graduates.' The upshot is that the so-called neutral level of job gains needed to absorb new workers—and keep the unemployment rate steady—is now much lower. 'It's no mystery why the economy is struggling; blame increasing U.S. tariffs and highly restrictive immigration policy,' Zandi added. 'The tariffs are cutting increasingly deeply into the profits of American companies and the purchasing power of American households. Fewer immigrant workers means a smaller economy.' On Friday, economists at JPMorgan similarly sounded the alarm on a potential downturn. They noted that jobs data show hiring in the private sector has cooled to an average of just 52,000 in the last three months, with sectors outside health and education stalling. Coupled with the lack of any signs that unwanted separations are surging due to immigration policy, this is a strong signal that business demand for labor has cooled, they explained. 'We have consistently emphasized that a slide in labor demand of this magnitude is a recession warning signal,' JPMorgan added. 'Firms normally maintain hiring gains through growth downshifts they perceive as transitory. In episodes when labor demand slides with a growth downshift, it is often a precursor to retrenchment.' This story was originally featured on Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data


Newsweek
an hour ago
- Newsweek
Donald Trump 'In Denial' About Job Figures, Economy—Nate Silver
Based on factual reporting, incorporates the expertise of the journalist and may offer interpretations and conclusions. Pollster Nate Silver on Sunday called out President Donald Trump's reaction to the latest data about jobs, accusing him of "denialism" and warning that it won't help him fix the nation's slowing economy. "Firing the BLS commissioner won't prevent the effects of tariffs. But it will reduce American economic leadership and increase uncertainty for businesses, workers and investors," Silver wrote in his newsletter, referring to Trump's decision to fire Erika McEntarfer, commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), after the agency published a weaker-than-expected jobs report for July. Silver stressed that U.S. economic data remains reliable, as it is meticulously documented and regularly revised "because measuring something as complex as the modern American economy is an incredibly challenging task." "I'm not sure exactly where firing the BLS commissioner ranks on the list of Trump-related outrages," Silver wrote. "Even if Congress does its job and McEntarfer replaced with another competent successor, this could have a chilling effect on BLS and other government agencies to operate independently." Newsweek has reached out to the White House by email on Sunday outside of normal business hours for comment. Why It Matters Trump's decision to fire McEntarfer has sent shockwaves throughout the country, with economists and Democratic lawmakers criticizing the move. Some have accused Trump of trying to "kill the messenger" over heavy revisions to May and June's job numbers, which removed 258,000 jobs previously announced in those months. This followed the July jobs report, which reported 73,000 jobs added, which is well short of the projected 100,000 jobs. The unemployment rate also rose to 4.2 percent. The firing of a high-level labor statistician after the release of adverse economic data raised alarms about the politicization of nonpartisan agencies and reliability of official U.S. economic statistics. Experts and lawmakers stressed that the integrity of the BLS is central to public trust and informed economic decision-making. What To Know Silver, the founder of 538 and one of the most prominent polling experts in last year's presidential election, wrote in his newsletter that July's jobs report has suggested a slowing economy and "Trump is in denial about it." "Each monthly payrolls figure is actually revised three times: once in each of the first two months after initial publication (so July's 73,000 figure will be re-reported in August and then again in September) and then again each January as part of the BLS's annual benchmark revisions," Silver wrote. He argued that the jobs report often only receives attention at the initial announcement, with politicians and news media treating the figure as a simple "beat" or "bust" factor relative to the initial estimate, and that not enough attention is given to the regular cycle of "large revisions and the difficulties in estimation." "All of this feels a little too familiar: it's the same thing that happens when news organizations breathlessly report polling data without considering the margin of error and other challenges for surveys," Silver wrote. He noted that revisions during every month of Trumps' second administration have seen negative revisions, which he wrote is "actually common enough" and that it's more important to look at the trend of revision from month-to-month. Those trends help experts and analysts understand if they're seeing sampling errors or statistical biases in the numbers, which can occur also in the event of an economy facing "some sort of trauma or disruption." Silver also wrote that any attempt to undermine Trump would be better executed by reporting the lower estimates instead of revising them down later, since "revisions don't usually get as much media attention as the headline figures," and that "the May and June revisions are relatively pedestrian." "The largest change ever to an initial jobs figure ever after two months came in March 2020 as the pandemic hit American shores; initially reported as a job loss of 700,000, it was later revised to nearly 1.4 million instead," he wrote. President Donald Trump departs the White House en route to Bedminster, New Jersey, on August 1 in Washington, D.C. President Donald Trump departs the White House en route to Bedminster, New Jersey, on August 1 in Washington, D.C. Andrew Thomas/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images What People Are Saying President Donald Trump wrote in a Truth Social post on Sunday: "Head of the Bureau of of Labor Statistics did the same thing just before the Presidential Election, when she lifted the numbers for jobs to an all time high. I then won the Election, anyway, and she readjusted the numbers downward, calling it a mistake, of almost one million jobs. A SCAM! She did it again, with another massive 'correction,' and got FIRED! She had the biggest miscalculations in over 50 years." Trump also wrote on Truth Social on Friday: "McEntarfer said there were only 73,000 Jobs added (a shock!) but, more importantly, that a major mistake was made by them, 258,000 Jobs downward, in the prior two months. Similar things happened in the first part of the year, always to the negative. The Economy is BOOMING under 'TRUMP' despite a Fed that also plays games, this time with Interest Rates, where they lowered them twice, and substantially, just before the Presidential Election, I assume in the hopes of getting 'Kamala' elected – How did that work out? Jerome 'Too Late' Powell should also be put "out to pasture." Thank you for your attention to this matter!" Ernie Tedeschi, the former head of Yale University's Budget Lab, wrote on X on Friday about McEntarfer's firing: "I've worked closely with Erika. I know of no economist who is more data-focused & devoted to truth in statistics. She never shied from speaking truth to power when the data were disappointing. Nothing would be worse for US credibility than political meddling in our economic data."