Could bird flu vaccines help tackle high egg prices? Experts say it's not so simple
In another meeting last week, Rollins met with two dozen farmers to hear their ideas about how to fight bird flu. She promised them relief.
'This problem wasn't created overnight, and it will take us a little time to tackle this issue, but we will take aggressive action to help our poultry farmers combat avian flu and to make eggs affordable again,' she said.
On the campaign trail last year, President Donald Trump promised to bring all grocery prices down on 'day one.' But from December to January, grocery prices had the sharpest increase on a monthly basis in more than two years.
Economists blame eggs. The price of eggs rose in that period at the fastest rate in nearly a decade, according to the latest Consumer Price Index. Unless something changes, Rollins' department predicts, egg prices will continue to rise more than 20% this year.
One reason eggs are pricey and sometimes hard to find is an outbreak of highly pathogenic avian influenza, commonly called bird flu.
It's become a 'major' threat to commercial and backyard flocks in the United States, hitting egg-laying hens the hardest, according to the National Chicken Council. These hens account for more than 77% of the more than 162 million poultry affected by the virus since the outbreak began.
The US has successfully dealt with sporadic outbreaks before, said Dr. Matt Koci, a professor in the Prestage Department of Poultry Science at North Carolina State University who specializes in immunology. Although poultry vaccines were studied, biosecurity measures and culling flocks with sick birds have been the strategy to take on the virus.
Cases among chickens typically flared up only when wild birds, who can be carriers of the disease, would migrate through the US, Koci said. After they had flown on, case counts would fall to nothing.
Now, though, there is so much virus in circulation that it's been turning up in resident birds and spilled over into other animals like cows, cats and even dolphins.
Many scientists believe it is unlikely that the virus will ever disappear completely from the US again.
'Now that it's always here, kind of kicking around in the environment, we are seeing these little brush fires of cases popping up all the time,' Koci said. 'We were hoping it was a fluke, but this definitely seems like the new normal.'
When a domestic chicken, turkey or duck gets sick, it's devastating for the flock. Wild birds can live with the virus, but commercial flocks often cannot.
'It depends on the strain, but within 48 hours, a farmer may go from seeing a few dead birds to half his flock, and certainly, within three to five days, they're all dead,' Koci said. Healthy members of the flock are often culled to help stop the spread. 'That's the reason we stamp it out. We're trying to kill them before the virus does, because it's a horrible way to die, and that helps us contain it.'
In the past 30 days alone, bird flu has been confirmed in 134 commercial and backyard flocks in the US as of Monday, affecting 18.91 million birds, according to the USDA.
The agency requires farmers to report any cases and then start mass cullings to limit the spread. It's an approach the Trump administration blames for high egg prices.
National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett said on CBS's 'Face the Nation' that he was working with the USDA secretary to find options to fight bird flu beyond culling chickens. He blamed the empty egg shelves at his grocery store on President Joe Biden's approach to the outbreak.
'That happened because they killed all the chickens, and so what we need to do is have better ways with biosecurity and medication and so on,' Hassett said.
When the outbreak started in 2022, many commercial farms stepped up biosecurity measures like isolating chickens from wild birds, keeping workers' clothes and boots clean, and spraying disinfectants.
'You could always do more, sure,' Koci said.
Some medications are in development, but nothing can cure chickens with bird flu. Culling is one of the most effective approaches, Koci said.
'As ugly as it is, just like with the wildfires in California, sometimes you have to cut all the trees down and dig a fire line to keep the fire from spreading from one neighborhood to another,' he said. 'We can't do anything to save that poultry house, but maybe we can dig enough of a line around it to save neighboring farms.'
Some politicians have suggested vaccinating chickens. There are a few options available, and the Trump administration has given the conditional green light to one made by Zoetis.
Zoetis initially got a contract to create a bird flu vaccine for chickens from the USDA's National Veterinary Stockpile in 2016. As with a human flu vaccine, the company has had to keep updating it to make sure it matches the virus strain in circulation. It appears to be effective; the US Fish & Wildlife Service used it in 2023 to protect endangered California condors. But the commercial chicken industry isn't so interested.
For one thing, the US is the second biggest exporter of poultry products in the world, but overseas trading partners won't buy chickens vaccinated for bird flu
The World Trade Organization doesn't forbid the sale of vaccinated birds outright, but other countries won't buy them. The seller has to demonstrate that the birds are completely free of bird flu, and vaccines can mask the presence of the virus. Studies show that vaccines can keep a chicken from developing severe disease, but they don't totally prevent infections.
The National Chicken Council, the US industry's trade association, wrote to the Congressional Chicken Caucus last week to remind lawmakers that 'vaccinating any poultry sector – egg layers, turkeys, broilers, or ducks – will jeopardize the entire export market for all US poultry products.'
The council said that if farmers can't trade overseas, the US would face a potential $10 billion-plus annual economic loss, as well as significant harm to its poultry business.
'Until we have written assurances and trade protections in place with all our trading partners,' the council said in an email to CNN, 'the National Chicken Council will continue to oppose vaccination for Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza.
'We currently support USDA's Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (APHIS) 'stamping out' policy to eradicate the virus,' it said.
Vaccination would also add expense. There is no aerosolized or waterborne vaccine, so workers would have to pick up each one of millions of chickens and vaccinate them individually.
Other countries have gone the vaccination route, and it seems to have helped. France started vaccinating millions of farmed ducks in 2023, along with biosecurity measures and enhanced surveillance. The number of outbreaks fell to 10 during the first six months of the campaign, compared with 315 over the same time period before vaccination began, according to the French Ministry of Agriculture and Food Sovereignty.
In Western states, veterinarians would have to vaccinate additional animals beyond birds, said Rodrigo Gallardo, a professor in poultry medicine at the UC Davis School of Veterinary Medicine.
Bird flu has moved into large numbers of dairy cows, with 973 dairy herds affected as of February 21, according to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 'That is just disseminating the virus all over the place,' Gallardo said.
Several vaccines for bird flu are being tested in cows, but as with birds, 'vaccination is like the last resort for the US,' he said.
Gallardo agrees that more needs to be done to manage bird flu outbreaks in the US, particularly as more humans get sick.
The virus is still considered a low threat to humans, but as of Monday, 70 people in the US had been infected. Farm workers and people who have backyard flocks are at higher risk of infection, but scientists are concerned that the virus will spread further – and possibly adapt to spread between people.
'Right now, with all this virus floating around and all the birds and all the mammals and all the dairy cows getting infected, it is super difficult to control,' Gallardo said.
CNN's Meg Tirrell and Aileen Graef contributed to this report.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
an hour ago
- Yahoo
Here's what could get more expensive from Trump's massive tariff hikes
President Donald Trump has said that tariffs won't lead to higher prices. But the United States economy seems to disagree: Inflation, which has remained fairly tame, is slowly creeping up because of tariffs. Trump's latest round of higher taxes on imports, which goes into effect next week, will immediately make imported goods from impacted countries more expensive in the United States. And while businesses have tried to shoulder part of the cost, they now may be forced to pass along some of those expenses to consumers. That means higher prices for Americans. Here's what could get more expensive: Computers and other electronics Computers are among the top goods the United States imported last year, according to US Commerce Department data. The top countries that exported computers and other electronic products to the United States last year were China, Mexico, Taiwan, Vietnam and Malaysia. Goods from China already face a minimum 30%, albeit with some exclusions. However, rates could soon shoot even higher if a trade deal is not reached with China by August 12. Goods from Mexico can be shipped to the US duty-free if they comply with a trade deal Trump signed during his first term. Meanwhile, goods from Taiwan, Vietnam and Malaysia are all set to be taxed at nearly double their current levels by next week. Though price increases have been tame across the board, computers cost consumers nearly 5% more in June of this year compared to last, according to Consumer Price Index data. While not among the top five sources of foreign-produced computers, India is still a major supplier of computers and other electronics to the US. Goods from there are set to face 25% minimum tariffs. Economists at the Yale Budget Lab estimate that the tariffs Trump announced as of Thursday, if put in place indefinitely, could cause computer and other electronic prices to rise by 18.2% in the short run and 7.7% in the long run. The authors consider the short run to be two to three years from now, while the long run is considered three to ten years. Clothing As with electronics, America buys much of its apparel from other countries. Top destinations include China, Vietnam, Bangladesh, India and Indonesia. The tariffs Trump is placing on these countries are impactful for the cost clothing, especially since that's one of the top goods the US imports overall. Yale Budget Lab estimates prices could rise by 37.5% in the short run and 17.4%. Watches Wristwatches are one of the top exports to the United States from Switzerland, which is set to face a 39% 'reciprocal' tariff. Last year the country sent over $4 billion worth of watches to the United States. Prices of leather products, which often includes watches, are estimated to rise by 39.7% in the short run and 18.9% in the long run. Shoes China, Vietnam and Indonesia are top destinations where shoes are made and tariffs are set to start at a minimum of 19% for the three countries, come next week. Like watches, many kinds of shoes use leather and could face similar price increases as a result. Furniture Vietnam is the top source of imported furniture, followed by China. Toys China and Vietnam are the top two countries that ship toys to the United States. Toy brands have already been warning of higher prices due to the tariffs in place on Chinese goods. The higher tariffs on Vietnamese goods are also likely to be a pressure point. When could tariff-related price increases happen? In addition to the fact that businesses haven't been fully passing on tariff costs to consumers thus far, in anticipation of higher import taxes, many spent months stockpiling goods. That's in part why Goldman Sachs economists estimate it takes eight months for the effect of the costs of imported consumer goods 'to be fully realized in consumer prices.'


CNN
2 hours ago
- CNN
Here's what could get more expensive from Trump's massive tariff hikes
President Donald Trump has said that tariffs won't lead to higher prices. But the United States economy seems to disagree: Inflation, which has remained fairly tame, is slowly creeping up because of tariffs. Trump's latest round of higher taxes on imports, which goes into effect next week, will immediately make imported goods from impacted countries more expensive in the United States. And while businesses have tried to shoulder part of the cost, they now may be forced to pass along some of those expenses to consumers. That means higher prices for Americans. Here's what could get more expensive: Computers are among the top goods the United States imported last year, according to US Commerce Department data. The top countries that exported computers and other electronic products to the United States last year were China, Mexico, Taiwan, Vietnam and Malaysia. Goods from China already face a minimum 30%, albeit with some exclusions. However, rates could soon shoot even higher if a trade deal is not reached with China by August 12. Goods from Mexico can be shipped to the US duty-free if they comply with a trade deal Trump signed during his first term. Meanwhile, goods from Taiwan, Vietnam and Malaysia are all set to be taxed at nearly double their current levels by next week. Though price increases have been tame across the board, computers cost consumers nearly 5% more in June of this year compared to last, according to Consumer Price Index data. While not among the top five sources of foreign-produced computers, India is still a major supplier of computers and other electronics to the US. Goods from there are set to face 25% minimum tariffs. Economists at the Yale Budget Lab estimate that the tariffs Trump announced as of Thursday, if put in place indefinitely, could cause computer and other electronic prices to rise by 18.2% in the short run and 7.7% in the long run. (The authors of the analysis published Friday don't provide a specific timeframe for what qualifies as long run versus short run.) As with electronics, America buys much of its apparel from other countries. Top destinations include China, Vietnam, Bangladesh, India and Indonesia. The tariffs Trump is placing on these countries are impactful for the cost clothing, especially since that's one of the top goods the US imports overall. Yale Budget Lab estimates prices could rise by 37.5% in the short run and 17.4%. Wristwatches are one of the top exports to the United States from Switzerland, which is set to face a 39% 'reciprocal' tariff. Last year the country sent over $4 billion worth of watches to the United States. Prices of leather products, which often includes watches, are estimated to rise by 39.7% in the short run and 18.9% in the long run. China, Vietnam and Indonesia are top destinations where shoes are made and tariffs are set to start at a minimum of 19% for the three countries, come next week. Like watches, many kinds of shoes use leather and could face similar price increases as a result. Vietnam is the top source of imported furniture, followed by China. China and Vietnam are the top two countries that ship toys to the United States. Toy brands have already been warning of higher prices due to the tariffs in place on Chinese goods. The higher tariffs on Vietnamese goods are also likely to be a pressure point.


CNN
2 hours ago
- CNN
Here's what could get more expensive from Trump's massive tariff hikes
President Donald Trump has said that tariffs won't lead to higher prices. But the United States economy seems to disagree: Inflation, which has remained fairly tame, is slowly creeping up because of tariffs. Trump's latest round of higher taxes on imports, which goes into effect next week, will immediately make imported goods from impacted countries more expensive in the United States. And while businesses have tried to shoulder part of the cost, they now may be forced to pass along some of those expenses to consumers. That means higher prices for Americans. Here's what could get more expensive: Computers are among the top goods the United States imported last year, according to US Commerce Department data. The top countries that exported computers and other electronic products to the United States last year were China, Mexico, Taiwan, Vietnam and Malaysia. Goods from China already face a minimum 30%, albeit with some exclusions. However, rates could soon shoot even higher if a trade deal is not reached with China by August 12. Goods from Mexico can be shipped to the US duty-free if they comply with a trade deal Trump signed during his first term. Meanwhile, goods from Taiwan, Vietnam and Malaysia are all set to be taxed at nearly double their current levels by next week. Though price increases have been tame across the board, computers cost consumers nearly 5% more in June of this year compared to last, according to Consumer Price Index data. While not among the top five sources of foreign-produced computers, India is still a major supplier of computers and other electronics to the US. Goods from there are set to face 25% minimum tariffs. Economists at the Yale Budget Lab estimate that the tariffs Trump announced as of Thursday, if put in place indefinitely, could cause computer and other electronic prices to rise by 18.2% in the short run and 7.7% in the long run. (The authors of the analysis published Friday don't provide a specific timeframe for what qualifies as long run versus short run.) As with electronics, America buys much of its apparel from other countries. Top destinations include China, Vietnam, Bangladesh, India and Indonesia. The tariffs Trump is placing on these countries are impactful for the cost clothing, especially since that's one of the top goods the US imports overall. Yale Budget Lab estimates prices could rise by 37.5% in the short run and 17.4%. Wristwatches are one of the top exports to the United States from Switzerland, which is set to face a 39% 'reciprocal' tariff. Last year the country sent over $4 billion worth of watches to the United States. Prices of leather products, which often includes watches, are estimated to rise by 39.7% in the short run and 18.9% in the long run. China, Vietnam and Indonesia are top destinations where shoes are made and tariffs are set to start at a minimum of 19% for the three countries, come next week. Like watches, many kinds of shoes use leather and could face similar price increases as a result. Vietnam is the top source of imported furniture, followed by China. China and Vietnam are the top two countries that ship toys to the United States. Toy brands have already been warning of higher prices due to the tariffs in place on Chinese goods. The higher tariffs on Vietnamese goods are also likely to be a pressure point.