
South African rand starts data-filled week softer, eyes on tariff deadline
At 0524 GMT the rand traded at 17.7475 against the dollar , 0.2% weaker than Friday's close.
The risk-sensitive currency lost a bit of ground last week and remains on the back foot as cautious traders await tariff updates with the country facing a 30% duty on its exports to the U.S. and an interest rate decision by the South African Reserve Bank on Thursday.
Many traders and analysts expect another rate cut (ZAREPO=ECI), opens new tab after inflation (ZACPIY=ECI), opens new tab rose modestly in June, moving just inside the central bank's target range.
For further clues on the shape of Africa's most industrialised economy, investors will look to money supply (ZAM3=ECI), opens new tab and private sector credit (ZACRED=ECI), opens new tab data on Tuesday, budget balance (ZABUD=ECI), opens new tab figures on Wednesday, producer inflation (ZAPPI=ECI), opens new tab and trade balance (ZATBAL=ECI), opens new tab data on Thursday.
South Africa's benchmark 2035 government bond was marginally stronger in early deals, as the yield fell 1.5 basis points to 9.835%.
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Daily Mail
6 minutes ago
- Daily Mail
Starmer joins Trump on Air Force One
Keir Starmer joined Donald Trump for a 250-mile flight in Air Force One so they could have dinner together tonight, after the president told the PM how to win the next election. The Prime Minister waved as he boarded the US presidential Boeing 747 at Prestwick tonight after talks and a chaotic press conference at Trump's Turnberry golf resort. The president advised his 'not too liberal' friend to cut taxes and immigration if he wanted to beat Nigel Farage at the next election. And he gently pressed the PM on giving the go-ahead for new oil and gas exploration in the North Sea, while slamming funding for wind power . The PM stood up for green energy hours before boarding the aging American behemoth, which is built for long-haul journeys rather than a short hop across Scotland. 'We believe in a mix, and obviously oil and gas will be with us for a very long time, and that'll be part of the mix, but also wind, solar, increasingly nuclear (power),' he said. The flight will land at RAF Lossiemouth, due to Aberdeen Airport having too short a runway for the 747. It was the PM's second flight of the day, having arrived in Scotland from Switzerland, where he watched the Lionesses retain their Women's Euros title last night. Without any awkwardness about playing one mate off against the other the president used the hour-long televised bromantic encounter to tell the PM to cut taxes and stop 'murderers and drug dealers' from coming to Britain. While Sir Keir sat beside him with an impassive look on his face he also attacked subsidies for wind power and - gently - suggested he should back fresh drilling for oil and gas in the North Sea instead. He was full of praise for the Prime Minister and the way he was running the country, despite their ideological differences, saying Sir Keir was was 'liberal ..but not too liberal' in his approach. Mr Trump added: 'I think the one that's toughest and most competent on immigration is going to win the election, but then you add… low taxes, and you add the economy. '(Sir Keir) did a great thing with the economy, because a lot of money is going to come in because of the deal that was made. But I think that, I think that immigration is now bigger than ever before.' The president had earlier told Sir Keir Britain and the rest of Europe it must stop illegal immigration to avoid 'ruin' as the two leaders met in Scotland today. Mr Farage is not meeting Mr Trump during the visit. The American leader attacked Mayor of London Sir Sadiq Khan as a 'nasty person' and hailed both Sir Keir and Nigel Farage as 'great men' as the leaders took a series of questions across domestic and foreign affairs. The president also indicated that the US may not impose heavy tariffs on British pharmaceuticals, telling reporters that 'we certainly feel a lot better' about the UK working on drugs that will be sold in the States compared to other nations. The president had earlier said that he thinks Sir Keir, who has been in office for more than a year, will be 'a tax cutter.' The president had earlier spoken out as he met Sir Keir and Lady Victoria on the clubhouse steps at his Ayrshire golf course. During the president's 'working holiday' in the country of his mother's birth he spoke to reporters as bagpipes played in the background. He spoke out about the humanitarian crisis in Gaza - which the leaders will discuss further - and had criticism for Vladimir Putin over the Ukraine war. But he also addressed the wider issue of immigration facing Europe he added that it was becoming a 'different place' - and praised Sir Keir for taking a strong stance against it. 'This is a magnificent part of the world, and you cannot ruin it, you cannot let people come here illegally,' the president said. 'And what happens is there'll be murderers, there'll be drug dealers, there'll be all sorts of things that other countries don't want. 'They send them to you and they send them to us and you've got to stop them and I hear you've taken a very strong stand on immigration. And taking a strong stand on immigration is imperative.' The latest data from the Home Office indicates that 122 people crossed the Channel in small boats on Saturday. Security was tight at Turnberry as they discussed how to continue putting into place the US-UK trade deal they signed earlier this year, as well as the Middle East crisis. They met on the steps of the clubhouse while a bagpiper playing loudly in the background, with the president saying Sir Keir was going a 'great job'. 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Reuters
6 minutes ago
- Reuters
Germany's Merz says he did not expect better EU-US trade deal, German economy will suffer
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BBC News
6 minutes ago
- BBC News
The US-EU trade deal in numbers - how it compares to UK deal
Donald Trump has struck an agreement with the European Union that means the US will not impose the 30% tariffs - export taxes - on EU imports that the US president had the EU will still face a new 15% tariff on the goods it sells into is higher than the 10% tariffs the UK faces on goods exports to the US as part of an earlier agreement struck between London and how does the EU agreement compare with the UK's - and are there potential economic benefits now arising for the UK?Most analysts judge the UK's agreement with the US will likely prove more advantageous to the UK than the EU's agreement with the US will be for the EU, given the UK's lower headline tariff they also stress that the detail of the final US-EU agreement is key - and that there remains uncertainty about how the US will treat imports from the EU of steel and pharmaceuticals. What's the difference between the deals? On the face of it, the UK's lower baseline tariff rate (10% vs 15%) could offer an advantage to UK-based firms competing with EU-based companies for sales into the US - allowing UK exports to be more competitively priced for the US market after the tariffs have been applied."In principle, the UK is in a more advantageous position than other countries – so there is the potential to benefit from this," Michael Gasiorek, director of the Centre for Inclusive Trade Policy (CITP) told BBC there are complexities in the two agreements and a lack of clarity around both, which make it tricky to compare them. In the case of car exports, the UK-US agreement specifies that exports of cars from the UK to the US will face a 10% tariff, which is lower than the 15% rate that will be faced by EU firms selling cars in the the UK's 10% rate only applies to a quota of 100,000 vehicles a year, which is roughly the number of cars the UK sells into the US at the vehicle sold above that quota would be hit with the US's 25% tariff on car imports, which would be higher than the 15% tariff facing all EU car 2024 the EU sold around 758,000 vehicles to the US, almost seven times are many as the UK exported to America in that year. The UK-US agreement also says the UK will negotiate an agreement to avoid future US tariffs on pharmaceutical imports. But the US has not imposed those particular tariffs yet, and we don't know what the nature of any UK exception would is also a lack of clarity about whether the US-EU 15% tariff would always apply to pharmaceuticals or not. On Sunday the US president suggested it would not, but EU commission president Ursula Von der Leyen suggested it it's unclear whether the EU's 15% baseline tariff incorporates existing US import tariffs, or whether, as in the case of the UK's 10% tariff, it will be applied on top of existing import answer to that could have an influence on the relative advantage of UK exports. If the UK's tariffs are "stacked" but those of the EU are not, the overall effective tariff imposed on some EU goods could end being lower than what's imposed on some UK text of the EU-US agreement has yet been published, making it impossible to be certain at this stage. What about steel? UK steel exported to the US is currently subject to a 25% tariff, which is lower than the 50% global rate on imports of the metal imposed by Donald Trump in president granted the UK this partial exemption to allow time for implementation of the US-UK trade officials are working with their US counterparts to resolve technical issues that they hope will mean UK firms will be able to export steel to the US up to a certain quota that avoids even this 25% US officials have briefed that under the EU-US deal, EU steel will remain subject to the US's global 50% tariff on metal would seem to significantly benefit UK steel exporters relative to their EU counterparts when it comes to selling to the the EU Commission president has also suggested that Brussels and Washington remain in talks about a quota system, whereby EU steel exports under the quota would also be subject to a lower could ultimately erode any relative advantage for UK steel theory, EU manufacturers - in steel and other sectors - could move some of their production to the UK to benefit from lower tariffs when exporting to the USBut some analysts are sceptical about the likelihood of this."I doubt companies in modern supply chains are going to make big, long-term relocation decisions based on marginal tariff differences," says David Henig, the UK director of the European Centre For International Political Economy (ECIPE)."To take advantage of any such tariff differences businesses need to feel reasonably secure that the differences will last. Given the uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, that certainty is currently not there," agrees Michael Gasiorek. What about wider economic impacts? The US is the UK's single largest national trade 2024, the UK exported £196bn of goods and services to the US, 22.5% of all the countries of the European Union collectively account for a larger share of UK trade than the US. In 2024, the UK exported £358bn of goods and services to the EU, 41% of all exports."Demand for EU exports from the United States is likely to fall and, if that were to lead to a slowdown in the European Union, that would be bad for the United Kingdom as it would lead to a reduction in demand for our exports from our largest trading partner," Stephen Millard from the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) told economists also expect Trump's tariffs to ultimately slow the growth of the US economy, which would also harm UK firms exporting to the US. What do you want BBC Verify to investigate?