US tariffs, Fed signals, and why Asian markets are staying cool
First up: tariffs. US President Donald Trump's latest round targets everyone from Brazil to Canada, but the real sting is landing on American corporations. With companies like Nike and GM swallowing the costs, Asian exporters may escape the worst of it.
Then there's the US Fed. Jerome Powell is holding the line on interest rates, and Ho explains why. Inflation's still sticky, and political pressure is mounting but Mr Powell isn't blinking. The result? A rebound in the US dollar and a ripple effect across Asian currencies.
And while Thailand's brief border flare-up with Cambodia rattled markets early on, Thai equities have bounced back. As Ho puts it, markets fear uncertainty more than they fear conflict.
Why listen?
Because Trump's tariffs are back but this time, markets saw them coming
BT in your inbox
Start and end each day with the latest news stories and analyses delivered straight to your inbox.
Sign Up
Sign Up
So who really gets hit?
Because the Fed isn't pivoting anytime soon
Sticky inflation means rate cuts are on ice.
Because Big Tech's doubling down on AI
It's not hype. It's a trillion-dollar investment strategy.
Because even conflict has a market rhythm
After the panic comes the rebound.
Market Focus Weekly is a podcast of The Business Times. Listen at bt.sg/podcasts , on Spotify or Apple Podcasts. Got feedback? Email us at btpodcasts@sph.com.sg .
---
Written and hosted by: Emily Liu ( emilyliu@sph.com.sg )
With Cedric Ho, portfolio manager, MAD Partnership
Edited by: Chai Pei Chieh & Claressa Monteiro
Produced by: Emily & Chai Pei Chieh
A podcast by BT Podcasts, The Business Times, SPH Media
---
Follow Market Focus Weekly podcasts every Friday:
Channel: bt.sg/btmktfocus
Amazon: bt.sg/mfam
Apple Podcasts: bt.sg/mfap
Spotify: bt.sg/mfsp
YouTube Music: bt.sg/mfyt
Website: bt.sg/mktfocus
Do note: This podcast is meant to provide general information only. SPH Media accepts no liability for loss arising from any reliance on the podcast or use of third party's products and services. Please consult professional advisors for independent advice.
Discover more BT podcast series:
BT Money Hacks at: bt.sg/btmoneyhacks
BT Correspondents: bt.sg/btcobt
BT Podcasts: bt.sg/pcOM
BT Branded Podcasts: bt.sg/btbrpod
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles

Straits Times
4 hours ago
- Straits Times
Founder of The Dog Grocer inspired by her picky dog to make fresh, wholesome treats
Sign up now: Get ST's newsletters delivered to your inbox Ms Soo Ming Hui, founder of The Dog Grocer, creates wholesome pet treats and meals that are preservative- and chemical-free. SINGAPORE – Dogs enter the shop, head for the bulk bins, sniff the treats and chews, and then let their owners know which one they want. The concept of The Dog Grocer (TDG) was formed when founder Soo Ming Hui, 44, faced challenges feeding her picky dog Piggy, who refused to eat anything but fresh treats. However, many pet foods available in the market are mass-produced and highly processed. Ms Soo also often wondered about the possibility of dogs having the same home-cooked meals as what her mother cooks for the family. Inspired by her mother's food, Ms Soo started experimenting with Asian-style marinades and began crafting fresh, natural treats in 2018. When her fussy Singapore Special, 13, approves of her experiments, she knows other dogs will enjoy them too. TDG's pet foods are made in-house using human-grade ingredients, such as beef eye round, chicken and duck breast, pork loin, chicken feet and bull pizzles. The meats are either dehydrated or freeze-dried, and all products are preservative- and chemical-free. Ms Soo also avoids using additives and fillers, focusing on natural nutrition and flavour. The products adhere to the United States Department of Agriculture's food safety guidelines, and TDG's ready-to-eat meal packs are formulated to meet the standards set by US agency National Research Council for dog food. Top stories Swipe. Select. Stay informed. Singapore Despite bag checks and warnings, young partygoers continue to vape in clubs in Singapore Singapore Ong Beng Seng to plead guilty on Aug 4, more than 2 years after trip to Qatar with Iswaran Singapore LTA, Singapore bus operators reviewing Malaysia's request to start services from JB at 4am Singapore NDP 2025: Veteran Red Lion says each leap 'feels like 5km run' Business Decoupling to save on tax? You may lose right to property if ties go awry Singapore Lessons learnt from Singapore's love-hate relationship with e-scooters Opinion At UN's Wipo, Singaporean Daren Tang strives to create an equal music for haves and have-nots Asia Mass grave with over 100 skeletons in Sri Lanka brings up old wounds TDG products are produced in Singapore in a kitchen licensed by the Animal & Veterinary Service under the National Parks Board, using ingredients from sources approved by the Singapore Food Agency. Signature items from the freeze-dried meat cube range include Ondeh Ondeh Chicken and Black Sesame Duck. Marinated jerkies such as Dang Gui Wolfberry Pork, and Chicken and Honey Sesame Beef are popular snacks. Dogs also like chews such as whole pig ears. Prices are between $13 and $33 for dog treats and ready-to-eat meals, with freeze-dried meat cubes and marinated jerkies available in the store for the dogs to sniff and select. These are placed in bins at a height where the pooches cannot eat them. Ms Soo opened TDG in Crane Road in June 2020 with an investment of $130,000 from her savings and government grants. It was not an easy endeavour, as the Covid-19 pandemic was still prevalent. Singapore had just entered Phase One of its reopening after the circuit-breaker period , in which people were encouraged to leave their homes only for essential activities. However, pet ownership boomed during the pandemic, which helped Ms Soo's business. She managed to break even in 18 months. She subsequently opened a commercial kitchen in Sembawang and the store relocated to a bigger space in Joo Chiat Road. 'It was good to have a proper kitchen,' says Ms Soo. 'I used to operate from a tiny makeshift kitchen at the back of the shophouse, cutting, marinating and dehydrating meats.' She adds that with the larger facility, production capacity has increased substantially. However, she continues to keep the scale of the food production small so everything remains fresh. 'We are constantly making new batches as the shelf life of our pet food is very short, about six to eight months depending on the product,' she says. Prices are between $13 and $33 for dog treats and ready-to-eat meals. ST PHOTO: LIM YAOHUI Starting a pet food business never crossed Ms Soo's mind. After graduating from the National University of Singapore with a mechanical engineering degree in 2004, she convinced her parents to let her pursue her dream of becoming a jockey. 'I've always loved animals. So, I thought, like, why not be a job?' says Ms Soo, who is single. This passion led her to New Zealand, where she spent almost six years training to be a jockey. She also took on other jobs at cafes, orchards and canning factories. During those years, she also found time to earn two chef certificates, one in general culinary arts and another in pastry. However, being a jockey was not meant to be because she was over the strict weight limit required for the profession. After returning to Singapore , she volunteered at animal shelters, drawing on her experience with horses to help rehabilitate dogs. It was there when she learnt how limited and heavily processed most pet food options were, particularly for dogs with specific dietary needs or preferences. While some of the products are sold in boxes, pet owners are encouraged to scoop what they need and pack the treats in their own containers. ST PHOTO: LIM YAOHUI Sustainability plays a big role at TDG. Though some products are sold in boxes, pet owners are encouraged to take along their own containers and fill them up from the bulk bins. Ms Soo makes a conscious effort to choose ingredients from certified sustainable sources, such as wild-caught Atlantic cod and pollock, which are Marine Stewardship Council-certified fish. She also takes the 'entire cut' approach. For instance, slices of pork loin become jerkies, while off-cuts or ends are minced into pork cubes. Fish bones become broth that are used for seasonal creations, such as Chinese New Year soups and National Day recipes. Fruit, vegetables and meat scraps are dropped off at a local permaculture site every other month for composting, turning food waste into nutrient-rich soil. With the business expanding to include both cooked and raw meals, catering to the evolving preferences of pet owners, Ms Soo hopes to open another outlet, possibly in western Singapore. 'We have been looking for a second shop for almost a year, but rental costs are incredibly high,' she says. It has been rewarding for her to see customers grow alongside TDG. 'We see them at different stages, some from puppies to adult dogs, others from adults to seniors,' says Ms Soo. She adds that her dream is to have a cafe where pets can have their own omakase experience. For now, though, her happy place is in the kitchen, where she concocts new recipes and creates nutritious food for pets.
Business Times
a day ago
- Business Times
World economies reel from Trump's tariffs punch
[WASHINGTON] Global markets reeled on Friday (Aug 1) after US President Donald Trump's tariffs barrage against nearly all US trading partners as governments looked down the barrel of a seven-day deadline before higher duties take effect. Trump announced late Thursday that dozens of economies, including the European Union, will face new tariff rates of between 10 and 41 per cent. However, implementation will be on Aug 7 rather than on Friday as previously announced, the White House said. This gives governments a window to rush to strike deals with Washington, setting more favourable conditions. Neighbouring Canada, one of the biggest US trade partners, was hit with 35 per cent levies, up from 25 per cent, effective Friday, but with wide-ranging, current exemptions remaining in place. The tariffs are a demonstration of raw economic power that Trump sees putting US exporters in a stronger position, while encouraging domestic manufacturing by keeping out foreign imports. But the muscular approach has raised fears of inflation and other economic fallout in the world's biggest economy. BT in your inbox Start and end each day with the latest news stories and analyses delivered straight to your inbox. Sign Up Sign Up Stock markets in Hong Kong, London and New York slumped as they digested the turmoil, while weak US employment data added to worries. Trump's actions come as debate rages over how best to steer the US economy, with the US Federal Reserve this week deciding to keep interest rates unchanged, despite massive political pressure from the White House to cut. Data Friday showed US job growth missing expectations for July, while unemployment ticked up to 4.2 per cent from 4.1 per cent. On Wall Street, the S&P 500 dropped 1.6 per cent, while the Nasdaq tumbled 2.2 per cent. Political goals Trump raised duties on around 70 economies, from a current 10 per cent level imposed in April when he unleashed 'reciprocal' tariffs, citing unfair trade practices. The new, steeper levels listed in an executive order vary by trading partner. Any goods 'transshipped' through other jurisdictions to avoid US duties would be hit with an additional 40 per cent tariff, the order said. But Trump's duties also have a distinctly political flavour, with the president using separate tariffs to pressure Brazil to drop the trial of his far-right ally, former president Jair Bolsonaro. He also warned of trade consequences for Canada, which faces a different set of duties, after Prime Minister Mark Carney announced plans to recognise a Palestinian state at the UN General Assembly in September. In targeting Canada, the White House cited its failure to 'cooperate in curbing the ongoing flood of fentanyl and other illicit drugs', although Canada is not a major source of illegal narcotics. By contrast, Trump gave more time to Mexico, delaying for 90 days a threat to increase its tariffs from 25 to 30 per cent. But exemptions remain for a wide range of Canadian and Mexican goods entering the United States under an existing North American trade pact. Carney said that his government was 'disappointed' with the latest rates hike but noted that with exclusions, the US average tariff on Canadian goods remains one of the lowest among US trading partners. 'Tears up' rule book With questions hanging over the effectiveness of bilateral trade deals struck, including with the EU and Japan, the outcome of Trump's overall plan remains uncertain. 'No doubt about it, the executive order and related agreements concluded over the past few months tears up the trade rule book that has governed international trade since World War II,' said Wendy Cutler, senior vice president of the Asia Society Policy Institute. On Friday, Trump said that he would consider distributing a tariff 'dividend' to Americans. Notably excluded from Friday's drama was China, which is in the midst of negotiations with the United States. Washington and Beijing at one point brought tit-for-tat tariffs to triple-digit levels, but have agreed to temporarily lower these duties and are working to extend their truce. Those who managed to strike deals with Washington to avert steeper threatened levies included Vietnam, Japan, Indonesia, the Philippines, South Korea and the European Union. Among other tariff levels adjusted in Trump's latest order, Switzerland now faces a higher 39 per cent duty. AFP
Business Times
a day ago
- Business Times
Trump momentum drives stablecoin urgency in Asian financial hubs
[MUMBAI] Asian markets are hurriedly updating their stablecoin rules as US President Donald Trump's embrace of US dollar-pegged cryptocurrencies instils a fresh sense of urgency among the region's authorities. Recent developments in South Korea, Hong Kong, Malaysia, Thailand and the Philippines point to a proliferation of stablecoins pegged to Asian currencies, even as authorities raise concerns about capital outflows. Regional heavyweights including and Ant Group plan to capitalise by applying to become issuers. Shares in Kakaopay ballooned on expectations that it would do the same. Even China, which has for years imposed a sweeping crypto ban, appears to be warming to the notion of tokens that serve as yuan surrogates. It all stems from the US, where lawmakers recently passed legislation that will promote wider use of digital tokens that seek to maintain a 1:1 peg with the US dollar. The White House earmarked US dollar stablecoins as a priority in a January executive order, days after Trump's inauguration. 'The Genius Act has opened the floodgates for stablecoin adoption,' said Benjamin Grolimund, General Manager for the UAE at crypto exchange Flipster. 'Whether you support it or not, stablecoins are now unavoidable.' Overhanging Asia's flurry of activity is the fear of capital flight. The US dollar reigns supreme in today's stablecoin market, with US$256 billion in tokens pegged to the greenback. These maintain their price by managing reserves of cash-like assets, such as US Treasuries. By contrast, there's just US$403 million of euro-backed stablecoins in circulation, despite a well established regulatory framework covering such products in the form of the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation regime. A NEWSLETTER FOR YOU Friday, 8.30 am Asean Business Business insights centering on South-east Asia's fast-growing economies. Sign Up Sign Up The crypto-curious nation of South Korea offers a case in point. South Koreans are already trading piling into dollar-pegged stablecoins. Transactions involving USDT, USDC and USDS, three of the largest US dollar proxies, on five domestic exchanges reached 57 trillion won (S$53 billion) in the first quarter, Yonhap News reported, citing Bank of Korea data. Local lawmakers in recent weeks clashed with the central bank over whether to allow Korean companies to issue won-based stablecoins. President Lee Jae-myung's ruling Democratic Party on Jun 10 proposed the Digital Asset Basic Act, creating a pathway for local firms to become issuers. Two weeks later, Ryoo Sangdai, senior deputy governor at the Bank of Korea, warned that stablecoins may shift the country's longstanding policy stance on capital liberalisation and the won's internationalisation. Central bank governor Rhee Chang Yong went further, arguing that non-bank stablecoins would 'cause big chaos like in the 19th century', when currencies issued by the private sector flooded the market. 'Local stablecoins, while offering regulatory visibility at the point of issuance, carry the risk of becoming efficient bridges to global markets through seamless crypto-to-crypto swaps on decentralised exchanges,' said John Park, head of Korea at Arbitrum Foundation. Asian central banks need to find ways to channel the momentum, rather than fighting it, Park said. Regulatory frameworks should aim to preserve sovereignty while staying competitive, he added. Streamlined trading For digital-asset trading firms, a more diverse stablecoin market is a no-brainer. 'Capital controls are a challenge,' said Yoann Turpin, co-founder of crypto market maker Wintermute. 'But stablecoins could provide a vetted, more efficient on-chain system.' Such a setup could streamline arbitrage trades across venues or between markets without the constraint of foreign exchange market hours, said Le Shi, Hong Kong managing director at market making firm Auros. 'There's a real use case for local currency stablecoins, particularly for enabling weekend liquidity and smoother capital movement.' Another possibility is that the growth of local stablecoins could enliven crypto economies in Asia. In South Korea, an estimated 18 million people, over a third of the country's population, are engaged in digital assets. Sam Seo, chairman of the Kaia DLT Foundation, said a won-backed stablecoin would serve different needs than US dollar alternatives. 'In the short term, swaps between the won and USDT will dominate. But longer term, we will need stablecoins from other countries to support direct pairings and faster settlement,' Seo said. Hong Kong, meanwhile, has quickly become the region's stablecoin laboratory. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority is particularly focused on 'viable and practical use cases', not just capital buffers, Clara Chiu, founder of QReg Advisory, said. Many of the issuers that have taken an interest in yuan-backed stablecoins are trading and payment firms that are already using the yuan in cross-border settlement. 'That's where the practical demand lies,' Chiu added. Mainland interest While China's next steps are far from certain, crypto firms including brokers are already preparing for the prospect of yuan-pegged stablecoins. Kennix Chan, vice-president at Victory Securities, said the firm is in active talks with a range of would-be issuers in Hong Kong. The firm's affiliate, VDX, is close to securing a license to operate a digital-asset exchange, according to Chan, allowing it to offer new trading pairs – such as Bitcoin against stablecoins pegged to the Hong Kong dollar – and eventually yuan-backed equivalents. 'When a yuan-stablecoin is born, the market will definitely be exponentially bigger,' Chan said. Despite its blanket crypto trading ban, China appears to be warming to blockchain as a financial tool. People's Bank of China governor Pan Gongsheng said in June that stablecoins could revolutionise international finance, as rising geopolitical tensions highlight the fragility of traditional payment systems. A recent licensing upgrade granted for a major Chinese state-owned brokerage to deal in digital assets through Hong Kong has also stirred optimism among Chinese players. 'It gave hope that there's a way,' Chiu said. Still, few expect Beijing to open its doors to crypto trading anytime soon. Lily King, chief operating officer at digital-asset custodian Cobo, said that Hong Kong will continue to serve as a testing ground for Chinese enterprises looking to build overseas. 'China may not feel the need to open itself,' she added. BLOOMBERG