logo
Northern Lights: These 12 States May See ‘Equinox Auroras' On Tuesday

Northern Lights: These 12 States May See ‘Equinox Auroras' On Tuesday

Forbes25-03-2025
A G1-class geomagnetic storm is predicted by NOAA for Tuesday, March 25, 2025. (Photo by Mathieu ... More Lewis-Rolland/Getty Images)
The Northern Lights may be visible in northern skies from 11 northerly U.S. states on Tuesday, March 25, with turbulent solar wind expected to arrive at Earth.
SpaceWeather.com is reporting that a co-rotating interaction region — a transition zone between fast and slow-moving solar wind — is headed toward Earth. It's coming from a hole in the sun.
A G1-class geomagnetic storm is predicted by NOAA to commence from around 15:00 UTC (11:00 a.m. EDT) and increase in intensity to G2 from 21:00-00:00 (17:00-20:00 p.m. EDT), making the peak viewing conditions convenient for North America.
For context, the geomagnetic storm on May 10, 2024, was rated a G5, the most powerful since 2003.
NOAA's aurora viewline for Tuesday, March 25, 2025.
If there is auroral activity, U.S. states within NOAA's aurora viewline are in the best position to see it. Those 12 states are Washington, northern Idaho, northern Wyoming, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Vermont and Maine. Regions closest to the border with Canada will have the highest possibility of seeing the aurora. Observers away from light pollution are likely to get the best views, helped by the fact that the moon is currently not rising until a few hours after midnight.
The surge of charged particles — which take a few days to reach Earth having left the sun — comes in the wake of a 'very strong' aurora prediction for Sunday that failed to materialize. Despite an intense display being predicted for Sunday, March 23, 2025, when it finally arrived it didn't spark the hoped-for geomagnetic storm. However, impressive auroras were seen in polar regions in the gathering light of dawn.
A coronal hole, as seen on March 25, 2025, byt NASA's Solar Dynamic Observatory.
Late March and early April are traditionally seen as the end of the aurora-viewing season in polar regions, but it's very often the best time for nightly auroras. That's because of the Russell-McPherron effect, which explains that cracks open in Earth's magnetic field when the magnetic fields of Earth and the solar wind align, with more of the solar wind entering, causing geomagnetic storms. The result is that auroras are twice as likely around the equinoxes in late March and late September.
Earth's magnetic field is at its weakest in the weeks after the equinox.
Although space weather scientists can detect solar activity and CMEs leaving the sun, how fast these clouds of charged particles travel across the solar system is difficult to model precisely. It's only when the solar wind sweeps over detectors on NASA's DSCOVR and ACE satellites — situated about a million miles from Earth — that a roughly 30-minute warning can be given. Observers should check NOAA's 30-minute forecast and make use of the Glendale app.
Wishing you clear skies and wide eyes.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

US efforts to predict weather hit by staffing cuts: ex-NOAA chief
US efforts to predict weather hit by staffing cuts: ex-NOAA chief

Yahoo

timean hour ago

  • Yahoo

US efforts to predict weather hit by staffing cuts: ex-NOAA chief

STORY: :: A former NOAA chief says the U.S. has compromised its ability to predict the weather after deep staffing cuts :: July 5, 2025 :: Falls Church, Virginia :: Rick Spinrad, Former administrator, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration "A lot of the weather forecast offices now are not operating at full complement of staff, which means that you're really putting an extra burden on these folks. I don't know how much that was a factor in what happened in Texas this weekend." :: Kerrville, Texas "Without research, without staff to do the work, we can assume that the predictions, and not just hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, drought, wildfires, tsunamis, for that matter, are undoubtedly going to degrade. And that means that people's ability to prepare for these storms will be compromised..." ::Georgetown, Texas ::Adam Grumbo "Pick your favorite football team... now imagine that team has, instead of 11 players, has eight players. They're going to lose no matter how good they are. They can't do the job of the full team. And that's what's happening at NOAA is these are outstanding scientists, wonderful technicians, terrific policy folks, but if we don't have enough of them doing the job, then something falls off the table." The Trump administration has axed thousands of jobs from NOAA, the National Weather Service's parent agency, leaving many weather offices understaffed, according to Spinrad. He said he did not know if those staff cuts factored into the lack of advance warning for the extreme Texas flooding, but said they would inevitably degrade the agency's ability to deliver accurate and timely forecasts.

Terrain and timing conspired to cause 'horrifying' Texas rainfall
Terrain and timing conspired to cause 'horrifying' Texas rainfall

Yahoo

timean hour ago

  • Yahoo

Terrain and timing conspired to cause 'horrifying' Texas rainfall

Texas Hill Country is no stranger to extreme flooding. In the rugged, rolling terrain it's known for, heavy rains collect quickly in its shallow streams and rivers that can burst into torrents like the deadly flood wave that swept along the Guadalupe River on July 4. The Guadalupe has flooded more than a dozen times since 1978, according to the U.S. Geological Survey, but the Independence Day flood is among the worst in its history. The raging river claimed more than 50 lives, officials said on July 5, and rescuers were still searching for missing children. Several factors came together at once – in one of the worst possible locations – to create the 'horrifying' scenario that dropped up to 16 inches of rainfall in the larger region over July 3-5, said Alan Gerard, a recently retired storm specialist with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Hill Country, the region in Central and South Central Texas, also is known colloquially as 'flash flood alley,' for its propensity for fast and furious flooding when extreme rain falls, Gerard, who is now CEO of weather consulting company Balanced Weather said. As bountiful moist air from the Gulf of America, renamed from the Gulf of Mexico, moves over the steep hills, it can dump heavy rains. On July 4, rain was falling at 3-4 inches per hour, with some locations recording a deluge of up to 7 inches of rain in just three hours, the National Weather Service said. Seven inches of rain is nearly 122 million gallons of water per square mile. Over seven square miles that's enough water to fill the AT&T Stadium, home of the Dallas Cowboys. The Guadalupe River quickly responded, skyrocketing more than 20 feet in a matter of hours in several locations as it rushed downstream toward Kerrville, a city of 24,000. Terrain and timing were the biggest factors in the storms, said Gerard and Victor Murphy, a recently retired National Weather Service meteorologist in Texas. Thunderstorms that began on July 3 and continued through the morning of July 4 dropped as much as 10.33 inches of rain near Ingram, Texas, and widespread amounts between 3 to 7 inches in more than a half-dozen counties across South Central, Texas. Because of the region's proximity to the Gulf, it gets "very high rainfall rates," especially in the summer months, Gerard said. "The Gulf is warmer than normal and disturbances moving through that flow can focus thunderstorm activity on a particularly area," he said. On July 4, it was a case of everything focusing in "exactly the wrong place." An upper level disturbance in the atmosphere tapped into a deep plume of tropical moisture left over from Tropical Storm Barry, which made landfall in Mexico on June 29, Gerard said. It didn't help that the storms that formed on Independence Day moved in the same direction as the Guadalupe River, which only added to the rain flowing off the terrain. Hill Country is a 'semi-arid area with soils that don't soak up much water, so the water sheets off quickly and the shallow creeks can rise fast,' Hatim Sharif, a hydrologist and civil engineer at the University of Texas at San Antonio wrote in a July 5 post on The Conversation. The escarpment is a line of cliffs and steep hills created by a geologic fault, Sharif said. "When warm air from the Gulf rushes up the escarpment, it condenses and can dump a lot of moisture. That water flows down the hills quickly, from many different directions, filling streams and rivers below." A weather balloon remotely launched by the weather service Del Rio in West Texas, showed near-record moisture in the upper atmosphere, Murphy said. With that enormous amount of moisture serving as fuel, the winds hitting the escarpment in West Texas served as a kind of match that started the storms. 'Once the storms get going, they're self-sustaining," Murphy said. That's also why it continued to rain and flood in the region on July 5. Warming temperatures over land and especially in the Gulf are stoking extreme rainfall events more often in an arc across the United States, from Texas up into the Northeast, extreme storm experts tell USA TODAY. The region has always seen occasional extreme rains, but today they occur more often, according to weather service data. Air holds 7% more water for every 1.8 degree Fahrenheit rise in temperature. Waters in the Gulf are often 3, 4 or 5 degrees warmer than normal. At one point this year, sea surface temperatures in the Gulf off the coasts of Texas and Louisiana were more than eight degrees above normal. "As has been shown time and time again, event after event, climate change is leading to wetter, more extreme precipitation events," Kevin Reed, an associate provost for climate and sustainability programming at Stony Brook University, previously told USA TODAY. Out of 140 years of U.S. weather records, more than half of the standing 24-hour rainfall totals have been set in the last 30 years. A guide to Texas State Parks makes it clear flash floods are common and life-threatening. "In hilly terrain, flash floods can strike with little or no advance warning," the guide advises. "Be aware of changes in the weather and seek higher ground early." "Never camp on low ground next to streams, bottoms of canyons or deep arroyos since a flash flood can catch you while you're asleep," it states. Texas as a whole leads the nation in flood deaths, "and by a wide margin," Sharif said. 'Many of those flood deaths have been in Hill Country."Flooding occurred in the Hill Country on July 4-5, 2002, when six days of rain had dropped between 40-45 inches of rain in the region. The Guadalupe reached a record height at the Canyon Dam. Seven people died in flash flooding and damage was estimated at $250 million Dinah Voyles Pulver, a national correspondent for USA TODAY, writes about climate change, violent weather and other news. Reach her at dpulver@ or @dinahvp on Bluesky or X or dinahvp.77 on Signal. This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: What caused the Texas Hill Country floods

Should we stop Asteroid 2024 YR4 from hitting the moon?
Should we stop Asteroid 2024 YR4 from hitting the moon?

The Hill

time2 hours ago

  • The Hill

Should we stop Asteroid 2024 YR4 from hitting the moon?

Asteroid 2024 YR4 has popped up on the news again, offering both peril and opportunities, A few months ago, NASA noted that 2024 YR4 had a 3.1 percent chance of hitting the Earth in 2032. Since the rock is 50 to 90 meters in diameter, if it were to hit the Earth, it would cause an explosion equivalent to a nuclear bomb with the accompanying devastation. Subsequently, NASA dialed down the threat 2024 YR4 posed to the Earth and everyone breathed a sigh of relief. Now, the Earth approaching asteroid has a new target. A small chance exists that it will hit the moon in 2032. The prospect presents new dangers, though not as great as the destruction of a city. According to ZME Science, new data from the James Webb Space Telescope, 2024 YR4 has a 4.3 percent chance of hitting the moon on December 22, 2032. 'If 2024 YR4 hits, it will create a blast equivalent to 6.5 million tons of TNT. The resulting crater would stretch about a kilometer across — bigger than almost any the Moon has seen in the last 5,000 years.' Depending on whether the asteroid hits the near side of the moon —a 50-50 chance assuming it hits it at all — about 10 percent of the debris, about 100 million kilograms, ranging in size from flecks of dust to a small pebbles, could be captured by the Earth's gravity and reach the atmosphere in perhaps three to five days. Little if any debris kicked up by a lunar impact would threaten the Earth's surface. At most, it would cause a spectacular meteor shower unlike anything in our lifetimes. Both scientists and casual sky watchers will be intrigued at this once in several millennia event. The effects on space assets are another matter, however. Satellites, ranging from relatively small Comsats to commercial space stations expected to be in operation by the 2030s, will be subjected to tiny objects traveling at tens of thousands of meters per second. SpaceX's Starlink constellation will be at particular risk. 'This debris won't likely destroy spacecraft and satellites, but it adds wear and tear,' writes ZME. 'In rare cases, a lucky — or unlucky — piece of rock could disable a satellite or trigger a cascade of debris collisions.' Both NASA and Chinese astronauts may be living and working on the moon at the time 2024 YR4 hits and will be in jeopardy due to falling debris or other hazards. The Lunar Gateway, if it exists in seven years, could also be subject to impacts. What, if anything, can be done about it? The option exists of doing nothing. After all, a four percent chance of the asteroid hitting the moon means a 96 percent chance of it not hitting the moon. However, if the powers that be were to decide to divert 2024 YR4 so that it doesn't hit the moon, the technical task should be relatively easy. NASA has already tested asteroid deflection with its DART mission, which diverted an asteroid named Dimorphos with a kinetic impactor. The economic and political problems facing the diversion of 2024 YR4 are another matter. NASA is currently in turmoil due to proposed draconian budget cuts and a lack of a permanent administrator. The Space Force, which is being lavished with money compared to NASA, might be assigned the task. Indeed, an asteroid diversion mission could be good practice for space operations by America's newest military branch. The other alternative is to perform a redirection mission to 2024 YR4 privately. One of the things that Jared Isaacman, the billionaire entrepreneur whose nomination to be NASA administrator President Trump abruptly withdrew, is contemplating is private science missions. An asteroid redirect mission might fit into that model. One can see SpaceX's Elon Musk financing such a mission. Musk has deep pockets and an incentive to divert 2024 YR4 if it threatens his Starlink constellation. Asteroid diversion might become a good business for private launch companies such as SpaceX. If a really big space rock threatens the Earth, the nations of the world might be willing to pay a lot of money to ward it off. Someone like Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos, founder of SpaceX competitor Blue Origin, might literally save the world for a profit. If such an asteroid is rich in useful natural resources, its diversion to a safe, stable orbit around the Earth would be even more profitable. Access to such a source of minerals could spark a space-based industrial revolution. Save the world and get fabulously wealthy doing so. Someone really should make a movie out of that scenario, before it becomes true life. Mark Whittington, who writes frequently about space policy, has published a political study of space exploration titled 'Why is It So Hard to Go Back to the Moon?' as well as 'The Moon, Mars and Beyond,' and, most recently, 'Why is America Going Back to the Moon?' He blogs at Curmudgeons Corner.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store