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AES Reports Second Quarter 2025 Results; On Track to Deliver on 2025 Guidance and Long-Term Targets
AES Reports Second Quarter 2025 Results; On Track to Deliver on 2025 Guidance and Long-Term Targets

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AES Reports Second Quarter 2025 Results; On Track to Deliver on 2025 Guidance and Long-Term Targets

Second Quarter 2025 Renewables SBU Adjusted EBITDA Grew 56% Versus Second Quarter 2024 Strategic Accomplishments On track to add 3.2 GW of new projects in operation in 2025 1.9 GW already completed Remaining 1.3 GW 78% complete Since the first quarter call in May, signed or awarded new long-term PPAs for 1.6 GW of solar and wind, all with data center companies PPA backlog of 12 GW, including 5.2 GW under construction AES Indiana filed a petition for regulatory rate review with the Indiana Utility Regulatory Commission (IURC) Q2 2025 Financial Highlights GAAP Financial Metrics Net Loss of $150 million, compared to Net Income of $153 million in Q2 2024 Net Loss Attributable to The AES Corporation of $95 million, compared to Net Income Attributable to The AES Corporation of $276 million in Q2 2024 Diluted EPS of ($0.15), compared to $0.39 in Q2 2024 Non-GAAP Adjusted Financial Metrics Adjusted EBITDA1 of $681 million, compared to $658 million in Q2 2024 Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes1,2 of $1,057 million, compared to $849 million in Q2 2024 Adjusted EPS3 of $0.51, compared to $0.38 in Q2 2024 Financial Position and Outlook Reaffirming 2025 guidance for Adjusted EBITDA1 of $2,650 to $2,850 million Reaffirming annualized growth target of 5% to 7% through 2027, off a base of 2023 guidance Reaffirming expectation for 2025 Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes1,2 of $3,950 to $4,350 million Reaffirming 2025 guidance for Adjusted EPS3 of $2.10 to $2.26 Reaffirming annualized growth target of 7% to 9% through 2025, off a base of 2020 and 7% to 9% through 2027, off a base of 2023 guidance ARLINGTON, Va., July 31, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- The AES Corporation (NYSE: AES) today reported financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. "AES is in a uniquely strong position due to our diversified operating portfolio, well-protected 12 GW backlog of signed long-term PPAs, and established domestic supply chain," said Andrés Gluski, AES President and Chief Executive Officer. "With 1.6 GW of signed PPAs with data centers since our first quarter results in May, we are a leader in the fastest growing segment in the market." "We made excellent progress during the second quarter of 2025, as demonstrated by the robust growth in Adjusted EBITDA at our Renewables SBU, which was 56% higher than in the same period last year," said Stephen Coughlin, AES Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. "Our strong track record with our customers, resilient supply chain strategy, and advanced construction execution enable us to confidently reaffirm both our 2025 guidance and long-term growth rate targets through 2027." Q2 2025 Financial Results Second quarter 2025 Net Loss was $150 million, a decrease of $303 million compared to Net Income of $153 million in second quarter 2024, primarily due to higher day-one losses on sales type leases at AES Clean Energy Development4. In addition, Net Income was negatively impacted by higher income tax expense, lower margins from the Energy Infrastructure Strategic Business Unit (SBU) from prior year unrealized derivative gains and higher prior year revenues from the monetization of the Warrior Run coal plant PPA. This decrease was partially offset by the impact of reclassifying Mong Duong from held-for-sale to held and used, and higher contributions from renewables projects placed in service in the current year. Second quarter 2025 Adjusted EBITDA5 (a non-GAAP financial measure) was $681 million, an increase of $23 million compared to second quarter 2024, driven by higher contributions from the Renewables SBU primarily due to higher revenues from renewables projects placed in service and prior year outages in Colombia. This was partially offset by the sale of AES Brasil, higher prior year revenues from the monetization of the Warrior Run coal plant PPA, and the impact of the sell-down of AES Ohio in the Utilities SBU. Second quarter 2025 Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes5,6 (a non-GAAP financial measure) was $1,057 million, an increase of $208 million compared to second quarter 2024, due to higher realized tax attributes driven by more projects placed in service and higher income from tax credit transfers, as well as the drivers above. Second quarter 2025 Diluted Earnings Per Share from Continuing Operations (Diluted EPS) was ($0.15), a decrease of $0.54 compared to second quarter 2024, mainly driven by higher income tax expense, day-one losses on the commencement of sales-type leases at AES Clean Energy Development, and lower earnings at the Energy Infrastructure SBU primarily due to higher prior year revenues from the monetization of the Warrior Run coal plant PPA. This was partially offset by the derecognition of a valuation allowance on the loan receivable upon reclassifying Mong Duong from held-for-sale to held and used. Second quarter 2025 Adjusted Earnings Per Share7 (Adjusted EPS, a non-GAAP financial measure) was $0.51, an increase of $0.13 compared to second quarter 2024, mainly driven by a lower adjusted tax rate and higher contributions due to new renewables projects placed in service, partially offset by lower contributions from the Utilities SBU due to planned outages. Strategic Accomplishments The Company's backlog, which consists of projects with signed contracts, but which are not yet operational, is 12 GW, including 5.2 GW under construction. Since the Company's first quarter 2025 earnings call in May 2025, the Company: Completed the construction of 1.2 GW of energy storage and solar, including the 1 GW Bellefield 1 solar-plus-storage facility, for a total of 1.9 GW year-to-date, and is on track to add a total of 3.2 GW to its operating portfolio by year-end 2025; and Signed or was awarded new long-term PPAs for 1.6 GW of renewables, all with data center companies, and a total of 2 GW year-to-date. In June, AES Indiana filed a petition for regulatory rate review with the Indiana Utility Regulatory Commission (IURC). This is AES Indiana's first rate case using a forward-looking test year, which will enable a more efficient investment program to best serve customers with cost-effective and reliable electricity service. Guidance and Expectations8,10 The Company is reaffirming its 2025 guidance for Adjusted EBITDA8 of $2,650 to $2,850 million. Growth in 2025 is expected to be driven by contributions from new renewables projects, rate base growth at the Company's US utilities, and normalized results in Colombia and Mexico, partially offset by revenues from the monetization of the Warrior Run coal plant PPA in 2024 and asset sales. The Company is reaffirming its expectation for annualized growth in Adjusted EBITDA8 of 5% to 7% through 2027, from a base of its 2023 guidance of $2,600 to $2,900 million. The Company is reaffirming its expectation that 2025 Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes8,9 of $3,950 to $4,350 million. The Company is reaffirming its 2025 Adjusted EPS10 guidance of $2.10 to $2.26. Growth in 2025 is expected to be primarily driven by contributions from new renewables projects, rate base growth at the Company's US utilities, and normalized results in Colombia and Mexico, partially offset by revenues from the monetization of the Warrior Run coal plant PPA in 2024, asset sales, higher Parent interest, and a higher adjusted tax rate. The Company is reaffirming its annualized growth target for Adjusted EPS10 of 7% to 9% through 2025, from a base year of 2020. The Company is also reaffirming its annualized growth target for Adjusted EPS8 of 7% to 9% through 2027, from a base of its 2023 guidance of $1.65 to $1.75. The Company's 2025 guidance is based on foreign currency and commodity forward curves as of June 30, 2025. The Company expects to maintain its current quarterly dividend payment of $0.17595 going forward. Non-GAAP Financial Measures See Non-GAAP Measures for definitions of Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes, Tax Attributes, Adjusted Earnings Per Share, and Adjusted Pre-Tax Contribution, as well as reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP financial measures. Attachments Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations, Segment Information, Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets, Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows, Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Parent Financial Information. Conference Call Information AES will host a conference call on Friday, August 1, 2025 at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time (ET). Interested parties may listen to the teleconference by dialing 1-833-470-1428 at least ten minutes before the start of the call. International callers should dial +1-404-975-4839. The Participant Access Code for this call is 439668. Internet access to the conference call and presentation materials will be available on the AES website at by selecting "Investors" and then "Presentations and Webcasts." A webcast replay will be accessible at beginning shortly after the completion of the call.1 Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure. See attached "Non-GAAP Measures" for definition of Adjusted EBITDA and a description of the adjustments to reconcile Adjusted EBITDA to Net Income (Loss) for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. The Company is not able to provide a corresponding GAAP equivalent or reconciliation for its Adjusted EBITDA guidance without unreasonable effort. 2 Pre-tax effect of Production Tax Credits, Investment Tax Credits, and depreciation tax deductions allocated to tax equity investors, as well as the tax benefit recorded from tax credits retained or transferred to third parties. 3 Adjusted EPS is a non-GAAP financial measure. See attached "Non-GAAP Measures" for definition of Adjusted EPS and a description of the adjustments to reconcile Adjusted EPS to Diluted EPS for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. The Company is not able to provide a corresponding GAAP equivalent or reconciliation for its Adjusted EPS guidance without unreasonable effort. 4 Losses recognized on the commencement of sales-type leases primarily relate to the exclusion of the value of Investment Tax Credits from the fair value of the renewable asset. 5 Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure. See attached "Non-GAAP Measures" for definition of Adjusted EBITDA and a description of the adjustments to reconcile Adjusted EBITDA to Net Income for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. The Company is not able to provide a corresponding GAAP equivalent or reconciliation for its Adjusted EBITDA guidance without unreasonable effort. 6 Pre-tax effect of Production Tax Credits, Investment Tax Credits, and depreciation tax deductions allocated to tax equity investors, as well as the tax benefit recorded from tax credits retained or transferred to third parties. 7 Adjusted EPS is a non-GAAP financial measure. See attached "Non-GAAP Measures" for definition of Adjusted EPS and a description of the adjustments to reconcile Adjusted EPS to Diluted EPS for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. The Company is not able to provide a corresponding GAAP equivalent or reconciliation for its Adjusted EPS guidance without unreasonable effort. 8 Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure. See attached "Non-GAAP Measures" for definition of Adjusted EBITDA and a description of the adjustments to reconcile Adjusted EBITDA to Net Income for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. The Company is not able to provide a corresponding GAAP equivalent or reconciliation for its Adjusted EBITDA guidance without unreasonable effort. 9 Pre-tax effect of Production Tax Credits, Investment Tax Credits, and depreciation tax deductions allocated to tax equity investors, as well as the tax benefit recorded from tax credits retained or transferred to third parties. 10 Adjusted EPS is a non-GAAP financial measure. See attached "Non-GAAP Measures" for definition of Adjusted EPS and a description of the adjustments to reconcile Adjusted EPS to Diluted EPS for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. The Company is not able to provide a corresponding GAAP equivalent or reconciliation for its Adjusted EPS guidance without unreasonable effort. About AES The AES Corporation (NYSE: AES) is a Fortune 500 global energy company accelerating the future of energy. Together with our many stakeholders, we're improving lives by delivering the greener, smarter energy solutions the world needs. Our diverse workforce is committed to continuous innovation and operational excellence, while partnering with our customers on their strategic energy transitions and continuing to meet their energy needs today. For more information, visit Safe Harbor Disclosure This news release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Securities Act of 1933 and of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, those related to future earnings, growth and financial and operating performance. Forward-looking statements are not intended to be a guarantee of future results, but instead constitute AES' current expectations based on reasonable assumptions. Forecasted financial information is based on certain material assumptions. These assumptions include, but are not limited to, our expectations regarding accurate projections of future interest rates, commodity price and foreign currency pricing, continued normal levels of operating performance and electricity volume at our distribution companies and operational performance at our generation businesses consistent with historical levels, as well as the execution of PPAs, conversion of our backlog and growth investments at normalized investment levels, and rates of return consistent with prior experience. Actual results could differ materially from those projected in our forward-looking statements due to risks, uncertainties and other factors. Important factors that could affect actual results are discussed in AES' filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC"), including, but not limited to, the risks discussed under Item 1A: "Risk Factors" and Item 7: "Management's Discussion & Analysis" in AES' 2024 Annual Report on Form 10-K and in subsequent reports filed with the SEC. Readers are encouraged to read AES' filings to learn more about the risk factors associated with AES' business. AES undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except where required by law. Any Stockholder who desires a copy of the Company's 2024 Annual Report on Form 10-K filed March 11, 2025 with the SEC may obtain a copy (excluding the exhibits thereto) without charge by addressing a request to the Office of the Corporate Secretary, The AES Corporation, 4300 Wilson Boulevard, Arlington, Virginia 22203. Exhibits also may be requested, but a charge equal to the reproduction cost thereof will be made. A copy of the Annual Report on Form 10-K may be obtained by visiting the Company's website at Website Disclosure AES uses its website, including its quarterly updates, as channels of distribution of Company information. The information AES posts through these channels may be deemed material. Accordingly, investors should monitor our website, in addition to following AES' press releases, quarterly SEC filings and public conference calls and webcasts. In addition, you may automatically receive e-mail alerts and other information about AES when you enroll your e-mail address by visiting the "Subscribe to Alerts" page of AES' Investors website. The contents of AES' website, including its quarterly updates, are not, however, incorporated by reference into this release. THE AES CORPORATION Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (Unaudited) Three Months Ended June 30,Six Months Ended June 30,2025202420252024(in millions, except share and per share amounts) Revenue:Non-Regulated $ 1,922$ 2,070$ 3,863$ 4,302 Regulated 9338721,9181,725 Total revenue 2,8552,9425,7816,027 Cost of Sales:Non-Regulated (1,607)(1,671)(3,268)(3,404) Regulated (795)(718)(1,619)(1,451) Total cost of sales (2,402)(2,389)(4,887)(4,855) Operating margin 4535538941,172 General and administrative expenses (49)(66)(126)(141) Interest expense (352)(389)(694)(746) Interest income 7088139193 Loss on extinguishment of debt (5)(9)(13)(10) Other expense (295)(84)(347)(122) Other income 31213856 Gain on disposal and sale of business interests 7016944 Asset impairment reversals (expense) 154(38)105(84) Foreign currency transaction gains (losses) (28)38(38)30 Other non-operating expense (10)—(10)— INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS BEFORE TAXES AND EQUITY IN EARNINGS OF AFFILIATES 3911517392 Income tax benefit (expense) (167)35(184)51 Net equity in earnings (losses) of affiliates (22)3(56)(12) NET INCOME (LOSS) (150)153(223)431 Less: Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interests and redeemable stock of subsidiaries 55123174277 NET INCOME (LOSS) ATTRIBUTABLE TO THE AES CORPORATION $ (95)$ 276$ (49)$ 708 Decrease (increase) in redemption value of redeemable stock of subsidiaries (10)6(10)— NET INCOME (LOSS) AVAILABLE TO THE AES CORPORATION COMMON STOCKHOLDERS $ (105)$ 282$ (59)$ 708 BASIC EARNINGS PER SHARE:NET INCOME (LOSS) AVAILABLE TO THE AES CORPORATION COMMON STOCKHOLDERS $ (0.15)$ 0.40$ (0.08)$ 1.01 DILUTED EARNINGS PER SHARE:NET INCOME (LOSS) AVAILABLE TO THE AES CORPORATION COMMON STOCKHOLDERS $ (0.15)$ 0.39$ (0.08)$ 0.99 DILUTED SHARES OUTSTANDING 712713712713 THE AES CORPORATION Strategic Business Unit (SBU) Information (Unaudited)Three Months Ended June 30,Six Months Ended June 30, (in millions) 2025202420252024 REVENUE Renewables SBU $ 644$ 619$ 1,310$ 1,262 Utilities SBU 9548961,9631,769 Energy Infrastructure SBU 1,3061,4622,6263,071 New Energy Technologies SBU ———— Corporate and Other 43407973 Eliminations (92)(75)(197)(148) Total Revenue $ 2,855$ 2,942$ 5,781$ 6,027 THE AES CORPORATION Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (Unaudited) June 30, 2025December 31,2024(in millions, except share and per share data) ASSETSCURRENT ASSETS Cash and cash equivalents $ 1,350$ 1,524 Restricted cash 763437 Accounts receivable, net of allowance of $54 and $52, respectively 1,8651,646 Inventory 647593 Prepaid expenses 132157 Other current assets, net of allowance of $2 and $0, respectively 1,5321,612 Current held-for-sale assets 31862 Total current assets 6,3206,831 NONCURRENT ASSETSProperty, plant and equipment, net of accumulated depreciation of $9,311 and $8,701, respectively 34,72733,166 Investments in and advances to affiliates 1,0911,124 Debt service reserves and other deposits 8878 Goodwill 345345 Other intangible assets, net of accumulated amortization of $472 and $426, respectively 2,0501,947 Deferred income taxes 402365 Loan receivable, net of allowance of $20 and $0, respectively 800— Other noncurrent assets, net of allowance of $22 and $20, respectively 2,7192,917 Noncurrent held-for-sale assets —633 Total noncurrent assets 42,22240,575 TOTAL ASSETS $ 48,542$ 47,406 LIABILITIES, REDEEMABLE STOCK OF SUBSIDIARIES, AND EQUITYCURRENT LIABILITIES Accounts payable $ 1,663$ 1,654 Accrued interest 277256 Accrued non-income taxes 292249 Supplier financing arrangements 621917 Accrued and other liabilities 1,1091,246 Recourse debt 990899 Non-recourse debt 2,7272,688 Current held-for-sale liabilities —662 Total current liabilities 7,6798,571 NONCURRENT LIABILITIESRecourse debt 4,8024,805 Non-recourse debt 21,75220,626 Deferred income taxes 1,6351,490 Other noncurrent liabilities 2,8122,881 Noncurrent held-for-sale liabilities —391 Total noncurrent liabilities 31,00130,193 Commitments and ContingenciesRedeemable stock of subsidiaries 2,179938 EQUITYTHE AES CORPORATION STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITYCommon stock ($0.01 par value, 1,200,000,000 shares authorized; 859,711,007 issued and 711,922,815 outstanding at June 30, 2025 and 859,709,987 issued and 711,074,269 outstanding at December 31, 2024) 99 Additional paid-in capital 6,0705,913 Retained earnings (accumulated deficit) (79)293 Accumulated other comprehensive loss (836)(766) Treasury stock, at cost (147,788,192 and 148,635,718 shares at June 30, 2025 and December 31, 2024, respectively) (1,795)(1,805) Total AES Corporation stockholders' equity 3,3693,644 NONCONTROLLING INTERESTS 4,3144,060 Total equity 7,6837,704 TOTAL LIABILITIES, REDEEMABLE STOCK OF SUBSIDIARIES, AND EQUITY $ 48,542$ 47,406 THE AES CORPORATION Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (Unaudited) Three Months Ended June 30,Six Months Ended June 30,2025202420252024(in millions)(in millions) OPERATING ACTIVITIES:Net income (loss) $ (150)$ 153$ (223)$ 431 Adjustments to net income (loss): Depreciation, amortization, and accretion of AROs 354315691633 Emissions allowance expense 762417871 Loss (gain) on realized/unrealized derivatives 86(64)71(137) Loss on commencement of sales-type leases 1997220867 Gain on disposal and sale of business interests (70)(1)(69)(44) Impairment expense (reversals) (144)38(95)84 Loss on realized/unrealized foreign currency 24782478 Deferred income tax expense (benefit), net of tax credit transfers allocated to AES 13936149258 Tax credit transfers allocated to noncontrolling interests 2122621226 Other 100(313)220(210) Changes in operating assets and liabilities: (Increase) decrease in accounts receivable 125(7)26(239) (Increase) decrease in inventory (1)(41)(29)31 (Increase) decrease in prepaid expenses and other current assets 2994198133 (Increase) decrease in other assets 571387547 Increase (decrease) in accounts payable and other current liabilities (119)(75)(116)(160) Increase (decrease) in income tax payables, net and other tax payables 1(137)(82)(464) Increase (decrease) in other liabilities 58568374 Net cash provided by operating activities 9763921,521679 INVESTING ACTIVITIES:Capital expenditures (1,332)(1,685)(2,586)(3,833) Acquisitions of business interests, net of cash and restricted cash acquired (108)(16)(112)(73) Proceeds from the sale of business interests, net of cash and restricted cash sold ——511 Sale of short-term investments 1939352534 Purchase of short-term investments (18)(460)(36)(604) Contributions and loans to equity affiliates —(29)(1)(50) Purchase of emissions allowances (195)(35)(234)(91) Other investing 34(6)30(118) Net cash used in investing activities (1,600)(1,838)(2,882)(4,224) FINANCING ACTIVITIES:Borrowings under the revolving credit facilities 9412,2622,1284,003 Repayments under the revolving credit facilities (1,947)(1,545)(2,398)(2,582) Commercial paper borrowings (repayments), net (188)(29)67690 Issuance of recourse debt —950800950 Repayments of recourse debt ——(774)— Issuance of non-recourse debt 1,0391,6672,3323,798 Repayments of non-recourse debt (731)(1,811)(1,490)(2,726) Payments for financing fees (28)(44)(49)(75) Purchases under supplier financing arrangements 250222567708 Repayments of obligations under supplier financing arrangements (234)(539)(862)(1,055) Distributions to noncontrolling interests (254)(105)(338)(128) Contributions from noncontrolling interests 2017127497 Sales to noncontrolling interests 8931981,138323 Issuance of preferred shares in subsidiaries 444—452— Dividends paid on AES common stock (125)(122)(250)(238) Payments for financed capital expenditures (14)(12)(21)(19) Other financing (102)(10)(114)13 Net cash provided by financing activities 1451,1531,4623,759 Effect of exchange rate changes on cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash (4)(28)(5)(43) (Increase) decrease in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash of held-for-sale businesses 118(86)66(13) Total increase in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash (365)(407)162158 Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash, beginning 2,5661,9802,0391,990 Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash, ending $ 2,201$ 1,573$ 2,201$ 2,148 SUPPLEMENTAL DISCLOSURES:Cash payments for interest, net of amounts capitalized $ 331$ 411$ 598$ 765 Cash payments for income taxes, net of refunds 74141134209 SCHEDULE OF NONCASH INVESTING AND FINANCING ACTIVITIES:Noncash contributions from noncontrolling interests $ 212$ 25$ 254$ 25 Receivable for proceeds from the sale of Dominican Republic Renewables 100—100— Noncash recognition of new operating and financing leases 185678180 Noncash distributions to noncontrolling interests 45—45— Initial recognition of contingent consideration for acquisitions 1151114 Conversion of Corporate Units to shares of common stock ———838 Liabilities derecognized upon completion of remaining performance obligation for sale of Warrior Run receivables —273—273 THE AES CORPORATIONNON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES(Unaudited)RECONCILIATION OF ADJUSTED EBITDA, ADJUSTED PTC AND ADJUSTED EPS We define EBITDA as earnings before interest income and expense, taxes, depreciation, amortization, and accretion of AROs. We define Adjusted EBITDA as EBITDA adjusted for the impact of NCI and interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, and accretion of AROs of our equity affiliates, adding back interest income recognized under service concession arrangements, and excluding gains or losses of both consolidated entities and entities accounted for under the equity method due to (a) unrealized gains or losses pertaining to derivative transactions, equity securities, and financial assets and liabilities measured using the fair value option; (b) unrealized foreign currency gains or losses; (c) gains, losses, benefits and costs associated with dispositions and acquisitions of business interests, including early plant closures, and gains and losses recognized at commencement of sales-type leases; (d) losses due to impairments; (e) gains, losses, and costs due to the early retirement of debt or troubled debt restructuring, and (f) costs directly associated with a major restructuring program, including, but not limited to, workforce reduction efforts. We define Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes as Adjusted EBITDA, adding back the pre-tax effect of Production Tax Credits ("PTCs"), Investment Tax Credits ("ITCs"), and depreciation tax deductions allocated to tax equity investors, as well as the tax benefit recorded from tax credits retained or transferred to third parties. The GAAP measure most comparable to EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA, and Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes is net income. We believe that EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA, and Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes better reflect the underlying business performance of the Company. Adjusted EBITDA is the most relevant measure considered in the Company's internal evaluation of the financial performance of its segments. Factors in this determination include the variability due to unrealized gains or losses pertaining to derivative transactions, equity securities, or financial assets and liabilities remeasurement, unrealized foreign currency gains or losses, losses due to impairments, strategic decisions to dispose of or acquire business interests, retire debt, or implement restructuring initiatives, and the variability of allocations of earnings to tax equity investors, which affect results in a given period or periods. In addition, each of these metrics represent the business performance of the Company before the application of statutory income tax rates and tax adjustments, including the effects of tax planning, corresponding to the various jurisdictions in which the Company operates. EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA, and Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes should not be construed as alternatives to net income, which is determined in accordance with Months Ended June 30,Six Months Ended June 30, Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes (in millions) 2025202420252024 Net income (loss) $ (150)$ 153$ (223)$ 431 Income tax expense (benefit) 167(35)184(51) Interest expense 352389694746 Interest income (70)(88)(139)(193) Depreciation, amortization, and accretion of AROs 354315691633 EBITDA $ 653$ 734$ 1,207$ 1,566 Less: Adjustment for noncontrolling interests and redeemable stock of subsidiaries (1) (253)(182)(387)(346) Less: Income tax expense (benefit), interest expense (income) and depreciation, amortization, and accretion of AROs from equity affiliates 45288162 Interest income recognized under service concession arrangements 14162933 Unrealized derivatives, equity securities, and financial assets and liabilities losses (gains) 133(53)132(138) Unrealized foreign currency losses (gains) 412(3)3 Disposition/acquisition losses 1266216719 Impairment losses (reversals) (87)23(54)49 Loss on extinguishment of debt and troubled debt restructuring 4181250 Restructuring costs 42—88— Adjusted EBITDA (1) $ 681$ 658$ 1,272$ 1,298 Tax attributes 376191562419 Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes (2) $ 1,057$ 849$ 1,834$ 1,717 (1) The allocation of earnings and losses to tax equity investors from both consolidated entities and equity affiliates is removed from Adjusted EBITDA. NCI also excludes amounts allocated to preferred shareholders during the construction phase before a project becomes operational, as this is akin to a financing arrangement. (2) Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes includes the impact of the share of the ITCs, PTCs, and depreciation deductions allocated to tax equity investors under the HLBV accounting method and recognized as Net loss (income) attributable to noncontrolling interests and redeemable stock of subsidiaries on the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations. It also includes the tax benefit recorded from tax credits retained or transferred to third parties. The tax attributes are related to the Renewables and Utilities SBUs. We define Adjusted PTC as pre-tax income from continuing operations attributable to The AES Corporation excluding gains or losses of the consolidated entity due to (a) unrealized gains or losses pertaining to derivative transactions, equity securities, and financial assets and liabilities measured using the fair value option; (b) unrealized foreign currency gains or losses; (c) gains, losses, benefits, and costs associated with dispositions and acquisitions of business interests, including early plant closures, and gains and losses recognized at commencement of sales-type leases; (d) losses due to impairments; (e) gains, losses, and costs due to the early retirement of debt or troubled debt restructuring; and (f) costs directly associated with a major restructuring program, including, but not limited to, workforce reduction efforts. Adjusted PTC also includes net equity in earnings of affiliates on an after-tax basis adjusted for the same gains or losses excluded from consolidated entities. We define Adjusted EPS as diluted earnings per share from continuing operations excluding gains or losses of both consolidated entities and entities accounted for under the equity method due to (a) unrealized gains or losses pertaining to derivative transactions, equity securities, and financial assets and liabilities measured using the fair value option; (b) unrealized foreign currency gains or losses; (c) gains, losses, benefits and costs associated with dispositions and acquisitions of business interests, including early plant closures, and the tax impact from the repatriation of sales proceeds, and gains and losses recognized at commencement of sales-type leases; (d) losses due to impairments; (e) gains, losses, and costs due to the early retirement of debt or troubled debt restructuring; and (f) costs directly associated with a major restructuring program, including, but not limited to, workforce reduction efforts. The GAAP measure most comparable to Adjusted PTC is income from continuing operations attributable to AES. The GAAP measure most comparable to Adjusted EPS is diluted earnings per share from continuing operations. We believe that Adjusted PTC and Adjusted EPS better reflect the underlying business performance of the Company and are considered in the Company's internal evaluation of financial performance. Factors in this determination include the variability due to unrealized gains or losses pertaining to derivative transactions, equity securities, or financial assets and liabilities remeasurement, unrealized foreign currency gains or losses, losses due to impairments, and strategic decisions to dispose of or acquire business interests, retire debt, or implement restructuring initiatives, which affect results in a given period or periods. In addition, for Adjusted PTC, earnings before tax represents the business performance of the Company before the application of statutory income tax rates and tax adjustments, including the effects of tax planning, corresponding to the various jurisdictions in which the Company operates. Adjusted PTC and Adjusted EPS should not be construed as alternatives to income from continuing operations attributable to AES and diluted earnings per share from continuing operations, which are determined in accordance with GAAP. The Company reported diluted loss per share of $0.15 and $0.08 for the three and six months ended June 30, 2025. The Company reported diluted earnings per share of $0.39 and $0.99 for the three and six months ended June 30, 2024. For purposes of measuring earnings per share under U.S. GAAP, income available to AES common stockholders is reduced by increases in the carrying amount of redeemable stock of subsidiaries to redemption value and increased by decreases in the carrying amount to the extent they represent recoveries of amounts previously reflected in the computation of earnings per share. While the adjustment for the three and six months ended June 30, 2025 decreased earnings per share and the adjustment for the three months ended June 30, 2024 increased earnings per share, neither adjustment impacted Net income on the Condensed Consolidated Statement of Operations. For purposes of computing Adjusted EPS, the Company excluded the adjustment to redemption value from the numerator. The table below reconciles the income available to AES common stockholders used in GAAP diluted earnings per share to the income from continuing operations used in calculating the non-GAAP measure of Adjusted EPS. Reconciliation of Numerator Used for Adjusted EPS Three months ended June 30, 2025Six months ended June 30, 2025 (in millions, except per share data) LossShares$ per ShareLossShares$ per Share GAAP DILUTED LOSS PER SHARELoss available to The AES Corporation common stockholders $ (105)712$ (0.15)$ (59)712$ (0.08) Add back: Adjustment to redemption value of redeemable stock of subsidiaries 10—0.0210—0.01 NON-GAAP DILUTED LOSS PER SHARE BEFORE EFFECT OF DILUTIVE SECURITIES $ (95)712$ (0.13)$ (49)712$ (0.07) Restricted stock units —2——1— NON-GAAP DILUTED LOSS PER SHARE $ (95)714$ (0.13)$ (49)713$ (0.07) Reconciliation of Numerator Used for Adjusted EPS Three months ended June 30, 2024Six months ended June 30, 2024 (in millions, except per share data) IncomeShares$ per ShareIncomeShares$ per Share GAAP DILUTED EARNINGS PER SHAREIncome available to The AES Corporation common stockholders $ 282713$ 0.39$ 708713$ 0.99 Add back: Adjustment to redemption value of redeemable stock of subsidiaries (6)————— NON-GAAP DILUTED EARNINGS PER SHARE $ 276713$ 0.39$ 708713$ 0.99 Three Months Ended June 30, 2025Three Months Ended June 30, 2024Six Months Ended June 30, 2025Six Months Ended June 30, 2024 Net of NCI (1) Per Share (Diluted) Net of NCI (1)Net of NCI (1) Per Share (Diluted) Net of NCI (1)Net of NCI (1) Per Share (Diluted) Net of NCI (1)Net of NCI (1) Per Share (Diluted) Net of NCI (1) (in millions, except per share amounts)Income (loss) from continuing operations, net of tax, attributable to AES and Diluted EPS $ (95) $ (0.13)$ 276 $ 0.39$ (49) $ (0.07)$ 708 $ 0.99Add: Income tax expense (benefit) from continuing operations attributable to AES 148 (67) 144 (86) Pre-tax contribution $ 53 $ 209 $ 95 $ 622 Adjustments Unrealized derivatives, equity securities, and financial assets and liabilities losses (gains) $ 133 $ 0.18 (2) $ (53) $ (0.07) (3) $ 128 $ 0.19 (4) $ (138) $ (0.19) (5) Unrealized foreign currency losses (gains) 4 —12 0.01(3) —3 —Disposition/acquisition losses 125 0.18 (6) 62 0.08 (7) 167 0.23 (8) 19 0.03 (9) Impairment losses (reversals) (87) (0.12) (10) 23 0.03 (11) (54) (0.08) (12) 49 0.08 (13) Loss on extinguishment of debt and troubled debt restructuring 6 0.0120 0.03 (14) 16 0.0254 0.07 (15) Restructuring costs 42 0.06 (16) — —88 0.12 (17) — —Less: Net income tax expense (benefit)0.33 (18)(0.09) (19)0.37 (20)(0.09) (19) Adjusted PTC and Adjusted EPS $ 276 $ 0.51$ 273 $ 0.38$ 437 $ 0.78$ 609 $ 0.89(1) NCI is defined as Noncontrolling Interests. (2) Amount primarily relates to remeasurement of our investment in 5B of $48 million, or $0.07 per share, net unrealized derivative losses at the Energy Infrastructure SBU of $38 million, or $0.05 per share, and unrealized derivative losses on commodities at AES Clean Energy of $33 million, or $0.05 per share. (3) Amount primarily relates to unrealized gains on foreign currency derivatives at Corporate of $34 million, or $0.05 per share, and unrealized gains on cross currency swaps in Brazil of $25 million, or $0.03 per share. (4) Amount primarily relates to remeasurement of our investment in 5B of $48 million, or $0.07 per share, net unrealized derivative losses at the Energy Infrastructure SBU of $46 million, or $0.06 per share, and unrealized derivative losses on commodities at AES Clean Energy of $17 million, or $0.02 per share. (5) Amount primarily relates to net unrealized derivative gains at the Energy Infrastructure SBU of $59 million, or $0.08 per share, unrealized gains on foreign currency derivatives at Corporate of $37 million, or $0.05 per share, and unrealized gains on cross currency swaps in Brazil of $28 million, or $0.04 per share. (6) Amount primarily relates to day-one losses on commencement of sales-type leases at AES Clean Energy Development of $149 million, or $0.21 per share, partially offset by gain on sale of Dominican Republic Renewables of $45 million, or $0.06 per share. (7) Amount primarily relates to day-one losses at commencement of sales-type leases at AES Renewable Holdings of $63 million, or $0.09 per share. (8) Amount primarily relates to day-one losses on commencement of sales-type leases at AES Clean Energy Development of $149 million, or $0.21 per share, and AES Renewable Holdings of $9 million, or $0.01 per share, and losses on remeasurement of contingent consideration at AES Clean Energy of $12 million, or $0.02 per share, partially offset by gain on sale of Dominican Republic Renewables of $45 million, or $0.06 per share. (9) Amount primarily relates to day-one losses at commencement of sales-type leases at AES Renewable Holdings of $63 million, or $0.09 per share, and the loss on partial sale of our ownership interest in Amman East and IPP4 in Jordan of $10 million, or $0.01 per share, partially offset by a gain on dilution of ownership in Uplight due to its acquisition of AutoGrid of $52 million, or $0.07 per share. (10) Amount primarily relates to the derecognition of the valuation allowance on a loan receivable accounted for under ASC 310 and the elimination of estimated costs to sell at Mong Duong of $127 million, or $0.18 per share, after reclassification to held and used, partially offset by impairments at AES Clean Energy of $29 million, or $0.04 per share. (11) Amount primarily relates to impairment at AES Brasil of $12 million, or $0.02 per share. (12) Amount primarily relates to the derecognition of the valuation allowance on a loan receivable accounted for under ASC 310 and the elimination of estimated costs to sell at Mong Duong of $127 million, or $0.18 per share, after reclassification to held and used, partially offset by impairments at AES Clean Energy of $54 million, or $0.08 per share, and at Mong Duong of $9 million, or $0.01 per share. (13) Amount primarily relates to impairment at Mong Duong of $22 million, or $0.03 per share, and impairment at AES Brasil of $12 million, or $0.02 per share. (14) Amount primarily relates to losses incurred at AES Andes due to early retirement of debt of $16 million, or $0.02 per share. (15) Amount primarily relates to losses incurred at AES Andes due to early retirement of debt $29 million, or $0.04 per share, and costs incurred due to troubled debt restructuring at Puerto Rico of $20 million, or $0.03 per share. (16) Amount primarily relates to impairments at AES Clean Energy Development that were the result of the Company-wide restructuring program of $38 million, or $0.05 per share. (17) Amount primarily relates to severance costs associated with the Company-wide restructuring program of $50 million, or $0.07 per share, and impairments at AES Clean Energy Development that were the result of the Company's restructuring program of $38 million, or $0.05 per share. (18) Amount primarily relates to income tax expense associated with the day-one losses on commencement of sales-type leases at AES Clean Energy Development of $95 million, or $0.13 per share, impairments at AES Clean Energy Development of $50 million, or $0.07 per share, remeasurement and downward adjustment of our investment in 5B of $28 million, or $0.04 per share, the selldown of AES Ohio of $13 million, or $0.02 per share, and net unrealized derivative losses at Integrated Energy of $18 million, or $0.03 per share. (19) Amount primarily relates to income tax benefits associated with the tax over book investment basis differences related to the AES Brasil held-for-sale classification of $59 million, or $0.08 per share, for the three and six months ended June 30, 2024. (20) Amount primarily relates to income tax expense associated with the day-one losses on commencement of sales-type leases at AES Clean Energy Development of $95 million, or $0.13 per share, impairments at AES Clean Energy Development of $57 million, or $0.08 per share, severance costs related to the Company-wide restructuring program of $23 million, or $0.03 per share, remeasurement and downward adjustment of our investment in 5B of $28 million, or $0.04 per share, net unrealized derivative losses at Integrated Energy of $19 million, or $0.03 per share, and the selldown of AES Ohio of $13 million, or $0.02 per share. The AES Corporation Parent Financial Information Parent only data: last four quarters (in millions) 4 Quarters Ended Total subsidiary distributions & returns of capital to Parent June 30, 2025 March 31, 2025 December 31, 2024 September 30, 2024 Actual Actual Actual Actual Subsidiary distributions(1) to Parent & QHCs $ 1,706 $ 1,447 $ 1,603 $ 1,424 Returns of capital distributions to Parent & QHCs 75 32 30 80 Total subsidiary distributions & returns of capital to Parent $ 1,781 $ 1,479 $ 1,633 $ 1,504 Parent only data: quarterly (in millions) Quarter Ended Total subsidiary distributions & returns of capital to Parent June 30, 2025 March 31, 2025 December 31, 2024 September 30, 2024 Actual Actual Actual Actual Subsidiary distributions1 to Parent & QHCs $ 557 $ 230 $ 715 $ 204 Returns of capital distributions to Parent & QHCs 44 3 28 — Total subsidiary distributions & returns of capital to Parent $ 601 $ 233 $ 743 $ 204 (in millions) Balance atJune 30, 2025 March 31, 2025 December 31, 2024 September 30, 2024 Parent Company Liquidity(2) Actual Actual Actual Actual Cash at Parent & Cash at QHCs(3) $ 9 $ 151 $ 265 $ 6 Availability under credit facilities 2,185 1,526 1,782 335 Ending liquidity $ 2,194 $ 1,677 $ 2,047 $ 341(1) Subsidiary distributions received by Qualified Holding Companies ("QHCs") excluded from Schedule 1. Subsidiary Distributions should not be construed as an alternative to Consolidated Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities, which is determined in accordance with US GAAP. Subsidiary Distributions are important to the Parent Company because the Parent Company is a holding company that does not derive any significant direct revenues from its own activities but instead relies on its subsidiaries' business activities and the resultant distributions to fund the debt service, investment and other cash needs of the holding company. The reconciliation of the difference between the Subsidiary Distributions and Consolidated Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities consists of cash generated from operating activities that is retained at the subsidiaries for a variety of reasons which are both discretionary and non-discretionary in nature. These factors include, but are not limited to, retention of cash to fund capital expenditures at the subsidiary, cash retention associated with non-recourse debt covenant restrictions and related debt service requirements at the subsidiaries, retention of cash related to sufficiency of local GAAP statutory retained earnings at the subsidiaries, retention of cash for working capital needs at the subsidiaries, and other similar timing differences between when the cash is generated at the subsidiaries and when it reaches the Parent Company and related holding companies. (2) Parent Company Liquidity is defined as cash available to the Parent Company, including cash at qualified holding companies (QHCs), plus available borrowings under our existing credit facility. AES believes that unconsolidated Parent Company liquidity is important to the liquidity position of AES as a Parent Company because of the non-recourse nature of most of AES' indebtedness. (3) The cash held at QHCs represents cash sent to subsidiaries of the company domiciled outside of the US. Such subsidiaries have no contractual restrictions on their ability to send cash to AES, the Parent Company. Cash at those subsidiaries was used for investment and related activities outside of the US. These investments included equity investments and loans to other foreign subsidiaries as well as development and general costs and expenses incurred outside the US. Since the cash held by these QHCs is available to the Parent, AES uses the combined measure of subsidiary distributions to Parent and QHCs as a useful measure of cash available to the Parent to meet its international liquidity needs. Investor Contact: Susan Harcourt 703-682-1204, Media Contact: Amy Ackerman 703-682-6399, View original content to download multimedia: SOURCE The AES Corporation Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

The Most Important Thing for AES Investors to Watch in 2025
The Most Important Thing for AES Investors to Watch in 2025

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time23-07-2025

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The Most Important Thing for AES Investors to Watch in 2025

Key Points While it's true that it takes money to make money, this mindset must be paired with discipline. AES is servicing an unusually high amount of debt compared to the majority of its peers and similar companies. Years of aggressive borrowing and spending decisions are now coming to a head. 10 stocks we like better than The AES Corporation › With nothing more than a passing glance, the stock looks like a solid buy. Shares are priced at less than 8 times their 12-month earnings, while their forward-looking dividend yield stands at 6.6%. Its revenue and dividend payments have also been firmly -- even if not explosively -- growing for years now, thanks to one of the world's most reliable recent growth drivers. That's the ever-rising need for energy, and in particular, demand driven by the proliferation of power-hungry data centers. And yet, shares of electricity wholesaler AES Corporation (NYSE: AES) continue their erratic bearish trek, reaching a new multiyear low in May of this year to now stand at less than half their late-2022 peak value. Not even recent chatter of an acquisition did much to turn this trend around. What gives? The market's just pricing in the company's biggest risk -- one that may force AES's proverbial hand sooner than later. Indeed, it could start to happen by the end of this year. Fortunately, it's not something ambiguous or arbitrary. Investors will be able to see it happening on the company's balance sheet, and even in news headlines. But first things first. What's AES Corporation? AES generates electricity. It's not a utility company per se, however. It sells most of what it produces to actual utility providers, or increasingly, directly to institutional-level users like Microsoft and Meta Platforms that need massive amounts of cost-effective electricity for their artificial intelligence (AI) data centers. The majority of its power comes from renewable energy sources too, satisfying current societal preferences, and future regulatory requirements. The company wasn't built from the ground up to be an ultra-modern energy provider, though. Twenty years ago, AES made its foray into the wind energy arena with a company called SeaWest, kicking off what would be a major paradigm shift toward an all-renewables portfolio. Last year, it did $12.3 billion worth of business, turning $700 million of it into net income. Not bad. The only problem? The company took on an uncomfortable amount of debt in its effort to get out in front of the shift to green energy. As of the most recent look, AES is servicing over $30 billion in long-term obligations (versus a market cap of just under $10 billion) that are costing it on the order of $1.4 billion in interest payments per year. Its relative debt load is one of the very highest in the utilities industry, in fact. That's why most investors continue to balk at this seemingly bargain-priced stock -- the capitalization situation as it stands isn't indefinitely sustainable. A strategy with no margin for error Don't panic if you're a fan, follower, or shareholder: The aggressive, capital-intensive strategy has mostly been working. The company has not only remained profitable since turning up the heat in 2022, but has (again, mostly) managed to grow its bottom line in step with revenue. Buying growth by acquiring existing, operational companies rather than producing growth organically, however, isn't cheap. Although price tags for its purchases are rarely disclosed, there's usually a premium price for a proven project. Perhaps the bigger concern here, though, is the fact that AES is now shedding existing assets and stakes as a means of curbing costs and coming up with some cash before much of its outstanding debt comes due. Last year, for instance, it opted to sell its 47% stake in renewable energy producer AES Brasil to utility company Auren Energia. Later last year, it sold a 30% stake in AES Ohio to investment group CDPQ. Such fundraising isn't damning in and of itself, to be clear. AES can refinance or even cover its immediately maturing debt well enough. But these actions are out of character for this particular company, which had been aggressively acquiring similar assets. It's a subtle sign that management may be worried about liquidity, or is starting to worry that its projects aren't producing quite enough cash flow compared to their cost. In this vein, after years of growth, the company's rolling backlog of power purchase agreements it's expected to satisfy appears to have stagnated, sliding from last year's peak of 12.7 gigawatts to only 11.7 gigawatts as of the first quarter of 2025. What to watch So what exactly is it that investors need to watch with AES for the remainder of this year? Two (related) things. On a qualitative basis, you'll want to see the company improve its capitalization situation rather than allow it to deteriorate. And this progress could manifest in more than one way. AES may start seeing more cash flow from projects that have already been paid for, as an example, but it could also simply sell existing assets at a good price and pay down its debt. One could even make the argument that the company might be able to invest in new projects and properties that produce an immediately strong return on the investment. Just remember: Like buying and selling houses, cars, and even stocks, acquisitions tend to cost a little more than they seemingly should, while divestitures never quite fetch the price you'd like. Quantitatively, you don't want to see The AES Corporation's credit rating worsen. It's not terrible right now, for the record. Fitch Ratings currently rates the company's unsecured bonds at BBB-. That's still considered healthy enough, but it's the lowest-possible score that's still considered investment grade. Any worse, and AES's debt moves into the so-called "junk" category that makes it more difficult (as well as more expensive) to refinance existing and/or maturing debt. This isn't a prediction, though. It's just a possibility to acknowledge. With all that being said, perhaps the best-possible outcome for this stock from here is the recently rumored buyout coming to fruition. Although the buyer might be taking on a great deal of debt for not a lot of revenue-bearing assets, to the right suitor with deep-enough pockets, AES's scale and presence within the renewables arena might be worth it. Navigating its own debt reduction and asset optimization, conversely, could prove difficult, continuing to weigh on the stock. Just bear in mind that the acquisition rumor is just that -- a rumor. That alone is no reason to own any stock. Should you buy stock in The AES Corporation right now? Before you buy stock in The AES Corporation, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the for investors to buy now… and The AES Corporation wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $665,092!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,050,477!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 1,055% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 180% for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of July 21, 2025 Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. James Brumley has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Meta Platforms and Microsoft. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. The Most Important Thing for AES Investors to Watch in 2025 was originally published by The Motley Fool Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

AES Corporation's Q2 2025 Earnings: What to Expect
AES Corporation's Q2 2025 Earnings: What to Expect

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time22-07-2025

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AES Corporation's Q2 2025 Earnings: What to Expect

The AES Corporation (AES) is a global energy company headquartered in Arlington, Virginia, operating in over 15 countries. Boasting a market cap of $9.5 billion, AES manages a diverse energy portfolio that includes regulated utilities, renewable power, advanced energy storage, and thermal generation. The company is widely recognized as a leader in battery-based storage solutions and ranks among the world's top solar developers, playing a key role in accelerating the global transition to clean, reliable energy. The energy titan is set to announce its fiscal Q2 earnings after the market closes on Thursday, July 31. Ahead of this event, analysts expect this utility company to report a profit of $0.47 per share, up 23.7% from $0.38 per share in the year-ago quarter. The company has surpassed Wall Street's earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters, while missing in the previous quarter. More News from Barchart This Penny Stock Wants to Become the MicroStrategy of Dogecoin Opendoor Stock Is Surging Higher in a Frenzied Retail Rally. How Should You Play OPEN Shares Here? Robinhood Stock Stumbles as S&P 500 Inclusion Is Once Again Off the Table for HOOD Tired of missing midday reversals? The FREE Barchart Brief newsletter keeps you in the know. Sign up now! For fiscal 2025, analysts expect AES to report a profit of $2.15 per share, up marginally from $2.14 from fiscal 2024. Furthermore, its EPS is expected to grow 3.7% year over year to $2.23 in fiscal 2026. Shares of AES have declined 19.9% over the past 52 weeks, notably underperforming both the S&P 500 Index's ($SPX) 14.5% gain, and the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund's (XLU) 19.8% rise over the same time frame. On July 9, shares of AES surged nearly 20%, making it the top gainer in the S&P 500, following reports of strong private equity interest in acquiring the company. Firms like Brookfield Asset Management and BlackRock's Global Energy Partners are reportedly eyeing AES, attracted by its strategic position as a key clean-energy supplier to hyperscalers like Meta Platforms, Inc. (META), Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), and Inc. (AMZN). AES has reportedly signed contracts totaling 10.1 GW of renewable energy with these AI-driven data center operators. Wall Street analysts are moderately optimistic about AES' stock, with a "Moderate Buy" rating overall. Among 11 analysts covering the stock, six recommend "Strong Buy," three suggest 'Hold,' one gives a 'Moderate Sell,' and one advises a 'Strong Sell' rating. The mean price target for AES is $14, which indicates a 2.3% potential upside from the current price levels. On the date of publication, Kritika Sarmah did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. This article was originally published on Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

The AES Corporation (AES) Gains Amid Takeover Interest
The AES Corporation (AES) Gains Amid Takeover Interest

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time14-07-2025

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The AES Corporation (AES) Gains Amid Takeover Interest

The share price of The AES Corporation (NYSE:AES) surged by 9.29% between July 7 and July 11, 2025, putting it among the Energy Stocks that Gained the Most This Week. An executive in a power plant control booth overseeing the efficient energy production. The AES Corporation (NYSE:AES), together with its subsidiaries, operates as a power generation and utility company in the United States and internationally. The AES Corporation (NYSE:AES) soared this week following reports that the company is 'exploring its options, including a possible sale' to one or several 'large investment firms'. The energy firm's share price has fallen by more than 33% over the last year, attracting attention from investors such as Brookfield Asset Management Ltd and BlackRock Inc's Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP). The AES Corporation (NYSE:AES)'s renewable business has recently been hurt by President Trump's policies, including a rapid phaseout of clean energy credits as part of his sweeping tax and spending bill. While we acknowledge the potential of AES as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the . READ NEXT: 10 Best Nuclear Energy Stocks to Buy Right Now and The 5 Energy Stocks Billionaires are Quietly Piling Into. Disclosure: None. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

The AES Corporation (AES) Gains Amid Takeover Interest
The AES Corporation (AES) Gains Amid Takeover Interest

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time14-07-2025

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The AES Corporation (AES) Gains Amid Takeover Interest

The share price of The AES Corporation (NYSE:AES) surged by 9.29% between July 7 and July 11, 2025, putting it among the Energy Stocks that Gained the Most This Week. An executive in a power plant control booth overseeing the efficient energy production. The AES Corporation (NYSE:AES), together with its subsidiaries, operates as a power generation and utility company in the United States and internationally. The AES Corporation (NYSE:AES) soared this week following reports that the company is 'exploring its options, including a possible sale' to one or several 'large investment firms'. The energy firm's share price has fallen by more than 33% over the last year, attracting attention from investors such as Brookfield Asset Management Ltd and BlackRock Inc's Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP). The AES Corporation (NYSE:AES)'s renewable business has recently been hurt by President Trump's policies, including a rapid phaseout of clean energy credits as part of his sweeping tax and spending bill. While we acknowledge the potential of AES as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the . READ NEXT: 10 Best Nuclear Energy Stocks to Buy Right Now and The 5 Energy Stocks Billionaires are Quietly Piling Into. Disclosure: None.

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