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Inflation rises in June, but optimism for a repo rate cut remains
Inflation rises in June, but optimism for a repo rate cut remains

IOL News

time5 days ago

  • Business
  • IOL News

Inflation rises in June, but optimism for a repo rate cut remains

Despite a rise in inflation in June, there is optimism that the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee will announce a repo rate cut when it meets next week. Image: File Despite Consumer Price Inflation (CPI) rising to 3% in June, there is still optimism that the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) will decide to cut the repo rate by 25 basis points next week. The MPC meets next Thursday. At the last meeting in May it cut the interest rate to 7.25%. The CPI has risen from 2.8% in May. Trade union UASA's spokesperson Abigail Moyo said the rise in inflation is troubling, especially since it had been below 3%—the lower limit of the SARB's target band—between March and May. The union noted that according to Stats SA, the main contributors to the annual inflation rate were housing and utilities, which increased by 4.4%, and food and non-alcoholic beverages, which rose by 5.1%. Additionally, household electricity and gas prices increased by 11% compared to the previous year, primarily due to recent Eskom price hikes. Eskom's electricity tariffs increased in April, while municipal power tariffs took effect in July. 'This has posed significant financial challenges for many consumers, evidenced by recent protests organised by Tembisa residents against these tariff increases.' However Moyo said the inflation rate, while slightly higher, remains in line with inflation targets and expectations, potentially supporting a cut in the repo rate by 25 basis points to 7% next Thursday. Video Player is loading. Play Video Play Unmute Current Time 0:00 / Duration -:- Loaded : 0% Stream Type LIVE Seek to live, currently behind live LIVE Remaining Time - 0:00 This is a modal window. Beginning of dialog window. Escape will cancel and close the window. Text Color White Black Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Opaque Semi-Transparent Background Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Opaque Semi-Transparent Transparent Window Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Transparent Semi-Transparent Opaque Font Size 50% 75% 100% 125% 150% 175% 200% 300% 400% Text Edge Style None Raised Depressed Uniform Dropshadow Font Family Proportional Sans-Serif Monospace Sans-Serif Proportional Serif Monospace Serif Casual Script Small Caps Reset restore all settings to the default values Done Close Modal Dialog End of dialog window. Advertisement Next Stay Close ✕ Ad loading 'UASA hopes the MPC will consider the positives in its repo rate decision and that fuel prices will decrease in August, benefiting consumer spending. We further hope that inflation will stay within the 3% target range or lower.' Bradd Bendall, BetterBond's national head of sales said BetterBond's data for July shows that bond applications have risen by 7.4% for the 12 months to May 2025, with home loans granted up by an impressive 13.6%. 'This points to renewed buyer confidence and a more stable market environment. Driving this upward trend is the recent easing of interest rates.' Bendall added that with inflation recently comfortably within the 3 to 6 percent target range, another 25 basis point rate cut was expected next week. 'This would drop the prime lending rate to 10.5% - last seen in November 2022. Although not quite at pre-pandemic levels, this cut would bring welcome relief to homeowners and consumers. On a R2 million bond, for example, the lower prime lending rate would mean a saving of just over R300 a month. 'This potential cut aligns with global monetary policy trends. Both the Bank of England and the Reserve Bank of India are both expected to reduce rates in August, suggesting a broader shift toward interest rate easing to stimulate economic activity.' THE MERCURY

Urgent reforms needed as South Africa faces deepening unemployment crisis
Urgent reforms needed as South Africa faces deepening unemployment crisis

IOL News

time04-07-2025

  • Business
  • IOL News

Urgent reforms needed as South Africa faces deepening unemployment crisis

South Africa's jobs crisis: 75,000 jobs lost in Q1 2025 Image: File The South African economy in bleeding jobs at an alarming rate and what was once a crisis is turning into a an unemployement emergency with experts warning of resultant civil instability. Nearly 75,000 formal sector jobs lost in the first quarter of 2025 alone, and 95,000 compared to the same time last year, according to Stats SA. Key sectors like trade, mining, construction, and community services were hardest hit, with only manufacturing showing slight growth. The figures have prompted alarm from economists, labour unions, and mental health experts, who warn that without urgent reform, the country faces entrenched unemployment and broader social fallout. Slow economic growth, policy uncertainty, skills mismatches, and restrictive labour regulations are all seen as major contributors. Abigail Moyo, spokesperson for the trade union UASA, said the latest figures are alarming. 'The Quarterly Employment Statistics reported by Stats SA indicate a contraction in employment, reversing the progress made towards the end of last year. Formal sector employment lost 74,000 jobs in the first quarter, and year-on-year data reveals that 95,000 jobs were lost between March 2024 and March 2025.' She added: 'The industries most affected include trade, community services, mining, electricity, construction, and business services. Only manufacturing showed slight growth, with a gain of 2,000 jobs.' Moyo warned that this will worsen already dire conditions for many workers. 'The current economic outlook is not encouraging and fails to inspire hope... This situation exacerbates the insecurity faced by workers who are already under pressure from high living costs. 'We cannot continue to operate on the brink of a failing economy without any prospects for a better future. We urge both the government and employers to collaborate with trade unions and other stakeholders to rebuild the labour market, focusing on decent work, fair wages, and sustainable employment.' Economist Ulricht Joubert pointed to a range of interlinked problems, beginning with poor economic growth. 'We had a growth rate in total of 0.6% last year compared to a growth in the population of one would guess around about 2%.' He warned that migration and an inflexible labour dispensation were worsening joblessness: 'There is still an influx of people from the rest of Africa into South Africa and that increases the availability of labour in South Africa. If we look at the labour dispensation, where the government tries to instruct and regulate who can be employed in South Africa, and that has a limiting effect. 'The economy never asks you, how old are you? What sex are you? What race are you? The economy only asks, are you capable of doing this specific job in such a way that it is competitive,. domestically and internationally.' He also criticised the cost pressures created by unions and minimum wage regulation: 'If we have to employ people at these minimum wages - Why should I employ a person when a machine can do the job? The productivity has declined from the time that the minimum wages have been imposed on the agricultural sector. 'We have to get the education and training system in South Africa on a footing where employers will say, oh, but you know, if we employ this person because of his qualifications, because of his training, we'll be able to do the job in a competitive way.' He further raised concern over low investment. 'Yes, it's at an unfortunate, very low level if we don't invest, then it creates a problem down the line. Government policies create an uncertain environment and because of that, especially international companies say, "but why? Why should I invest?' Economist Dawie Roodt was unequivocal in placing the blame on the ruling party. 'Why are we losing the jobs in the South African economy? Well, agriculture, is a very volatile sector, so it doesn't really tell us much. So don't look at agriculture, it's all over the place.' 'Manufacturing is much more important because manufacturing is an indicator of where we want economic growth, that's where we can create a relatively large number of jobs, and that is not growing. In fact, we are de-industrialising, we are losing our factories in South Africa.' 'And there's one reason and that's the ruling party. They are simply following the wrong macro-economic policies, and as long as they keep on doing that, the economy is not gonna grow, and as long as the economy is not growing, we're not gonna create jobs in the economy.' Roodt believes the focus needs to shift entirely. 'Actually, we should forget about job creation, and we should put all effort into growing the economy and jobs will look after themselves.' 'The underlying reason is just a government that's not doing what it's supposed to be doing and that's to create an environment that's conducive to economic growth. We certainly do not have that. That's the reason.' Professor Renata Schoeman, head of the MBA in Healthcare Leadership at Stellenbosch Business School, highlighted the emotional cost of rising unemployment. 'Seeing what's going on around them and being faced with colleagues losing their jobs, there is definitely an increase in disengagement.' 'People work harder and harder because they are so scared of losing their jobs, they do not actually take the necessary breaks.' 'The fallout of this additional stressor, the financial stresses, the sense of failure as a provider and especially if they are unsuccessful in finding employment again.' 'Make sure that you don't expect other people to do the work of two or three employees, you burn them out as well.' 'It is very difficult to keep focusing on mental health when someone is in survival strategy... that you do invest in the mental health of your employees.' 'It's just your ethical obligation in terms of leadership, take care of those remaining and those that's going.' Weekend Argus

Marikana shack fire claiming six highlights need for safety education in informal settlements
Marikana shack fire claiming six highlights need for safety education in informal settlements

IOL News

time26-05-2025

  • General
  • IOL News

Marikana shack fire claiming six highlights need for safety education in informal settlements

Six family members, including toddlers and parents have died in an intense shack fire at Marikana informal settlement in Ekurhuleni. UASA calls on the government to fund safety initiatives and education to protect residents of informal settlements against the devastating terror of shack fires without delay. UASA is deeply saddened by this morning's preventable loss of six family members, including toddlers, who perished in a devastating shack fire at the Marikana informal settlement in Ekurhuleni, Gauteng. Only one family member, a young girl, survived the blaze. She escaped with critical burn injuries and is currently receiving medical care. When emergency services arrived at the scene, the home of the seven family members had already been destroyed by the fire while they were trapped inside, sleeping. This tragedy has caused devastating distress for the surviving family members and the local community. The cause of the fire is currently undetermined, raising concerns among residents. During the winter season, fires in residential areas, particularly in informal settlements, pose a persistent challenge that must be addressed promptly to prevent further loss of life. Illegal electricity connections and flammable fuels for cooking and heating, such as gas and paraffin, are the main issues contributing to these devastating outcomes. Informal settlements are home to many, and the safety of our residents is essential. UASA encourages everyone to be vigilant about fire dangers, educate adults and children on safety, and take necessary precautions. Do not leave young children unsupervised. Turn off heaters and gas stoves before turning in for the night. Seek alternatives to keep warm without endangering families and loved ones. We urge the government to assist with safety initiatives and education to protect our communities. To further address this challenge, UASA urges government to accelerate the provision of formal housing for South African citizens. Access to proper housing is a basic human right and a critical step toward reducing the risk of disasters such as shack fires. By investing in permanent, secure housing with safe infrastructure, government can help ensure the dignity, safety and well-being of vulnerable communities while preventing future tragedies of this magnitude. Losing lives in such tragic, preventable ways should never become the norm. South Africans, especially young children, must be protected from harm. Abigail Moyo, spokesperson of the trade union UASA

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