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Eskom adapts to winter demand spikes with strategic generation recovery plan
Eskom adapts to winter demand spikes with strategic generation recovery plan

IOL News

time3 days ago

  • Business
  • IOL News

Eskom adapts to winter demand spikes with strategic generation recovery plan

Eskom's Generation Recovery Plan is underway, aiming to restore a total of 2 450MW of generation capacity before the evening peak on Monday, 30 June 2025, in a proactive move to enhance grid reliability. Image: Bhekikhaya Mabaso/Independent Newspapers Eskom announced on Friday that its power system has demonstrated stability, effectively managing increased electricity demand as South Africa experiences a cold snap. The utility reported that while occasional system constraints arise, strategic deployment of sufficient emergency reserves helps meet peak demands during critical morning and evening hours. Eskom's Generation Recovery Plan is underway, aiming to restore a total of 2 450MW of generation capacity before the evening peak on Monday, 30 June 2025, in a proactive move to enhance grid reliability. From the week of 20 to 26 June, Eskom said planned maintenance efforts have averaged 3 789MW, marking a decline in planned outages. Concurrently, the Energy Availability Factor (EAF) fluctuated between 60% and 64%, ultimately resulting in a month-to-date average of 60.61%. However, Eskom faces challenges as the Unplanned Capability Loss Factor (UCLF) stands at 29.36% for the current financial year, reflecting a worrying increase from last year's 27.25%. The uptick in unplanned outages can be partly attributed to delays in returning units from maintenance, specifically the 800MW from Medupi Unit 4, which has not yet been brought back online. At present, unplanned outages total 15 137MW, with the 800MW from Medupi impacting the available generation capacity of 30 703MW. This figure notably excludes the 720MW from Kusile Unit 6, which, although not yet fully operational, has been supplying power to the national grid since 23 March 2025. Nevertheless, this combined generation capacity positioned Eskom well to meet Friday night's anticipated peak demand of 28 810MW. Recent statistics revealed a decline in the year-to-date load factor for open-cycle gas turbines (OCGTs), which now stands at 11.37%, reflecting a slight dip from the previous week. Despite this reduction, the load factor remained strong when compared to 6.21% during the same timeframe last year. Diesel usage is projected to decrease as more units return to service from long-term repairs, thereby bolstering generation capacity. Eskom said the Winter Outlook, released on 5 May 2025, continues to stand valid, indicating that load shedding might be averted if unplanned outages remain below 13 000MW. It said should outages rise to 15 000MW, any necessitated load shedding would be limited to a maximum of 21 days over 153 days, confined to Stage 2. Key performance indicators revealed that during the week of 20 to 26 June, unplanned outages averaged 14 696MW—an increase of 2 815MW from last year and above the base case estimate of 13 000MW by 1 696MW. This escalation largely stems from the ongoing situation with Medupi Unit 4, which was initially anticipated to return to service by 30 May 2025. Meanwhile, planned maintenance for the financial year-to-date has averaged at 5 481MW, accounting for 11.67% of total generation capacity, albeit representing a slight decrease from the previous week. Year-to-date, the EAF has observed a noticeable upward trend, reaching 58.47%. However, this remains below the 61.19% recorded during the same period last year, primarily due to an increase in unplanned maintenance of 2.1%. Furthermore, Eskom's financial commitment to fuel for the OCGT fleet has risen to approximately R4.76 billion, generating 810.24GWh, in contrast to 442.65GWh from the previous year; still within the budget for the current financial year. As the utility now faces the winter months, Eskom has issued a strong reminder urging the public to refrain from illegal connections and energy theft. Such practices lead to transformer overloads and significant equipment failures, jeopardising the stability of the electricity network. Citizens are encouraged to solely purchase electricity from Eskom-accredited vendors and report any illegal activities impacting Eskom's infrastructure to the Crime Line. In the spirit of energy efficiency, Eskom urged consumers to manage their electricity consumption wisely this winter, employing tools like the Eskom Residential Calculator to track and optimise usage effectively. Eskom plans to provide another update on the situation by Friday, 4 July 2025, or earlier should any significant changes arise. BUSINESS REPORT

Eskom commits billions to a cleaner Future
Eskom commits billions to a cleaner Future

IOL News

time11-06-2025

  • Business
  • IOL News

Eskom commits billions to a cleaner Future

Power utility Eskom is stepping up its efforts to reduce pollution, with plans to spend R15.6 billion over the next five years Image: Bhekikhaya Mabaso/Independent Newspapers Power utility Eskom is stepping up its efforts to reduce pollution, with plans to spend R15.6 billion over the next five years on projects to cut harmful emissions from its power stations. Earlier this year IOL reported that Minister of Environment, Forestry and Fisheries, Dion George, granted the power utility 'limited emissions exemptions' to eight Eskom coal power plants. George has also previously criticised Eskom for "consistently failing to meet minimum emission standards and delaying crucial energy reforms", pointing out that South Africans have endured rolling blackouts, rising costs, and economic stagnation due to Eskom's inefficiencies. "The government cannot grant Eskom a blanket waiver to continue polluting without accountability," George said at the time. According to the power utility it has already invested over R3 billion in emissions reduction projects, with R15.6 billion allocated over the next five years. "To date, Eskom has invested over R3 billion in emissions reduction projects, with R15.6 billion allocated over the next five years," Eskom said. Video Player is loading. Play Video Play Unmute Current Time 0:00 / Duration -:- Loaded : 0% Stream Type LIVE Seek to live, currently behind live LIVE Remaining Time - 0:00 This is a modal window. Beginning of dialog window. Escape will cancel and close the window. Text Color White Black Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Opaque Semi-Transparent Background Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Opaque Semi-Transparent Transparent Window Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Transparent Semi-Transparent Opaque Font Size 50% 75% 100% 125% 150% 175% 200% 300% 400% Text Edge Style None Raised Depressed Uniform Dropshadow Font Family Proportional Sans-Serif Monospace Sans-Serif Proportional Serif Monospace Serif Casual Script Small Caps Reset restore all settings to the default values Done Close Modal Dialog End of dialog window. Advertisement Video Player is loading. Play Video Play Unmute Current Time 0:00 / Duration -:- Loaded : 0% Stream Type LIVE Seek to live, currently behind live LIVE Remaining Time - 0:00 This is a modal window. Beginning of dialog window. Escape will cancel and close the window. Text Color White Black Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Opaque Semi-Transparent Background Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Opaque Semi-Transparent Transparent Window Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Transparent Semi-Transparent Opaque Font Size 50% 75% 100% 125% 150% 175% 200% 300% 400% Text Edge Style None Raised Depressed Uniform Dropshadow Font Family Proportional Sans-Serif Monospace Sans-Serif Proportional Serif Monospace Serif Casual Script Small Caps Reset restore all settings to the default values Done Close Modal Dialog End of dialog window. Next Stay Close ✕ "However, achieving Minimum Emission Standards (MES) compliance by 2030 will require ~R257 billion in capital investment and ~R6.3 billion in annual operating costs which will have a significant impact on Eskom and add up to ~10% to the electricity tariff," "Given the current trajectory of future non-compliance, 22GW of capacity is at risk of being shut down due to SO₂ non-compliance post-2030". Eskom also noted significant progress in reducing nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions across its fleet. "While Medupi and Kusile are equipped with low-NOx burners. In 2019, Camden Power Station was successfully retrofitted with this technology. Additionally, Eskom has installed flue gas desulphurisation (FGD) technology at Kusile Power Station to reduce sulphur dioxide (SO₂) emissions and is planning to retrofit the same system at Medupi Power Station". Bheki Nxumalo, Eskom's Group Executive for Generation said the the utility was committed to meeting environmental regulations through continuous monitoring, and transparent reporting. 'We are committed to meeting environmental regulations through continuous monitoring, transparent reporting, and proactive plant upgrades,' Nxumalo said. Get your news on the go, click here to join the IOL News WhatsApp channel. IOL Business

'Unacceptable': R1. 4 billion spent on consultants as service delivery continues to falter for South Africans
'Unacceptable': R1. 4 billion spent on consultants as service delivery continues to falter for South Africans

IOL News

time11-06-2025

  • Business
  • IOL News

'Unacceptable': R1. 4 billion spent on consultants as service delivery continues to falter for South Africans

Johannesburg residents queue for water as ongoing water shortages persist pointing to a lack of planning and service delivery issues. the The latest Auditor-General's 2023/24 report found that 59% of municipal financial statements contained material misstatements - despite more than R1.4 billion being spent on consultants. Image: Bhekikhaya Mabaso / Independent Newspapers Cogta Committee chairperson Dr Zweli Mkhize has lambasted the deepening governance and financial crises in South African municipalities. Speaking at a committee briefing, Mkhize cited widespread failures in financial management, leadership, and service delivery. He called for urgent and coordinated action across all tiers of government. Describing local government as 'under immense strain,' Mkhize referenced the Auditor-General's 2023/24 report, which found that 59% of municipal financial statements contained material misstatements - despite more than R1.4 billion being spent on consultants. 'It's unacceptable that such exorbitant spending yields so little value,' Mkhize said, noting that municipalities already employ permanent staff for this work. He revealed that 113 municipalities are operating with unfunded budgets. 'This amounts to planning for failure. It undermines infrastructure delivery, leads to poor project execution, delays, cost overruns, and often substandard workmanship,' he said. Only 16% of municipalities met basic governance standards, while 84% failed to meet the conditions of a national debt relief programme. 'This is not just an audit report. It's a mirror held up to our governance structures,' Mkhize said, blaming poor audit outcomes on political failures, lack of accountability, and a growing culture of impunity. He criticised the continued use of uncompetitive procurement practices and illegal awarding of contracts to government employees: 'The rules exist, but enforcement is failing. This must stop.' Mkhize announced that Parliament will intensify oversight, especially in the worst-performing municipalities. 'The community is no longer interested in excuses,' he said. 'We are calling for performance, consequences, and the prioritisation of quality service delivery.' Mkhize also highlighted the need for structural reform over crisis management: 'We cannot afford to normalise failure. We must shift from analysis to action, from recognition to consequence.' Mkhize noted that the Portfolio Committee on Cogta will continue to lead efforts to restore the credibility, capability and constitutional purpose of local government through firm oversight and unwavering commitment to service delivery. In a statement and response to the 2023/2024 audit outcomes, the South African Local Government Association (Salga) welcomed the Auditor-General's report and praised municipalities showing improvement. Salga spokesperson Tebogo Mosala said: 'The increase in clean audits from 34 in 2022/23 to 41 in 2023/24 is commendable and reflects the commitment of municipal leadership to uphold financial discipline.' SALGA noted that 55% of municipalities received unqualified or clean audits, accounting for over R378 billion (66%) of the local government budget, an indication that a majority of public funds are handled with 'a degree of accountability.' However, Mosala was clear that serious problems remain: 'Salga remains deeply concerned that 45% of municipalities received audit outcomes that fall below the standard. The non-submission of financial statements and recurrence of fruitless and wasteful expenditure must be decisively addressed.' Salga echoed the call for stronger leadership, highlighting that improved audit outcomes correlate with capable and ethical appointments in key roles like municipal managers and CFOs. Mosala added that municipalities must also address the R405 billion owed to them by consumers, including other government departments, which severely compromises their financial health. Salga also stressed the need to reform the fiscal framework, pointing out the mismatch between municipalities' responsibilities and the only 9.1% of nationally raised revenue they receive. Adding to the concern, Matthew George, ActionSA's Parliamentary Head of Media, criticised the chronic over-reliance on external consultants: 'ActionSA has consistently expressed our opposition to the widespread use of external consultants to perform functions that should be carried out by professionals employed within municipalities. The continued reliance on such consultants is a damning indictment of the failure to build and retain internal capacity in local government.' George argued that the solution is already available through existing frameworks: 'The solution is clear: the employment of skilled financial administrators, as already provided for in existing frameworks, and an end to the appointment of unqualified and unscrupulous individuals. These appointments often serve only to obscure financial reporting and shield financial mismanagement from proper scrutiny.' While supporting legislative and oversight reform, George emphasised enforcement as the real missing link: 'While ActionSA recognises the potential value of legislative or oversight reforms, we believe that the greater issue lies in the lack of enforcement of existing mechanisms, which for too long have been treated as suggestive rather than obligatory.' He added that ActionSA is committed to pursuing legislation on consequence management, along with further measures aimed at professionalising and depoliticising the public service. Dr Harlan Cloete, Research Fellow at the Centre for Gender and Africa Studies at the University of the Free State, provided deeper insight into the systemic nature of the crisis. On municipalities' reliance on consultants, Cloete said:'There's a genuine crisis of confidence within municipalities. You have people in positions who are not necessarily qualified. Political instability spills over into the administration, creating more dysfunction. There's a lack of both capacity and capability.' He noted that despite the Skills Development Act being in place since 1998, municipalities have failed to cultivate talent from within. 'That we cannot grow our own is really an indictment on the system.' On building internal capacity, Cloete pointed to integrated development plans (IDPs) and workplace skills plans as existing tools. 'You have to start with what you have. I've seen people move from interns to CFOs through structured internal development. The frameworks are there,the problem is execution.' Cloete stressed that training alone is not enough:'Training is often seen as the beginning and end. But what's needed is coaching, mentoring, and long-term institutional development.' He warned of the consequences for sustainability and credibility:'You cannot outsource responsibility. It's easy to bring in consultants to solve short-term problems, but the Skills Development Act calls for a long-term view. Leadership matters. Where there's a committed CFO, municipal manager, or mayor, things can turn around.' Cloete also referenced his recent research into the Municipal Staff Regulations of 2021. 'We conducted 240 interviews across 32 municipalities. These regulations aim to professionalise local government. But many municipalities aren't listening or acting. There's little consequence management.' He noted the review of the White Paper on Local Government, but added: 'It identifies nine key challenges. What's missing is the tenth: the institutional ability to manage the development of people. We have good people, but they don't get the opportunities. This lack is what perpetuates the dependency on consultants. IOL Politics

Johannesburg's water woes and the quest for dignity
Johannesburg's water woes and the quest for dignity

IOL News

time01-06-2025

  • General
  • IOL News

Johannesburg's water woes and the quest for dignity

Despite Johannesburg being one of South Africa's wealthiest metropolitan municipalities, with a budget of R80.3 billion in the previous financial year, the water crisis persists, says the writer. Image: Oupa Mokoena / Independent Newspapers South Africa's economic engine, Johannesburg - water, the most basic necessity, is becoming a luxury where many residents across the city have woken up to dry taps, empty buckets, and a growing sense of despair. The water crisis gripping the City of Johannesburg is not just an infrastructure failure—it is a humanitarian emergency threatening the dignity, health, and livelihood of millions. The crisis did not begin overnight. Years of underinvestment in infrastructure, rapid urbanisation, climate change, and governance failures have culminated in a perfect storm. Video Player is loading. Play Video Play Unmute Current Time 0:00 / Duration -:- Loaded : 0% Stream Type LIVE Seek to live, currently behind live LIVE Remaining Time - 0:00 This is a modal window. Beginning of dialog window. Escape will cancel and close the window. Text Color White Black Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Opaque Semi-Transparent Background Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Opaque Semi-Transparent Transparent Window Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Transparent Semi-Transparent Opaque Font Size 50% 75% 100% 125% 150% 175% 200% 300% 400% Text Edge Style None Raised Depressed Uniform Dropshadow Font Family Proportional Sans-Serif Monospace Sans-Serif Proportional Serif Monospace Serif Casual Script Small Caps Reset restore all settings to the default values Done Close Modal Dialog End of dialog window. Advertisement Next Stay Close ✕ Ad loading Reservoirs are running dry, pipes are bursting from neglect, and power failures at pumping stations have crippled already fragile water supply systems. In areas such as Brixton, Hursthill, and parts of Soweto and the south, residents have faced water outages stretching over several days or even weeks, forcing them to queue for water from roaming tankers or rely on unsafe alternative sources. Joburg Water has called on residents to use water sparingly as it is experiencing severe pressure at the reservoirs and towers due to increased water consumption. Image: Bhekikhaya Mabaso / Independent Newspapers For many, the turning point came in early 2024, when Rand Water—the bulk supplier for Gauteng—warned that demand had begun to consistently outstrip supply. With reservoirs unable to recover due to excessive consumption and frequent load shedding hampering pump stations, the system buckled under pressure. The city was forced to impose rolling water outages in an attempt to manage dwindling resources. Joburg Mayor, Dada Morero, has stepped up to confront the growing crisis head-on. In recent statements, Morero acknowledged that the city's infrastructure is operating beyond capacity and must undergo an urgent overhaul. He has outlined a multi-phase recovery plan, including the replacement of aging water mains, better pressure management systems, and the use of smart meters to reduce water losses. The city is also ramping up public education campaigns to encourage residents to reduce consumption, emphasising that the crisis is a shared burden. In 2023, Rand Water had pledged to invest R28 billion over the next decade to upgrade its infrastructure and build new reservoirs to increase supply. The water utility emphasised the need for a shift in consumption behaviour, pointing out that Gauteng residents consume, on average, 300 liters of water per person per day—nearly double the global average. Rand Water is working closely with municipalities to implement technical upgrades and manage water distribution more equitably. Furthermore, President Cyril Ramaphosa has also weighed in, calling the situation 'deeply concerning' and promising national support. During a visit to the city council earlier this year, Ramaphosa affirmed that water security is now a priority for the national government. Ramaphosa announced that he would introduce the presidential task team to help the city tackle its problems, especially now that the G20 summit will be held in Johannesburg. 'We are proposing the establishment of the presidential Johannesburg working group. What this means is that the situation here in Johannesburg has led you to invite the president into your council chamber. I am now here. 'We are going to work together to rebuild Johannesburg and take it back to its glory days,' Ramaphosa said. Last week, The 38-kilometre tunnel, Ash River which runs from Lesotho to South Africa via the Free State, was officially opened by the Department of Water led by Minister Pemmy Majodina and Sanitation, Free State Government and other state holders. This was the Lesotho Highlands Water Project which was created to provide water in the country to curb the water shortage. WARNING: Video contains swearing at the end Speaking to IOL, ActionSA said it was gravely concerned about the current man-made water crisis that has plagued the city. The party has been vocal about the water crisis in the city since they joined the council. 'The R27 billion infrastructure backlog has been on our radar for a very long time. The water crisis is, however, as a result of years of neglect,' chairperson of EISD, Vhengani Munyayi said. Munyayi stated that the issue was not just poor coordination among key stakeholders, but a mere lack of oversight and lack of appetite to address this issue. 'From the explanation we get from Rand Water, it is evident that they supply enough water to Joburg Water, however, aging dams that lose water, pipes that lose water coupled with illegal water connection is a challenge,' he said.

Reclaiming the right to a just and sovereign transition
Reclaiming the right to a just and sovereign transition

IOL News

time19-05-2025

  • Business
  • IOL News

Reclaiming the right to a just and sovereign transition

Africa, where over 789 million people still lack access to electricity, is being urged to leapfrog that path entirely, bypassing the very resources that built the prosperity of industrialised nations. Image: Bhekikhaya Mabaso/Independent Newspapers In the rolling hills of the UK's Midlands, dormant coal-fired power stations once stood as relics of a bygone era, idled by a nation that had seemingly secured energy stability. When I visited in 2019 for business, I witnessed this reality firsthand. Locals noted that the UK, at the time, enjoyed a surplus energy supply, partly due to nuclear imports from France. That moment, surrounded by silenced smokestacks and the quiet hum of stable infrastructure, symbolised a country that had completed its coal-to-gas-to-renewables evolution. The UK's energy life cycle, spanning centuries of coal-fuelled industrialization to today's diversified mix, reflects a journey enabled by wealth, infrastructure and time. In stark contrast, Africa, where over 789 million people still lack access to electricity, is being urged to leapfrog that path entirely, bypassing the very resources that built the prosperity of industrialised nations. This leapfrogging model is being imposed on Africa, despite its unique energy landscape and development needs and reflects a broader global trend of framing African energy challenges through a Western lens. Why should Africa, rich in both fossil fuel reserves and renewable potential, be denied its development trajectory? Video Player is loading. Play Video Play Unmute Current Time 0:00 / Duration -:- Loaded : 0% Stream Type LIVE Seek to live, currently behind live LIVE Remaining Time - 0:00 This is a modal window. Beginning of dialog window. Escape will cancel and close the window. Text Color White Black Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Opaque Semi-Transparent Background Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Opaque Semi-Transparent Transparent Window Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Transparent Semi-Transparent Opaque Font Size 50% 75% 100% 125% 150% 175% 200% 300% 400% Text Edge Style None Raised Depressed Uniform Dropshadow Font Family Proportional Sans-Serif Monospace Sans-Serif Proportional Serif Monospace Serif Casual Script Small Caps Reset restore all settings to the default values Done Close Modal Dialog End of dialog window. Advertisement Video Player is loading. Play Video Play Unmute Current Time 0:00 / Duration -:- Loaded : 0% Stream Type LIVE Seek to live, currently behind live LIVE Remaining Time - 0:00 This is a modal window. Beginning of dialog window. Escape will cancel and close the window. Text Color White Black Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Opaque Semi-Transparent Background Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Opaque Semi-Transparent Transparent Window Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Transparent Semi-Transparent Opaque Font Size 50% 75% 100% 125% 150% 175% 200% 300% 400% Text Edge Style None Raised Depressed Uniform Dropshadow Font Family Proportional Sans-Serif Monospace Sans-Serif Proportional Serif Monospace Serif Casual Script Small Caps Reset restore all settings to the default values Done Close Modal Dialog End of dialog window. Next Stay Close ✕ This question underpins a growing call for a sovereign, human-centric energy transition—one that balances climate objectives with urgent needs for energy access, job creation and economic growth. Africa's energy future is not just a matter of mitigating climate change; it is intrinsically tied to the region's ability to uplift millions out of poverty and unlock its potential for industrialisation. The UK's transition reveals how historical privilege shaped its options. Coal accounted for over 90% of British energy production by 1900. Decades later, the discovery of North Sea gas enabled a shift to cleaner fossil fuels and government-backed mechanisms, like the Contracts for Difference scheme, subsidised wind and solar expansion. The final coal units were phased out by 2024, helped along by emissions reduction treaties and large-scale public investment. Yet this model is ill-suited to Africa. The UK's high GDP per capita and centralised energy infrastructure contrast sharply with Africa's rural, fragmented energy needs and economic limitations. In much of Sub-Saharan Africa, capital-intensive solutions like large-scale battery storage are impractical, while decentralised solar mini-grids offer more viable, scalable options. Climate frameworks that discourage gas exploration may unintentionally restrict Africa's potential, even as demand is projected to triple by 2050. Africa's energy deficit is a stark reminder of the continent's underdevelopment in energy infrastructure. With nearly 789 million people lacking access to electricity, the disparity between the energy needs of the global South and the global North is glaring. Several countries in Sub-Saharan Africa still rely heavily on traditional biomass, which contributes to deforestation, air pollution and negative health outcomes. Yet despite being home to 60% of the world's remaining arable land, Africa's renewable energy resources have not been harnessed to their full potential. While there are impressive strides in renewable energy across the continent, these solutions remain fragmented. Africa has tremendous solar and wind potential and its vast biomass resources offer a promising avenue for bioenergy development. Still, large-scale investments in renewable infrastructure have been slow and policy frameworks continue to favor more expensive, centralized energy models that do not work for Africa's diverse energy needs. The call for a sovereign energy transition comes from the need to empower African nations to create energy systems that reflect their priorities—systems that incorporate both fossil fuel resources and renewables, tailored to national contexts. Around the world, no country has followed a single blueprint. China, the world's largest solar producer, still relies on coal for half its energy mix to fuel growth. Brazil's ethanol-based transport system powers nearly half its vehicles but remains vulnerable to global oil price shocks. These models reflect the same truth: transitions must be context-specific and built around national priorities. India's energy journey underscores this sentiment. As the world's largest democracy with over 1.3 billion people, India has pursued a balanced approach, incorporating both renewable energy and fossil fuels into its energy mix. In 2020, India became the world's third-largest producer of solar power, yet coal still accounts for 70% of its electricity production. India's experience demonstrates that for countries with large populations and diverse economies, an immediate transition to a renewable-only energy system is not only impractical but potentially harmful to economic growth. South Africa, the continent's most industrialised economy and largest carbon emitter, embodies the complexity of managing a just energy transition. Coal still generates over 90% of the country's electricity, yet ageing infrastructure has caused chronic load shedding. With 35,000 MW scheduled for decommissioning by 2050, the challenge is not only environmental—it is social, political and economic. Programs like the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Programme (REIPPPP) have introduced modest renewable capacity. Meanwhile, the Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) has attracted significant international finance. But structural obstacles—such as job losses in coal-dependent provinces and 47% of households facing energy poverty—continue to hinder momentum. A hybrid energy model could offer a realistic path forward. South Africa can phase out coal gradually by 2040, leveraging natural gas from neighbouring Mozambique as a bridge and expanding its network of decentralised solar and bioenergy systems. Bioenergy alone, powered by the continent's vast arable land, could generate significant capacity while creating sustainable employment. International institutions estimate that scaling renewable infrastructure with annual climate finance of $25 billion could increase Africa's GDP by nearly 1% per year over the next decade. Community-led transition frameworks—focusing on local ownership and affordability—would further strengthen resilience and inclusive growth. Africa's energy future cannot be shaped by one-size-fits-all prescriptions. A phased, diversified approach— combining coal retirement, gas development and scalable renewables—can offer both sustainability and sovereignty. Tools like the African Continental Power System Masterplan can drive regional integration, enabling countries like Ethiopia and Kenya to share hydropower and reduce reliance on isolated systems. This level of integration could also foster innovation and economies of scale in energy production, distribution and infrastructure development. As Africa's energy markets mature, regional cooperation will be key to ensuring that energy investments reach the most underserved regions. Cross-border energy projects, such as the East African Power Pool, have already demonstrated the benefits of regional cooperation, with countries pooling resources to construct energy infrastructure and share the electricity generated. Equitable climate finance remains a critical enabler for Africa's energy ambitions. Wealthier nations must honour their commitments, closing the energy access gap without imposing rigid, renewable-only models. While African nations are undoubtedly committed to sustainable development, they cannot be expected to transition without adequate financial support and technical assistance. Africa's energy future is not just about emissions—it is about dignity, opportunity and self-determination. Ending energy poverty, unlocking 14 million clean energy jobs by 2030 and transforming lives through access to healthcare, education and entrepreneurship all require policies that evolve with urgency and precision. As Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, Director-General of the World Trade Organization, aptly put it, 'We cannot ignore the critical role energy plays in advancing Africa's development. A just transition for Africa must be led by Africa itself, with global support for its sovereignty and future.' Indeed, no nation can transition in isolation. Africa's journey requires not only bold national leadership but meaningful global collaboration. A just transition—built on local realities, regional cooperation and global equity—will define Africa not as a follower of external mandates, but as a bold architect of its destiny. Nomvula Zeldah Mabuza is a Risk Governance and Compliance Specialist with extensive experience in strategic risk and industrial operations. She holds a Diploma in Business Management (Accounting) from Brunel University, UK, and is an MBA candidate at Henley Business School, South Africa. Nomvula Zeldah Mabuza is a Risk Governance and Compliance Specialist with extensive experience in strategic risk and industrial operations. She holds a Diploma in Business Management (Accounting) from Brunel University, UK, and is an MBA candidate at Henley Business School, South Africa. Image: Supplied BUSINESS REPORT Visit:

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